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Friday, March 4, 2022

Stock calls for 3 March 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/03/22

OCBC

A-Reit

2.83

3.63

Buy


03/03/22

OCBC

ART

1.04

1.22

Buy


03/03/22

OCBC

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust

2.12

2.44

Buy


03/03/22

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

0.91

0.85

Hold

PER11x FY22

03/03/22

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

0.91

1

Neutral


03/03/22

DMG & Partners

Comfortdelgro

1.41

1.77

Buy


03/03/22

CIMB

CSE Global

0.475

0.57

Add


03/03/22

DBS Vickers

Elite ComReit

0.645

0.8

Buy


03/03/22

OCBC

Frasers Logistics

1.44

1.66

Buy


03/03/22

DMG & Partners

Frencken

1.62

2.1

Buy

PER14x FY22

03/03/22

DMG & Partners

Golden Agri

0.305

0.315

Neutral


03/03/22

Lim & Tan

Golden Agri

0.305

0

Accumulate


03/03/22

UOB Kay Hian

Japfa

0.605

0.63

Hold

Sum of parts

03/03/22

OCBC

Mapletree Industrial

2.58

3.3

Buy


03/03/22

Lim & Tan

Raffles Medical

1.16

1.42

Accumulate


03/03/22

phillip

Sembcorp Industries

2.73

2.94

Accumulate

PB1.2x FY22

03/03/22

phillip

Sheng Siong

1.51

1.75

Buy

PER23x

03/03/22

DBS Vickers

UMS

1.21

1.7

Buy

PER17x FY22

03/03/22

DBS Vickers

Yanlord

1.2

1.43

Buy

PER4.9x FY22

Thursday, March 3, 2022

US FED has indicated that it will only do an interest rate hike of a quarter point in March 2022.

 
Look like the die is cast in stone for now.  Should we cheer for that?

Although the US FED has indicated that it will only do a quarter-point hike in March 2022, the FED may indicate its asset sales much earlier to rein in its excessive liquidity and high inflation.  Furthermore, a bigger rate hike later (in the 2nd half of 2022) will cause President Biden to lose his mid-term election in November 2022.

Does this quarter-point hike call for a celebration?  Not really!

US ISM PMI increased in February 2022.


 

The prices subindex had decreased slightly to 75.6 (-0.5) which still remained at an elevated high because of imported inflation and rising employment costs. In view of the rising inflation, the producers increased their inventories to 53.6 (+0.4) which boosted imports (55.4, +0.3) and local raw material (Est’d +0.1).

However, the supplier’s deliveries increased to 66.1 (+1.5) because of slower deliveries. The producers also had difficulties finding workers because of a huge job mismatch between job demand and supply. As a result, the producers were expected to increase their workers in the future as shown by the table below.


The producers ramped up their production (58.5, +0.7) to meet increasing orders but they still couldn’t fulfill the overwhelming orders. Thus, the customers’ inventories slumped further to 31.8 (-1.2). Furthermore, the backlog of order increased significantly (65, +8.6) because the producers couldn’t fulfill all the orders.


The new order (61.7, +3.8), new export order (57.1, +3.4) and new local order (Est’d +0.4) increased because customers were front-loading their orders due to rising inflation expectations.


Therefore, all these factors caused the PMI to increase 58.6 (+1) in February 2022. This front-loading phenomenon looks set to continue further because of the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and the US PMI will continue expanding before declining. Overall, the US PMI is expected to have a downward trajectory in 2022.

Wednesday, March 2, 2022

China Aviation Oil - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/06/21

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

1.08

1.2

Buy


01/26/21

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

1.19

1.38

Buy

PER11x FY21

01/26/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

1.19

1.27

Buy


03/02/21

CIMB

China Aviation Oil

1.12

1.17

Hold

PER10x FY22

03/02/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

1.12

1.3

Buy


03/02/21

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

1.12

1.38

Buy


04/30/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

1.14

1.3

Buy


06/28/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

1.05

1.26

Buy


08/02/21

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

1.01

1.2

Buy

PER11x FY21/22

08/04/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

1.02

1.2

Buy


08/30/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

0.965

1.15

Buy


09/17/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

0.975

1.15

Buy


10/05/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

0.95

1.08

Buy


10/20/21

UOB Kay Hian

China Aviation Oil

1.03

1.25

Hold


10/27/21

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

1.02

1.2

Buy


10/27/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

1.02

1.13

Buy


02/03/22

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

0.935

1.09

Buy


02/28/22

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

0.94

1.2

Buy