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Thursday, January 25, 2018

Lian Beng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/23/17 NRA Lian Beng 0.705 1.08 Not Rated RNAV (11.6% discount)
12/06/17 DBS Vickers Lian Beng 0.715 0.85 Not Rated RNAV (50% discount)

KSH - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/05/16 Lim & Tan KSH 0.5 0 Buy
02/10/16 OCBC KSH 0.51 0.61 Buy 1-for-10 Bonus
05/31/16 Lim & Tan KSH 0.55 0 Buy
06/02/16 OCBC KSH 0.55 0.61 Buy
06/13/16 Lim & Tan KSH 0.55 0.7 Buy
06/13/16 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.55 0.69 Buy PB0.93x
08/11/16 Lim & Tan KSH 0.56 0 Buy
08/11/16 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.56 0.69 Buy PB0.93x
11/09/16 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.55 0.69 Buy PB0.93x
02/10/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.54 0.69 Buy PB0.93x
02/13/17 OCBC KSH 0.54 0.61 Buy
03/08/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.54 0.69 Buy
04/11/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.775 1.18 Buy RNAV (50% discount)
04/12/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.78 0 Buy
05/30/17 OCBC KSH 0.935 0.86 Hold
05/31/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.915 1.12 Buy Sum of parts
08/14/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.73 0 Hold
09/27/17 OCBC KSH 0.74 0.69 Hold
10/06/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.785 0 Buy
11/06/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.89 0.87 Hold Sum of parts
11/13/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.86 0 Hold
11/15/17 OCBC KSH 0.865 0.79 Hold

Stock calls for 24 January 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/24/18 CIMB AEM 4.16 5.97 Add PER10x CY19
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Avi-Tech 0.48 0.59 Buy
01/24/18 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 2.14 Neutral DDM, PB1.06x
01/24/18 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 2.43 Buy DDM
01/24/18 Credit Suisse Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 2.26 Neutral
01/24/18 OCBC Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 2.49 Buy
01/24/18 CIMB Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 2.41 Add DDM
01/24/18 Lim & Tan Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 0 Buy
01/24/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.3 2.48 Buy
01/24/18 CIMB Frasers Commercial Trust 1.52 1.55 Hold DDM
01/24/18 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.46 1.47 Neutral DDM
01/24/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.58 0.6 Buy DDM
01/24/18 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.32 1.19 Hold
01/24/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.32 1.43 Buy DDM
01/24/18 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.32 0.97 Underperform
01/24/18 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.32 1.34 Hold DDM
01/24/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.32 1.41 Buy DCF
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.32 1.06 Sell
01/24/18 UOB Kay Hian M1 1.87 1.84 Hold DCF, Buy @ $1.7
01/24/18 DMG & Partners M1 1.87 1.95 Neutral DCF
01/24/18 OCBC M1 1.87 1.7 Hold
01/24/18 DBS Vickers M1 1.87 1.49 Fully Valued
01/24/18 OCBC Mapletree Industrial 2.07 2.06 Hold
01/24/18 UOB Kay Hian Mapletree Industrial 2.07 1.88 Hold DDM
01/24/18 DBS Vickers Mapletree Industrial 2.07 2.15 Buy
01/24/18 CIMB Mapletree Logistics 1.38 1.43 Add DDM
01/24/18 Credit Suisse Mapletree Logistics 1.38 1.18 Neutral
01/24/18 OCBC Mapletree Logistics 1.38 1.48 Buy
01/24/18 DBS Vickers Mapletree Logistics 1.38 1.45 Buy
01/24/18 CLSA Memtech 1.28 2 Buy PEG0.45x, PER15x CY18
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.098 0.17 Buy
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.605 0.79 Buy
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Venture 23.9 24.1 Buy

Wednesday, January 24, 2018

What's wrong with Singapore's mindset nowadays?

Instead of telling the recalcitrant Japanese government not to deceive its people but to admit and acknowledge the past atrocities in WW2, Singapore told the world to stop dwelling on it.  There can never be trust between Japan and its neighbours as long as Japan is insincere about its apology especially when millions were killed by the Japanese.

Why was SG protecting and defending the perpetrator, Japan, instead of being empathetic towards other Asian countries?  The reason is very simple:  Japan is USA's ally!

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/12/canada-to-proclaim-13-december-as.html

Why couldn't SG act like Canada?

Next, the whole world was silent about the Rohingya crisis for a reason but our MP said that there was not enough awareness about the Rohingya crisis in SG.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/singapore-has-no-future-when-weve.html

If the Rohingya crisis becomes a hot international issue, it will become harder for Rohingya to integrate into the Myanmar society.  Why?

Majorities of the Myanmar people and Rohingya do not know the acrimonious history anymore especially the Rohingya because the UK abandoned the Rohingya after using them.  If the world continues to blame Myanmar, the Myanmar historians will come out in defence to publicize the atrocities committed by the Rohingya in the past.  Once the new generation learns about the harsh history, will the Rohingya be welcome in Myanmar?  This new awareness will also make the UK looks bad on the international arena.  Therefore, it is a lose-lose situation if the Rohingya issue becomes a hot international issue.

The western media always put the blame of the Rohingya crisis on the Myanmar government without getting to the core of the issue.  The historical feud was caused by the British but nothing was mentioned in any publication.

Like I said before, the historical feud is very difficult to resolve.  This is the same when it comes to the Diaoyu Island for China & Japan.  The USA planted this seed of hatred between Japan & China after WW2 ended.  Therefore, it's best that SG doesn't get involved in meddling the historical feud between any 2 nations.


Tuesday, January 23, 2018

Kimly - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/10/17 Lim & Tan Kimly 0.25 0 Subscribe IPO
03/13/17 Amfrasers Kimly 0.25 0 Do not subscribe No competitive advantage
05/17/17 UOB Kay Hian Kimly 0.44 0.48 Hold DCF
08/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Kimly 0.375 0.46 Buy DCF
12/07/17 UOB Kay Hian Kimly 0.355 0.45 Buy DCF, PER22.8x FY18

Kim Heng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/25/16 OCBC Kim Heng 0.075 0.096 Hold PB0.8x FY16
05/03/16 OCBC Kim Heng 0.09 0.093 Hold PB0.8x FY16
08/17/16 OCBC Kim Heng 0.07 0.089 Hold PB0.8x FY16/17
11/30/16 OCBC Kim Heng 0.07 0.09 Hold
03/03/17 OCBC Kim Heng 0.075 0.089 Hold PB0.8x FY17

Stock calls for 23 January 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/23/18 phillip First Reit 1.42 1.32 Neutral DDM
01/23/18 OCBC Frasers Commercial Trust 1.55 1.51 Hold
01/23/18 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.55 1.55 Neutral
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 8.29 10.3 Buy Sum of parts, PB1.3x FY18
01/23/18 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.47 1.51 Hold
01/23/18 Lim & Tan Keppel DC Reit 1.47 0 Hold
01/23/18 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.47 1.44 Hold
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 1.47 1.6 Buy DCF
01/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Infrastructure 0.585 0.61 Buy
01/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Mapletree Logistics 1.35 1.41 Hold DDM
01/23/18 OCBC Mapletree Logistics 1.35 1.35 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Mermaid Maritime 0.155 0.14 Hold
01/23/18 DBS Vickers PACC Offshore 0.43 0.51 Buy PB1x
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Industries 3.38 4.5 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x
01/23/18 UBS Sembcorp Marine 2.39 3.06 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.39 3.1 Buy PB2.4x FY18
01/23/18 Nomura Thai Beverage 0.92 1.13 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.92 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.92 1 Hold

South Korea has removed anonymity in cryptocurrency.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/south-korea-ban-cryptocurrency-traders-using-anonymous-bank-020713849--sector.html

Bitcoin prices are falling again because of the removal of anonymity in cryptocurrency prior to the G20 summit.

We did mention that the removal of anonymity would cause the bitcoin prices to fall.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/cryptocurrencies-have-crashed-but-have.html

Singapore has no future when we've ignorant MP in the parliament.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/not-enough-awareness-in-singapore-about-rohingya-crisis-louis-ng-9885166

There is a reason why people are silent about the Rohingya crisis.  Only ignorant people will make the most noise because these ignorant people do not understand historical feud.

We did state this previously in our posting below.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/the-world-is-silent-on-rohingya-because.html

If there is enough awareness, it will make the UK look so bad.  Does SG want to badmouth the UK publicly? I don't think so.


Monday, January 22, 2018

China has named the USA as the real threat to global trade!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/china-says-united-states-real-threat-global-trade-090631527.html

We did state that the USA was the real threat previously in our posting below.

We're glad that China has labelled the USA as the real threat publicly now.  We really need to stand up against the USA or else there won't be any peace in Asia.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/09/the-real-threat-to-global-trade.html

It doesn't pay to be a samaritan in Singapore.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/shanmugam-kidnap-scares-beware-spreading-untrue-stories-042558898.html

These 2 incidents show that being a Samaritan is not encouraged in Singapore.  Please think twice when you try to do a good deed in Singapore because people will call POLICE to report you for being a Samaritan.

When you see someone gets drenched in the rain, do not offer your kind gesture or you will be reported to the police for harbouring malicious intention.  Welcome to this new society now!

Keppel T&T - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/20/16 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.41 1.74 Add Sum of parts (20% discount)
04/15/16 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.4 1.72 Add Sum of parts (20% discount)
07/21/16 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.42 1.83 Add Sum of parts (20% discount)
09/21/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.685 2.28 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount)
10/03/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.835 2.28 Buy
10/20/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.8 2.36 Buy PER30x
10/21/16 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.77 1.77 Hold Sum of parts (20% discount)
11/21/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.715 2.36 Buy
12/05/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.66 2.36 Buy
12/06/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.68 2.53 Buy Sum of parts (10% discount)
01/03/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.715 2.53 Buy
01/26/17 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.765 1.7 Hold Sum of parts (20% discount)
01/26/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.765 2.51 Buy Sum of parts
03/21/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.75 2.51 Buy
04/07/17 Lim & Tan Keppel T&T 1.765 0 Buy
04/19/17 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.755 1.73 Hold Sum of parts (20% discount)
04/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.755 2.51 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.745 2.51 Buy Sum of parts
09/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.5 1.9 Buy Sum of parts
10/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.49 1.9 Buy Sum of parts

Keppel Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/05/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 0.935 1.22 Buy DDM
01/08/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 0.92 1.12 Buy DCF
01/14/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 0.91 0.88 Hold Yield 7.25%
01/18/16 Lim & Tan Keppel Reit 0.895 0 Hold
01/19/16 CIMB Keppel Reit 0.88 1.08 Add DDM
01/19/16 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 0.88 0.95 Neutral
01/19/16 DIR Keppel Reit 0.88 0.9 Hold DDM
01/19/16 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 0.88 0.83 Neutral DDM
01/20/16 Jefferies Keppel Reit 0.9 1.25 Buy
01/26/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 0.88 1 Hold
02/25/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 0.92 1 Hold
02/25/16 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 0.92 0.85 Underweight
02/29/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 0.935 1.22 Buy DDM
03/07/16 CIMB Keppel Reit 0.975 1.08 Add
03/14/16 DIR Keppel Reit 0.99 0.88 Underperform DDM
03/17/16 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 0.995 0.83 Neutral DDM
03/24/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 0.99 1 Hold
03/28/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1 1.22 Buy
04/05/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 0.975 1 Hold
04/13/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1 0.97 Hold Yield 6.75%
04/15/16 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.005 1.08 Add DDM
04/15/16 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.005 0.95 Neutral
04/15/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.005 1.11 Buy DCF
04/15/16 DIR Keppel Reit 1.005 0.88 Underperform DDM
04/15/16 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.005 0.83 Neutral DDM
04/15/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.005 1.22 Buy
04/18/16 Lim & Tan Keppel Reit 1.01 0 Hold
05/03/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.05 1.22 Buy
05/17/16 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.04 1.08 Add
05/17/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.04 1 Hold
05/17/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.04 0.97 Hold
06/07/16 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.05 0.95 Neutral
06/23/16 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 1.045 0.95 Underweight
06/23/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.045 0.97 Hold
07/04/16 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.05 0.83 Neutral
07/08/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.07 1.22 Buy
07/18/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.075 1.31 Buy DDM
07/19/16 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.095 1 Neutral
07/19/16 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 1.095 1 Underweight
07/20/16 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.08 1.14 Add
07/20/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.08 1.26 Buy
07/20/16 DIR Keppel Reit 1.08 0.92 Underperform DDM
07/20/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.08 1.05 Hold Yield 6.25%
07/20/16 Lim & Tan Keppel Reit 1.08 0 Hold
07/26/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.07 1 Hold
08/01/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.065 1.31 Buy
08/16/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.06 1.26 Buy
09/05/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.085 1.26 Buy
09/07/16 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.135 1 Neutral
09/09/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.125 1.21 Buy
10/14/16 DIR Keppel Reit 1.115 0.92 Underperform
10/19/16 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.115 1.14 Hold DDM
10/19/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.115 1.23 Buy DCF
10/19/16 DIR Keppel Reit 1.115 0.95 Underperform DDM
10/19/16 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 1.115 1.2 Overweight
10/19/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.115 1.21 Buy Yield 5.25%
10/19/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.115 1.31 Buy DDM
11/08/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.075 1.23 Buy
11/16/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.025 1 Hold
11/16/16 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 1.025 1.15 Overweight
11/18/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.065 1.21 Buy
12/05/16 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.05 0.99 Neutral
12/06/16 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.06 1.21 Buy
12/07/16 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.05 1 Hold
12/09/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.05 1.21 Buy
12/12/16 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 1.055 1.15 Overweight
01/09/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.05 1.23 Buy DCF
01/09/17 Morgan Stanley Keppel Reit 1.05 0.9 Underweight
01/11/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.055 1.21 Buy
01/25/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.045 1.03 Hold DDM
01/25/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.045 0.97 Neutral
01/25/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.045 0.95 Underperform DDM
01/25/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.045 0.99 Neutral DDM
01/25/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.045 1.18 Buy
01/25/17 Religare Keppel Reit 1.045 1.02 Hold
01/25/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.045 1.21 Buy DDM
02/07/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.19 0.92 Underperform DDM
02/09/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.02 1 Neutral
02/17/17 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 1.015 1.15 Overweight
02/28/17 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.025 1 Hold
03/07/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.02 1.21 Buy
03/10/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.01 0.99 Neutral
03/17/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.015 1.23 Buy
04/07/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.055 0.99 Neutral DDM
04/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.055 1.21 Buy
04/18/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.055 0.92 Underperform DDM
04/18/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.055 1.18 Buy Yield 5.25%
04/20/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.07 1.09 Hold DDM
04/21/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.05 0.94 Underperform DDM
05/18/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.065 1.23 Buy
05/18/17 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.065 1.1 Hold
05/25/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.095 1.3 Buy
06/12/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.14 1.23 Buy
06/22/17 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.145 1.1 Hold
06/22/17 OCBC Keppel Reit 1.145 1.23 Buy
07/03/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.145 0.98 Underperform DDM
07/11/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.15 1.18 Buy
07/12/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.16 0.99 Neutral
07/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.17 1.3 Buy DDM
07/19/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.17 1.05 Neutral DDM
07/19/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.17 0.97 Underperform
07/19/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.17 1.16 Hold DDM
07/19/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.17 1.18 Hold
07/19/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.17 1.23 Buy DCF
08/01/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.16 1.23 Buy
09/21/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.175 1.05 Neutral
09/25/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.165 1.18 Hold
10/19/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.195 1.05 Neutral
10/19/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.195 1.28 Buy DCF
10/19/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.195 0.98 Underperform DDM
10/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.195 1.3 Buy DDM
10/19/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.195 1.2 Hold DDM
11/03/17 Morgan Stanley Keppel Reit 1.175 0.95 Underweight Target Yield 6.5%
11/28/17 Macquarie Keppel Reit 1.25 1.3 Outperform
12/01/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.26 1.43 Buy
12/18/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.25 1.39 Buy
12/18/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.25 1.19 Hold Target yield 5.25%, Up from $1.16
01/04/18 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.27 1.25 Hold
01/05/18 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.27 1.05 Neutral

Keppel KBS - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/15/18 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.905 0.95 Buy DCF

Stock calls for 22 January 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/22/18 DMG & Partners Cache Logistics 0.88 0.96 Buy DDM
01/22/18 phillip Cache Logistics 0.88 0.92 Accumulate DDM
01/22/18 DBS Vickers Cache Logistics 0.88 0.9 Hold
01/22/18 OCBC Cache Logistics 0.88 0.81 Hold
01/22/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.04 1.5 Add PER9.8x CY19
01/22/18 OCBC Keppel Corp 8.25 9.32 Buy
01/22/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.3 2.37 Hold PB2x FY18
01/22/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.98 9 Buy PER24x FY19
01/22/18 Kim Eng SGX 7.98 8.82 Buy PER23x FY19
01/22/18 DBS Vickers SGX 7.98 8.9 Buy DDM, PER21x FY19
01/22/18 OCBC SGX 7.98 8.16 Hold PER24x FY18
01/22/18 CIMB SGX 7.98 8.5 Add PER24x FY19
01/22/18 phillip SGX 7.98 9 Accumulate DCF
01/22/18 Lim & Tan ST Engineering 3.32 0 Buy

Can China save Noble Group after the failure of Abu Dhabi?

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/chinese-conglomerate-interested-buying-noble-group

We're unsure whether this Chinese conglomerate will buy Noble Group because the commodity industry is still in a doldrum.  Therefore, the Chinese will definitely demand a heavy discount for the takeover.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/nobles-future-is-getting-from-bad-to.html

Even the previous white knight, Goldilocks, cannot save Noble Group.  Is Goldilocks willing to take a substantial haircut to sell Noble Group to the Chinese conglomerate?

https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/07/noble-group-update.html

Saturday, January 20, 2018

The US government has shut down on Friday!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/ap-explains-why-government-close-shutdown-233759096--politics.html

The federal government has no money to pay its government employees anymore.  Therefore, it is shutting down its offices, leaving the essential services still operating with limited manpower.

On the other hand, Trump is reducing the tax revenues despite running out of money to please his supporters.  Trump's tax policies will add USD$1.5T to the national debt within a decade.

When a government has no money from its coffer to pay its employees, do you think it has the money to repay its national debts?  There is no way the USA is able to repay its national debt of more than USD$20T but no media will report this publicly.  The day of reckoning will come as it is just a matter of time.

Instead of focusing on increasing its government coffer, the US government is diverting the attention away from its debt problem to China by getting the media to do fearmongering and smearing campaign against China, be it militarily or economically.  China's crash story has been spinning around for more than a decade but China has not collapsed yet and its economic growth has been around 7% insofar.

With an ever-increasing colossal debt and economic growth of around 3%, the USA economic health is definitely declining.  There will come a time when the death cross appears on the chart.


Baltic dry index -1125

Today, Friday, January 19 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 14 points, reaching 1125 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean

US rig count - 936

HOUSTON (AP) - The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. decreased by three this week to 936.
That exceeds the 694 rigs that were active this time a year ago.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported on Friday that 747 rigs were drilling for oil and 189 for natural gas this week.
Among oil- and gas-producing states, Wyoming gained three rigs, West Virginia increased by two and Louisiana, New Mexico, Pennsylvania and Texas each gained one.
Colorado and Ohio each lost four rigs and Alaska, North Dakota and Utah each decreased by one.
Arkansas, California and Oklahoma were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.

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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine, Cosco


Friday, January 19, 2018

Keppel Infrastructure - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/19/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.475 0.55 Hold
04/14/16 Credit Suisse Keppel Infrastructure 0.505 0.57 Outperform
04/14/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.505 0.56 Buy
04/14/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Infrastructure 0.505 0.55 Hold DCF, Buy @ $0.48
07/19/16 Credit Suisse Keppel Infrastructure 0.51 0.57 Outperform
10/18/16 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.505 0.56 Buy DCF
10/18/16 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Infrastructure 0.505 0.55 Hold DCF
01/24/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.495 0.56 Buy DCF
01/24/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Infrastructure 0.495 0.54 Hold Buy below $0.475
04/07/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Infrastructure 0.525 0.57 Outperform
04/18/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.53 0.56 Buy DCF
07/19/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Infrastructure 0.565 0.57 Neutral
07/19/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.565 0.6 Buy DDM
10/17/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.55 0.6 Buy DDM