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Friday, December 14, 2018

US stock market will plunge further when Kushner is appointed as COS.

https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/trump-considering-son-in-law-jared-kushner-as-next-chief-of-staff-report-1962432

OMG! This is really bad news for the stock markets!

Nepotism is what Trump wants to put in place in his office.

Triyards - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/09/17 Amfrasers Triyards 0.315 0.43 Buy PB0.5x FY17
01/09/17 OCBC Triyards 0.315 0.47 Buy PB0.55x FY17
01/09/17 UOB Kay Hian Triyards 0.315 0.46 Buy PB0.46x FY17
03/10/17 UOB Kay Hian Triyards 0.395 0.27 Hold
03/15/17 OCBC Triyards 0.295 0.345 Hold PB
04/10/17 OCBC Triyards 0.25 0.33 Hold PB0.35x FY17/18
07/24/17 OCBC Triyards 0.149 0.19 Hold PB0.3x FY18

Trendlines - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/27/17 NRA Trendlines 0.143 0.225 Overweight RNAV (20% discount)
06/28/18 NRA Trendlines 0.119 0.225 Overweight

Top Glove - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/19/17 Aminvestment Top Glove 1.98 2.05 Hold Ringgit target $6.36, up from $6.22
06/20/18 Lim & Tan Top Glove 3.88 0 Hold
06/22/18 Kim Eng Top Glove 3.81 4.4 Buy
07/11/18 Kim Eng Top Glove 3.4 4.36 Hold Ringgit target $12.90, PER30x FY19

Stock calls for 14 December 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Capitaland 3.17 4 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners DBS 23.92 29.8 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.31 1.59 Buy
12/14/18 OCBC ESR-Reit 0.5 0.59 Buy DDM
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.189 0.23 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Genting 1.01 1.23 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.79 1.18 Buy
12/14/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.39 0.54 Add
12/14/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.405 0.39 Hold RNAV (55% discount)
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.415 0.65 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.405 0.56 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners ST Engineering 3.47 3.97 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners UOB 24.89 30.8 Buy
12/14/18 DMG & Partners Venture 14.89 19 Buy

A successful ICO, Basis, has collapsed!

https://cointelegraph.com/news/us-stablecoin-project-basis-raises-133-mln-from-major-vc-firms

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-slips-crypto-startup-basis-075600099.html

Basis had financial juggernaut investors but still collapsed.

Don't be deceived to participate in any ICO with big names on board.

Please read our posting first.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-financial-analysis-on-initial-coin.html

Top bitcoin proponent is crying foul!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/unabashed-bitcoin-bull-thomas-lee-145630108.html

This guy has lost a lot in crypto and is crying foul now because his price target of US$25,000 for 2018 will never be reached in 2018 and beyond.

When a crypto has structural design flaws and bad economics, it won't take off no matter how you try to portray it.

Bitcoin proponents have tried to use the principles of demand and supply to lure investors into buying bitcoins when they don't truly understand the economics.  When the prices crash, they know that demand-supply principles cannot work anymore.  Thus, these proponents move on to talk up the crypto by giving the false hope that financial institutions will be rushing into the crypto industry in the foreseeable future.

The true facts are people are abandoning cryptos as they get more educated about them and financial institutions also won't get involved in crypto investments except to offer trading platforms to earn the trading commissions.  Financial institutions prefer to develop their own private blockchains than to use the public blockchains.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-private-blockchain-will-cannibalize.html

Please read our crypto postings for your own education.  Crypto prices have been falling after our postings because our readers get more educated.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-financial-analysis-on-initial-coin.html


Thursday, December 13, 2018

Canada got played out by the US.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/exclusive--china-makes-first-big-us-soybean-purchase-since-trump-xi-truce-11026362

China has started to order US Soybeans again!

US-China trade tension has de-escalated after the Huawei CFO saga but China-Canada diplomatic relationship and trades have worsened.

Canada has never learnt from the historical bad records of the USA.  The US will betray and abandon anyone or any country after achieving its own interest.  This is how the Americans are like.

What did Canada gain from this? Nothing but troubles!

China has succeeded in reducing Singapore bunker sales.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/china-s-zhoushan-to-go-after-singapore-marine-hub-s-top-billing-11026980

https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/shipping/121318-singapores-nov-bunker-fuel-sales-fall-9-on-year-to-391-mil-mt

China has been trying hard to reduce Singapore bunker sales and it has finally succeeded.

Singapore November bunker sales dropped 9% year on year.

China has detained another Canadian!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/missing-canadians-raise-stakes-china-061754223.html

China is borrowing from the US's book (National Security).

National security is becoming a common theme right now in a lot of countries.  The US can impose punitive tariffs and sanctions based on national security.  The US also can get another country (Canada) to arrest a transit passenger because of national security issues.

I don't see why China cannot arrest 2 Canadians based on national security too.

Great job, China! At least you've learnt the American way in international politics.

Tiong Seng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/06/17 DBS Vickers Tiong Seng 0.39 0.45 Not Rated PER6.6x FY18 & PB0.6x

Tianjin Zhongxin - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/05/17 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.975 1.3 Add DCF FY17
08/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.05 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.13 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.055 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.03 1.5 Buy PER14.6x FY18
01/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.945 1.52 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.92 1.66 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/30/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.01 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
05/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.2 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.21 1.72 Buy
07/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.12 1.72 Buy
09/14/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.915 1.59 Buy
10/31/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.895 1.59 Buy PER14.1x FY18

Thai Beverage - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.855 1.07 Add Sum of parts, PER19.6x CY17
01/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.845 1.01 Buy
01/10/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.845 1.06 Overweight
02/02/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.87 1.01 Buy
02/15/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.88 1.07 Add Sum of parts
02/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.01 Buy
03/06/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.935 1.01 Buy
03/23/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.925 1.07 Add Sum of parts
03/31/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.935 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
03/31/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.935 1.1 Overweight
04/10/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
04/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/08/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
05/12/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
05/12/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.915 1.01 Buy
05/15/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.885 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/15/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
05/15/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.885 1 Overweight
06/13/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.88 1.01 Buy
06/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy
06/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.895 1.09 Buy
06/29/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.89 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
07/03/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.9 1.1 Buy Sum of parts, PER26x FY17
07/07/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
07/10/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.91 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
07/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
07/25/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
08/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.96 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
08/08/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.96 1.1 Overweight
08/10/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.07 Add Sum of parts
08/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.955 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
08/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.955 1.01 Buy
08/11/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
08/14/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.93 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
08/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.93 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.925 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/18/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.92 1.01 Buy
09/18/17 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 0.92 1.04 Outperform
09/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.07 Buy
09/20/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.91 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.9 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
10/13/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
10/16/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.12 Buy Sum of parts
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.98 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
11/24/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.07 Buy
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add Sum of parts, PER24.8x FY18
11/27/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.97 1.18 Buy Sum of parts, PER24.2x FY18
11/27/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.97 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add
12/04/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.96 1.18 Buy
12/06/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.955 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.955 1.18 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.15 Add Sum of parts
12/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
12/20/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.95 1 Hold Sum of parts, PER22.6x CY18
12/20/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.95 0.84 Underweight
01/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
01/11/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 Nomura Thai Beverage 0.92 1.13 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.92 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.92 1 Hold
02/01/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.92 1.06 Buy Sum of parts
02/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.91 0.99 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.84
02/15/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 0.98 Hold Sum of parts, PER21.8x CY18
02/19/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.85 1.02 Buy Sum of parts
02/22/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.835 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
03/05/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.825 0.95 Buy
03/19/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.815 1.05 Buy
03/26/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.805 1.02 Buy
04/16/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.8 1.05 Buy
05/10/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.83 1.06 Buy Sum of parts
05/16/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.8 1.02 Buy
05/17/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.795 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.795 0.98 Add Sum of parts
05/17/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.795 0.95 Buy
06/11/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.77 0.98 Add
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.77 1.06 Buy
06/22/18 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.77 0.73 Underweight
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.7 0.99 Buy
07/12/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.725 1.02 Buy Sum of parts
07/25/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.74 0.94 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.7 0.94 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.7 0.64 Underweight
08/16/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Add Sum of parts
08/16/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.68 0.89 Buy
08/20/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.645 0.62 Reduce Sum of parts
09/04/18 Goldman Sachs Thai Beverage 0.645 0.74 Buy Cut from $0.94
09/04/18 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.645 0.64 Underweight
09/14/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.62 0.88 Add
09/18/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.65 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
09/20/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.65 0.94 Buy
09/21/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.67 0.88 Buy
10/02/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.665 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
10/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.71 0.84 Buy Sum of parts
10/26/18 Exotix Capital Thai Beverage 0.63 0.9 Buy
11/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.635 0.84 Buy
11/05/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.655 0.94 Buy
11/13/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.65 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.67 0.88 Add Sum of parts
11/27/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.67 0.87 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.67 0.85 Buy
11/28/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.63 0.57 Reduce Sum of parts
11/28/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.63 0.8 Buy Sum of parts
11/28/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.63 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
11/28/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.63 0.73 Add Sum of parts, PER17x
12/05/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.625 0.75 Buy Sum of parts

Stock calls for 13 December 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/13/18 OCBC First Reit 1.04 1.05 Buy
12/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.61 3.41 Buy

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Telechoice - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/10/17 NRA Telechoice 0.27 0.34 Overweight PER15.56x FY17
08/15/17 NRA Telechoice 0.25 0.34 Overweight PER16.5x FY20

Tee Land - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/20/17 NRA Tee Land 0.195 0.29 Overweight
03/09/18 NRA Tee Land 0.21 0.28 Overweight Sum of parts

Talkmed - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/23/17 CIMB Talkmed 1.385 1.82 Add DCF
02/28/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 1.43 2.07 Buy DCF, PER32x FY17
03/06/17 CIMB Talkmed 1.49 1.83 Add
04/26/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 1.775 2.07 Buy DCF, PER30x FY18
04/27/17 CIMB Talkmed 1.73 1.83 Hold DCF
06/29/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.645 0.73 Buy Ex-bonus 1 for 1
10/02/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.585 0.69 Buy
11/08/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.705 0.72 Neutral PER29x FY18
01/08/18 CIMB Talkmed 0.69 0.68 Hold DCF
02/21/18 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.675 0.72 Neutral DCF
04/27/18 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.69 0.7 Neutral DCF, PER29x FY18
11/09/18 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.62 0.64 Neutral

Stock calls for 12 December 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/12/18 Kim Eng Japfa 0.735 0.99 Buy Sum of parts
12/12/18 UOB Kay Hian Sunningdale 1.37 1.5 Hold PER10.6x FY19, Buy @ $1.25
12/12/18 Lim & Tan Sunningdale 1.37 0 Buy

A public listed company has dumped blockchain investment.

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/accrelist-calls-off-1m-deal-to-acquire-stake-in-blockchain-firm

This is a wise move for Accrelist because blockchain is an overhyped technology.

The more you know and learn about public blockchain, the more you will avoid it.

Crypto prices have fallen further after we have posted our crypto & ICO analyses.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-financial-analysis-on-initial-coin.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-private-blockchain-will-cannibalize.html

No need to squabble over the new flight path at Seletar.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/johor-singapore-airspace-conflict-why-020011262.html

We just need to refer this to ICAO for the safety assessment.  If ICAO says it's safe, it is safe and Malaysia cannot refute the safety concerns over the new flight path at Seletar.

That's it! No need to debate anymore. If anybody wants to debate, please debate at the ICAO hearing. I believe ICAO will stand by Singapore's assessment.  Why? This is because Malaysia doesn't even know where its MH370 is now.