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Monday, February 22, 2021

ST Engineering - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/08/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.02

4.55

Buy

PER22x FY20 & PB5.8x & EV/Ebitda11x

02/19/20

Macquarie

ST Engineering

4.3

5

outperform


02/24/20

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

4.24

0

Hold


02/25/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.2

4.9

Buy

Sum of parts

02/25/20

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

4.2

4.46

Buy


02/25/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

4.2

4.6

Buy


02/25/20

CIMB

ST Engineering

4.2

4.66

Add


03/05/20

Macquarie

ST Engineering

4.36

5

outperform


03/17/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.36

4.9

Buy

Sum of parts

04/07/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.03

4.9

Buy


04/17/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.44

4.65

Buy

Sum of parts

04/22/20

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.33

3.6

Hold

EV/Invested capital basis, Buy @ $3.10

04/22/20

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.33

3.86

Add

Sum of parts

04/28/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.24

4.15

Buy

Sum of parts

05/18/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.27

3.9

Buy

Sum of parts

05/18/20

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.27

3.5

Hold

Buy @ $3-3.10

05/18/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.27

3.4

Hold

Sum of parts

06/19/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.41

3.9

Buy


07/13/20

OCBC

ST Engineering

3.35

3.9

Buy


07/29/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.31

3.9

Buy

Sum of parts

08/07/20

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.23

3.46

Add

DCF

08/17/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.39

3.4

Hold

Sum of parts, Buy @ below $3.10

08/17/20

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.39

3.4

Hold

Buy @ $3.15

08/17/20

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.39

3.76

Add


08/17/20

OCBC

ST Engineering

3.39

3.9

Buy


08/18/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.39

3.8

Buy

Sum of parts

08/18/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.39

3.9

Buy

Sum of parts

08/19/20

Macquarie

ST Engineering

3.48

3.45

outperform

Sum of parts

09/07/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.42

3.8

Buy


09/11/20

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.41

3.6

Hold

Buy @ $3.30

09/21/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.41

3.9

Buy


10/12/20

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.59

3.6

Hold


10/13/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.63

3.8

Buy


10/28/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.64

3.9

Buy


11/03/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.49

3.8

Buy


11/19/20

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.84

4.2

Buy


11/19/20

OCBC

ST Engineering

3.84

4.3

Buy


11/19/20

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.84

3.65

Hold

Buy @ $3.30-3.40

11/19/20

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.84

4

Add


11/19/20

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.84

0

Hold


11/26/20

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.01

4.4

Buy


01/14/21

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.88

4.4

Buy


01/21/21

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.86

3.65

Hold

Buy @ $3.40-3.45

02/17/21

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.76

4.2

Buy


02/22/21

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.75

4

Buy


02/22/21

OCBC

ST Engineering

3.75

4.3

Buy


02/22/21

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.75

4.25

Buy


02/22/21

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.75

4

Add


Spindex - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

10/12/20

Lim & Tan

Spindex

0.9

0

Buy


Stock calls for 22 February 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

02/22/21

Phillip

BRC Asia

1.59

1.87

Buy

PER11x FY21

02/22/21

Lim & Tan

Bumitama

0.54

0

Accumulate


02/22/21

phillip

Comfortdelgro

1.58

1.83

Buy

DCF

02/22/21

phillip

Dasin Retail

0.73

0.91

Accumulate


02/22/21

Phillip

First Ship Lease Trust

0.085

0.105

Buy

PB1x FY22

02/22/21

Phillip

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2.52

2.93

Buy


02/22/21

Phillip

Ireit

0.645

0.68

Accumulate


02/22/21

DBS Vickers

MM2 Asia

0.083

0.089

Hold

Sum of parts

02/22/21

phillip

Prime US Reit

0.825

0.94

Buy


02/22/21

Lim & Tan

Raffles Medical

0.985

0

Hold


02/22/21

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.75

4

Buy


02/22/21

OCBC

ST Engineering

3.75

4.3

Buy


02/22/21

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.75

4.25

Buy


02/22/21

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.75

4

Add


02/22/21

DBS Vickers

Straits Trading

2.77

3.9

Buy

Sum of parts (40% discount)

02/22/21

Phillip

Starhub

1.28

1.24

Neutral

Ev/Ebitda 6x

02/22/21

UOB Kay Hian

Starhub

1.28

1.35

Hold


02/22/21

DMG & Partners

Starhub

1.28

1.38

Neutral


Sunday, February 21, 2021

Will the Quad Alliance (QA) have any impact?

Before we can comment on this Quad Alliance (QA), we need to first know the countries involved in this alliance. The QA comprises the US, Australia, Japan and India. However, the QA will have lesser influence because it is much smaller than the Indo-Pacific Alliance (IPA).

Therefore, the QA will not be able to do much except to make some noise. What can the QA do that the IPA cannot accomplish? Nothing! The IPA which is much bigger than the QA also cannot do much because it has many weak links.

Let's try to understand the IPA now.

The US established the IPA without any careful consideration about the internal conflicts amongst its alliance members.  For a start, the IPA will embolden India to take a tougher stance against its neighbours such as Pakistan and China and this will force Pakistan to strike closer strategic relationships with China and Russia.  Thus, this IPA will diminish India's neighbouring relationships.  We can see this outcome from the recent incident below.

https://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/sri-lanka-scraps-port-deal-as-indian-firm-rejected-terms/story/431179.html

Let's not forget that India is buying a lot of Russian weapons and it doesn't want to see a cozy relationship between Pakistan and Russia.

Japan is also part of this IPA and it has historical feuds with the IPA's 2nd tier member (South Korea).  Historical feuds (WW2 issues) are difficult to resolve and these will disrupt any cooperation between Japan and South Korea.  We can see this from the recent SK defence whitepaper publication that downgraded the SK-JP status below.

http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_international/981657.html

Furthermore, Japan has a Kuril Islands dispute with Russia.  Therefore, Japan doesn't want to jeopardize JP-Ru relationship further with any potential IPA conflict with Russia.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/07/putin-rejected-abes-request-in-g20.html

Australia is a member of RCEP and will be ostracized if it uses IPA or QA to contain China.  Thus, Australia is stuck in a fissure and is facing a conundrum.

As we can see, the IPA has many weak links and it won't be able to function properly.  Needless to say, the QA cannot do anything too.