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Friday, January 4, 2019

Hot news! NTUC Fairprice will sign a 3-year contract with Kaohsiung for its farm products.

I've just watched the online news announced by Kaohsiung Mayor Han.  He announced that Kaohsiung would be signing a 3-year contract with NTUC Fairprice for its farm products.

NTUC Fairprice will be selling a lot of Taiwanese farm products soon.

Thursday, January 3, 2019

The real reason behind the ban of Huawei's 5G.

When the western countries cannot compete with Huawei's 5G, they will embark on smearing campaign to discredit Huawei.

Nokia and A1 5G speed are 1.4gbps.

https://www.telegeography.com/products/commsupdate/articles/2018/06/12/a1-and-nokia-5g-trial-achieves-speeds-of-1-4gbps/

AT&T 5G speed is 625mbps.

https://www.androidpolice.com/2018/12/31/atts-first-5g-speed-tests-are-here-and-theyre-not-great/

Huawei 5G speed is 2.7gbps.

https://defence.pk/pdf/threads/huawei-successfully-completed-5g-network-speed-test-in-italy-speed-up-to-2-7g-sec.594137/

The real reason that the western countries ban Huawei's 5G is that it is cheaper and faster.  They simply cannot compete with Huawei because Huawei has the most 5G patents in the world.

Does STI really generate 9.2% annualised total return from 2009-2018?

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/sti-generates-92-annualised-total-return-in-2009-2018-period-sgx

This is a pseudo analysis generated by an inexperienced person with limited financial knowledge.

STI components had been changing over the last decade and the weaker stocks had been kicked out of the STI constituents.  STI is downsized to 30 stocks now compared to the original 50 stocks.  The STI was downsized to 45 and 30 respectively.  Even the 30 stocks had been changed a few times as the weaker stocks were removed from the STI.

Therefore, it is irrelevant to do the annualised total return on STI because the current 30 stocks are not the original 30 stocks.  We are not comparing apples to apples now.

Do not get deceived by this pseudo analysis!

APTV - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/28/18 Phillip APTV 0.575 0.62 Accumulate
05/17/18 Phillip APTV 0.465 0.52 Buy
07/16/18 Phillip APTV 0.425 0.52 Buy
08/07/18 Phillip APTV 0.405 0.35 Reduce
11/19/18 Phillip APTV 0.167 0.17 Accumulate DCF

APAC Realty - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/12/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.94 1.2 Buy
02/19/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.02 1.12 Buy
02/20/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 1.06 1.2 Buy
02/26/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 1.1 1.35 Buy DCF
02/26/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.1 1.25 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
03/20/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.19 1.42 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
04/10/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 1.17 1.35 Buy
05/10/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.03 1.32 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
05/30/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.905 1.35 Buy DCF
06/06/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.925 1.32 Buy
06/18/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.815 1.22 Buy DCF
07/03/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.785 1.35 Buy
07/09/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.58 0.66 Fully Valued PER10x FY18
07/13/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.605 0.77 Buy DCF
08/08/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.63 0.77 Buy DCF
08/08/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.63 0.62 Hold PER10x FY19
09/03/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.57 0.77 Buy DCF
09/07/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.565 0.62 Hold PER10x FY19
11/13/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.495 0.72 Buy DCF
11/14/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.5 0.56 Hold PER10x FY19

Aoxin Q&M - Stock calls


Date Analyst Code Company Last Target Call Percent Valuation
06/01/18 Phillip 1D4 Aoxin Q&M 0.22 0.29 Not Rated 31.82 PER35x FY19

Stock calls for 3 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Bumitama 0.67 0.81 Buy
01/03/19 OCBC Capitaland 3.07 3.96 Buy
01/03/19 CIMB DBS 23.49 27 Hold
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.56 1.6 Hold
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.245 0.2 Sell
01/03/19 CIMB OCBC 11.1 14 Add
01/03/19 OCBC UOL 6.07 8.41 Buy
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.13 3.9 Buy

The US treasury's situation is getting chaotic.

The chaotic situation (yield inversion) is depicted below.

2-year yield > 5-year yield
2-year yield > 3-year yield
1-year yield > 7-year yield
1-year yield > 5-year yield
1-year yield > 3-year yield
1-year yield > 2-year yield
6-month yield > 5-year yield
6-month yield > 3-year yield
6-month yield > 2-year yield
6-month yield > 1-year yield

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/12/the-us-markets-fell-heavily-because-of.html

The investors are buying the longer maturities rather than the shorter maturities because they've lost faith in the short-term debts out of fear that the government has short-term cashflow problems.  This is understandable from the investors' perspective because of the US government shutdown.  Nobody will believe that the US government will shut down for a long period and this is the reason that the investors will still buy the longer dated treasuries.

Apple plunges after Iphone sales disappoint.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-cuts-first-quarter-revenue-214529525.html

This is not surprising as we've been warning about Apple.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/more-bad-news-for-apple.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/12/apple-iphones-are-banned-in-china-now.html

Investors would have avoided catching the falling knife if they've read our postings.

Cheers!

Wednesday, January 2, 2019

Amara - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/26/18 DMG & Partners Amara 0.55 0.88 Buy PB0.65x
05/16/18 DMG & Partners Amara 0.515 0.88 Buy PB0.65x
08/21/18 DMG & Partners Amara 0.475 0.88 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
11/14/18 DMG & Partners Amara 0.42 0.88 Buy PB0.65x

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/01/18 Lim & Tan AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.37 0 Hold
02/02/18 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.37 1.5 Buy
03/19/18 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.38 1.57 Not Rated
04/16/18 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.38 1.5 Buy DDM
06/19/18 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.38 1.55 Buy DCF
07/06/18 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.38 1.55 Buy
10/26/18 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.35 1.55 Buy DCF
12/07/18 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.34 1.5 Buy DCF

AEM - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/10/18 CIMB AEM 3.31 4.55 Add
01/24/18 CIMB AEM 4.16 5.97 Add PER10x CY19
02/02/18 CIMB AEM 4.97 6.62 Add PER10x CY19
03/02/18 CIMB AEM 6.3 8.19 Add PER10x CY19
04/03/18 CIMB AEM 6.78 8.19 Add PER10x FY19
04/26/18 CIMB AEM 6.32 7.24 Add PER10x FY19
05/25/18 CIMB AEM 1.47 1.78 Add 3-for-1 bonus
08/01/18 CIMB AEM 0.995 0.69 Reduce PER10x FY19
11/01/18 CIMB AEM 0.8 0.75 Hold PER10x FY19

Stock calls for 2 January 2019


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.57 2.9 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Capitaland 3.11 4 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners CDL Hospitality 1.46 1.8 Buy
01/02/19 CIMB CDL Hospitality 1.46 1.63 Add
01/02/19 DMG & Partners DBS 23.69 29.8 Buy GGM, PB1.54x FY19
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.32 1.59 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.19 0.23 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Genting 0.975 1.23 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.8 1.18 Buy
01/02/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.61 0.78 Buy DCF
01/02/19 Kim Eng M1 2.09 1.63 Sell
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Manulife US Reit 0.77 0.92 Buy
01/02/19 DBS Vickers Manulife US Reit 0.77 0.88 Buy DCF
01/02/19 CIMB Mapletree Logistics 1.26 1.42 Add DDM
01/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.765 0.99 Buy DCF
01/02/19 Kim Eng Netlink 0.765 0.93 Buy
01/02/19 CIMB OUE Hospitality 0.67 0.85 Add
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1.06 1.27 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.415 0.65 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.4 0.56 Buy
01/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 2.83 3.58 Buy DCF
01/02/19 Kim Eng Singtel 2.83 3.39 Hold
01/02/19 DMG & Partners ST Engineering 3.51 3.97 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Starhill 0.68 0.8 Buy
01/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Starhub 1.75 1.6 Sell
01/02/19 Kim Eng Starhub 1.75 2.21 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners UOB 24.57 30.8 Buy GGM, PB1.41x FY19
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Venture 13.85 19 Buy
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.16 3.58 Buy

Singapore Q4 GDP growth has slowed down!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-q4-gdp-growth-cools-trade-woes-darken-031521709--business.html

Singapore Q4 GDP growth has slowed to 1.6% compared to the expected 3.2% quarter on quarter forecast.  The year on year growth has also slowed to 2.2% than the 2.3% forecast.

Monday, December 31, 2018

Sunday, December 30, 2018

Do not buy or use digital lock!

There is a cheap and simple device that can be used to unlock all digital locks.  Just wave the device around the digital lock to unlock it. So scary!

Do not use iphone installed car riding app in china.

The installed Iphone's car riding app costs about 30% more than installed Android's car riding app in China.  This is because Apple charges a 30% commission for the installed app.

Saturday, December 29, 2018

Baltic dry index - 1271

Today, Monday, December 24 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 8 points, reaching 1271 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count - 1083

The U.S. added two oil rigs this week, marking the second consecutive week for an increase, according to data compiled by Baker Hughes, a GE Company.
This week’s gain comes on the heels of an addition of 10 oil rigs last week. The nation’s number of active oil rigs is now 885.
The United States also added one gas rig this week.
The rig count for all but three major basins remained flat this week, including the Permian – which accounts for more than half of the nation’s oil rigs. The Granite Wash, Haynesville and Utica all added one rig apiece this week.
For the month of December, the rig count fell by two, its first decline in six months. But for the fourth quarter, the count was up 26, the fourth increase in a row, Reuters reported.
The total active rig count for this week is 1,083. This is 154 more than one year ago.
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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Indonesia Tsunami CCTV footage.

The CCTV captured people running for their lives!