New Launch - One Sophia For Sale!

New Launch - One Sophia For Sale!
Please click the advertisement for more information.

Search This Blog

Monday, July 15, 2019

Stock calls for 15 July 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/15/19 Phillip APAC Realty 0.545 0.65 Buy DCF
07/15/19 Phillip Capitaland 3.69 4 Accumulate
07/15/19 CIMB Capitaland 3.69 4.15 Add RNAV (35% discount)
07/15/19 OCBC Capitaland 3.69 4.04 Buy
07/15/19 UOB Kay Hian CDL Hospitality 1.65 2.06 Buy
07/15/19 OCBC City Developments 9.47 10.68 Buy
07/15/19 phillip Comfortdelgro 2.81 2.99 Accumulate DCF
07/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Fu Yu 0.215 0.29 Buy
07/15/19 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.69 4.74 Buy
07/15/19 Phillip Netlink 0.88 0.93 Accumulate DCF
07/15/19 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.385 0.41 Hold
07/15/19 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.37 5.05 Sell
07/15/19 phillip SGX 7.99 8.09 Accumulate PER21.4x
07/15/19 phillip Sheng Siong 1.1 1.3 Buy PER25x
07/15/19 Phillip Singtel 3.54 3.66 Accumulate Sum of parts
07/15/19 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.49 2.33 Hold Sum of parts
07/15/19 OCBC SPH Reit 1.1 1.05 Hold
07/15/19 UOB Kay Hian ST Engineering 4.29 4.7 Buy
07/15/19 OCBC UOL 7.61 8.5 Buy
07/15/19 DBS Vickers Venture 14.9 18.6 Buy PER13.7x FY20
07/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Venture 14.9 17.91 Hold
07/15/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.76 4.5 Buy Sum of parts
07/15/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.07 2.41 Buy
07/15/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.32 1.68 Buy

Saturday, July 13, 2019

Baltic dry index - 1865

Today, Friday, July 12 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 49 points, reaching 1865 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=========================
Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 958


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, July 12, 2019

The US-China trade war hurts the US more than China.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-imports-us-plunge-june-085814251.html

China's import of US goods fell 31.4% while US's import of China goods fell 7.8%.

Look like the Chinese are boycotting the US goods because the decline is fast and furious.

ARA Hospitality - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/18/19 UOB Kay Hian ARA Hospitality 0.87 1.15 Buy

APTV - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/19 Phillip APTV 0.13 0.14 Accumulate
05/16/19 Phillip APTV 0.178 0.16 Reduce EV/Ebitda11x

APAC Realty - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/12/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.5 0.72 Buy
02/12/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.5 0.56 Hold
03/01/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.57 0.72 Buy DCF
03/01/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.57 0.7 Buy PER12x
04/04/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.615 0.72 Buy RNAV
05/07/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.555 0.72 Buy
05/14/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.545 0.67 Buy DCF
05/16/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.525 0.58 Hold PER10x
06/03/19 Phillip APAC Realty 0.5 0.65 Buy DCF
06/06/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.5 0.67 Buy
06/07/19 CIMB APAC Realty 0.51 0.67 Add

Stock calls for 12 July 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/12/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.61 30.3 Buy PB1.47x FY20
07/12/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.64 2.95 Buy
07/12/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.65 1.7 Hold DCF
07/12/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.72 0.77 Hold DCF
07/12/19 DMG & Partners Keppel KBS 0.79 0.88 Buy DDM
07/12/19 DMG & Partners Manulife US Reit 0.875 0.98 Buy DDM
07/12/19 CIMB SPH Reit 1.12 1.11 Hold DDM
07/12/19 Lim & Tan SPH Reit 1.12 0 Hold

Singapore 2nd QTR GDP shrank 3.4%.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-economy-shrinks-warning-global-050122956.html

This is not surprising because of the US-China trade war.  SG's export is 200% more than its GDP.  In other words, our export is 3 times our GDP.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/06/singapore-nodx-fell-159-in-may-2019.html

SG's nodx export has been falling for 3 consecutive months as stated in our previous post above.

When international trades slow down, SG will be badly affected because our domestic consumption is too small to make up for the export slowdown.

Thursday, July 11, 2019

Amara - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/05/19 DMG & Partners Amara 0.46 0.88 Buy RNAV (35% discount)

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/25/19 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.42 1.5 Buy DDM
04/25/19 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.42 1.5 Buy DCF
05/16/19 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.4 1.5 Buy DCF

AEM - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/30/19 Kim Eng AEM 0.905 1.21 Buy PB2.9x FY19/20, EV/Ebitda5.2x FY20
02/26/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.05 1.24 Buy PB2.8x FY19/20
02/26/19 CIMB AEM 1.05 1.11 Hold PER10x FY20
04/26/19 CIMB AEM 1.16 1.21 Hold PER10x FY20
05/09/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.05 1.4 Buy PB3.1x FY19/20
06/11/19 Kim Eng AEM 0.945 1.4 Buy PB3.1x FY19/20

Stock calls for 11 July 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/11/19 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.82 2.77 Neutral PER19x FY19
07/11/19 UOB Kay Hian ISOTeam 0.245 0.3 Buy
07/11/19 CIMB Mapletree Industrial 2.29 2.32 Add DDM
07/11/19 Kim Eng Mapletree Industrial 2.29 2.4 Buy DDM
07/11/19 DBS Vickers Mapletree Industrial 2.29 2.5 Buy DCF

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Accordia Golf Trust - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/15/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.55 0.61 Hold
02/19/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.565 0.61 Buy
04/04/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.59 0.72 Buy
05/31/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.585 0.7 Buy

A-Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.57 2.9 Buy
01/04/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.57 2.78 Accumulate
01/17/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.74 2.95 Buy DDM
01/22/19 UOB Kay Hian A-Reit 2.71 3.01 Buy
01/31/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.72 2.88 Accumulate DDM, PB1.34x FY19
01/31/19 CIMB A-Reit 2.72 2.83 Add DDM
01/31/19 OCBC A-Reit 2.72 2.64 Hold
01/31/19 DBS Vickers A-Reit 2.72 2.95 Buy
02/15/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.75 2.88 Accumulate
02/28/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.81 2.95 Buy
03/07/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.83 2.9 Neutral DDM
03/07/19 CIMB A-Reit 2.83 2.83 Add
04/04/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.93 3.1 Buy
04/30/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 3.01 3.2 Buy DDM
04/30/19 OCBC A-Reit 3.01 2.74 Hold
04/30/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 3.01 2.9 Neutral DDM
05/02/19 Phillip A-Reit 3 2.88 Neutral DDM
05/02/19 CIMB A-Reit 3 2.87 Hold DDM
05/02/19 DBS Vickers A-Reit 3 3.2 Buy DCF
06/19/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.98 2.88 Neutral
06/25/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 3.01 3.2 Buy
06/27/19 DBS Vickers A-Reit 3.05 3.21 Buy
07/03/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 3.13 3.3 Buy DDM
07/04/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 3.15 2.9 Neutral

800Super - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/13/19 Phillip 800Super 0.685 0 Cease Coverage DCF
06/10/19 Novus 800Super 0.89 0.9 Accept offer offer $0.90

Stock calls for 10 July 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/10/19 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.3 1.6 Buy
07/10/19 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 2.84 2.76 Hold DCF
07/10/19 UOB Kay Hian Comfortdelgro 2.84 3.08 Buy
07/10/19 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.67 1.54 Add
07/10/19 CIMB Mapletree Commercial 2.05 2.03 Add
07/10/19 UOB Kay Hian Suntec Reit 1.95 2 Hold DDM, Buy @ $1.82

Tuesday, July 9, 2019

Yongnam - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.183 0.4 Add PB0.8x FY19
01/07/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.183 0.41 Add PB0.8x FY19
03/01/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.173 0.33 Add PB0.7x FY19
04/05/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.186 0.33 Add PB0.7x FY19
05/17/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.169 0.33 Add PB0.7x FY19

Yoma - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/12/19 DBS Vickers Yoma 0.345 0.4 Buy
04/11/19 DMG & Partners Yoma 0.32 0.57 Add Sum of parts (20% discount)
06/03/19 DBS Vickers Yoma 0.33 0.4 Buy RNAV (60% discount)

Yanlord - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.39 1.75 Buy PER5x
04/12/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.47 1.75 Buy PER5x FY19
05/16/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.44 1.68 Buy PER5x FY19/20
05/17/19 DBS Vickers Yanlord 1.44 1.47 Hold PER6x FY19/20

Stock calls for 9 July 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/09/19 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.215 0.24 Buy DCF
07/09/19 phillip HMI 0.720 0.73 Accept offer offer at $0.73
07/09/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.79 3.9 Buy

Fraud detected in Camsing.

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/banking-finance/chinese-wealth-manager-alleges-34-billion-yuan-fraud-at-camsing

Look like this company will go bankrupt after the fraud scandal.  The company is listed on SGX & HKEX.  The stock has plunged 90% in HK already.

SMRT fare hike is coming soon!

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/transport-fares-review-formula-needed-mrt-khaw-boon-wan-11700938

Look like price hike is an omnipotent solution to many problems in Singapore.  The only price hike that the PAP doesn't like is our wages because they want us to be faster and cheaper.

Sigh!

The US government may shut down in September 2019 again!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/report-government-faces-potential-default-195257567.html

The US government will be in default in September again.

This is not the first time and won't be the last time for the US.  The US government is simply insolvent.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/12/will-us-government-shut-down-in.html

The truth behind the HK protests.

https://www.mintpressnews.com/hong-kong-protests/259202/

The Chinese government has found evidence linking the CIA behind the HK protests and the CIA is using NED in HK to engineer the protests.

It is a common US modus operandi to use NGOs to act for the US political interest.  The US wants to protect its citizens from being extradited to China for their crimes committed in China.

Monday, July 8, 2019

Yangzijiang - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/04/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.42 1.82 Buy
03/01/19 CIMB Yangzijiang 1.43 1.61 Add Sum of parts
03/04/19 OCBC Yangzijiang 1.44 1.44 Hold
03/04/19 UOB Kay Hian Yangzijiang 1.44 1.39 Hold PB0.9x FY19, Buy @ $1.25
03/04/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.44 1.82 buy Sum of parts, PB1.1x
05/02/19 CIMB Yangzijiang 1.57 1.61 Hold Sum of parts
05/02/19 OCBC Yangzijiang 1.57 1.45 Hold Sum of parts
05/02/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.57 1.82 Buy Sum of parts
06/11/19 OCBC Yangzijiang 1.4 1.45 Hold

Y Venture - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/28/19 DBS Vickers Y Venture 0.13 0.11 Cease Coverage EV/Ebitda14x FY19
01/28/19 CIMB Y Venture 0.13 0.1 Reduce PB1.7x FY20
03/08/19 Phillip Y Venture 0.078 0.16 Buy PER30x
03/25/19 CIMB Y Venture 0.06 0.15 Add
04/17/19 Phillip Y Venture 0.156 0.16 Cease Coverage

Wing Tai - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/14/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.03 2.41 Buy
04/17/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.06 2.41 Buy
05/14/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.01 2.41 Buy
06/27/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.05 2.41 Buy

Stock calls for 8 July 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/08/19 DMG & Partners DBS 25.63 30.8 Buy PB1.5x FY20
07/08/19 UOB Kay Hian HMI 0.660 0.73 Accept offer offer at $0.73
07/08/19 Kim Eng HMI 0.660 0.66 Hold DCF, accept offer at $0.73
07/08/19 CIMB HMI 0.660 0.73 Accept offer offer at $0.73
07/08/19 DMG & Partners OCBC 11.39 12.2 Neutral
07/08/19 CIMB SIA Engineering 2.89 3.11 Add DCF
07/08/19 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.56 3.6 Hold Sum of parts
07/08/19 DMG & Partners UOB 26.26 30.8 Buy PB1.29x FY20

Saturday, July 6, 2019

Baltic dry index - 1549

Today, Wednesday, July 03 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 103 points, reaching 1549 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
======================
Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

Baltic dry index - 963


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, July 5, 2019

US-Vietnam trade war has started!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-slaps-import-duties-more-020115584.html

The US has started to impose more than 400% tariffs against Vietnam steels.  The US also wants Vietnam to reduce the US-Vietnam trade deficits.

We had already anticipated this outcome.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/06/many-analysts-were-dead-wrong-about.html

Wilmar - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.16 3.58 Buy
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.13 3.9 Buy
02/20/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.37 3.42 Hold
02/22/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.39 3.58 Buy
02/22/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.39 3.96 Add Sum of parts
02/22/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.39 3.9 Buy
02/25/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.26 3.63 Buy Sum of parts
02/25/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.26 3.6 Buy DCF, PER15.4x FY19
03/12/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.2 3.96 Add Sum of parts
03/12/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.2 3.6 Buy
03/13/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.24 3.63 Buy
03/20/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.3 3.9 Buy
04/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.48 3.9 Buy
04/09/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.49 3.44 Hold PB0.9x
04/09/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.49 3.96 Add
05/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.64 3.9 Buy
05/13/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.51 3.8 Buy Sum of parts
05/13/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.51 3.86 Buy DCF, PER15.6x FY19
05/16/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.5 3.94 Buy Sum of parts
05/16/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.5 3.66 Hold PB0.95x
05/16/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.5 3.96 Add Sum of parts
06/06/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.3 3.94 Buy
06/13/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.41 3.9 Buy PER12.8x FY20
07/03/19 Kim Eng Wilmar 3.73 4.21 Buy DCF & PER

Venture - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Venture 13.85 19 Buy PER14x FY19
01/07/19 UOB Kay Hian Venture 13.71 12.9 Hold
01/07/19 Lim & Tan Venture 13.71 0 Buy
01/08/19 Kim Eng Venture 14.44 17.48 Buy PB2x FY19, PER14.4x FY19
02/11/19 UOB Kay Hian Venture 15.72 12.9 Hold PER11x FY19, Buy @ $12.40
02/12/19 CIMB Venture 15.97 17.44 Add PER12.56x FY20
02/25/19 CIMB Venture 16.12 17.88 Add PER12.56x FY20
02/25/19 Kim Eng Venture 16.12 19.23 Buy Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19
02/25/19 DMG & Partners Venture 16.12 19 Buy
02/25/19 DBS Vickers Venture 16.12 21.7 Buy PER15.8x FY19
02/25/19 Lim & Tan Venture 16.12 0 Buy
02/25/19 OCBC Venture 16.12 20.89 Buy PER15x
03/19/19 DMG & Partners Venture 18 19 Buy
03/29/19 DBS Vickers Venture 17.8 21.7 Buy
04/03/19 Lim & Tan Venture 18.6 0 Hold
04/26/19 OCBC Venture 19.29 20.89 Buy PER15x FY19/20
04/26/19 DMG & Partners Venture 19.29 19 Neutral
04/26/19 DBS Vickers Venture 19.29 21.7 Buy PER15.8x FY19
04/29/19 CIMB Venture 17.52 17.88 Hold PER12.5x
04/29/19 Kim Eng Venture 17.52 19.74 Hold Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19
05/02/19 Lim & Tan Venture 16.97 0 Buy on weakness
05/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Venture 17.4 19.01 Hold Buy @ $17
06/11/19 Kim Eng Venture 15.7 19.74 Buy Roe-g/Coe-g, PB2.2x FY19
06/25/19 Lim & Tan Venture 17.3 0 Hold
06/26/19 DMG & Partners Venture 16.46 16.3 Neutral PER13x FY19
06/26/19 UOB Kay Hian Venture 16.46 17.91 Hold PER14x FY19, Buy at $15
06/26/19 CLSA Venture 16.46 17.3 Underperform
07/05/19 Lim & Tan Venture 16.35 0 Hold