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Monday, February 5, 2024

BRC Asia - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/13/23

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.83

2.5

Add


02/09/23

DBS Vickers

BRC Asia

1.86

2.22

Buy


02/09/23

Lim & Tan

BRC Asia

1.86

0

Hold


02/13/23

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.82

2.4

Add

PER6x CY24

02/16/23

Phillip

BRC Asia

1.84

2.14

Buy

PER7x FY23

03/10/23

UOB Kay Hian

BRC Asia

1.77

1.66

Hold

PER7x FY23

05/11/23

DBS Vickers

BRC Asia

1.65

2.22

Buy


05/11/23

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.65

2.2

Add


05/12/23

Lim & Tan

BRC Asia

1.65

0

Neutral


05/17/23

DBS Vickers

BRC Asia

1.64

1.89

Buy

PER8x FY23/24

05/18/23

Phillip

BRC Asia

1.63

1.99

Buy

DCF

05/18/23

UOB Kay Hian

BRC Asia

1.63

1.73

Hold

PER7x FY23

08/07/23

DBS Vickers

BRC Asia

1.67

1.89

Buy


08/11/23

Phillip

BRC Asia

1.68

1.99

Buy


08/17/23

UOB Kay Hian

BRC Asia

1.66

1.73

Hold

PER7x FY23

11/22/23

DBS Vickers

BRC Asia

1.65

1.89

Buy


11/22/23

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.65

2.3

Add

PER6x FY24

12/06/23

Phillip

BRC Asia

1.74

1.99

Buy


12/06/23

DBS Vickers

BRC Asia

1.74

2

Buy

PER8x FY24

12/12/23

UOB Kay Hian

BRC Asia

1.74

2.07

Buy

PER7x FY24

01/12/24

Lim & Tan

BRC Asia

1.8

2.09

Accumulate


01/16/24

CIMB

BRC Asia

1.82

2.3

Add


Boustead Projects - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

02/07/23

Lim & Tan

Boustead Projects

0.84

0.9

Hold

Offer @ $0.90

Boustead - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

02/07/23

CIMB

Boustead

0.825

1.35

Add

Sum of parts (20% disc)

06/08/23

CIMB

Boustead

0.82

1.4

Add

Sum of parts

09/25/23

OCBC

Boustead

0.84

1.05

Buy

Sum of parts

11/16/23

OCBC

Boustead

0.86

1.2

Buy


12/01/23

CIMB

Boustead

0.83

1.3

Add

Sum of parts

Stock calls for 5 February 2024

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

02/05/24

UOB Kay Hian

A-Reit

2.87

3.62

Buy

DDM

02/05/24

Kim Eng

Dyna-Mac

0.245

0.38

Buy


02/05/24

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.48

1.65

Buy

PER8x FY24

02/05/24

Phillip

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2.33

2.38

Accumulate

DDM

02/05/24

DBS Vickers

Frasers Hospitality Trust

0.46

0.62

Buy

DCF

02/05/24

Phillip

Keppel Corp

7.29

7.98

Accumulate

Sum of parts

02/05/24

Lim & Tan

Keppel Corp

7.29

7.66

Accumulate


02/05/24

UOB Kay Hian

Lendlease Reit

0.625

0.93

Buy

DDM

02/05/24

Phillip

Lendlease Reit

0.625

0.83

Buy

DDM

02/05/24

OCBC

Parkway Life

3.64

4.27

Buy


02/05/24

phillip

SGX

9.54

10.53

Accumulate

PER19.4x FY24

02/05/24

Kim Eng

UMS

1.3

1.49

Buy


Baltic dry index - 1407

Related stock: Seatrium, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count (weekly) - 619

Related stock: Seatrium & Cosco.

Friday, February 2, 2024

US ISM PMI has been in a contractionary phase for 15 months now.

The US ISM PMI was at 49.1 in January 2024 .  Let's take a look at what happened here.


Let's calculate 2 unknown sub-indices (Estimated new local orders & local raw materials) first.

* Estimated new local orders=New orders % change (+5.5) - New export order % change (-4.7) = +10.2%

* Estimated local raw materials=Inventories % change (+2.3) - Imports % change (+3.7) = -1.4%


The PMI improved by 2 to 49.1 because of the significant spike in new local orders (estimated at +10.2%).  The producers continue to let the customers' inventories to be depleted without increasing their production significantly.  We view the spike in new local orders as an aberration as this is unlikely to be repeated.  Furthermore, the PMI has been in a contractionary phase for 15 months now.



Banyan Tree - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

09/25/23

Amfrasers

Banyan Tree

0.4

0.415

Buy