Monday, May 19, 2025

Latest US economic statistics are giving dour economic outlook.

The above retail sales chart shows a negative growth.

US consumer sentiment: 50.8%
The US consumer sentiment has dropped again and this corroborates the negative retail sales growth.

5-year inflation expectation: 4.6%
1-year inflation expectation: 7.3%
The US economic statistics are all pointing to dour economic outlook because retail sales and consumer sentiment are falling while 5-year and 1-year inflation expectations are rising.  All these will translate into surging inflation and slowing consumer spending.

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