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Friday, November 3, 2023

Stock calls for 2 November 2023

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

11/02/23

UOB Kay Hian

A-Reit

2.6

3.13

Buy

DDM

11/02/23

Lim & Tan

DBS

33.03

0

Accumulate


11/02/23

Citi Research

Digicore Reit

0.5

0.67

Buy


11/02/23

Lim & Tan

Frasers Logistics

1.04

1.35

Neutral


11/02/23

DBS Vickers

Frasers Logistics

1.04

1.55

Buy


11/02/23

UOB Kay Hian

Frencken

1.06

1.23

Buy

PER12.6x FY24

11/02/23

DMG & Partners

HRnetGroup

0.695

0.91

Buy


11/02/23

CIMB

Japfa

0.21

0.28

Add

PB0.5x FY24

11/02/23

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

3.35

4.19

Buy

DDM

11/02/23

UOB Kay Hian

Sheng Siong

1.55

1.97

Buy

PER21x FY24

Thursday, November 2, 2023

The US Fed is expected to remain status quo again in November 2023. - Part 2

The US Fed left its rate as expected because the US job situation was still buoyant.

The US ISM PMI had a sharp drop in October 2023.


The US ISM PMI had declined to 46.7.  Let's take a look at what happened here.

Let's calculate 2 unknown sub-indices (Estimated new local orders & local raw materials) first.
* Estimated new local orders=New orders % change (-3.7) - New export order % change (+2) = -5.7%
* Estimated local raw materials=Inventories % change (-2.5) - Imports % change (-0.3) = -2.2%
We can see that the significant decline in the ISM PMI is caused by sharp drops in new orders (45.5, -3.7) and new local orders (est'd -5.7).  In short, the US consumers had cut back on their spendings.
The ISM PMI had declined for 12 consecutive months already and the US GDP should be reflecting the true main street situation soon.

Silverlake - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/30/22

DBS Vickers

Silverlake

0.36

0.48

Buy

PER18x

08/31/22

CIMB

Silverlake

0.36

0.42

Add


09/01/22

Phillip

Silverlake

0.36

0.49

Buy

PER20x FY23

11/15/22

DBS Vickers

Silverlake

0.315

0.48

Buy

PER18x

11/15/22

CIMB

Silverlake

0.315

0.44

Add


11/17/22

Phillip

Silverlake

0.335

0.49

Buy

PER20x FY23

02/15/23

DBS Vickers

Silverlake

0.37

0.48

Buy

PER18x

02/15/23

CIMB

Silverlake

0.37

0.44

Add


02/16/23

Phillip

Silverlake

0.355

0.49

Buy

PER20x FY23

04/21/23

Phillip

Silverlake

0.33

0.49

Buy

PER20x FY23

05/16/23

DBS Vickers

Silverlake

0.335

0.42

Buy

PER17x FY23/24

05/16/23

CIMB

Silverlake

0.335

0.41

Add


05/17/23

Phillip

Silverlake

0.33

0.49

Buy

PER21x FY23

08/28/23

DBS Vickers

Silverlake

0.26

0.35

Buy

PER15x FY24

08/28/23

CIMB

Silverlake

0.26

0.37

Add


08/29/23

Phillip

Silverlake

0.265

0.38

Buy

PER20x FY23

SIIC - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/20/23

Lim & Tan

SIIC

0.192

0.36

Buy

DDM