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Monday, January 24, 2022

SATS - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/04/21

DBS Vickers

SATS

3.98

4.5

Buy


01/04/21

Citi Research

SATS

3.98

4.7

Buy


02/02/21

CIMB

SATS

3.85

4.3

Add

DCF

02/02/21

DBS Vickers

SATS

3.85

4.5

Buy


02/11/21

UOB Kay Hian

SATS

4.09

3.96

Hold

DCF

02/15/21

OCBC

SATS

4.12

4.95

Buy


03/19/21

UOB Kay Hian

SATS

4.56

4.27

Hold

EV/Invested capital basis

05/28/21

CIMB

SATS

3.86

4.3

Add

DCF

05/28/21

UOB Kay Hian

SATS

3.86

4.09

Hold


05/31/21

OCBC

SATS

3.97

4.84

Buy


06/02/21

DBS Vickers

SATS

4.03

4.5

Buy


06/09/21

Lim & Tan

SATS

4.05

0

Hold


06/10/21

UOB Kay Hian

SATS

4.08

4.09

Hold


07/23/21

CIMB

SATS

3.87

4.3

Add

DCF

07/23/21

Lim & Tan

SATS

3.87

0

Hold


07/26/21

OCBC

SATS

3.87

4.8

Buy


09/28/21

DBS Vickers

SATS

4.16

4.5

Buy


09/28/21

OCBC

SATS

4.16

4.8

Buy


10/11/21

Citi Research

SATS

4.17

4.7

Buy


10/18/21

CIMB

SATS

4.35

4.66

Hold


10/25/21

UOB Kay Hian

SATS

4.28

4.09

Hold


11/15/21

CIMB

SATS

4.14

4.32

Hold


11/16/21

DBS Vickers

SATS

4.1

4.9

Buy

DCF

11/24/21

Lim & Tan

SATS

4.1

4.81

Buy


Sasseur - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/01/21

Kim Eng

Sasseur

0.84

1.05

Buy

DDM

03/02/21

CIMB

Sasseur

0.86

0.909

Add


06/14/21

DBS Vickers

Sasseur

0.925

1.1

Buy

DCF

08/16/21

CIMB

Sasseur

0.95

1.03

Add

DDM

08/18/21

Kim Eng

Sasseur

0.925

1.05

Buy


08/19/21

Amfrasers

Sasseur

0.935

0.97

Neutral

DDM

11/16/21

Kim Eng

Sasseur

0.895

1.05

Buy

DDM

11/23/21

UOB Kay Hian

Sasseur

0.895

1.05

Buy


Stock calls for 24 January 2022

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/24/22

Lim & Tan

ARA Logistics

0.895

0.933

Accept Offer


01/24/22

DBS Vickers

Bukit Sembawang

4.96

5.92

Buy


01/24/22

DBS Vickers

Daiwa House

0.815

0.95

Buy

DCF

01/24/22

Lim & Tan

Grand Bank

0.315

0

Accumulate


01/24/22

DMG & Partners

Isoteam

0.112

0.12

Neutral

DCF

01/24/22

DBS Vickers

Keppel Corp

5.38

6.2

Buy


01/24/22

Citi Research

Nanofilm

2.95

3.92

Buy


01/24/22

UOB Kay Hian

Nanofilm

2.95

2.67

Hold

PEG1x FY22, PER22x FY22

01/24/22

UOB Kay Hian

Q&M

0.605

0.78

Buy


01/24/22

DBS Vickers

Singtel

2.48

3.13

Buy


01/24/22

OCBC

Yanlord

1.14

1.16

Hold


3 doses of the Sinovac vaccine are effective against omicron!

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/three-doses-sinovac-covid19-vaccine-effective-against-omicron-%E2%80%94-research

The latest research conducted in Malaysia showed that 3 doses of the Sinovac vaccine were effective against omicron.  This research was not about counting the number of antibodies generated but the abilities of the antibodies to react and destroy the virus.

Please go and take your Sinovac booster!

Sunday, January 23, 2022

The US FED will conduct quantitative tapering for at least 3 years.

Most economists predicted that the rate hike in March 2022 was cast in stone.

They also believed that the rate hikes would continue for at least 3 years (2022 to 2024).

Furthermore, these economists expected the FED to start reducing its assets in the 2nd half of 2022.

All these actions (rate hikes & asset reductions) will cause the GDP to slow down significantly and also cause the stock markets to fall heavily.

As the US will be having its mid-term election in November 2022, it will be unlikely for Biden to hike interest rates near the election.  Therefore, it makes more sense for the US FED to start reducing its balance sheet instead so that this won't affect or ruin Biden's election.

High correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq.

 
There is a high correlation between Bitcoin and Nasdaq because bitcoin mining needs technological components such as high-powered CPUs and GPUs.  Therefore, we can use the Nasdaq trajectory to predict the bitcoin trajectory.

Saturday, January 22, 2022

Why did the west hate China?

The west has been branding the communist party (CCP) as an evil government that suppresses, oppresses, and tortures its citizens.  However, the polls and surveys conducted by the western academics debunked the western false allegations and these academics irked the west.

The recent survey conducted by the US firm (Edelman) showed that the general public trust in China came in an astonishing high of 91%?  Why?

This is because the Chinese understand that the CCP is a government that values precious lives over strong economic growth.  This core value strikes a common chord in the Chinese's hearts and results in a very low death toll for a 1.4B population during the current pandemic.  The western democracy value cannot achieve this high public trust because capitalism is an essential part of democracy and capitalism values strong economic growth over precious lives.


A Harvard University survey also showed the same phenomenon with a high satisfaction rate of 95.5% for the CCP.

Instead of learning from China, the West hates China to the core.

Why did President Xi warn the FED against hiking interest rates?

 

This is because President Xi has seen this old textbook trick too many times.  We had also stated this in our earlier post in March 2021.  Being the largest economy in the world, the US can impose unilaterally monetary policies that derive economic benefits at the expense of others.  Many emerging economies will suffer greatly this time if the US hikes its rates too aggressively in 2022.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2021/03/the-time-for-asia-to-rise-up-has-come.html

Baltic dry index - 1415


 Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count (weekly) - 604

 
Related stock: Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Omicron is more dangerous for children.

https://www.pharmaceutical-technology.com/news/omicron-danger-children-covid/

The latest South African study showed that omicron was more dangerous for children than the delta virus because there was a 49% in hospitalizations for children during the omicron outbreak.

Keep your kids safe!

China has cut another rate (SLF) again.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/china-central-bank-lowers-slf-rates-10-basis-points-2450996

This is the 3rd rate that China has cut after MLF & LPR.  This cut in SLF will reduce the cost of debt for financial institutions.  The SLF is cut by 10 basis points.

The multiple interest rate cuts show that China is adamant to grow its GDP to 5.5% in 2022 as stated.