Monday, September 22, 2025

The US stock market is getting dicey now! - Part 2

The US economy is approaching a RECESSION or is already in one as indicated by the charts below.

The leading economic index has been in a downward trajectory since 2022.


The LEI 6-month growth rate is giving a recession signal now.

The machine learning model is indicating that the probability of a US recession is fast approaching the critical recession level (50).  This model shows that the US always has a recession when it crosses 50.
How long can the ebullience in the stock market last when many indicators are flashing recession alerts?

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