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Monday, March 23, 2020

Suntec Reit - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/23/19OCBCSuntec Reit1.861.83Hold
01/24/19DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.872.12BuyDCF
01/24/19OCBCSuntec Reit1.871.84Hold
01/24/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.871.9NeutralDDM
01/24/19JefferiesSuntec Reit1.871.85HoldUp from $1.80
01/28/19UOB Kay HianSuntec Reit1.932.01HoldBuy @ $1.83
01/28/19CIMBSuntec Reit1.932.06Add
03/18/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.931.9Neutral
04/02/19DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.962.12Buy
04/24/19OCBCSuntec Reit1.861.84Hold
04/25/19OCBCSuntec Reit1.891.83HoldDDM
05/28/19CIMBSuntec Reit1.822.06Add
05/30/19OCBCSuntec Reit1.821.99HoldBuy @ $1.81
06/20/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.921.9NeutralDDM
07/02/19CIMBSuntec Reit1.952.15AddDDM
07/02/19DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.952.2BuyDCF
07/04/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.971.9Neutral
07/10/19UOB Kay HianSuntec Reit1.952HoldDDM, Buy @ $1.82
07/29/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.922.08BuyDDM
07/29/19OCBCSuntec Reit1.922.07Hold
07/30/19UOB Kay HianSuntec Reit1.932.02HoldBuy @ $1.84
07/30/19DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.932.15BuyDCF
08/27/19UOB Kay HianSuntec Reit1.891.96HoldBuy @ $1.79
09/11/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.942.08Buy
10/02/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.912.08Buy
10/04/19DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.92.15Buy
10/24/19OCBCSuntec Reit1.852.05Hold
10/25/19UOB Kay HianSuntec Reit1.891.99HoldBuy @ $1.82
12/04/19DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.832.15Buy
12/10/19DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.842.08Buy
01/03/20DMG & PartnersSuntec Reit1.852.08BuyDDM
01/24/20DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.852.15BuyDCF
01/28/20OCBCSuntec Reit1.862.05Buy
02/25/20OCBCSuntec Reit1.82.05Buy
03/18/20DBS VickersSuntec Reit1.312.15Buy

Sunpower - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/10/19UOB Kay HianSunpower0.3850.76BuySum of parts
03/01/19UOB Kay HianSunpower0.5850.88BuySum of parts
08/16/19UOB Kay HianSunpower0.440.83Buy
12/06/19AmfrasersSunpower0.550.91outperformSum of parts
12/16/19DBS VickersSunpower0.590.81BuyDCF
03/02/20UOB Kay HianSunpower0.5250.88BuySum of parts
03/03/20DBS VickersSunpower0.530.84Buy
03/10/20AmfrasersSunpower0.470.91outperformSum of parts

Sunningdale - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/01/19UOB Kay HianSunningdale1.561.3HoldPER11x FY19, Buy @ $1.20
03/01/19Lim & TanSunningdale1.560Hold
03/05/19CIMBSunningdale1.41.38ReducePB0.69x FY19
04/11/19Lim & TanSunningdale1.390Hold
05/07/19Lim & TanSunningdale1.350Hold
05/09/19UOB Kay HianSunningdale1.321.22HoldPER11x FY20, Buy @ $1.10
05/09/19CIMBSunningdale1.321.38HoldPB0.69x FY19
08/07/19UOB Kay HianSunningdale1.281.01Sell
11/08/19UOB Kay HianSunningdale1.271.13HoldPER12.3x FY20, Buy @ $1.05
12/13/19Lim & TanSunningdale1.280Buy
12/13/19CIMBSunningdale1.281.14Reduce
03/02/20UOB Kay HianSunningdale1.211.06HoldBuy @ $1
03/04/20CIMBSunningdale1.21.1Hold
03/20/20Lim & TanSunningdale0.820Buy

Stock calls for 23 March 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/23/20DMG & PartnersISOTeam0.1220.24BuyDCF, PER8.7x FY20
03/23/20DBS VickersNetlink0.90.95BuyDCF
03/23/20UOB Kay HianSIA6.026.6Hold
03/23/20DMG & PartnersUOB18.9620NeutralGGM, PB0.85x FY20

Sunday, March 22, 2020

How will China recover from its economic fallout caused by the virus outbreak?

As many countries are in lockdowns to reduce human activities, there will be significant declines in international trading.  Therefore, many countries cannot rely on their exports and tourism to reboot their economies.

Fortunately, China is a big country with a huge population (1.4B people) and its citizens are well-known savers compared to the US.  Therefore, it is very easy to boost its local consumption to reboot its economy compared to the US.  In other words, China is more resilient than the US even though both countries are consumption-led economies.

I believe China will try to stimulate its local consumption soon!

Saturday, March 21, 2020

Baltic dry index - 612

Today, Tuesday, March 17 2020, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 11 points, reaching 612 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 792


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

California Governor: 25.5m Americans will get infected with the virus in 8 weeks.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/more-half-californians-likely-coronavirus-002641178.html

“We project that roughly 56% of our population – 25.5 million people – will be infected with the virus over an eight-week period,”

This is the projection made by the California Governor.

When 25.5 Americans are going to get infected, do you still think the US stock markets will get a quick recovery soon?

No US monetary and fiscal policy can save the US stock markets. - Part 4

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-announces-more-emergency-moves-160553160.html

We said this already: No US monetary and fiscal policy can save the US stock markets.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/no-us-monetary-and-fiscal-policy-can_16.html

The US stock markets still plunge after numerous monetary injections and cash handouts.

No investor will dare to invest when there is an even bigger covid-19 outbreak in the offing.  Not only people are losing their jobs and monies, but they are also losing their lives.  This is a very different crisis and will lead to a great recession.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/50m-americans-could-be-infected-by.html

Will you invest now when the US cases, currently about 20,000, may go up to 200,000 next month?  I think the answer is very obvious.


As long as the US government is not doing the right thing, the US stock markets will have a hard time recovering.

What are the right things to do? Just read our post below!

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/the-us-markets-just-had-dead-cat-bounce.html