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Tuesday, March 16, 2021

Stock calls for 16 March 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/16/21

Lim & Tan

GL Ltd

0.8

1.16

Accept Offer

Offer $0.80

03/16/21

CIMB

Hongkong Land

5.15

5.7

Add

RNAV (45% discount), Up from $5.30

03/16/21

DBS Vickers

SIA

5.63

3.6

Fully Valued


03/16/21

UOB Kay Hian

UMS

1.2

1.65

Buy


Global rate hikes are coming!




Some emerging markets, European countries, and Russia will be raising their interest rates in 2021.  The biggest market mover will be China's rate hike but China has shown no such indication yet except that it is conducting monetary tightening now.  All these rate hikes run counter to the US monetary policy of maintaining US rates till 2023.

After getting the US$1.9T stimulus bill passed, Biden will continue to pile up the US debts by proposing an infrastructure bill and a green energy bill that will cost trillions.  Therefore, the US has to offer much higher interest rates for these trillion dollars propaganda since foreigners are losing their interests in US debts.


Monday, March 15, 2021

Is China really implementing monetary tightening?

China's M1 supply had shrunk by 5.4% in February 2021 from January 2021.

Therefore, we can confirm that China has already started its monetary tightening as announced.

Bukit Sembawang - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

09/03/20

Lim & Tan

Bukit Sembawang

3.69

0

Buy


10/16/20

Lim & Tan

Bukit Sembawang

3.55

0

Buy


10/23/20

DBS Vickers

Bukit Sembawang

3.51

5.44

Buy

RNAV (55% discount)

11/11/20

Lim & Tan

Bukit Sembawang

3.66

0

Buy


02/02/21

Lim & Tan

Bukit Sembawang

4.12

5.57

Buy

RNAV

BRC Asia - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/22/20

UOB Kay Hian

BRC Asia

1.15

1.52

Buy


08/07/20

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.13

1.35

Add


08/28/20

Lim & Tan

BRC Asia

1.12

1.25

Hold

DCF

11/30/20

Lim & Tan

BRC Asia

1.39

0

Accumulate


12/01/20

UOB Kay Hian

BRC Asia

1.37

1.88

Buy


12/03/20

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.4

1.9

Add


02/05/21

UOB Kay Hian

BRC Asia

1.6

2

Buy


02/08/21

Lim & Tan

BRC Asia

1.59

1.9

Accumulate


02/22/21

Phillip

BRC Asia

1.59

1.87

Buy

PER11x FY21

03/11/21

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.58

1.9

Add

PB1.57x FY21

Boustead Projects - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/07/20

Lim & Tan

Boustead Projects

0.73

0

Hold


07/15/20

CIMB

Boustead Projects

0.79

0.88

Add


11/17/20

CIMB

Boustead Projects

0.8

0.95

Add

RNAV (50% discount)

01/04/21

CIMB

Boustead Projects

0.805

1.33

Add

RNAV (30% discount)

Stock calls for 15 March 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/15/21

Amfrasers

AEM

3.86

5.05

Outperform

PER14x FY21

03/15/21

DBS Vickers

Bumitama

0.475

0.66

Buy


03/15/21

CIMB

Dairy Farm

4.51

5.4

Add

PER22x FY22

03/15/21

DBS Vickers

Dairy Farm

4.51

5.02

Buy

Sum of parts

03/15/21

DMG & Partners

Dairy Farm

4.51

4.78

Neutral

PER21x FY21

03/15/21

DBS Vickers

First Resources

1.44

1.83

Buy


03/15/21

Kim Eng

Frencken

1.39

1.74

Buy

PER14.5x FY21

03/15/21

UOB Kay Hian

Koufu

0.665

0.77

Buy


03/15/21

Lim & Tan

Oceanus

0.036

0

Caution


03/15/21

CIMB

Sembcorp Industries

1.82

1.97

Add

PB1x CY21

03/15/21

Kim Eng

UMS

1.16

1.57

Buy

PER15x FY21

03/15/21

DMG & Partners

Wilmar

5.34

6.3

Buy


03/15/21

DBS Vickers

Wilmar

5.34

6.67

Buy


New lockdowns are coming in Europe!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/third-covid-wave-sweeps-across-104529369.html

EU is contemplating new lockdowns now because of resurging covid infections which are probably due to the new variants.

We had already warned about the resurging infections last week!

The West is behind the Myanmar's protests again!

I've been observing Myanmar's situation and I will share my observations here.

Myanmar's generals did a military coup to wrestle control from Aung San Suu Kyi after suffering a major defeat in its election.  Thereafter, huge protests manifested in Myanmar.

Then, the Myanmar junta leader sought advice from Thailand because the current Thailand PM had done a successful military coup before and continue to stay in power.  The junta leader hoped that he could learn from the Thai's lesson too.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/myanmar-junta-min-aung-hlaing-prayut-chan-o-cha-help-14161958

Instead of protesting outside Thailand's embassy, the Myanmarese protested outside China's embassy for supporting the junta leader.  The Myanmarese ignored the fact that the Thai PM was providing advice to the junta leader and singled out China.  This raised an alarming uncanny feeling in me as the Myanmarese are barking up the wrong tree.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/myanmar-anti-coup-protesters-rally-at-chinese-embassy-14171132

Next, China, Russia, Vietnam and India vetoed a UN condemnation for Myanmar's military coup.  However, only China was singled out again as a reprehensible member by the Western media.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/child-screams-myanmar-china-pretends-073025346.html

It looks like whenever something happens, the west will label China as a heinous culprit.  I think this has gone too far and too much.  It's like whenever you have constipation, you can blame it on China too.

Sunday, March 14, 2021

The US is facing rising rates pressure in 2021. - Part 4

 The 10-year yield (risk-free rate) had crossed 1.6% already.

The 10-year note price had continued its downward trend because of its inverse relationship to the yield.


If you want to know the proximate cause of the spike in bond yield, please read our previous post below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2021/02/the-us-is-facing-rising-rates-pressure.html

Baltic dry index = 1960

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count (weekly) = 402

 

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.