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Wednesday, December 5, 2018

The US markets fell heavily because of inverted yield curves.

The US treasury's situation is getting dire.

The 3-year yield is more than the 5-year yield.  This means the 3-5 year yield curve has inverted.

The 2-year yield is also more than the 5-year yield.  This means the 2-5 year yield curve has also inverted.

The short-term yield curves have inverted and these short-term yield curve inversions will lead to the 2-10 year yield curve to invert too.

The 2-10 yield curve is the pre-eminent recession indicator.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/12/the-us-3-year-and-5-year-yield-curve.html

1 comment:

Eric Ho said...

The FED rate hike in Dec 2018 will cause more yield curve inversion because the interest rate hike affects the short-term US treasuries.