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Friday, January 18, 2019

Comfortdelgro - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/18 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.24 Buy PER16x FY18
01/04/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.02 2.63 Buy DCF
01/04/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.02 2.05 Hold
01/11/18 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 1.99 2.4 Buy DCF
01/18/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.03 2.25 Buy PER16.6x
01/19/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.15 Hold
02/02/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.15 2.12 Hold
02/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.25 Buy PER16.6x
02/14/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.12 Hold DCF & PER
02/14/18 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.35 Buy DCF
02/14/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.25 Buy
02/14/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.16 Hold DCF
02/14/18 Lim & Tan Comfortdelgro 2.01 0 Buy on weakness
02/14/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.05 Neutral DCF
02/14/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.01 2.5 Buy DCF, PER17.4x FY18
02/15/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.02 1.98 Neutral DCF
03/09/18 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 2.06 2.35 Buy DCF
03/21/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.02 2.25 Buy
03/22/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2 2.5 Buy
03/26/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 1.99 2.12 Hold
03/27/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.04 2.16 Hold DCF
03/29/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2 2.25 Buy PER16.6x
04/06/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.07 2.25 Buy
04/06/18 Deutsche Comfortdelgro 2.07 2.4 Hold
05/02/18 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.25 2.72 Buy PER19x FY18
05/10/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.34 2.5 Buy
05/14/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.33 2.48 Accumulate DCF, PER17.8x FY18
05/14/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.33 2.43 Buy PER16.6x FY19
05/14/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.33 2.12 Hold
05/14/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.33 2.5 Buy
05/14/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.33 2.37 Hold DCF
05/14/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.33 2.2 Neutral DCF
05/15/18 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 2.34 2.65 Buy
05/15/18 Deutsche Comfortdelgro 2.34 3 Buy
06/07/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.47 2.12 Hold
06/08/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.46 2.69 Accumulate
06/08/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.46 2.5 Hold
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.26 2.43 Buy
07/04/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.3 2.59 Buy DCF & PER18x FY18/19
07/10/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.32 2.69 Accumulate
07/10/18 Deutsche Comfortdelgro 2.32 2.7 Buy
08/10/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.37 2.59 Buy
08/13/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.78 Accumulate DCF, PER19.7x FY18
08/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.59 Buy PER16.8x FY19
08/13/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.35 Neutral DCF
08/13/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.5 Hold
08/13/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.75 Add DCF, PER18.1x FY19
08/14/18 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.35 2.72 Buy PER19x FY18
09/04/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.3 2.5 Hold
09/04/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.3 2.59 Buy
09/11/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.23 2.78 Accumulate
10/09/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.36 2.35 Neutral
10/11/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.25 2.59 Buy PER16.8x FY19
10/11/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.25 2.75 Add DCF
10/16/18 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.12 2.72 Buy PER19x FY18
10/31/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.22 2.59 Buy
11/05/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.32 2.59 Buy
11/08/18 Deutsche Comfortdelgro 2.36 1.7 Sell PER12x FY19
11/09/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.2 2.59 Buy PER16.8x FY19
11/12/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.18 2.69 Buy DCF, PER19.2x FY18
11/12/18 DBS Vickers Comfortdelgro 2.18 2.56 Buy PER16x FY19
11/12/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.18 2.35 Neutral PER15x FY19
11/12/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.18 2.29 Hold
11/12/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.18 2.74 Add DCF, PER17.7x FY19
11/13/18 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.21 2.72 Buy PER19x FY18
12/05/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.12 2.35 Neutral

CNMC - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/27/18 phillip CNMC 0.26 0.3 Accumulate DCF
03/07/18 NRA CNMC 0.27 0.375 Overweight FCFE
05/17/18 phillip CNMC 0.275 0.42 Buy DCF
07/03/18 Amfrasers CNMC 0.27 0.38 Buy PER10x FY19
08/20/18 phillip CNMC 0.23 0.29 Buy DCF
08/20/18 Amfrasers CNMC 0.23 0.33 Buy
11/16/18 phillip CNMC 0.22 0.29 Buy DCF
11/16/18 Amfrasers CNMC 0.22 0.33 Buy

Stock calls for 18 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/18/19 Lim & Tan ESR-Reit 0.53 0 Hold
01/18/19 OCBC First Reit 1.01 0.97 Hold
01/18/19 CIMB First Reit 1.01 1.2 Add DDM
01/18/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.47 1.7 Buy
01/18/19 CIMB Mapletree Industrial 1.99 2.1 Add DDM
01/18/19 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.715 0.85 Buy Sum of parts

Thursday, January 17, 2019

Cityneon - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/05/18 DBS Vickers Cityneon 0.97 1.45 Buy
01/09/18 UOB Kay Hian Cityneon 0.97 1.55 Buy PER15.4x FY18
02/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Cityneon 1.02 1.55 Buy
02/28/18 Kim Eng Cityneon 1.1 1.55 Buy
03/01/18 UOB Kay Hian Cityneon 1.04 1.55 Buy PER15.4x FY18
03/01/18 DBS Vickers Cityneon 1.04 1.45 Buy PER14.4x FY18
03/05/18 Amfrasers Cityneon 1.06 1.54 Buy PER14x FY18
03/15/18 CIMB Cityneon 1.11 1.58 Add PER14x FY19
05/03/18 DBS Vickers Cityneon 1.05 1.6 Buy PER14.4x FY18
05/03/18 CIMB Cityneon 1.05 1.58 Add PER14x CY19
05/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Cityneon 1.06 1.55 Buy PER15.4x FY18
05/15/18 CIMB Cityneon 1.06 1.16 Hold PER11x FY19
05/18/18 Amfrasers Cityneon 1 1.54 Buy PER14x FY18
05/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Cityneon 0.99 1.55 Buy
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Cityneon 0.98 1.55 Buy
08/06/18 DBS Vickers Cityneon 1.02 1.57 Buy PER14.4x
08/21/18 Amfrasers Cityneon 1.13 1.51 Buy PER14x FY18
10/30/18 CIMB Cityneon 1.26 1.16 Accept Offer PER11x FY19, Offer $1.30
10/31/18 DBS Vickers Cityneon 1.29 1.57 Accept Offer Offer $1.30

City Developments - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 12.84 14.03 Buy
01/05/18 Jefferies City Developments 12.86 14.8 Buy
01/15/18 OCBC City Developments 13.04 15.3 Buy RNAV (10% discount)
01/16/18 CIMB City Developments 13.46 13.15 Add
01/16/18 Kim Eng City Developments 13.46 13.8 Buy RNAV (6% discount), PB1.26x
01/16/18 Deutsche City Developments 13.46 16 Buy
02/07/18 OCBC City Developments 12.76 15.3 Buy
02/07/18 Credit Suisse City Developments 12.76 16.3 Outperform
02/13/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 12.31 14.03 Buy RNAV
02/19/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 12.72 14.03 Buy
03/01/18 Kim Eng City Developments 12.76 14.2 Buy RNAV
03/01/18 Jefferies City Developments 12.76 15.2 Buy
03/01/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 12.76 14.03 Buy RNAV
03/01/18 OCBC City Developments 12.76 15.91 Buy RNAV
03/01/18 CIMB City Developments 12.76 13.44 Add RNAV (20% discount)
03/05/18 phillip City Developments 12.69 13.4 Accumulate RNAV (15% discount), PB1.29x FY18
03/05/18 Credit Suisse City Developments 12.69 16.5 Outperform
03/09/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 12.94 15.4 Buy RNAV, PB1.2x
03/20/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 13.25 15 Buy RNAV (10% discount), Up froM $14.12 (RNAV 20% discount)
04/02/18 CIMB City Developments 13 13.44 Add RNAV (20% discount)
04/03/18 OCBC City Developments 13.2 15.91 Buy
04/03/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 13.2 14.03 Buy
04/03/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 13.2 15.4 Buy
04/10/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 12.87 15 Buy
04/11/18 Kim Eng City Developments 12.73 14.2 Buy
04/13/18 Deutsche City Developments 12.57 16 Buy
05/03/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 12.55 14.03 Buy RNAV
05/14/18 OCBC City Developments 12.53 15.78 Buy
05/14/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 12.53 15.4 Buy
05/14/18 CIMB City Developments 12.53 13.41 Add RNAV (20% discount)
05/14/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 12.53 15 Buy RNAV (10% discount)
05/14/18 Kim Eng City Developments 12.53 14.2 Buy
05/15/18 phillip City Developments 12.4 13.4 Accumulate RNAV (15% discount), PB1.29x FY18
05/15/18 Lim & Tan City Developments 12.4 15 Buy
05/17/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 11.97 15.4 Buy
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 11.25 14.03 Buy
06/06/18 Deutsche City Developments 11.48 16 Buy RNAV (12% discount) & PB1.8x FY18
06/13/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 11.52 15.4 Buy
06/19/18 Kim Eng City Developments 11.22 14.2 Buy
06/19/18 CIMB City Developments 11.22 13.41 Add
06/26/18 OCBC City Developments 11 15.78 Buy
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 10.88 14.03 Buy
07/03/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.88 15 Buy RNAV (10% discount)
07/06/18 CIMB City Developments 10.21 13.41 Add
07/06/18 Kim Eng City Developments 10.21 14.2 Buy
07/06/18 Deutsche City Developments 10.21 12.6 Hold
07/09/18 phillip City Developments 9.46 12.6 Accumulate RNAV (20% discount)
07/09/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 9.46 10 Fully Valued RNAV (35% discount)
07/09/18 OCBC City Developments 9.46 9.59 Hold
07/09/18 Kim Eng City Developments 9.46 10.4 Hold
07/23/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 10.06 10.4 Neutral RNAV (35% discount)
07/23/18 Jefferies City Developments 10.06 11 Hold RNAV (22% discount)
08/08/18 OCBC City Developments 9.88 9.59 Hold
08/10/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 9.89 12 Buy RNAV (15% discount)
08/10/18 CIMB City Developments 9.89 10.89 Add RNAV (35% discount)
08/10/18 OCBC City Developments 9.89 9.81 Hold
08/10/18 Lim & Tan City Developments 9.89 0 Hold
08/10/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 9.89 10 Hold RNAV (35% discount)
08/16/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 9.55 10.4 Neutral
08/21/18 Jefferies City Developments 9.49 11 Hold RNAV (22% discount)
09/06/18 Kim Eng City Developments 8.96 10.4 Hold
09/14/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 8.63 12 Buy RNAV (15% discount)
09/18/18 CIMB City Developments 8.8 10.89 Add
09/25/18 Deutsche City Developments 8.88 12.6 Hold
10/02/18 CIMB City Developments 9.05 10.89 Add
11/05/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 8.55 10 Hold
11/09/18 UOB Kay Hian City Developments 8.42 12.12 Buy RNAV (15% discount)
11/09/18 CIMB City Developments 8.42 10.65 Add RNAV (35% discount)
11/09/18 Lim & Tan City Developments 8.42 0 Buy
11/09/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 8.42 9.2 Neutral
11/12/18 OCBC City Developments 8.45 10.73 Buy
12/07/18 Lim & Tan City Developments 8.65 0 Buy
12/11/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 8.42 9.5 Hold RNAV (40% discount), PB0.9x FY18
01/04/19 Lim & Tan City Developments 7.94 0 Buy
01/17/19 CIMB City Developments 8.85 10.65 Add RNAV (35% discount)

Citic Envirotech - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.75 1.1 Buy
01/09/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.74 1.09 Buy DCF
02/12/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.705 1.11 Buy DCF, PER11.1x FY19
02/28/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.755 1.06 Buy DCF, PER11.6x FY19
03/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.735 1.06 Buy
04/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.715 1.06 Buy DCF, PER11.6x FY19
05/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.705 1.06 Buy DCF, PER11.6x FY19
06/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.56 1.06 Buy DCF, PER11.6x FY19
07/27/18 DBS Vickers Citic Envirotech 0.59 0.95 Buy PER20x FY19

Stock calls for 17 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/17/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.74 2.95 Buy
01/17/19 Kim Eng CDL Hospitality 1.56 1.75 Buy
01/17/19 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.705 0.75 Hold
01/17/19 CIMB City Developments 8.85 10.65 Add RNAV (35% discount)
01/17/19 Lim & Tan First Reit 1.03 0 Neutral
01/17/19 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.55 Buy
01/17/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.74 1.98 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
01/17/19 Kim Eng IHH Healthcare 1.86 2.13 Buy Sum of parts, Ringgit $6.45 target price
01/17/19 OCBC Mapletree Industrial 1.97 2.04 Hold
01/17/19 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.405 0.39 Hold
01/17/19 UOB Kay Hian SIA 9.76 10.2 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $9
01/17/19 DBS Vickers UOL 6.65 7.15 Hold

Singapore NODX fell 8.5% in December 2018.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-non-oil-exports-fall-8-6-december-005333196.html
Year on year changes (YOY):
December 2018: -8.5%
November 2018: -2.6%
October 2018: 8.3%
September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Chip Eng Seng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/01/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 1.01 1.18 Buy Sum of parts
02/19/18 phillip Chip Eng Seng 0.955 1.21 Buy RNAV (40% discount)
03/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Chip Eng Seng 0.94 1.38 Buy Sum of parts
03/20/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.94 1.18 Buy Sum of parts
05/07/18 phillip Chip Eng Seng 0.93 1.21 Buy RNAV (40% discount)
05/17/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.945 1.18 Buy
06/28/18 UOB Kay Hian Chip Eng Seng 0.84 1.38 Buy
07/09/18 phillip Chip Eng Seng 0.79 1.15 Buy
07/09/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.79 0.75 Fully Valued Sum of parts
08/06/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.795 0.75 Fully Valued
09/17/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.845 0.75 Hold
11/08/18 DBS Vickers Chip Eng Seng 0.725 0.75 Hold Sum of parts

China Sunsine - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/22/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.04 1.5 Add PER9.8x CY19
01/29/18 phillip China Sunsine 1.11 1.6 Buy FCFE, PER10x FY18
01/29/18 Amfrasers China Sunsine 1.11 1.39 Buy PER10x FY18
02/07/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.13 1.5 Add
03/05/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.35 1.62 Add PER9.8x CY19
03/05/18 phillip China Sunsine 1.35 1.6 Buy FCFE
04/05/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.25 1.62 Add PER9.8x FY19
04/27/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.5 1.87 Add PER9.8x FY19
04/30/18 phillip China Sunsine 1.48 1.97 Buy FCFE
07/02/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.55 1.87 Add PER9.8x CY19
08/08/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.49 1.41 Hold PER7.7x CY19
08/13/18 phillip China Sunsine 1.23 1.77 Buy FCFE
11/08/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.04 1.41 Add PER7.7x FY19
11/09/18 phillip China Sunsine 1.08 1.68 Buy FCFE
01/04/19 phillip China Sunsine 1.2 1.68 Buy

China Jinjiang - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/08/18 CIMB China Jinjiang 0.59 0.85 Add DCF

Stock calls for 16 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/16/19 OCBC Far East Hospitality 0.625 0.675 Buy
01/16/19 phillip First Reit 1.04 0.88 Neutral DDM
01/16/19 Lim & Tan Lian Beng 0.515 0 Buy on weakness
01/16/19 OCBC OUE Hospitality 0.685 0.79 Buy

Tuesday, January 15, 2019

China Everbright - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/02/18 DBS Vickers China Everbright 0.45 0.65 Buy
03/02/18 phillip China Everbright 0.45 0.6 Buy PER12.5x
05/14/18 phillip China Everbright 0.43 0.55 Buy PER11.4x FY18
06/14/18 DBS Vickers China Everbright 0.41 0.65 Buy PER24x
06/14/18 phillip China Everbright 0.41 0.53 Buy PER10.6x
11/14/18 phillip China Everbright 0.35 0.44 Buy PER8.8x
11/14/18 DBS Vickers China Everbright 0.35 0.475 Buy PER15x

China Aviation Oil - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/31/18 DBS Vickers China Aviation Oil 1.65 2.08 Buy PER13x FY18
03/01/18 CIMB China Aviation Oil 1.58 2.03 Add PER12.5x CY19
03/01/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.58 1.6 Neutral DCF, PER11.3x FY18
03/01/18 UOB Kay Hian China Aviation Oil 1.58 2.13 Buy PER13.5x FY18
03/02/18 DBS Vickers China Aviation Oil 1.51 1.98 Buy PER13x FY18
03/02/18 phillip China Aviation Oil 1.51 2 Buy PER13.3x
03/20/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.54 1.8 Buy PER12.2x FY18, PEG1x FY18
04/03/18 Edison China Aviation Oil 1.56 1.82 Buy DCF
05/10/18 CIMB China Aviation Oil 1.56 2.03 Add PER12.5x FY19
05/10/18 UOB Kay Hian China Aviation Oil 1.56 2.13 Buy PER13.5x FY18
05/11/18 phillip China Aviation Oil 1.58 2 Buy PER13.3x FY18
05/11/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.58 1.8 Buy DCF & PER12.2x FY18 & PEG1x FY18
06/20/18 CIMB China Aviation Oil 1.52 2.03 Add PER12.5x CY19
07/03/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.5 1.8 Buy
08/02/18 UOB Kay Hian China Aviation Oil 1.53 2.05 Buy PER13.5x FY18
08/02/18 CIMB China Aviation Oil 1.53 2.03 Add PER12.5x FY19
08/02/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.53 1.8 Buy
08/03/18 phillip China Aviation Oil 1.53 2 Buy PER12.8x FY18
08/06/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.54 1.75 Buy Sum of parts, PER11.4x FY18
08/07/18 DBS Vickers China Aviation Oil 1.58 1.98 Buy PER13x FY18
11/02/18 UOB Kay Hian China Aviation Oil 1.38 1.93 Buy PER13.5x FY18
11/02/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.38 1.5 Neutral PER10x & PB1.2x & EV/Ebitda9x & DCF, PER7x FY19 (ex-cash), PEG1.3x FY19
11/02/18 DBS Vickers China Aviation Oil 1.38 1.9 Buy PER13x FY18
11/02/18 CIMB China Aviation Oil 1.38 1.83 Add PER12x FY19
11/05/18 phillip China Aviation Oil 1.34 1.76 Buy PER11.5x FY19
11/21/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.22 1.32 Neutral

Centurion - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/18 DMG & Partners Centurion 0.515 0.47 Neutral DCF
03/01/18 Kim Eng Centurion 0.515 0.5 Hold DCF
06/27/18 DMG & Partners Centurion 0.455 0.47 Neutral
08/10/18 DMG & Partners Centurion 0.45 0.47 Neutral

Stock calls for 15 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/15/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.55 0.61 Hold
01/15/19 DBS Vickers Capitaland 3.27 3.62 Buy
01/15/19 Phillip Capitaland 3.27 4 Accumulate RNAV (20% discount), PB0.75x FY18
01/15/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.405 0.56 Add PER13.5x FY20
01/15/19 CIMB Fu Yu 0.2 0.2 Hold PB0.9x
01/15/19 Kim Eng Genting 1.03 1.26 Buy EV/Ebitda9x FY19
01/15/19 Amfrasers IFS Capital 0.225 0.29 Buy PB0.7x FY18
01/15/19 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.77 0.87 Buy DCF
01/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.63 3.2 Buy Sum of parts
01/15/19 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.05 3.59 Buy Sum of parts
01/15/19 OCBC SPH 2.47 2.55 Hold
01/15/19 DBS Vickers Starhub 1.77 2.45 Buy DCF

SG-JB MRT will be postponed!

http://www.asiaone.com/singapore/parliament-rts-link-project-not-progressing-well-opening-likely-be-delayed-beyond-2024

After the SG-KL HSR postponement, the SG-JB MRT will be delayed because the relationship between the 2 nations has turned south after Mahathir became the PM.

Look like Mahathir is skinning SG via the sky, land and sea.

Simmering anti-Malaysia sentiment is rearing its head now.

http://www.asiaone.com/malaysia/singaporeans-cancel-cny-shopping-trips-johor

Mahathir thought there wasn't any price to be paid for being anti-SG because SG was a red dot in his eyes and he could skin SG in many ways.

However, we can also retaliate in our own ways.  We can cut our spendings in Malaysia and also get cozy with China so that China will reduce its investment in Malaysia.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/01/singapore-seeks-closer-sg-sino-ties.html

The downfall of the Malacca Gateway will be a piece of good news for SG.

Monday, January 14, 2019

Cryptocurrency roundup.

2019 will be a bad year for cryptos because more people will get educated about the cryptos including ICOs.  Consequently, many ICOs will be declared as scams in 2019 as many of them won't be able to materialize as what's stipulated on their whitepapers.  Therefore, many ICO investors will try to salvage whatever values are left on their ICOs and this doesn't bode well for the crypto markets.

The cryptos including bitcoin have not been able to rise above the price levels on the day we publicized our financial analysis below.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-financial-analysis-on-initial-coin.html

The bitcoin is down to around US$3500 today from US$4500 on our publication date.  When a product is developed with a flawed structural design and bad economics, it is doomed to fail eventually.  Crypto is such a product and the feared outcome will happen.  It is a matter of when, not if.

North America and Europe will slip into recessions faster than Asia.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/chinese-fdi-north-america-europe-falls-73-percent-001555773--business.html

Without FDI growth, North America and Europe will slip into recessions faster than Asia.  Why?

Let's look at the tabulation of GDP.

GDP = G + I + C + Net export(X-M)

FDI is I under the GDP tabulation formula and GDP will be affected if there is little or no FDI.  Since China is importing much lesser now, many countries net exports will be affected.  North America and Europe don't have the deep coffers for fiscal stimulus which is under G.  The consumer spendings (C) are also not great in North America and Europe because many people in these countries don't have high spending powers.  Just look at the unemployment rates and yellow vest protests and you will know what I mean.  Furthermore, the US is forcing many countries to buy US goods and reducing their exports to the US.