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Saturday, September 30, 2023

Latest economic updates for the past week.

 Q2 US GDP growth: 2.1%

As stated previously, the US GDP growth would deteriorate in the 2nd half of 2023 compared to the 1st half.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2023/09/3-important-economic-statistics-for.html

Where's the proof?

The US consumer credit had peaked and would decline as it was unsustainable over a long period.  A recession would follow whenever the consumer credit was in a decline as shown on the chart below.


The consumer credit had started to decline (below 0%) as shown on the chart below.
As stated previously, there won't be any significant fall in the US inflation anymore.


The latest PCE chart corroborated our prognosis for the US inflation.

Hong Fok - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Hong Fok

1.01

1.9

Buy


Ho Bee - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/12/22

DBS Vickers

Ho Bee

2.81

3.8

Buy


09/12/22

DBS Vickers

Ho Bee

2.78

3.8

Buy


12/23/22

Lim & Tan

Ho Bee

2.4

3.38

Hold


03/15/23

Lim & Tan

Ho Bee

2.22

3.38

Buy


07/17/23

Lim & Tan

Ho Bee

2.01

3.8

Accumulate


Guocoland - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/30/22

Lim & Tan

GuocoLand

1.67

2.3

Buy


09/02/22

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.67

2.3

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

11/01/22

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.55

2.3

Buy


01/20/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.62

2.3

Buy


04/05/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.63

2.3

Buy


04/14/23

Lim & Tan

GuocoLand

1.63

2.3

Overweight


07/04/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.52

2.3

Buy


08/30/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.5

2.3

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

09/07/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.53

2.3

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

Stock calls for 29 September 2023

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

09/29/23

DBS Vickers

City Developments

6.55

10.5

Buy


09/29/23

CIMB

City Developments

6.55

8.97

Add

RNAV

09/29/23

DMG & Partners

Isoteam

0.042

0.05

Buy


Friday, September 29, 2023

Grand Venture - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/26/22

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.685

1.4

Buy


08/12/22

CIMB

Grand Venture

0.7

0.85

Add


08/12/22

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.7

1.07

Buy


10/17/22

CIMB

Grand Venture

0.505

0.4

Reduce

PER9.6x FY23

10/18/22

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.455

0.57

Buy

PER12x FY23

11/09/22

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.505

0.57

Buy


01/06/23

CIMB

Grand Venture

0.52

0.52

Hold

PER10.4x FY24

02/21/23

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.52

0.57

Buy


02/22/23

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.525

0.6

Buy

PER12x FY23/24

05/10/23

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.49

0.6

Buy


05/10/23

Lim & Tan

Grand Venture

0.49

0.57

Buy


05/12/23

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.5

0.56

Buy

PER12x FY24

05/17/23

CIMB

Grand Venture

0.505

0.54

Hold

PER10.4x FY24

07/11/23

CIMB

Grand Venture

0.51

0.51

Hold


08/11/23

DBS Vickers

Grand Venture

0.615

0.71

Buy

PER18x FY24

08/11/23

CIMB

Grand Venture

0.615

0.51

Hold


09/26/23

CIMB

Grand Venture

0.565

0.51

Reduce