New Launch - One Sophia For Sale!

New Launch - One Sophia For Sale!
Please click the advertisement for more information.

Search This Blog

Saturday, July 18, 2020

Baltic dry index - 1710

* The Baltic dry index, which tracks rates for ships ferrying dry bulk commodities and reflects rates for capesize, panamax and supramax vessels, rose 11 points, or about 0.6%, to 1,710.

====================

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 954


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, July 17, 2020

Delfi - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/14/19DMG & PartnersDelfi1.241.68BuyDCF, PER28x FY19
10/31/19DBS VickersDelfi0.9951.49BuyPER23.7x FY20
11/13/19DMG & PartnersDelfi0.9551.68BuyDCF
11/14/19DBS VickersDelfi0.961.51BuyPER23.1x FY20
12/11/19DMG & PartnersDelfi11.68Buy
01/06/20DBS VickersDelfi11.51Buy
02/07/20DMG & PartnersDelfi0.961.68BuyDCF
02/28/20DBS VickersDelfi0.961.55BuyPER23x FY20
04/27/20DMG & PartnersDelfi0.620.74BuyDCF
05/22/20DBS VickersDelfi0.831.08BuyPER18x FY20/21
06/05/20AmfrasersDelfi0.770.93outperform
07/15/20DMG & PartnersDelfi0.740.74NeutralDCF

DBS Bank - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/01/19Kim EngDBS25.9629.46Buy
07/01/19UOB Kay HianDBS25.9630.5BuyGGM, PB1.59x FY19
07/02/19OCBCDBS26.629.2BuyGGM, PB1.4x, PER14.7x
07/03/19phillipDBS26.529Accumulate
07/08/19DMG & PartnersDBS25.6330.8BuyPB1.5x FY20
07/12/19DMG & PartnersDBS25.6130.3BuyPB1.47x FY20
07/29/19Lim & TanDBS26.880Buy
07/30/19DMG & PartnersDBS26.5428.3HoldGGM, PB1.37x FY20
07/30/19CIMBDBS26.5427.59HoldGGM
07/30/19Kim EngDBS26.5428.05HoldDDM
07/30/19OCBCDBS26.5428Hold
07/30/19phillipDBS26.5430.9Accumulate
07/30/19UOB Kay HianDBS26.5431.3Buy
07/31/19MacquarieDBS26.4925.8NeutralPB
07/31/19phillipDBS26.4927.6AccumulateGGM, PB1.4x
08/23/19DMG & PartnersDBS24.5928.3Neutral
08/29/19MacquarieDBS24.0225.8NeutralPB
09/05/19phillipDBS24.5427.6Accumulate
09/06/19DMG & PartnersDBS24.6325.3NeutralGGM, PB1.23x FY20
09/26/19Kim EngDBS24.7328.05Hold
09/26/19JefferiesDBS24.7331Buy
09/27/19CIMBDBS24.8227.59Hold
10/01/19UOB Kay HianDBS2531.3Buy
10/04/19phillipDBS24.5727.6Accumulate
10/29/19UOB Kay HianDBS25.1829.75Buy
11/05/19phillipDBS26.1327.6Accumulate
11/11/19DMG & PartnersDBS26.6125.3NeutralGGM, PB1.23x FY20
11/11/19Lim & TanDBS26.610Buy on weakness
11/12/19MacquarieDBS26.6425.8NeutralPB
11/12/19phillipDBS26.6427.3AccumulateGGM, PB1.4x
11/12/19DMG & PartnersDBS26.6425.8NeutralGGM, PB1.28x FY20
11/12/19Kim EngDBS26.6429.92BuyDDM
11/12/19UOB Kay HianDBS26.6430Buy
12/02/19CIMBDBS25.2528.29Hold
12/02/19Kim EngDBS25.2529.92Buy
12/03/19DMG & PartnersDBS25.1325.8Neutral
12/04/19phillipDBS24.9827.3Accumulate
01/03/20UOB Kay HianDBS26.1130Buy
01/08/20CIMBDBS26.0528.29Add
01/08/20Kim EngDBS26.0529.92Buy
01/14/20DMG & PartnersDBS26.125.8NeutralGGM, PB1.28x FY20
02/07/20UOB Kay HianDBS25.728.65Buy
02/13/20Lim & TanDBS25.420Buy
02/14/20CIMBDBS25.4227.09AddGGM
02/14/20UOB Kay HianDBS25.4228BuyGGM, PB1.39x FY20
02/14/20DMG & PartnersDBS25.4224.8NeutralGGM, PB1.25x FY20
02/14/20Kim EngDBS25.4228.6Buy
02/14/20JefferiesDBS25.4228.5Buy
02/18/20phillipDBS25.4827.3Accumulate
02/18/20CitibankDBS25.4826.8Hold
03/04/20CitibankDBS23.6624.4Hold
03/05/20CIMBDBS23.9124.33Hold
03/05/20OCBCDBS23.9125.5HoldGGM, PB1.3x
03/09/20CitibankDBS2317.5Sell
03/10/20phillipDBS21.1527.3Accumulate
03/10/20JefferiesDBS21.1527Buy
03/13/20DMG & PartnersDBS20.221.5NeutralGGM, PB1.09x FY20
03/19/20MacquarieDBS17.920.25Neutral
03/19/20JefferiesDBS17.920Buy
04/01/20JefferiesDBS18.5720Buy
04/01/20CitibankDBS18.5717.5Sell
04/08/20Kim EngDBS19.1121.99Buy
04/13/20phillipDBS19.1427.3Accumulate
04/17/20UOB Kay HianDBS19.3822.1Buy
04/24/20MacquarieDBS18.7418.25Neutral
04/30/20Lim & TanDBS19.20Buy
05/01/20DMG & PartnersDBS19.218.7NeutralGGM, PB0.96x FY20
05/04/20phillipDBS19.9620.59AccumulateGGM, PB1.09x
05/04/20UOB Kay HianDBS19.9622.3Buy
05/11/20Kim EngDBS19.722.1Buy
05/11/20CitibankDBS19.719.65Hold
06/08/20phillipDBS22.2820.6Neutral
06/08/20CitibankDBS22.2825.5Buy
06/10/20Lim & TanDBS22.950Hold
06/11/20MacquarieDBS23.0126outperformPB
06/18/20DMG & PartnersDBS21.5718.7Neutral
06/24/20Kim EngDBS21.1322.1Buy
07/01/20CIMBDBS20.8518.8Hold
07/03/20phillipDBS21.2820.6Neutral
07/06/20UOB Kay HianDBS21.5726.22Buy
07/14/20MacquarieDBS21.5426outperformPB

Dasin Retail - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/22/19phillipDasin Retail0.8750.94Accumulate
08/16/19phillipDasin Retail0.870.94AccumulateDDM, PB0.65x
09/24/19phillipDasin Retail0.8450.94Accumulate
10/18/19phillipDasin Retail0.8450.94Accumulate
11/25/19phillipDasin Retail0.840.94Accumulate
11/27/19phillipDasin Retail0.840.88AccumulateDDM, PB0.62x FY19
03/10/20phillipDasin Retail0.8050.88AccumulateDDM
05/27/20phillipDasin Retail0.830.91AccumulateDDM

Stock calls for 17 July 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/17/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.460.54BuyPER12x FY20
07/17/20CIMBESR-Reit0.390.492AddDDM
07/17/20Lim & TanESR-Reit0.390Accept Offer
07/17/20CLSAESR-Reit0.390.47Buy
07/17/20SoochowESR-Reit0.390.47Buy
07/17/20MorningstarESR-Reit0.390.42Stable
07/17/20DaiwaESR-Reit0.390.42Hold
07/17/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Hospitality Trust0.470.58BuyDDM
07/17/20DBS VickersSabana0.360.4BuyPB0.94x ESR-Reit
07/17/20AmfrasersYanlord1.341.45OutperformRNAV

Singapore Nodx surged 16.1% in June 2020

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/singapore-exports-surge-16-1-003510797.html
Year on year changes (YOY):
June 2020: 16.1%
May 2020: -4.6%
April 2020: 9.7%
March 2020: 17.6%
February 2020: 3% (Revised to 3.1%)
January 2020: - 3.3%
December 2019: 2.4%
November 2019: - 5.9%
October 2019: - 12.3%
September 2019: -8.1%
August 2019: - 8.9%
July 2019: -11.2%
June 2019: -17.3%
May 2019: -15.9%
April 2019: -10%
March 2019: -11.7%
February 2019: 4.9%
January 2019: -10.1%
December 2018: -8.5%
November 2018: -2.6%
October 2018: 8.3%
September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

The US debt market is going to implode! - Part 3

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/father-z-score-predicts-surge-110210239.html

The NY professor has corroborated our May warning about the debt implosion in the US.  The debt implosion will cause a big financial explosion.  This is the financial tsunami we've just warned about recently.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/07/another-constellation-is-aligning-and_15.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/05/the-us-debt-market-is-going-to-implode.html

Like I said many times before, when we tell you something, you better sit up and listen.

Thursday, July 16, 2020

Dairy Farm - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/02/19DMG & PartnersDairy Farm7.298.25Neutral
08/02/19DBS VickersDairy Farm7.387.99HoldSum of parts
08/05/19DMG & PartnersDairy Farm7.67.38NeutralDCF
08/13/19CIMBDairy Farm6.987.29HoldPER23x CY20
09/23/19DMG & PartnersDairy Farm6.656.63NeutralDCF
11/29/19CIMBDairy Farm5.935.4ReducePER22x CY20
12/11/19DMG & PartnersDairy Farm5.96.63Neutral
03/06/20DMG & PartnersDairy Farm4.755.05HoldDCF
03/06/20DBS VickersDairy Farm4.755.2BuySum of parts
03/06/20CIMBDairy Farm4.754.38ReducePER17x FY20
03/25/20DBS VickersDairy Farm3.964.7BuySum of parts
03/27/20HSBCDairy Farm4.315.05Hold
04/06/20DBS VickersDairy Farm4.314.7Buy
04/09/20DMG & PartnersDairy Farm4.894.95NeutralDCF
04/15/20DBS VickersDairy Farm4.835.59Buy
04/29/20DBS VickersDairy Farm4.755.1BuySum of parts
05/28/20MacquarieDairy Farm4.265.8Outperform
06/08/20DMG & PartnersDairy Farm4.754.95Neutral
06/10/20CIMBDairy Farm55.45HoldPER20x CY21
07/03/20DBS VickersDairy Farm4.665.1Buy

CSE Global - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/15/19Lim & TanCSE Global0.4350Buy
08/16/19DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.440.61BuyDCF
08/16/19UOB Kay HianCSE Global0.440.62Buy
08/29/19CIMBCSE Global0.4250.6AddPER13.5x FY20
09/03/19Lim & TanCSE Global0.440Buy
09/04/19UOB Kay HianCSE Global0.4550.65BuyPER15x FY19
09/04/19DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.4550.69BuyDCF, PER11.9x FY20
09/06/19DBS VickersCSE Global0.470.65BuyPER12x FY20
09/09/19CIMBCSE Global0.4650.68Add
09/10/19AmfrasersCSE Global0.460.64OutperformSum of parts, PER12x, PB2x
10/02/19DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.460.69Buy
10/11/19UOB Kay HianCSE Global0.4650.65Buy
10/31/19CIMBCSE Global0.5250.68Buy
11/01/19DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.5250.69BuyDCF
11/07/19Lim & TanCSE Global0.540Buy
11/08/19UOB Kay HianCSE Global0.530.7Buy
11/08/19AmfrasersCSE Global0.530.61OutperformSum of parts
11/08/19DBS VickersCSE Global0.530.69BuyPER12x FY20
11/25/19CIMBCSE Global0.540.73Add
12/02/19AmfrasersCSE Global0.5250.61OutperformSum of parts
12/09/19Lim & TanCSE Global0.5250Buy
12/10/19DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.5350.69buy
12/27/19CIMBCSE Global0.5450.73Add
01/08/20UOB Kay HianCSE Global0.560.7Buy
01/08/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.560.69Buy
02/05/20Lim & TanCSE Global0.510.68Buy
02/11/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.530.69BuyDCF
02/28/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.5450.73BuyDCF
02/28/20UOB Kay HianCSE Global0.5450.72Buy
02/28/20CIMBCSE Global0.5450.77AddPER13.5x FY21
03/02/20DBS VickersCSE Global0.520.7BuyPER12x FY20
03/12/20DBS VickersCSE Global0.4650.65BuyPER12x FY20
03/26/20CIMBCSE Global0.350.45Add
03/30/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.360.73Buy
04/07/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.350.73Buy
04/08/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.380.54BuyPER12x FY20
05/06/20DBS VickersCSE Global0.3950.54BuyPER10.6x
06/03/20UOB Kay HianCSE Global0.4750.65BuyPER12.1x FY21
06/04/20DMG & PartnersCSE Global0.490.54BuyPER12x FY20
06/04/20Lim & TanCSE Global0.490Buy
06/04/20CIMBCSE Global0.490.55Add

Cromwell Reit (EUR) - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/09/20DBS VickersCromwell Reit (EUR)0.360.59Buy

Stock calls for 16 July 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/16/20Kim EngA-Reit3.343.35Buy
07/16/20Kim EngMapletree Commercial1.942.15Buy
07/16/20DMG & PartnersSembcorp Marine0.4550.55BuyPB0.82x
07/16/20UOB Kay HianSembcorp Marine0.4550.49HoldBuy @ $0.40
07/16/20Lim & TanSembcorp Marine0.4550Avoid
07/16/20Lim & TanSIA3.770Sell
07/16/20DBS VickersSPH1.251.26HoldSum of parts

China Q2 GDP growth was 3.2%! How real was it?

https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3093371/china-gdp-economy-avoids-recession-second-quarter-growth-32

China expanded 3.2% in Q2 2020 which showed great economic resiliency.


We had earlier projected in Feb 2020 that China Q2 would be worse than Q1 and we were wrong because we belittled the communist's power in boosting its economic growth and containing the virus outbreak.  Therefore, we are providing an update now since there was no update after Feb 2020.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/02/china-can-stabilize-its-stock-markets_21.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/02/china-can-stabilize-its-stock-markets_17.html

After our postings in Feb 2020, China had managed to contain the COVID outbreak and boost its economic growth with stimulative policies.  This is the advantage of a communist country because it can channel and divert all the resources to develop its country without any reservation.

How real is China GDP growth?  Is the GDP growth of 3.2% a fudged number?

Well, the GDP number doesn't necessarily reflect economic reality as shown below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/11/the-latest-us-gdp-growth-is-not.html

Therefore, we will analyze other economic variables to ascertain the veracity of the GDP growth.

China PMI

China PMIs had been in an expansionary mode from April to June 2020.  How is PMI related to GDP?  Please see our posting below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/the-us-economy-has-flipped-and-fissures.html

China retail sales
China retail sales had been rebounding from its doldrum of -20.5 in Jan to -1.8 in June 2020.

China Import

China Export

In conclusion, the other economic variables (PMI, retail sales, import & export) had improved in Q2 which indicated that the Q2 GDP growth in China was real.