Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/23/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Food Empire | 0.565 | 0.78 | Buy | PER19x FY17 |
03/02/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Food Empire | 0.57 | 0.78 | Buy | PER19x FY17 |
04/03/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Food Empire | 0.58 | 0.78 | Buy | |
04/11/17 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.575 | 0.76 | Buy | PER18x FY17 |
05/03/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Food Empire | 0.54 | 0.78 | Buy | |
05/12/17 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.58 | 0.85 | Buy | |
05/16/17 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.655 | 0.95 | Buy | PER18x FY17 |
05/16/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Food Empire | 0.655 | 0.9 | Buy | PER19x FY17 |
08/14/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Food Empire | 0.67 | 0.87 | Buy | PER19x FY17 |
08/14/17 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.67 | 0.95 | Buy | PER18x FY17 |
11/10/17 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.66 | 1 | Buy | PER18x FY18 |
12/19/17 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.655 | 1 | Buy | |
01/04/18 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.705 | 1 | Buy | PER12x FY18 |
02/20/18 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.67 | 1 | Buy | |
03/02/18 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.7 | 1.07 | Buy | PER18x FY18 |
05/14/18 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.67 | 1.07 | Buy | PER18x FY18 |
06/22/18 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.65 | 1.07 | Buy | |
08/15/18 | DMG & Partners | Food Empire | 0.56 | 0.6 | Neutral | PER14x FY18 |
Wednesday, October 3, 2018
Food Empire - Stock calls
Stock calls for 3 October 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
10/03/18 | UOB Kay Hian | CDL Hospitality | 1.61 | 1.86 | Buy | |
10/03/18 | UOB Kay Hian | CSE Global | 0.49 | 0.59 | Buy | |
10/03/18 | DMG & Partners | Dairy Farm | 9.42 | 9.6 | Buy | |
10/03/18 | DBS Vickers | Hi-P | 1 | 1.3 | Buy | PER12x FY19 |
10/03/18 | Macquarie | Keppel Corp | 7.04 | 8.4 | Outperform | Sum of parts |
10/03/18 | UOB Kay Hian | OCBC | 11.31 | 13.68 | Buy | |
10/03/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Singtel | 3.23 | 3.94 | Buy | |
10/03/18 | Tayrona Financial | TA Corp | 0.24 | 0.35 | Overweight | |
10/03/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Valuetronics | 0.7 | 0.96 | Buy | |
10/03/18 | OCBC | Wheelock Properties | 2.1 | 2.1 | Accept Offer | |
10/03/18 | OCBC | Yangzijiang | 1.26 | 1.32 | Hold |
IMF will cut global economic growth forecast next week.
https://www.publicfinanceinternational.org/news/2018/10/lagarde-hints-imf-set-cut-global-growth-forecast
This is an important event because the magnitude of the cut will send chills to the backbone of the economic growth engine.
If the forecast is revised down slightly, then it's a non-event but if the cut is more than expected, it will signal that the recession is coming.
This is an important event because the magnitude of the cut will send chills to the backbone of the economic growth engine.
If the forecast is revised down slightly, then it's a non-event but if the cut is more than expected, it will signal that the recession is coming.
A roundup of world economic growth.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/calls-100-oil-back-apos-130219558.html
The oil prices will continue to race ahead because of sanctions against Iran and Venezuela.
The Europe and Asia including China are slowing down.
The US interest rates will continue to go up.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/09/a-roundup-of-us-economic-situation.html
The US-China trade war will intensify no matter what because of Trump's "America First" policy. Therefore, there will be more tariffs coming in the future to push up inflation around the globe.
The oil prices will continue to race ahead because of sanctions against Iran and Venezuela.
The Europe and Asia including China are slowing down.
The US interest rates will continue to go up.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/09/a-roundup-of-us-economic-situation.html
The US-China trade war will intensify no matter what because of Trump's "America First" policy. Therefore, there will be more tariffs coming in the future to push up inflation around the globe.
Tuesday, October 2, 2018
First Sponsor - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
08/31/17 | Amfrasers | First Sponsor | 1.37 | 1.62 | Not Rated | RNAV (25% discount) |
02/09/18 | Lim & Tan | First Sponsor | 1.41 | 0 | Buy | |
07/24/18 | DBS Vickers | First Sponsor | 1.25 | 1.62 | Buy |
First Ship Lease Trust - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
08/14/17 | Amfrasers | First Ship Lease Trust | 0.08 | 0.13 | Buy | DCF |
12/13/17 | Amfrasers | First Ship Lease Trust | 0.082 | 0.15 | Buy | DCF |
01/17/18 | Amfrasers | First Ship Lease Trust | 0.093 | 0.15 | Buy |
First Resources - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/03/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.9 | 1.8 | Neutral | |
01/11/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.915 | 2.32 | Add | |
01/11/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.915 | 1.9 | Hold | |
01/11/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.915 | 1.97 | Hold | |
01/31/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.955 | 1.98 | Buy | |
02/01/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.93 | 1.97 | Hold | |
02/03/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.935 | 2.15 | Buy | PER17x FY17 |
02/06/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.965 | 2 | Hold | PER19x FY17 |
02/13/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.97 | 1.9 | Hold | |
02/17/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.96 | 2.19 | Buy | |
02/28/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.87 | 2.32 | Add | PER13x FY18 |
03/01/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.885 | 2.15 | Buy | DCF |
03/01/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.885 | 1.97 | Hold | PER17x FY17 |
03/01/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.885 | 2.15 | Buy | PER17x FY17 |
03/09/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.94 | 1.9 | Neutral | |
04/11/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.915 | 1.8 | Neutral | |
05/02/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.875 | 2.15 | Buy | PER17x FY17 |
05/12/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.96 | 2.32 | Add | PER13x FY18 |
05/12/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.96 | 1.97 | Hold | PER17x FY17 |
05/15/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.955 | 2.05 | Neutral | PER17x FY17 |
05/16/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 2 | 2.15 | Buy | DCF |
06/29/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.915 | 1.95 | Hold | |
07/11/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.89 | 2.15 | Buy | |
07/20/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.885 | 1.95 | Hold | PER16x FY18, Buy @ $1.75 |
08/14/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.84 | 1.97 | Hold | PER17x FY17 |
08/14/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.84 | 2.05 | Neutral | PER17x FY17 |
08/15/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.84 | 2.32 | Add | PER13x FY18 |
08/15/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.84 | 2.13 | Buy | DCF |
08/21/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.8 | 1.95 | Hold | |
08/28/17 | DIR | First Resources | 1.905 | 2.11 | Outperform | PER13x FY17/18 |
09/11/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.88 | 1.97 | Hold | |
09/13/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.885 | 2.13 | Buy | |
10/09/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.925 | 1.95 | Hold | PER16x FY18, Buy @ $1.75 |
10/11/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.93 | 2.04 | Hold | PER17x FY17 |
10/11/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.93 | 2.32 | Add | |
11/02/17 | Credit Suisse | First Resources | 1.98 | 2.3 | Neutral | PER16x FY18 |
11/03/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.96 | 2.32 | Add | |
11/13/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.94 | 2.04 | Hold | PER17x FY17 |
11/13/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.94 | 2.13 | Buy | |
11/14/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.95 | 2.04 | Hold | PER17x FY17 |
11/14/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.95 | 2.13 | Neutral | PER13x FY18 |
11/14/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.95 | 2.13 | Add | PER13x FY19 |
11/15/17 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.93 | 2.18 | Buy | DCF, PER14.5x FY18 |
11/15/17 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.93 | 1.95 | Hold | PER16x FY18, Buy @ $1.75 |
11/15/17 | Credit Suisse | First Resources | 1.93 | 2.3 | Neutral | |
12/04/17 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.88 | 2.13 | Add | |
12/13/17 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.88 | 2.04 | Hold | |
12/13/17 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.88 | 2.03 | Neutral | PER12x FY18 |
01/04/18 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.88 | 2.13 | Add | |
01/15/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.87 | 2.18 | Buy | |
02/08/18 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.84 | 1.95 | Hold | PER16x FY18x, Buy @ $1.75 |
02/13/18 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.75 | 2.04 | Hold | |
02/27/18 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.76 | 2.2 | Buy | PER17x FY18 |
02/27/18 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.76 | 1.75 | Neutral | PER12x FY18 |
02/28/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.79 | 2.18 | Buy | DCF, PER15.8x FY18 |
02/28/18 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.79 | 2.03 | Add | PER15x CY19 |
02/28/18 | Credit Suisse | First Resources | 1.79 | 2.3 | Neutral | |
03/05/18 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.76 | 2.2 | Buy | |
03/07/18 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.76 | 1.95 | Hold | PER16x FY18 |
03/14/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.75 | 2.18 | Buy | |
04/03/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.68 | 2.18 | Buy | |
05/07/18 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.69 | 1.6 | Hold | PER13x FY18, Buy @ $1.40 |
05/15/18 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.61 | 2.03 | Add | PER15x CY19 |
05/15/18 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.61 | 1.75 | Neutral | PER12x FY18 |
05/16/18 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.56 | 1.6 | Neutral | PER12x FY18 |
05/16/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.56 | 2.18 | Buy | |
06/21/18 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.55 | 1.6 | Hold | |
07/03/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.55 | 2 | Buy | DCF |
07/11/18 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.55 | 2 | Buy | |
08/02/18 | UOB Kay Hian | First Resources | 1.62 | 1.6 | Hold | PER13x FY18, Buy @ $1.40 |
08/14/18 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.56 | 2 | Buy | |
08/14/18 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.56 | 1.6 | Neutral | PER11x FY19 |
08/14/18 | CIMB | First Resources | 1.56 | 2.03 | Add | PER15x CY19 |
08/16/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.59 | 2 | Buy | DCF |
09/13/18 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.67 | 2 | Buy | |
09/13/18 | DBS Vickers | First Resources | 1.67 | 2 | Buy |
Stock calls for 2 October 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
10/02/18 | Lim & Tan | A-Reit | 2.63 | 0 | Hold | |
10/02/18 | DBS Vickers | CapitaCommercial | 1.78 | 2.12 | Buy | |
10/02/18 | DMG & Partners | Capitaland | 3.36 | 4 | Neutral | |
10/02/18 | CIMB | City Developments | 9.05 | 10.89 | Add | |
10/02/18 | phillip | DBS | 25.97 | 33.32 | Buy | |
10/02/18 | CIMB | Ho Bee | 2.59 | 3 | Add | |
10/02/18 | Amfrasers | Keppel Corp | 7.04 | 9.43 | Buy | Sum of parts |
10/02/18 | DBS Vickers | Netlink | 0.785 | 0.87 | Buy | |
10/02/18 | phillip | OCBC | 11.45 | 14.9 | Buy | |
10/02/18 | DBS Vickers | Sembcorp Industries | 3.07 | 3.9 | Buy | Sum of parts (10% discount), PER19.2x FY18, PB1x FY18 |
10/02/18 | CIMB | Sembcorp Industries | 3.07 | 3.49 | Add | Sum of parts |
10/02/18 | Amfrasers | Sheng Siong | 1.13 | 1.24 | Buy | DCF, PER25.1x FY18 |
10/02/18 | NRA | TA Corp | 0.24 | 0.35 | Overweight | RNAV (33% discount) |
10/02/18 | Amfrasers | Thai Beverage | 0.665 | 0.75 | Buy | Sum of parts |
10/02/18 | phillip | UOB | 27.05 | 33.69 | Buy | |
10/02/18 | CIMB | UOL | 6.88 | 8.45 | Add | |
10/02/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Venture | 18.52 | 18.2 | Hold | PER14x FY18, Buy @ $16 |
AFP news media released very contradictory news about the South China Sea incident.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/us-warship-sails-near-south-china-sea-area-claimed-by-beijing-10774406
Quote:
There was no immediate reaction from China, but a similar US operation in July, involving the disputed Paracel islands, prompted a furious Beijing to deploy military vessels and fighter jets.
End Quote.
Then, AFP released another update on its previous news.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/chinese-destroyer-sailed-extremely-close-to-us-warship-us-10779226
AFP stated that there was no immediate reaction from China but the truth was that China sent its destroyer to the region to chase US warship out of the region.
This showed that AFP didn't verify the news from the China side and took the US gospel truth as the veracity of the incident.
Quote:
There was no immediate reaction from China, but a similar US operation in July, involving the disputed Paracel islands, prompted a furious Beijing to deploy military vessels and fighter jets.
End Quote.
Then, AFP released another update on its previous news.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/chinese-destroyer-sailed-extremely-close-to-us-warship-us-10779226
AFP stated that there was no immediate reaction from China but the truth was that China sent its destroyer to the region to chase US warship out of the region.
This showed that AFP didn't verify the news from the China side and took the US gospel truth as the veracity of the incident.
Monday, October 1, 2018
First Reit - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/19/17 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.305 | 1.26 | Hold | |
01/19/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.305 | 1.32 | Hold | |
01/19/17 | phillip | First Reit | 1.305 | 1.32 | Accumulate | DDM |
03/16/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.285 | 1.32 | Hold | |
04/18/17 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.345 | 1.36 | Hold | DDM |
04/18/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.345 | 1.32 | Hold | Buy @ $1.25 or lower |
04/18/17 | phillip | First Reit | 1.345 | 1.32 | Hold | DDM |
05/25/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.31 | 1.32 | Hold | |
07/18/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.335 | 1.32 | Hold | |
07/18/17 | Lim & Tan | First Reit | 1.335 | 0 | Hold | |
07/19/17 | phillip | First Reit | 1.34 | 1.32 | Neutral | DDM, PB1.22x FY17 |
07/19/17 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.34 | 1.36 | Hold | DDM |
08/17/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.33 | 1.38 | Hold | |
10/03/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.335 | 1.38 | Hold | |
10/05/17 | Amfrasers | First Reit | 1.36 | 1.38 | Not Rated | DCF |
10/20/17 | phillip | First Reit | 1.37 | 1.32 | Neutral | DDM |
10/24/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.38 | 1.44 | Buy | |
10/25/17 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.38 | 1.39 | Hold | DDM |
12/11/17 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.39 | 1.44 | Buy | |
01/18/18 | Lim & Tan | First Reit | 1.4 | 0 | Hold | |
01/19/18 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.41 | 1.44 | Hold | DDM |
01/19/18 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.41 | 1.48 | Buy | |
01/23/18 | phillip | First Reit | 1.42 | 1.32 | Neutral | DDM |
04/18/18 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.37 | 1.44 | Hold | DDM |
04/19/18 | phillip | First Reit | 1.37 | 1.31 | Neutral | PB1.19x FY18 |
04/19/18 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.37 | 1.48 | Buy | |
05/25/18 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.35 | 1.48 | Buy | |
07/19/18 | phillip | First Reit | 1.32 | 1.31 | Neutral | DDM, PB1.21x |
07/19/18 | OCBC | First Reit | 1.32 | 1.34 | Hold | |
07/19/18 | CIMB | First Reit | 1.32 | 1.41 | Hold | DDM |
09/19/18 | phillip | First Reit | 1.24 | 1.31 | Neutral | DDM, PB1.12x FY18 |
Far East Hospitality - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/09/17 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.6 | 0.62 | Hold | DCF |
02/23/17 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.595 | 0.57 | Hold | DDM |
02/23/17 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.595 | 0.6 | Hold | |
02/24/17 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.6 | 0.63 | Hold | DCF |
05/15/17 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.6 | 0.66 | Buy | DCF |
05/15/17 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.6 | 0.6 | Hold | |
06/15/17 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.65 | 0.63 | Hold | DDM |
06/16/17 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.65 | 0.66 | Buy | |
08/04/17 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.67 | 0.6 | Hold | |
08/07/17 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.67 | 0.66 | Hold | |
08/07/17 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.67 | 0.66 | Hold | DDM |
08/08/17 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.67 | 0.7 | Buy | DCF |
09/04/17 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.66 | 0.66 | Hold | |
11/03/17 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.65 | Hold | |
11/03/17 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.69 | Hold | DDM |
11/03/17 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.76 | Buy | DCF |
12/14/17 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.71 | 0.69 | Hold | DDM |
01/04/18 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.725 | 0.84 | Add | |
01/15/18 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.72 | 0.82 | Add | DDM |
02/19/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.715 | 0.75 | Buy | |
03/09/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.72 | 0.75 | Buy | |
04/10/18 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.68 | 0.79 | Add | DDM |
04/17/18 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.68 | 0.76 | Buy | DCF |
04/27/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.675 | 0.735 | Buy | |
06/08/18 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.66 | 0.79 | Add | |
06/18/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.67 | 0.735 | Buy | |
07/06/18 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.625 | 0.76 | Buy | |
07/10/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.62 | 0.735 | Buy | |
07/30/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.68 | 0.675 | Hold | |
08/01/18 | CIMB | Far East Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.79 | Add | DDM |
08/01/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.69 | Hold | |
08/01/18 | Lim & Tan | Far East Hospitality | 0.69 | 0 | Hold | |
08/01/18 | DBS Vickers | Far East Hospitality | 0.69 | 0.74 | Buy | DCF |
08/13/18 | OCBC | Far East Hospitality | 0.62 | 0.69 | Buy | |
09/17/18 | Kim Eng | Far East Hospitality | 0.635 | 0.75 | Buy | DDM |
F&N - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/09/17 | DBS Vickers | F & N | 2.11 | 2.37 | Hold | Sum of parts |
02/10/17 | phillip | F & N | 2.12 | 1.8 | Reduce | EV/Ebitda15x |
03/24/17 | DMG & Partners | F & N | 2.22 | 2.76 | Not Rated | Sum of parts |
04/17/17 | phillip | F & N | 2.35 | 1.8 | Reduce | |
05/09/17 | DBS Vickers | F & N | 2.4 | 2.37 | Hold | Sum of parts |
05/11/17 | phillip | F & N | 2.38 | 2.31 | Neutral | Sum of parts |
06/29/17 | DBS Vickers | F & N | 2.34 | 2.57 | Hold | Sum of parts |
08/10/17 | DBS Vickers | F & N | 2.44 | 2.57 | Hold | Sum of parts, PER24.4x FY18 |
08/10/17 | phillip | F & N | 2.44 | 2.52 | Neutral | Sum of parts |
11/13/17 | phillip | F & N | 2.6 | 2.83 | Accumulate | Sum of parts, PER27.1x FY18 |
12/04/17 | phillip | F & N | 2.58 | 2.83 | Accumulate | |
02/13/18 | phillip | F & N | 2.39 | 2.83 | Accumulate | Sum of parts, PER27.1x FY18 |
03/19/18 | phillip | F & N | 2.25 | 2.83 | Buy | |
04/16/18 | phillip | F & N | 2.12 | 2.83 | Buy | |
05/10/18 | phillip | F & N | 2.08 | 2.75 | Buy | Sum of parts |
Stock calls for 1 October 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
10/01/18 | Kim Eng | A-Reit | 2.64 | 3.05 | Buy | DDM |
10/01/18 | OCBC | A-Reit | 2.64 | 2.71 | Hold | |
10/01/18 | CIMB | Capitamall Trust | 2.22 | 2.21 | Hold | |
10/01/18 | OCBC | Capitamall Trust | 2.22 | 2.1 | Hold | |
10/01/18 | DBS Vickers | Mapletree Commercial | 1.61 | 1.8 | Buy | DCF |
10/01/18 | DBS Vickers | Mapletree North Asia | 1.14 | 1.45 | Buy | DCF |
10/01/18 | DBS Vickers | Mapletree Industrial | 1.98 | 2.22 | Buy | DCF |
10/01/18 | DBS Vickers | Mapletree Logistics | 1.23 | 1.5 | Buy | |
10/01/18 | UOB Kay Hian | ST Engineering | 3.56 | 4.06 | Buy | EV/Invested capital & PER20.9x FY18 |
10/01/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Starhub | 1.87 | 2.1 | Buy | DCF |
10/01/18 | DMG & Partners | UOB | 27.08 | 33.3 | Buy | GGM, PB1.45x FY19 |
JP Morgan sees an all out trade war between the US & China.
https://www.theedgesingapore.com/jpmorgan-sees-all-out-us-china-tariffs-lowers-yuan-call
We also share the same view as JP Morgan.
Why?
If Trump loses the November mid-term election, he will continue to impose more tariffs against China because he knows that he will only be a one-term president and cannot continue to do so beyond 2020. Therefore, he will have no qualms to harden his anti-China stance.
If Trump wins the November mid-term election, he has proven that his actions are right and will continue to impose more tariffs against China because he has the Congress support.
Either way, he will just continue to force China to submit to the US no matter what.
We also share the same view as JP Morgan.
Why?
If Trump loses the November mid-term election, he will continue to impose more tariffs against China because he knows that he will only be a one-term president and cannot continue to do so beyond 2020. Therefore, he will have no qualms to harden his anti-China stance.
If Trump wins the November mid-term election, he has proven that his actions are right and will continue to impose more tariffs against China because he has the Congress support.
Either way, he will just continue to force China to submit to the US no matter what.
Sunday, September 30, 2018
New Apple Iphone has cell and wifi signal problems!
https://www.businessinsider.sg/iphone-xs-max-bad-cell-wifi-signal-strength-reports-2018-9/?r=US&IR=T
Apple customers will have to wait for the next patch to fix these signal problems. Hahaha!
Apple customers are paying high prices for low-quality phones. Have fun dealing with the problems!
Apple customers will have to wait for the next patch to fix these signal problems. Hahaha!
Apple customers are paying high prices for low-quality phones. Have fun dealing with the problems!
A roundup of US economic situation.
The US FED had just increased its interest rate and would continue to hike another time in Dec 2018. There will also be 3 interest rate increases in 2019 and 1 in 2020 as indicated by the dot plot chart. However, the inflation data is still benign insofar.
Something must be wrong somewhere because the US FED is upping the interest rates without any telltale sign of inflation. Actually, the US FED has noticed that the US economy is starting to overheat. Where are the telltale signs?
The US trade deficit has been increasing tremendously despite the import tariffs. This means the US imports are more than exports. In other words, the US consumers are willing to spend because of the good economic growth that they're enjoying now.
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/05/us-trade-deficit-jumps-by-the-most-in-3-years.html
Next, the US FED has also taken cognizant of the money liquidity issues in the financial system. In a nutshell, the economy is flushed with excess money and the money will be going after higher yield locally or overseas. However, the US FED doesn't want this excess money to leave the country. Thus, it has to increase the interest rate to retain the money in the US banking system.
The EFFR which is the interest rate that banks charge each other for the overnight loans to meet their reserve requirements has been trending higher over the years.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate
https://apps.newyorkfed.org/markets/autorates/fed%20funds
The IORR and IOER have also trended higher over the years. These 2 interest rates are at 2.2% now (2018) compared to 0.5% in 2016.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reqresbalances.htm
This excess of money in the economy is created by all the quantitative easing measures taken by the FED over the years and will create an overheating economy in the end.
Therefore, the US FED has to increase the interest rate and also perform QE tapering even though the inflation is benign at this moment.
Something must be wrong somewhere because the US FED is upping the interest rates without any telltale sign of inflation. Actually, the US FED has noticed that the US economy is starting to overheat. Where are the telltale signs?
The US trade deficit has been increasing tremendously despite the import tariffs. This means the US imports are more than exports. In other words, the US consumers are willing to spend because of the good economic growth that they're enjoying now.
https://www.cnbc.com/2018/09/05/us-trade-deficit-jumps-by-the-most-in-3-years.html
Next, the US FED has also taken cognizant of the money liquidity issues in the financial system. In a nutshell, the economy is flushed with excess money and the money will be going after higher yield locally or overseas. However, the US FED doesn't want this excess money to leave the country. Thus, it has to increase the interest rate to retain the money in the US banking system.
The EFFR which is the interest rate that banks charge each other for the overnight loans to meet their reserve requirements has been trending higher over the years.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Federal_funds_rate
https://apps.newyorkfed.org/markets/autorates/fed%20funds
The IORR and IOER have also trended higher over the years. These 2 interest rates are at 2.2% now (2018) compared to 0.5% in 2016.
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/reqresbalances.htm
This excess of money in the economy is created by all the quantitative easing measures taken by the FED over the years and will create an overheating economy in the end.
Therefore, the US FED has to increase the interest rate and also perform QE tapering even though the inflation is benign at this moment.
Saturday, September 29, 2018
Baltic dry index - 1540
Today, Friday, September 28 2018, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 16 points, reaching 1540 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco, Pan Ocean
US rig count - 1054
The US drilling rig count is up a single unit to 1,054 rigs working for the week ended Sept. 28, according to Baker Hughes data. The count is up 114 units from the 940 rigs working this time a year ago.
The single additional rig moved the total number of land rigs to 1,029 drilling for the week. Offshore units and those drilling in inland waters remained unchanged with 20 and 5 units working, respectively.
US oil-directed rigs were down 3 units from last week to 863 units working, and up from the 750 rigs drilling for oil this week a year ago. Gas-directed rigs were up 3 units at 189—the same number as were drilling a year ago.
Among the major oil and gas-producing states, Oklahoma saw the largest increase for the week with a 5-rig gain for a total of 141 rigs working.
Four states saw a single unit increase: Louisiana, 62; Colorado, 33; Utah, 6; and Alaska, 6.
Four states were unchanged this week: North Dakota, 53; Pennsylvania, 44; Ohio, 18; and West Virginia, 13.
Texas, New Mexico, and California each dropped 2 units to reach respective counts of 529, 97, and 13.
Wyoming dropped 1 unit to reach 29 rigs working for the week.
Canada saw another sizeable loss, dropping 19 rigs for the week. With 178 rigs running, the count falls below the 213 units drilling this week a year ago. Canada dropped 13 oil-directed rigs to reach 122 units for the week and lost 6 gas-directed rigs to reach 56 units.
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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine, Cosco.
Friday, September 28, 2018
Ezion - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/13/17 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.415 | 0.56 | Buy | |
01/13/17 | OCBC | Ezion | 0.415 | 0.54 | Buy | PB0.55x |
02/20/17 | CIMB | Ezion | 0.38 | 0.44 | Add | PB0.45x FY17 |
02/20/17 | Lim & Tan | Ezion | 0.38 | 0 | Reduce | |
02/20/17 | OCBC | Ezion | 0.38 | 0.54 | Buy | PB0.55x FY17 |
02/20/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Ezion | 0.38 | 0.39 | Hold | |
02/24/17 | CIMB | Ezion | 0.395 | 0.45 | Add | PB0.5x FY17 |
02/24/17 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.395 | 0.62 | Buy | PB0.7x FY17 |
02/24/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Ezion | 0.395 | 0.45 | Buy | PB0.65x FY17 |
02/27/17 | phillip | Ezion | 0.395 | 0.45 | Accumulate | DCF |
03/08/17 | Lim & Tan | Ezion | 0.37 | 0 | Hold | |
03/17/17 | CIMB | Ezion | 0.35 | 0.45 | Add | PB0.5x FY17 |
03/17/17 | DIR | Ezion | 0.35 | 0.31 | Underperform | Sum of parts |
04/10/17 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.365 | 0.62 | Buy | |
05/12/17 | OCBC | Ezion | 0.31 | 0.54 | Buy | |
05/15/17 | Amfrasers | Ezion | 0.31 | 0.25 | Sell | PB0.3x FY17 |
05/15/17 | CIMB | Ezion | 0.31 | 0.26 | Reduce | PB0.3x FY17 |
05/15/17 | DIR | Ezion | 0.31 | 0.29 | Underperform | Sum of parts |
05/15/17 | phillip | Ezion | 0.31 | 0.4 | Buy | DCF |
05/15/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Ezion | 0.31 | 0.33 | Hold | PB0.5x FY17, Buy @ $0.28 |
05/16/17 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.295 | 0.62 | Buy | PB0.7x FY17 |
05/23/17 | OCBC | Ezion | 0.295 | 0.32 | Hold | |
06/14/17 | UOB Kay Hian | Ezion | 0.25 | 0.33 | Hold | |
08/15/17 | CIMB | Ezion | 0.2 | 0.13 | Reduce | PB0.15x |
08/15/17 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.2 | 0.13 | Fully Valued | PB0.15x |
08/16/17 | phillip | Ezion | 0.197 | 0 | Suspended | |
11/10/17 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.197 | 0.13 | Fully Valued | PB0.15x FY17 |
01/12/18 | CIMB | Ezion | 0.197 | 0.13 | Reduce | PB0.15x CY17 |
04/04/18 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.197 | 0.13 | Fully Valued | |
04/10/18 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.197 | 0.29 | Buy | PB1.4x FY18 |
04/17/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Ezion | 0.197 | 0.18 | Hold | PB1x FY19, Buy @ $0.151 |
04/25/18 | Amfrasers | Ezion | 0.158 | 0.1 | Sell | RNAV |
05/15/18 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.115 | 0.29 | Buy | PB1.4x FY18 |
06/07/18 | DBS Vickers | Ezion | 0.105 | 0.29 | Buy | |
06/25/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Ezion | 0.09 | 0.12 | Hold |
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