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Tuesday, May 19, 2020

Keppel DC Reit - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/08/19AmfrasersKeppel DC Reit1.471.62BuyDDM
04/09/19CIMBKeppel DC Reit1.481.54AddDDM
04/16/19OCBCKeppel DC Reit1.491.64Buy
04/16/19Lim & TanKeppel DC Reit1.490Hold
04/18/19PhillipKeppel DC Reit1.491.59AccumulateDDM, PB1.37x FY19
05/02/19AmfrasersKeppel DC Reit1.511.62Buy
06/19/19PhillipKeppel DC Reit1.641.59Accumulate
07/10/19CIMBKeppel DC Reit1.671.54Add
07/17/19OCBCKeppel DC Reit1.711.93Buy
07/17/19DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit1.711.9BuyDCF
07/18/19PhillipKeppel DC Reit1.731.71HoldDDM
07/18/19CIMBKeppel DC Reit1.731.67HoldDDM
07/23/19AmfrasersKeppel DC Reit1.751.71Neutral
07/26/19OCBCKeppel DC Reit1.711.93Hold
08/26/19PhillipKeppel DC Reit1.741.71Neutral
09/17/19OCBCKeppel DC Reit1.82.08BuyDDM
09/17/19AmfrasersKeppel DC Reit1.81.95Outperform
09/18/19CIMBKeppel DC Reit1.931.82HoldDDM
09/19/19PhillipKeppel DC Reit1.972AccumulateDDM
10/08/19DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit1.92.2BuyDCF
10/16/19CIMBKeppel DC Reit1.991.88HoldDDM
10/16/19PhillipKeppel DC Reit1.992.06AccumulateDDM
10/16/19Lim & TanKeppel DC Reit1.990Hold
10/17/19AmfrasersKeppel DC Reit22.11Outperform
10/17/19OCBCKeppel DC Reit22.08Hold
11/25/19PhillipKeppel DC Reit2.012.06Accumulate
12/18/19DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit1.972.23BuyDCF
01/22/20CIMBKeppel DC Reit2.252.03HoldDDM
01/23/20DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit2.222.4BuyDCF
02/04/20DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit2.272.4Buy
02/25/20DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit2.52.55HoldDCF
03/02/20DBS VickersKeppel DC Reit2.322.55HoldDCF
03/11/20AmfrasersKeppel DC Reit2.382.19Neutral
03/13/20PhillipKeppel DC Reit2.142.06Accumulate
03/19/20CIMBKeppel DC Reit1.862.17Add
04/22/20CIMBKeppel DC Reit2.442.17Hold
04/24/20PhillipKeppel DC Reit2.452.2HoldDDM

Keppel Corp - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/15/19CIMBKeppel Corp6.628.41AddSum of parts
04/22/19OCBCKeppel Corp6.747.83Buy
04/22/19Lim & TanKeppel Corp6.740Hold
05/08/19CIMBKeppel Corp6.728.41AddSum of parts
06/10/19DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp6.057.33BuySum of parts, Cut from $7.92
06/21/19DBS VickersKeppel Corp6.579Buy
06/28/19CIMBKeppel Corp6.678.41AddSum of parts
07/03/19DBS VickersKeppel Corp6.779.2Buy
07/03/19OCBCKeppel Corp6.777.83Buy
07/19/19DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp6.597.3BuySum of parts
07/19/19CIMBKeppel Corp6.598.41AddSum of parts
07/19/19UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp6.597.61BuySum of parts
07/19/19Lim & TanKeppel Corp6.590Hold
07/22/19AmfrasersKeppel Corp6.577.43NeutralSum of parts
07/22/19DBS VickersKeppel Corp6.578.5BuySum of parts
08/22/19Lim & TanKeppel Corp5.90Buy
08/26/19UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp5.887.61BuySum of parts
09/24/19Lim & TanKeppel Corp6.040Buy
09/30/19CIMBKeppel Corp5.988.41AddSum of parts
10/01/19UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp5.937.61BuySum of parts
10/08/19CIMBKeppel Corp5.918.41Add
10/08/19DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp5.917.3Buy
10/09/19OCBCKeppel Corp5.937.58Buy
10/09/19DBS VickersKeppel Corp5.938.5Buy
10/17/19MacquarieKeppel Corp5.987.5OutperformSum of parts
10/18/19CIMBKeppel Corp5.968.36AddSum of parts
10/18/19DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp5.967.18BuySum of parts (20% disc)
10/18/19Lim & TanKeppel Corp5.960Hold
10/18/19DBS VickersKeppel Corp5.967.5BuySum of parts, PB1.2x FY19
10/21/19AmfrasersKeppel Corp5.847.44OverweightSum of parts
10/21/19OCBCKeppel Corp5.847.58Buy
10/22/19DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp5.847.8BuySum of parts (13% disc)
11/12/19UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp6.867.61Buy
12/17/19Lim & TanKeppel Corp6.720Buy
12/19/19DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp6.757.8Buy
01/08/20CIMBKeppel Corp6.847.76Add
01/08/20DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp6.847.8BuySum of parts
01/20/20UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp6.847.61Buy
01/24/20UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp6.747.75BuySum of parts
01/28/20DBS VickersKeppel Corp6.757.5BuySum of parts
03/11/20DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp5.77.6BuySum of parts
03/26/20MacquarieKeppel Corp5.47OutperformSum of parts
04/07/20DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp5.517.6Buy
04/23/20CIMBKeppel Corp5.77.48AddSum of parts
04/29/20HSBCKeppel Corp6.036.74BuyCut from $7.80
04/30/20DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp5.977.4BuySum of parts
04/30/20UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp5.977.15BuySum of parts
04/30/20Lim & TanKeppel Corp5.970Hold
04/30/20DBS VickersKeppel Corp5.976.8BuySum of parts

Jumbo - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/16/19DBS VickersJumbo0.4050.51BuyPER23x FY19
05/16/19UOB Kay HianJumbo0.4050.41HoldPER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.32
05/16/19CIMBJumbo0.4050.52AddPER21x FY20
06/21/19DMG & PartnersJumbo0.380.47BuyDCF, PER23x FY19
08/07/19DBS VickersJumbo0.380.47BuyPER23x FY20
08/08/19DMG & PartnersJumbo0.3750.47BuyDCF
08/08/19UOB Kay HianJumbo0.3750.37Hold
08/27/19CIMBJumbo0.370.47Add
09/26/19UOB Kay HianJumbo0.380.37HoldBuy @ $0.33
10/01/19DBS VickersJumbo0.3750.47Buy
11/27/19DBS VickersJumbo0.370.47BuyPER23x FY20
11/27/19CIMBJumbo0.370.47Add
11/28/19UOB Kay HianJumbo0.3750.44BuyPER20.3x FY20
12/03/19DMG & PartnersJumbo0.370.44BuyDCF
01/14/20DBS VickersJumbo0.3850.47Buy
02/07/20DBS VickersJumbo0.3350.38BuyPER23x FY20
02/13/20UOB Kay HianJumbo0.3350.32HoldPER21x FY20, Buy @ $0.29
03/25/20DBS VickersJumbo0.1980.18HoldPER18x FY20/21
03/26/20DMG & PartnersJumbo0.210.2NeutralDCF
03/26/20CIMBJumbo0.210.218Hold
04/22/20DBS VickersJumbo0.2450.18Hold
04/23/20UOB Kay HianJumbo0.2450.23HoldBuy @ $0.20
05/18/20DMG & PartnersJumbo0.250.19SellDCF
05/18/20DBS VickersJumbo0.250.21Fully ValuedPER18x FY21
05/18/20CIMBJumbo0.250.2Reduce

Stock calls for 19 May 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/19/20UOB Kay HianPropnex0.50.65Buy
05/19/20CIMBPropnex0.50.625Add
05/19/20DBS VickersSembcorp Industries1.551.7HoldSum of parts, PB0.5x
05/19/20Lim & TanSembcorp Industries1.550Hold
05/19/20UOB Kay HianSembcorp Industries1.551.7HoldBuy @ $1.50
05/19/20CIMBSembcorp Industries1.551.76Hold
05/19/20DBS VickersSheng Siong1.561.66BuyPER25x FY21
05/19/20Lim & TanUOL6.670Buy
05/19/20CIMBUOL6.677.25Add

Monday, May 18, 2020

JEP - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
10/21/19PhillipJEP0.1620.2BuyPER10x FY19
03/04/20PhillipJEP0.2050.25BuyPER14x FY20

Jardine Matheson - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/10/20CIMBJardine Matheson50.1252.53HoldCut from $61.66

Jardine C&C - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/02/19DBS VickersJardine C&C35.5239.1BuySum of parts (16% discount)

Stock calls for 18 May 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/18/20DBS VickersCenturion0.3750.42HoldDCF
05/18/20Kim EngComfortdelgro1.461.99BuyDCF
05/18/20AmfrasersEC World Reit0.6750.73outperform
05/18/20UOB Kay HianJapfa0.6350.98BuySum of parts
05/18/20DBS VickersJapfa0.6350.86BuySum of parts, PER10x FY21
05/18/20DMG & PartnersJumbo0.250.19SellDCF
05/18/20DBS VickersJumbo0.250.21Fully ValuedPER18x FY21
05/18/20CIMBJumbo0.250.2Reduce
05/18/20UOB Kay HianSIA3.94.34Buy
05/18/20DBS VickersSilverlake0.2450.38BuyPER20x
05/18/20CIMBSingtel2.663.4Add
05/18/20DMG & PartnersST Engineering3.273.9BuySum of parts
05/18/20UOB Kay HianST Engineering3.273.5HoldBuy @ $3-3.10
05/18/20DBS VickersST Engineering3.273.4HoldSum of parts
05/18/20AmfrasersSunpower0.430.91BuySum of parts
05/18/20DBS VickersSunpower0.430.49Hold
05/18/20PhillipThai Beverage0.670.82BuyPER18x FY20
05/18/20DMG & PartnersThai Beverage0.670.72NeutralSum of parts
05/18/20UOB Kay HianThai Beverage0.670.78Buy
05/18/20CIMBThai Beverage0.670.7HoldSum of parts

Singapore Nodx in April grew 9.7%.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/pharma-shipments-lift-singapore-exports-021704091.html
Year on year changes (YOY):
April 2020: 9.7%
March 2020: 17.6%
February 2020: 3% (Revised to 3.1%)
January 2020: - 3.3%
December 2019: 2.4%
November 2019: - 5.9%
October 2019: - 12.3%
September 2019: -8.1%
August 2019: - 8.9%
July 2019: -11.2%
June 2019: -17.3%
May 2019: -15.9%
April 2019: -10%
March 2019: -11.7%
February 2019: 4.9%
January 2019: -10.1%
December 2018: -8.5%
November 2018: -2.6%
October 2018: 8.3%
September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

Saturday, May 16, 2020

Baltic dry index - 393

Today, Thursday, May 14 2020, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 5 points, reaching 393 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 339


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

The US economy will be in deep troubles if it continues to inject free monies. - Part 2

https://www.malaymail.com/news/world/2020/05/16/us-house-passes-us3t-covid-19-aid-bill-opposed-by-trump/1866674

The US house has just added another US$3T bill which will further increase its total debts.  The US has to print more monies to fund all these stimulative bills.

Let's recap:

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/04/the-us-economy-will-be-in-deep-troubles.html

1. Reduce interest rate to Zero.
2. Implement a US$2.2T pandemic relief program.
3. Implement a US$2T infrastructure bill.
4. Implement a US$2.3T funding program.
5. Implement a US$484B coronavirus bill.
6. Implement a US$3T pandemic bill.

All these plans have totalled US$9.984T insofar and the debts will continue to mount in the future.  Furthermore, the US will also continue to print more monies to supersede its rejected negative rates policy.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/05/what-will-us-fed-do-after-rejecting.html

Friday, May 15, 2020

What will the US FED do after rejecting negative interest rates policy?

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/powell-rejects-using-negative-rates-as-a-policy-tool-2020-05-13

Since the US Fed controls the money supply in the US, it will print excessive monies to flood the US monetary system to supersede the negative rates policy.

I do not see any other way for the US except to print monies since it has rejected negative rates policy.  Excessive monetary printing will cause massive USD devaluation.

The consequence of this excessive printing will be hyperinflation which worries me.  I did raise this concern in March 2020.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/whats-next-after-covid-19-outbreak.html

High inflation without any economic growth will cause stagflation which is very difficult to resolve for any brilliant economist.  The US farmers have already started to destroy their own crops, kill their own animals, and pour away their milk which will affect the supplies of food and push up the prices after the lockdown.  Consequently, the US Fed will be pouring fuel at the current simmering fire with its impending monetary printing action.

Japfa - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/02/19Kim EngJapfa0.6651.05Buy
05/03/19UOB Kay HianJapfa0.6050.73BuySum of parts
05/03/19DBS VickersJapfa0.6050.61HoldSum of parts (10% discount), PER14x FY19
05/27/19Kim EngJapfa0.5750.93BuySum of parts
07/31/19UOB Kay HianJapfa0.5150.48HoldSum of parts, Buy @ $0.42
08/01/19Kim EngJapfa0.510.73BuySum of parts
08/05/19DBS VickersJapfa0.50.53HoldSum of parts (10% discount), PER12.5x FY19
09/13/19Kim EngJapfa0.4850.73BuySum of parts
11/01/19UOB Kay HianJapfa0.490.5HoldSum of parts, Buy @ $0.44
11/01/19DBS VickersJapfa0.490.53Hold
11/01/19CIMBJapfa0.490.56Add
11/20/19CIMBJapfa0.610.7AddPER12x FY21
01/20/20UOB Kay HianJapfa0.640.8Buy
01/31/20CIMBJapfa0.560.69Add
01/31/20Kim EngJapfa0.560.72Buy
03/03/20UOB Kay HianJapfa0.590.88BuySum of parts
03/04/20DBS VickersJapfa0.5750.84BuySum of parts, PER11x
04/16/20CIMBJapfa0.510.95AddPER12x CY21
04/16/20UOB Kay HianJapfa0.510.9BuySum of parts
04/16/20DBS VickersJapfa0.510.84Buy

Japan Foods - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/05/19DMG & PartnersJapan Foods0.4350.45Neutral
05/22/19AmfrasersJapan Foods0.440.55NeutralDCF
05/23/19DMG & PartnersJapan Foods0.440.4Hold
06/06/19DMG & PartnersJapan Foods0.430.4Neutral
08/22/19DMG & PartnersJapan Foods0.4350.4NeutralSum of parts
11/08/19DMG & PartnersJapan Foods0.4350.4NeutralSum of parts
11/11/19AmfrasersJapan Foods0.4250.46Neutral
12/02/19AmfrasersJapan Foods0.430.46Neutral
12/11/19DMG & PartnersJapan Foods0.4250.4Neutral
05/06/20DMG & PartnersJapan Foods0.350.35NeutralSum of parts

Jadason - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/13/19CIMBJadason0.0380.059AddPB1x CY19

Stock calls for 15 May 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/15/20DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.181.4BuyDCF
05/15/20phillipEC World Reit0.660.77BuyDDM
05/15/20UOB Kay HianFood Empire0.490.63BuyPER12.6x FY20
05/15/20DBS VickersFrencken0.820.92BuyPER10.4x FY20
05/15/20UOB Kay HianFu Yu0.220.25BuyPER12.4x FY20
05/15/20DMG & PartnersGenting0.730.64Take ProfitEV/Ebitda6x FY21
05/15/20DMG & PartnersGolden Agri0.1460.12SellSum of parts
05/15/20DMG & PartnersHyphens Pharma0.240.27BuyDCF
05/15/20PhillipIreit0.660.77BuyDDM
05/15/20Lim & TanPropnex0.4850Buy
05/15/20UOB Kay HianSasseur0.720.96BuyDDM
05/15/20Citi ResearchSIA3.814Sell
05/15/20CIMBSIA3.814.6AddPB0.84x
05/15/20DBS VickersThai Beverage0.6650.9BuySum of parts
05/15/20DBS VickersYoma0.1970.5Buy

Thursday, May 14, 2020

ISOTeam - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/15/19DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.220.29BuyDCF
06/06/19DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.230.29Buy
07/11/19UOB Kay HianISOTeam0.2450.3BuyPER12.4x FY20
07/25/19DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.2450.31BuyDCF
07/25/19UOB Kay HianISOTeam0.2450.34BuyPER12.4x FY20
08/29/19UOB Kay HianISOTeam0.230.34Buy
08/29/19DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.230.31BuyDCF
09/23/19UOB Kay HianISOTeam0.2250.34Buy
09/25/19DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.2350.31BuyDCF
10/15/19DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.2250.31Buy
11/18/19DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.240.31BuyDCF
11/18/19UOB Kay HianISOTeam0.240.34Buy
01/28/20DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.230.31BuyDCF
02/18/20DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.220.31BuyDCF
03/23/20DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.1220.24BuyDCF, PER8.7x FY20

ISDN - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
05/23/19CIMBISDN0.2150.32AddPER10x CY20
07/01/19CIMBISDN0.2350.32Add
08/19/19CIMBISDN0.1920.27Add

Ireit - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/22/20PhillipIreit0.8150.885AccumulateDDM
02/14/20PhillipIreit0.8650.885AccumulateDDM
03/03/20DMG & PartnersIreit0.7850.92BuyDDM
03/13/20PhillipIreit0.7150.89Accumulate
04/13/20DMG & PartnersIreit0.640.83BuyDDM