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Tuesday, September 5, 2023

Aztech - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/19/22

CIMB

Aztech

0.795

1.16

Add

PER9.1x

07/25/22

DBS Vickers

Aztech

0.795

1.18

Buy

PER11x FY22

07/26/22

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.795

1.46

Buy

PER12.5x FY22

07/26/22

CIMB

Aztech

0.795

1.22

Add

PER9.1x FY23

07/26/22

Kim Eng

Aztech

0.795

1.39

Buy


10/17/22

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.76

0.99

Buy

PER8.5x FY23

10/21/22

CIMB

Aztech

0.74

0.96

Add

PER7.7x FY23

11/02/22

Kim Eng

Aztech

0.8

0.83

Hold


11/04/22

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.81

1.05

Buy

PER8.5x FY23

11/04/22

DBS Vickers

Aztech

0.81

1.02

Buy

PER8x FY23

11/04/22

CIMB

Aztech

0.81

0.96

Add

PER7.7x FY23

11/07/22

Kim Eng

Aztech

0.855

0.79

Hold


02/20/23

DBS Vickers

Aztech

0.835

1.02

Buy


02/21/23

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.8

1.05

Buy

PER8.5x FY23

02/21/23

DBS Vickers

Aztech

0.8

1.15

Buy

PER7x FY23

02/21/23

Lim & Tan

Aztech

0.8

1.17

Buy


02/21/23

Kim Eng

Aztech

0.8

1.02

Buy

PER7X FY23

02/23/23

CIMB

Aztech

0.845

0.91

Add

PER7.5x FY23

04/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.815

1.05

Buy

PER8.5x FY23

04/18/23

CIMB

Aztech

0.81

0.91

Add


05/05/23

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.82

1

Buy

PER8.6x FY23

05/05/23

DBS Vickers

Aztech

0.82

1.05

Buy

PER8.5x FY23

05/05/23

CIMB

Aztech

0.82

1.02

Add


05/05/23

Lim & Tan

Aztech

0.82

1.04

Buy


06/27/23

CIMB

Aztech

0.705

1.01

Add


07/20/23

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.695

1

Buy

PER8.6x FY23

07/24/23

CIMB

Aztech

0.7

1.11

Add


07/24/23

Lim & Tan

Aztech

0.7

1

Accumulate


07/24/23

Kim Eng

Aztech

0.7

0.93

Buy

PER8x FY23

08/29/23

Kim Eng

Aztech

0.79

0.93

Buy


08/29/23

CIMB

Aztech

0.79

1.11

Add


08/31/23

UOB Kay Hian

Aztech

0.815

1

Buy

PER8.6x FY23

Avi-Tech - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/22/22

DMG & Partners

Avi-Tech

0.29

0.42

Buy


08/24/22

Lim & Tan

Avi-Tech

0.295

0

Hold


Audience Analytics - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/09/23

Lim & Tan

Audience Analytics

0.31

0.425

Buy

Sum of parts, PER10.6x FY23

Stock calls for 4 September 2023

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Bumitama

0.55

0.65

Buy

PER6x FY24

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Comfortdelgro

1.27

1.56

Buy

PER15x FY24

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

CSE Global

0.485

0.61

Buy

PER15x FY24

09/04/23

Lim & Tan

DBS

33.3

37.52

Buy


09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Delfi

1.25

1.83

Buy

PER17x FY24

09/04/23

Kim Eng

Food Empire

1.08

1.36

Buy

PER11x FY23

09/04/23

DBS Vickers

Ifast Corp

5.68

3.92

Fully Valued

DCF

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Corp

6.94

9.09

Buy

Sum of parts

09/04/23

Lim & Tan

Keppel Corp

6.94

7.87

Buy


09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

LHN

0.34

0.55

Buy

PER9x FY23

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Mapletree Industrial

2.3

2.89

Buy

DDM

09/04/23

DBS Vickers

Mapletree Logistics

1.68

1.88

Buy

DCF

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

OCBC

12.55

18.22

Buy

GGM, PB1.45x FY24

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Seatrium

0.145

0.19

Buy

PB1.5x FY24

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Sembcorp Industries

5.35

7.2

Buy

PER13.6x

09/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Thai Beverage

0.57

0.83

Buy

Sum of parts

09/04/23

SAC Capital

Uni-Asia

0.91

1.14

Buy

PB0.45x

09/04/23

Lim & Tan

Wing Tai

1.35

1.8

Accumulate

PB0.44x

Sunday, September 3, 2023

The ISM PMI has been contracting for 10 consecutive months already.


There are 1 important thing to note from the latest ISM PMI publication.

The new order (46.8, -0.5) declined because of worsening new local order (Est'd -0.8).  This means that the local consumer spending is still contracting.  As the chart indicates, almost all the subcomponents are in a contraction zone (below 50).

The ISM PMI has also been contracting for 10 consecutive months already.  With the weakening consumer spending, the 2nd half of 2023 won't be better than the 1st half.

3 important economic statistics for the past week.

The job gap has narrowed to 3m from 4m which means the labour market is softening.  This is to be expected because of depleting pandemic household savings and front-loading of purchases.

US GDP growth (2nd Qtr): 2.1%

The US GDP growth only increased marginally in the 2nd quarter and the first half of 2023 was estimated to be better than the latter half because household savings would not be available to boost the GDP growth in the 2nd half of 2023.  Thus, the US GDP growth for 2023 would not exceed 2.5% under the existing conditions.

The core PCE had increased marginally to 4.2%.  We had stated previously that the US inflation would remain relatively stable at this level (see below).

Baltic dry index - 1065

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.