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Friday, August 17, 2018

Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macau bridge will open soon!


Yes! It is possible to drive to HK now!

However, a special permit has to be applied in order to drive on this bridge.

Thursday, August 16, 2018

UMS - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/17 CIMB UMS 0.675 0.82 Add GGM, PB1.85x FY17
03/02/17 DBS Vickers UMS 0.68 0.73 Buy DCF
05/15/17 CIMB UMS 0.87 1.15 Add GGM, PB2.41x
05/16/17 DBS Vickers UMS 0.98 1.07 Buy DCF, PER7.4x FY18 ex-cash
05/23/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.07 1.33 Buy PER11x FY18 ex-cash
06/16/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.08 1.33 Buy
07/05/17 CIMB UMS 0.995 1.15 Add GGM, PB2.41x
08/14/17 CIMB UMS 1.08 1.12 Hold GGM, PB2.41x
08/14/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.08 1.13 Hold PER11x FY18 ex-cash
10/25/17 CIMB UMS 0.925 1.13 Add GGM, PB2,8x FY18, PER13.3x FY19, Ex-rights 1 for 4
11/13/17 DBS Vickers UMS 1.02 1.21 Buy PER12x FY18
11/13/17 CIMB UMS 1.02 1.21 Add GGM, PB2.88x
03/01/18 DBS Vickers UMS 1.16 1.37 Buy PER12x FY18
03/01/18 CIMB UMS 1.16 1.31 Add PB2.95x FY18
04/03/18 DBS Vickers UMS 1.13 1.37 Buy
05/14/18 DBS Vickers UMS 1.04 1.37 Buy PER12x FY19
05/15/18 CIMB UMS 1.07 1.21 Add PB2.81x
08/15/18 CIMB UMS 0.79 1.21 Add PB2.82x
08/15/18 DBS Vickers UMS 0.79 1.01 Buy PER10x FY19

UG Healthcare - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/09/17 Lim & Tan UG Healthcare 0.295 0 Hold
02/09/17 Kim Eng UG Healthcare 0.295 0.25 Sell
08/31/17 Kim Eng UG Healthcare 0.24 0.21 Sell PER12x FY18
04/24/18 DMG & Partners UG Healthcare 0.198 0.32 Buy PER14x FY19
05/14/18 DMG & Partners UG Healthcare 0.205 0.32 Buy PER14x FY19

Tuan Sing - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/29/17 UOB Kay Hian Tuan Sing 0.415 0.71 Buy Sum of parts
01/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Tuan Sing 0.49 0.71 Buy
01/29/18 UOB Kay Hian Tuan Sing 0.48 0.71 Buy Sum of parts

Stock calls for 16 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Bumitama 0.7 0.93 Buy
08/16/18 DMG & Partners Capitaland 3.31 3.95 Buy
08/16/18 DMG & Partners City Developments 9.55 10.4 Neutral
08/16/18 DBS Vickers First Resources 1.59 2 Buy DCF
08/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.28 0.16 Sell
08/16/18 CIMB Golden Agri 0.28 0.25 Reduce Sum of parts (20% discount)
08/16/18 DMG & Partners GSS Energy 0.133 0.22 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 CIMB Ho Bee 2.57 2.9 Add
08/16/18 CIMB MM2 Asia 0.42 0.72 Add Sum of parts
08/16/18 phillip Q & M 0.51 0.649 Buy PER28x FY18
08/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.425 0.74 Buy
08/16/18 Lim & Tan Sunpower 0.595 0.95 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Add Sum of parts
08/16/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.68 0.89 Buy
08/16/18 CIMB Y Venture 0.445 0.56 Add PER30x FY19
08/16/18 OCBC Yanlord 1.51 2.13 Buy PER5.5x

The new Noble Group is still not viable!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/man-triggered-10-billion-commodity-collapse-finally-speaks-032429405.html

According to the ex-employee, Noble had been fudging its books by overvaluing its commodity assets.  The restructuring deal cannot save Noble at all and this ex-employee is trying to launch a class action suit with other shareholders against Noble.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

OMG! Tan Chun Sing doesn't understand the USA mentality.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/trade-chan-chun-sing-us-business-trade-war-china-america-10616794

Why did the USA pull out of TPP?  This was because Trump understood that bilateral negotiation would give the USA more bargaining power than multilateral negotiation.

When the USA engages in any bilateral trade negotiation with another country, it can use its US$19T economy to make an imposition on the smaller country to succumb to the USA demands.  However, it's harder for the USA to impose its demands during a multilateral negotiation.

Trump has this "America First" propaganda and he won't relent.  Tan Chun Sing doesn't understand this and still seeks to ask the USA to engage in multilateral negotiation.

The USA will only serve its own interest but won't care a hoot about others.  The recent incident of the USA punishing Turkey, a NATO member, already proved it.  Turkey stood by the USA in many international affairs but still got backstabbed by the USA in the end.

Tan should look at the bad records of the USA in the past first before he opened his mouth.

Triyards - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/09/17 Amfrasers Triyards 0.315 0.43 Buy PB0.5x FY17
01/09/17 OCBC Triyards 0.315 0.47 Buy PB0.55x FY17
01/09/17 UOB Kay Hian Triyards 0.315 0.46 Buy PB0.46x FY17
03/10/17 UOB Kay Hian Triyards 0.395 0.27 Hold
03/15/17 OCBC Triyards 0.295 0.345 Hold PB
04/10/17 OCBC Triyards 0.25 0.33 Hold PB0.35x FY17/18
07/24/17 OCBC Triyards 0.149 0.19 Hold PB0.3x FY18

Trendlines - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
11/27/17 NRA Trendlines 0.143 0.225 Overweight RNAV (20% discount)
06/28/18 NRA Trendlines 0.119 0.225 Overweight

Top Glove - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/19/17 Aminvestment Top Glove 1.98 2.05 Hold Ringgit target $6.36, up from $6.22
06/20/18 Lim & Tan Top Glove 3.88 0 Hold
06/22/18 Kim Eng Top Glove 3.81 4.4 Buy
07/11/18 Kim Eng Top Glove 3.4 4.36 Hold Ringgit target $12.90, PER30x FY19

Stock calls for 15 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Banyan Tree 0.535 1 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Bumitama 0.705 0.88 Buy DCF, PER13.7x FY19
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Bumitama 0.705 0.8 Buy PER11x FY19
08/15/18 CIMB CSE Global 0.45 0.5 Add PER13.5x CY19
08/15/18 UOB Kay Hian CSE Global 0.45 0.58 Buy PER15x FY19
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Food Empire 0.56 0.6 Neutral PER14x FY18
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.174 0.22 Buy DCF
08/15/18 OCBC Golden Agri 0.28 0.26 Hold PER17.5x FY19
08/15/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.515 0.62 Add PER23x CY19
08/15/18 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.42 0.62 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.43 0.56 Buy DCF
08/15/18 CIMB Starhub 1.65 1.85 Add DCF
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.7 0.94 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 CIMB UMS 0.79 1.21 Add PB2.82x
08/15/18 DBS Vickers UMS 0.79 1.01 Buy PER10x FY19
08/15/18 Kim Eng Valuetronics 0.735 1.05 Buy
08/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Valuetronics 0.735 0.96 Buy PER11.3x FY19
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Valuetronics 0.735 0.92 Buy PER10x FY19
08/15/18 CIMB Valuetronics 0.735 0.95 Add PER10x CY19
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.25 3.61 Buy DCF
08/15/18 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.25 3.69 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 CIMB Yongnam 0.255 0.45 Add PB0.8x FY19

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

What's the real intention behind Goh's ministerial pay speech?

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/comment-furore-ministerial-pay-gaining-currency-131941715.html

It is evident that Goh and PAP cannot get along anymore and Goh is using the tactic that LKY used to cause George Yeo to lose in the GE.  LKY told the Aljunied residents that they would repent for the next 5 year if they didn't vote for George Yeo.

Goh is trying to create the same poignant and make the people disgruntled.  It is pretty obvious that PAP has ramifications in its party now.


Tianjin Zhongxin - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/05/17 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.975 1.3 Add DCF FY17
08/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.05 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.13 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.055 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.03 1.5 Buy PER14.6x FY18
01/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.945 1.52 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.92 1.66 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/30/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.01 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
05/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.2 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.21 1.72 Buy
07/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.12 1.72 Buy

Thai Beverage - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.855 1.07 Add Sum of parts, PER19.6x CY17
01/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.845 1.01 Buy
02/02/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.87 1.01 Buy
02/15/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.88 1.07 Add Sum of parts
02/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.01 Buy
03/06/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.935 1.01 Buy
03/23/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.925 1.07 Add Sum of parts
03/31/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.935 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
04/10/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
04/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/08/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
05/12/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
05/12/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.915 1.01 Buy
05/15/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.885 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/15/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
06/13/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.88 1.01 Buy
06/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy
06/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.895 1.09 Buy
06/29/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.89 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
07/03/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.9 1.1 Buy Sum of parts, PER26x FY17
07/07/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
07/10/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.91 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
07/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
07/25/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
08/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.96 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
08/10/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.07 Add Sum of parts
08/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.955 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
08/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.955 1.01 Buy
08/11/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
08/14/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.93 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
08/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.93 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.925 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/18/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.92 1.01 Buy
09/18/17 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 0.92 1.04 Outperform
09/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.07 Buy
09/20/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.91 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.9 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
10/13/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
10/16/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.12 Buy Sum of parts
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.98 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
11/24/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.07 Buy
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add Sum of parts, PER24.8x FY18
11/27/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.97 1.18 Buy Sum of parts, PER24.2x FY18
11/27/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.97 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add
12/04/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.96 1.18 Buy
12/06/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.955 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.955 1.18 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.15 Add Sum of parts
12/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
12/20/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.95 1 Hold Sum of parts, PER22.6x CY18
01/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
01/11/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 Nomura Thai Beverage 0.92 1.13 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.92 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.92 1 Hold
02/01/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.92 1.06 Buy Sum of parts
02/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.91 0.99 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.84
02/15/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 0.98 Hold Sum of parts, PER21.8x CY18
02/19/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.85 1.02 Buy Sum of parts
02/22/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.835 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
03/05/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.825 0.95 Buy
03/19/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.815 1.05 Buy
03/26/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.805 1.02 Buy
04/16/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.8 1.05 Buy
05/10/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.83 1.06 Buy Sum of parts
05/16/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.8 1.02 Buy
05/17/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.795 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.795 0.98 Add Sum of parts
05/17/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.795 0.95 Buy
06/11/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.77 0.98 Add
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.77 1.06 Buy
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.7 0.99 Buy
07/12/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.725 1.02 Buy Sum of parts
07/25/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.74 0.94 Buy Sum of parts

Stock calls for 14 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/14/18 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.35 2.72 Buy PER19x FY18
08/14/18 DBS Vickers Cromwell Reit (EUR) 0.595 0.66 Buy DCF
08/14/18 phillip Dasin Retail 0.9 0.97 Accumulate DDM
08/14/18 DBS Vickers ESR-Reit 0.51 0.63 Buy
08/14/18 Kim Eng First Resources 1.56 2 Buy
08/14/18 DMG & Partners First Resources 1.56 1.6 Neutral PER11x FY19
08/14/18 CIMB First Resources 1.56 2.03 Add PER15x CY19
08/14/18 phillip Ho Bee 2.52 2.98 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
08/14/18 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.7 3.2 Buy GGM, PB0l7x FY19
08/14/18 DBS Vickers HRnetGroup 0.885 1.01 Buy PER15x FY19, ex-cash
08/14/18 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.53 0.49 Hold DCF, Buy @ $0.44
08/14/18 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.53 0.57 Hold PER23x FY19
08/14/18 Amfrasers Manulife US Reit 0.845 0.97 Buy
08/14/18 CIMB Memtech 1.12 1.43 Add PER10x FY19
08/14/18 Amfrasers Mindchamps 0.705 0.86 Buy DCF, PER22.6x FY18
08/14/18 phillip Singapore O&G 0.36 0.42 Accumulate PER23.2x
08/14/18 OCBC Wheelock Properties 2.19 2.34 Reject offer Offer $2.1
08/14/18 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.13 3.9 Buy PER14.5x FY18
08/14/18 CIMB Wilmar 3.13 4.1 Add Sum of parts

Mahathir is old and senile already! - Part 2

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/news/malaysia-eyes-more-10-fold-hike-singapore-water-102025305--finance.html


What a foolish old man!

The water pact formed part of the separation agreement between Malaysia and Singapore.  It was one of the conditions to secure the separation from Singapore because Malaysia was very keen to be separated from Singapore.  This was the reason for Singapore to lodge the water pact and the separation agreement with the UN and LKY couldn't trust the Malaysian government.  Therefore, the water pact was not an ordinary commercial agreement that anyone could review or alter unless someone wanted to void the separation agreement.

If Mahathir thought that he could review the water pact, then UK could also use the Mahathir's logic to review the independence agreement that was given to Malaysia.  UK could claim that it was a mistake to let Malaysia gain independence and Malaysia was still supposedly a British colony.

Maybe Mahathir wanted to become a British again!

Monday, August 13, 2018

Mahathir is old and senile already!

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-08-13/ap-interview-malaysias-mahathir-aims-to-scrap-china-deals

By scrapping the China deals, Mahathir will remove any vested interest in Malaysia from China.  When China doesn't see any strategic importance of Malaysia in Asean, China will move its investment elsewhere and the Malacca Gateway will suffer because China doesn't need Strait of Malacca anymore as nature has created the arctic sea lane.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/08/the-strait-of-malacca-and-singapore-psa.html

As 70% of the ships plying the Strait of Malacca belong to China at this moment, it is critical that China stays vested in this region.  Once China stops using the Strait of Malacca, Malaysia will relegate to become a poverty state.

Mahathir, are you really doing Malaysia any good with your myopic vision?

Telechoice - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/10/17 NRA Telechoice 0.27 0.34 Overweight PER15.56x FY17
08/15/17 NRA Telechoice 0.25 0.34 Overweight

Tee Land - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/20/17 NRA Tee Land 0.195 0.29 Overweight
03/09/18 NRA Tee Land 0.21 0.28 Overweight Sum of parts

Stock calls for 13 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/13/18 DBS Vickers Capitaland 3.31 3.62 Buy RNAV (25% discount)
08/13/18 OCBC CDL Hospitality 1.5 1.42 Hold
08/13/18 phillip China Sunsine 1.23 1.77 Buy FCFE
08/13/18 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.78 Accumulate DCF, PER19.7x FY18
08/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.59 Buy PER16.8x FY19
08/13/18 DMG & Partners Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.35 Neutral DCF
08/13/18 OCBC Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.5 Hold
08/13/18 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.38 2.75 Add DCF, PER18.1x FY19
08/13/18 OCBC Far East Hospitality 0.62 0.69 Buy
08/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.71 1.98 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
08/13/18 CIMB Frasers Property 1.71 2.02 Add RNAV (35% discount)
08/13/18 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.9 1.18 Buy DCF
08/13/18 NRA ISDN 0.215 0.32 Overweight
08/13/18 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.61 0.87 Buy RNAV (50% discount)
08/13/18 OCBC KSH 0.61 0.98 Buy
08/13/18 Lim & Tan Singtel 3.14 0 Hold