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Wednesday, July 25, 2018

Sheng Siong - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.95 1.21 Buy DCF, PER26x FY17
01/19/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.925 1.19 Buy
01/20/17 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 0.93 1.12 Buy PER25.1x FY17
02/01/17 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.93 1.15 Buy
02/07/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.95 1.21 Buy
02/24/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.955 1.04 Hold DCF
02/27/17 CIMB Sheng Siong 0.955 0.94 Hold PER23.3x CY18
02/27/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.955 1.13 Buy PER25x FY17
02/27/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.955 1.01 Hold DCF
02/27/17 Kim Eng Sheng Siong 0.955 0.85 Sell DCF
02/27/17 phillip Sheng Siong 0.955 1.06 Accumulate PER23x
02/27/17 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 0.955 1.08 Buy PER23.2x FY18
03/08/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.94 1.21 Buy DCF
03/14/17 CIMB Sheng Siong 0.94 0.94 Hold PER23.3x CY18
03/17/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.935 1.13 Buy
04/10/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.995 1.13 Buy PER25x FY17
04/17/17 phillip Sheng Siong 0.99 1.06 Accumulate
05/02/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.98 1.01 Hold DCF
05/02/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.98 1.21 Buy DCF
05/02/17 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.98 1.15 Buy
05/03/17 CIMB Sheng Siong 0.975 0.94 Hold
05/03/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.975 1.14 Buy PER25x FY17
05/03/17 Kim Eng Sheng Siong 0.975 0.85 Sell DCF
05/03/17 phillip Sheng Siong 0.975 1.06 Accumulate PER23x FY17
05/03/17 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 0.975 1.09 Buy PER23.2x FY18
06/13/17 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.98 1.15 Buy
06/14/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.985 1.01 Hold DCF
06/16/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.975 1.14 Buy
06/21/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.975 1.2 Buy PER25x FY18
07/04/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1 1.21 Buy
07/14/17 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.98 1.15 Buy
07/28/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.95 1.01 Hold DCF
07/28/17 CIMB Sheng Siong 0.95 0.94 Hold PER23.3x CY18
07/28/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.95 1.2 Buy PER25x FY18
07/31/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.96 0.86 Underperform DCF
07/31/17 phillip Sheng Siong 0.96 1.06 Accumulate PER23x
07/31/17 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 0.96 1.06 Hold PER23.2x FY18, Buy @ $0.90
07/31/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.96 1.05 Neutral DCF & PER20x
07/31/17 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.96 1.04 Buy
09/07/17 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.92 1.04 Buy
10/27/17 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.93 1.19 Buy PER25x FY18
10/27/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.93 0.98 Neutral DCF & PER18x
10/27/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.93 0.88 Underperform DCF
10/30/17 phillip Sheng Siong 0.94 1.13 Buy PER23x
10/30/17 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 0.94 1.06 Hold PER22.5x FY18
10/30/17 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.94 1.04 Buy
10/30/17 CIMB Sheng Siong 0.94 0.98 Hold PER22.6x CY18
11/20/17 DIR Sheng Siong 0.965 0.88 Underperform DCF
11/29/17 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.95 0.98 Neutral
12/04/17 phillip Sheng Siong 0.935 1.18 Buy
02/19/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.915 0.99 Neutral Up from $0.93
02/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 0.92 1.06 Hold
02/23/18 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 0.925 1.2 Buy PER25x FY18
02/26/18 phillip Sheng Siong 0.93 1.13 Buy PER23x FY18
02/26/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.93 0.98 Neutral DCF & PER
02/26/18 OCBC Sheng Siong 0.93 1.06 Buy
02/26/18 CIMB Sheng Siong 0.93 1.08 Add PER22.3x CY19
03/19/18 phillip Sheng Siong 0.945 1.13 Buy
04/03/18 Kim Eng Sheng Siong 0.95 1.2 Buy DCF, PER25x FY18, EV/Ebitda7x
04/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 0.95 1.1 Buy
04/11/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 0.97 1.11 Buy DCF & PER21x
04/16/18 phillip Sheng Siong 1 1.13 Accumulate
04/30/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1.02 1.18 Buy DCF & PER
04/30/18 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 1.02 1.09 Hold PER22.5x FY18, Buy @ $0.98
04/30/18 OCBC Sheng Siong 1.02 1.06 Buy
04/30/18 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 1.02 1.21 Buy PER25x FY18
05/02/18 phillip Sheng Siong 1.02 1.13 Accumulate PER23x FY18
05/02/18 CIMB Sheng Siong 1.02 1.18 Add PER22.3x FY19
05/21/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1 1.18 Buy DCF & PER
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1 1.18 Buy
06/28/18 OCBC Sheng Siong 1.05 1.12 Buy
07/04/18 CIMB Sheng Siong 1.06 1.18 Add PER22.2x FY19
07/13/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1.08 1.27 Buy DCF

SGX - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/11/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.24 7.6 Neutral
01/11/17 Goldman Sachs SGX 7.24 7.3 Neutral
01/11/17 Deutsche SGX 7.24 7 Hold
01/16/17 DBS Vickers SGX 7.39 8.3 Buy DDM
01/16/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.39 9.1 Buy PER25x FY18
01/16/17 UBS SGX 7.39 8 Buy
01/20/17 CIMB SGX 7.48 7.23 Hold DDM
01/20/17 Lim & Tan SGX 7.48 0 Buy
01/20/17 OCBC SGX 7.48 7.64 Hold PER22x, Buy @ $7.20 or lower
02/09/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.55 7.6 Neutral
02/14/17 Macquarie SGX 7.62 8.25 Outperform
03/09/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.57 7.6 Neutral
03/09/17 phillip SGX 7.57 7.75 Accumulate
03/14/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.58 9.1 Buy PER25x FY18
03/17/17 DBS Vickers SGX 7.63 8.3 Buy
03/28/17 CIMB SGX 7.56 8.09 Add PER24x FY18
03/28/17 JP Morgan SGX 7.56 8.5 Overweight Up from $7.90
03/28/17 Goldman Sachs SGX 7.56 7.95 Neutral
04/10/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.66 7.6 Neutral
04/12/17 CIMB SGX 7.58 8.09 Add PER24x FY18
04/12/17 UBS SGX 7.58 8.4 Buy
04/21/17 CIMB SGX 7.45 8.16 Add PER24x FY18
04/21/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.45 9.1 Buy PER25x FY18
04/21/17 Lim & Tan SGX 7.45 0 Buy
04/21/17 Macquarie SGX 7.45 7.5 Neutral DDM, PER22.3x
04/21/17 OCBC SGX 7.45 7.53 Hold Buy @ $7.1 or lower
04/21/17 phillip SGX 7.45 7.45 Neutral PER23.9x
04/21/17 Goldman Sachs SGX 7.45 7.8 Neutral
05/08/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.43 7.6 Neutral
05/24/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.41 9.1 Buy PER25x FY18
05/24/17 Goldman Sachs SGX 7.41 7.9 Neutral
06/20/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.34 9 Buy PER24x FY18
06/20/17 Lim & Tan SGX 7.34 0 Buy
07/28/17 CIMB SGX 7.54 8.04 Add PER24x FY18
07/28/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.54 7.6 Neutral
07/28/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.54 9 Buy PER24x FY18
07/28/17 OCBC SGX 7.54 7.83 Hold PER23x
07/28/17 JP Morgan SGX 7.54 8.4 Overweight
07/31/17 phillip SGX 7.59 7.63 Accumulate PER23.9x
07/31/17 DBS Vickers SGX 7.59 8.2 Buy PER24x FY18
09/08/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.46 7.6 Neutral
09/18/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.42 9 Buy PER24x FY19
09/27/17 Goldman Sachs SGX 7.44 8.5 Buy
10/11/17 Credit Suisse SGX 7.64 7.6 Neutral
10/11/17 JP Morgan SGX 7.64 8.3 Overweight
10/17/17 phillip SGX 7.66 8.39 Accumulate PER23.9x
10/19/17 Lim & Tan SGX 7.63 0 Buy
10/26/17 CIMB SGX 7.57 8.21 Add PER24x FY19
10/26/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.57 9 Buy PER24x FY19
10/26/17 OCBC SGX 7.57 7.87 Hold
10/26/17 DBS Vickers SGX 7.57 8.4 Buy DDM, PER24x FY18
10/27/17 phillip SGX 7.61 8.31 Accumulate PER23.9x
11/21/17 phillip SGX 7.52 8.31 Accumulate PER23.9x
11/21/17 JP Morgan SGX 7.52 8.4 Overweight
11/21/17 Goldman Sachs SGX 7.52 8.6 Buy
12/04/17 DMG & Partners SGX 7.55 9 Buy PER24x FY19
12/20/17 CIMB SGX 7.43 8.21 Add
12/20/17 Kim Eng SGX 7.43 8.3 Buy
01/22/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.98 9 Buy PER24x FY19
01/22/18 Kim Eng SGX 7.98 8.82 Buy PER23x FY19
01/22/18 DBS Vickers SGX 7.98 8.9 Buy DDM, PER21x FY19
01/22/18 OCBC SGX 7.98 8.16 Hold PER24x FY18
01/22/18 CIMB SGX 7.98 8.5 Add PER24x FY19
01/22/18 phillip SGX 7.98 9 Accumulate DCF
01/22/18 UBS SGX 7.98 8.7 Buy
02/07/18 CIMB SGX 7.88 8.5 Add PER24x FY19
02/07/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.88 9 Buy PER24x FY19
02/07/18 OCBC SGX 7.88 8.16 Hold
02/07/18 Kim Eng SGX 7.88 8.82 Buy PER23x FY19
02/07/18 DBS Vickers SGX 7.88 8.9 Buy DDM, PER21x FY19
02/13/18 JP Morgan SGX 7.31 9 Overweight
02/13/18 Jefferies SGX 7.31 8 Buy
02/13/18 UBS SGX 7.31 8.7 Buy
02/13/18 CIMB SGX 7.31 7.85 Hold PER24x FY19
02/13/18 Goldman Sachs SGX 7.31 6.6 Sell
02/14/18 phillip SGX 7.3 8.89 Buy DCF
02/19/18 Jefferies SGX 7.37 8 Buy
02/20/18 DBS Vickers SGX 7.71 8.9 Buy DDM, PER21x FY19
03/08/18 Kim Eng SGX 7.44 8.73 Buy PER23x FY19
03/13/18 Amfrasers SGX 7.58 8.14 Buy
04/23/18 phillip SGX 7.56 9.2 Buy DCF
04/23/18 CIMB SGX 7.56 8.2 Add PER24x FY19
04/23/18 Lim & Tan SGX 7.56 0 Buy
04/23/18 OCBC SGX 7.56 8.22 Buy
04/23/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.56 9 Buy PER24x FY19
05/23/18 Lim & Tan SGX 7.48 0 Buy on weakness
06/01/18 OCBC SGX 7.24 7.89 Buy PER23x
06/22/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.25 9 Buy PER24x FY19
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian SGX 7.14 8.14 Not Rated
07/18/18 Macquarie SGX 7.45 7.7 Neutral
07/25/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.5 9 Buy PER24x FY19

Stock calls for 25 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/25/18 OCBC ART 1.13 1 Sell
07/25/18 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.13 1.18 Hold DDM
07/25/18 CIMB ART 1.13 1.16 Hold DDM
07/25/18 DBS Vickers ART 1.13 1.25 Buy DCF
07/25/18 Kim Eng Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.55 Buy DDM
07/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.32 Buy DDM
07/25/18 OCBC Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.49 Buy
07/25/18 CIMB Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 2.41 Add DDM
07/25/18 Lim & Tan Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.27 0 Hold
07/25/18 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.27 0.28 Hold DCF
07/25/18 OCBC Mapletree Industrial 2.02 2.06 Hold
07/25/18 Phillip Mapletree Industrial 2.02 2.09 Neutral DDM, PB1.42x FY19
07/25/18 CIMB Mapletree Logistics 1.29 1.39 Add DDM
07/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Mapletree Logistics 1.29 1.36 Hold
07/25/18 DBS Vickers Mapletree Logistics 1.29 1.53 Buy
07/25/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.5 9 Buy PER24x FY19
07/25/18 OCBC Suntec Reit 1.89 1.84 Hold
07/25/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.74 0.94 Buy Sum of parts

Danger is lurking for Hong Kong stock market! - Part 2

Hang Seng Index (HSI)


The HKD is still under tremendous stress as it can be seen from the statistics above which show that the HKD is still near the HKMA intervention rate of HKD$7.85.  This stress is prompting the HKMA to raise the interest rate to reduce the Hibor-Libor spread.  We can also detect the stress in the HSI because it has been trending down from more than 32,000 to around 29,000 as the fear of collateral damages from the higher interest rate sets in.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/03/danger-is-lurking-for-hong-kong-stock.html

Tuesday, July 24, 2018

The Lee family has gay genes!



Lee Huan Wu is the second son of Lee Hsien Yang and he is a gay.

From my reliable sources, I know that he is not the only one in the Lee family.

Serial System - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/23/17 NRA Serial System 0.178 0.24 Overweight PER11.3x FY17
05/22/18 NRA Serial System 0.1666 0.24 Overweight DCF

Sembcorp Marine - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/05/17 Deutsche Sembcorp Marine 1.42 1.9 Buy PB1.5x FY17
01/05/17 Morgan Stanley Sembcorp Marine 1.42 1 Underweight
01/06/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.455 1.7 Add PB1.3x CY17
01/13/17 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.51 1.55 Hold PB1.3x FY17
01/16/17 DIR Sembcorp Marine 1.515 0.94 Sell PB0.9x FY16/17
01/16/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.515 1.61 Hold PB1.3x FY17, Buy @ $1.45
01/17/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.49 1.43 Hold
01/25/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.545 1.2 Neutral
02/07/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.475 1.7 Add PB1.3x FY17
02/17/17 CLSA Sembcorp Marine 1.545 2 Buy
02/23/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.535 1.88 Add PB1.5x
02/23/17 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.535 1.78 Buy PB1.5x FY17
02/23/17 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Marine 1.535 1.46 Neutral PER16x FY17
02/23/17 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.535 0 Buy
02/23/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.535 1.76 Buy PB1.4x FY17
02/23/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.535 1.61 Hold PB1.2x, FY17, Buy @ $1.45
02/24/17 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.815 1.58 Reduce PER25.4x
02/28/17 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 1.73 1.63 Hold
03/01/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.78 2.4 Outperform
03/06/17 Deutsche Sembcorp Marine 2.03 2.1 Buy
03/06/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 2.03 1.61 Hold PB1.2x FY17
03/14/17 DIR Sembcorp Marine 1.86 1.22 Sell PB1x FY17
04/03/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.92 1.61 Hold PB1.3x FY17, Buy @ $1.45
04/10/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.875 2.4 Outperform
04/28/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.73 1.88 Add PB1.5x CY17
04/28/17 DIR Sembcorp Marine 1.73 1.22 Sell PB1x FY17
04/28/17 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.73 0 Hold
04/28/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.73 2.01 Buy PB1.6x FY17
04/28/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.73 1.43 Sell PB1.1x FY17
04/28/17 UBS Sembcorp Marine 1.73 1.75 Neutral
05/02/17 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.63 1.78 Buy PB1.5x FY17
05/02/17 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Marine 1.63 1.65 Neutral PB1.3x
05/02/17 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.63 1.58 Neutral PER23.9x
06/06/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.665 2.4 Outperform
06/09/17 Deutsche Sembcorp Marine 1.64 2.1 Buy PB1.7x FY17
06/12/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.635 2.01 Buy
06/20/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.595 1.43 Sell PB1.1x FY17
07/11/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.68 1.88 Add PB1.5x FY17
07/18/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.65 2.4 Outperform
07/21/17 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.74 2.3 Buy PB1.8x FY17
07/28/17 DIR Sembcorp Marine 1.74 1.22 Sell PB1x FY17/18
07/28/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.74 1.8 Hold PB1.4x FY18, Buy @ $1.60
07/28/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.74 1.98 Buy PB1.6x FY17
07/28/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.74 1.87 Add PB1.5x FY17
07/28/17 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.74 0 Hold
07/28/17 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Marine 1.74 1.65 Neutral PB1.3x FY17
07/31/17 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.695 1.55 Reduce PER28.5x
07/31/17 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 1.695 2.05 Buy PB1.8x FY17
08/01/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.685 2.4 Outperform PER43.4x FY17, PB1.4x
08/25/17 Morgan Stanley Sembcorp Marine 1.605 1.05 Underweight
09/12/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.575 1.87 Add PB1.5x FY17
09/12/17 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Marine 1.575 1.65 Neutral PB1.3x FY17
09/15/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.59 1.8 Hold
09/19/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.63 1.98 Buy
09/19/17 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.63 0 Buy
09/19/17 UBS Sembcorp Marine 1.63 1.67 Neutral
09/20/17 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.67 2.3 Buy PB1.8x FY17
09/27/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.68 2.4 Outperform
10/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.745 1.77 Hold PB1.3x, Buy @ $1.60
10/05/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.745 1.87 Add PB1.5x FY17
10/09/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.735 2.51 Add PB2x
10/09/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.735 1.9 Buy PB1.5x FY18
10/09/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.735 1.98 Buy
10/09/17 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.735 2.3 Buy
10/09/17 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.735 1.82 Neutral PER33.6x FY18
10/09/17 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.735 0 Buy
10/09/17 UBS Sembcorp Marine 1.735 1.82 Neutral
10/10/17 DIR Sembcorp Marine 1.815 1.22 Sell PB1x FY17/18
10/10/17 DMG & Partners Sembcorp Marine 1.815 1.65 Neutral
10/24/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.86 2.4 Outperform
10/24/17 Deutsche Sembcorp Marine 1.86 2.6 Buy
11/01/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.93 2.49 Add PB2x FY18
11/01/17 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.93 2.4 Outperform
11/01/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.93 2.26 Buy PB1.8x
11/01/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.93 2.1 Buy
11/01/17 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.93 0 Buy
11/02/17 phillip Sembcorp Marine 2.01 1.91 Neutral PER38.2x FY18
11/02/17 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.01 2.3 Buy PB1.8x FY17
11/02/17 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 2.01 2.05 Hold
11/03/17 Morgan Stanley Sembcorp Marine 2.01 1.18 Underweight PB1x
11/03/17 UBS Sembcorp Marine 2.01 1.85 Neutral
12/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.87 2.1 Buy PB1.6x FY19
12/04/17 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 1.87 2.05 Hold
12/20/17 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.93 2.49 Add PB2x FY18
12/26/17 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.94 1.74 Sell PB1.8x
12/27/17 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.87 0 Hold Bribery alert!
12/27/17 Deutsche Sembcorp Marine 1.87 2.4 Buy PB1.8x
01/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.84 2.1 Buy
01/02/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.84 2.49 Add PB2x FY18
01/03/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.87 1.78 Hold PB1.85x
01/05/18 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 1.83 2.05 Hold
01/22/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.3 2.37 Hold PB2x FY18
01/23/18 UBS Sembcorp Marine 2.39 3.06 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.39 3.1 Buy PB2.4x FY18
02/02/18 Deutsche Sembcorp Marine 2.57 2.9 Buy
02/02/18 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 2.57 3 Outperform
02/07/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.71 2.49 Neutral Buy @ $2
02/13/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.37 3.1 Buy
02/22/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.63 2.43 Hold
02/22/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 2.63 1.9 Hold PB1.6x FY19, Buy @ $1.80
02/22/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.63 2.9 Buy PB2.4x FY18
02/22/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.63 3.01 Add PB2.5x FY18
02/26/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 2.23 1.91 Reduce PER43.4x FY18
02/27/18 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 2.18 2.06 Hold
03/05/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.02 3.01 Add PB2.5x FY18
03/05/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.02 2.07 Hold PB1.7x FY18/19
03/06/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.9 2.9 Buy PB2.4x FY18
03/26/18 Morgan Stanley Sembcorp Marine 2.09 2.45 Overweight PB2.2x FY18, Up from $1.48 ({PB1.2x)
03/28/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 2.21 2.78 Buy
04/03/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.22 2.9 Buy
04/06/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.17 3.01 Add PB2.5x FY18
04/11/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.07 Hold
04/23/18 Macquarie Sembcorp Marine 2.32 1.8 Underperform PB1.5x
04/26/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.52 Add PB
04/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.05 Hold PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.90
04/26/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.1 Hold PB1.75x FY18/19
04/26/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.23 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
04/26/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 2.23 0 Hold
04/27/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 2.11 1.85 Reduce PER51.4x
04/27/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.11 2.9 Buy PB2.4x FY18
05/08/18 Amfrasers Sembcorp Marine 2.1 2.64 Buy PB2.4x FY18
05/08/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 2.1 2.1 Hold
05/22/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.27 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
06/05/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 2.11 2.9 Buy
06/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.05 Hold
07/11/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 1.97 2.52 Add PB2.2x CY18
07/13/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.95 2.9 Buy
07/23/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.96 1.83 Hold PB1.7x FY19, Buy @ $1.73
07/23/18 Credit Suisse Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.4 Outperform
07/23/18 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.1 Hold
07/23/18 phillip Sembcorp Marine 1.96 1.78 Reduce PB1.6x FY19
07/24/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.83 2.5 Buy
07/24/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.83 0 Hold

Stock calls for 24 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/24/18 DBS Vickers First Sponsor 1.25 1.62 Buy
07/24/18 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.2 8.57 Buy
07/24/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.275 0.36 Buy
07/24/18 OCBC Mapletree Logistics 1.28 1.34 Buy
07/24/18 UOB Kay Hian Raffles Medical 1.1 1.28 Buy DCF, PER34.8x FY18
07/24/18 DBS Vickers Sembcorp Marine 1.83 2.5 Buy
07/24/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Marine 1.83 0 Hold
07/24/18 Jefferies Wing Tai 2.11 2.4 Buy

The USA is getting antsy because it is losing the trade war now.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/article/2155890/xi-jinping-doesnt-intend-follow-through-trade-war-talks-says-top-donald

China Xi Jinping has stopped all trade negotiations with the USA and this is causing the USA to get very antsy as the USA will face an arduous November election this year.

China knows that Trump will lose the November election if this trade war continues or escalates.  The USA doesn't have the high saving rates and political will to win this trade war and China capitalizes on these weaknesses to win the trade war.

The USA is trying very hard to get China back into the trade negotiation but China is playing it cool by ignoring the USA.

The analysts and academia who said that China would bow to the USA or lose in this trade war just didn't understand the whole situation well enough and made the wrong judgement call.  We need to look at the situation from a holistic viewpoint rather than a singularity point (trade figures) to make an accurate assessment.

If we just look at trade figures between US & China per se, I will agree that China will lose based on this simplicity of argument but the real situation is more complex than the trade figures.

In any analysis, there are qualitative and quantitive assessments.  However, many analysts and researchers relied more on qualitative assessment and erred in their judgement call.