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Thursday, March 26, 2020

Uni-Asia - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/14/19AmfrasersUni-Asia1.22.07BuySum of parts, PB0.6x FY19, PER9.5x FY19
04/09/19AmfrasersUni-Asia1.161.86BuySum of parts, PB0.6x FY19, PER9.5x FY19
05/17/19AmfrasersUni-Asia1.131.86BuySum of parts, PB0.6x FY19, PER9.5x FY19
08/28/19AmfrasersUni-Asia0.731.24BuySum of parts, PB0.6x FY20, PER8.5x FY20
09/26/19AmfrasersUni-Asia0.711.24BuySum of parts, PB0.6x FY20, PER8.5x FY20
12/03/19AmfrasersUni-Asia0.731.24OutperformSum of parts, PB0.6x FY20, PER8.5x FY20
03/12/20AmfrasersUni-Asia0.560.62Neutral

Stock calls for 26 March 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/26/20CIMBCSE Global0.350.45Add
03/26/20DMG & PartnersJumbo0.210.2NeutralDCF
03/26/20MacquarieKeppel Corp5.47OutperformSum of parts
03/26/20DBS VickersSingtel2.62.8BuySum of parts
03/26/20UOB Kay HianSPH1.742.04Buy
03/26/20DBS VickersStarhub1.271.4BuyDCF

Japan and Russia alleged that covid-19 originated in the US. - Part 4

It is becoming crystal clear that covid-19 originated in the US.  Just look at the recent signs and you will understand.

1. Japan alleged that the virus originated in the US by analyzing big data.
2. China scientists traced covid-19 H38 to the US.
3. Russia alleged that the virus originated in the US.
4. The chronological events in 2019 also inferred that the US was involved.
5. CDC hearing acknowledged that covid-19 virus was found in corpses thought to have died from US flu.
6. Italy traced its patient zero back to US (Hawaii).
7. The US health authority had already conceived such a virus outbreak in China in October 2019 and then spread to the US.
8. Being a NATO member, Italy sought help from China, Russia & Cuba but not the US.
9. An Italian doctor claimed that he saw covid symptoms in November 2019 which meant that covid didn't originate in China.

I believe Italy knows by now that the covid virus originated in the US and refuses to seek help from the US.  The US also stabbed Italy in the back by transporting 500k testing kits back to the US when Italy was in need of such testing kits.
It is getting harder for the US to cover up its bad deed now as more signs are pointing back to the US.
Italy has just learnt that a friend in need is a friend indeed.  Italy knows who are its true friends and who are its true foes now.

Singapore GDP contracts 2.2% yoy.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/singapore-gdp-contracts-sharply-warning-virus-hit-global-044404590.html

If you think this is the worst, you are wrong because Q2 will be worse than Q1 for SG.

It is harder for SG to recover unless China recovers first because China can pull Asia out of its doldrum.  SG cannot depend on exports, tourism and local consumption anymore and we can only wait it out.  All the SG's FTAs cannot help SG now because many countries are in lockdowns.

The US health authority conceived a virus outbreak in China in October 2019.

What a coincidence!

The declassified document in October 2019 from the US health authority whereby it conceived a virus outbreak in China and then spread to the US.

Thereafter, the virus started to appear in November 2019 in China.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/before-virus-outbreak-a-cascade-of-warnings-went-unheeded/ar-BB11pYY1

An Italian doctor also claimed that he saw such symptoms in his patient in November 2019.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3076334/coronavirus-strange-pneumonia-seen-lombardy-november-leading

There are more signs now that point that the virus originated in the US.

Let's recap:

1. Japan alleged that the virus originated in the US by analyzing big data.
2. China scientists traced covid-19 H38 to the US.
3. Russia alleged that the virus originated in the US.
4. The chronological events in 2019 also inferred that the US was involved.
5. CDC hearing acknowledged that covid-19 virus was found in corpses thought to have died from US flu.
6. The US health authority had already conceived such a virus outbreak in China and then spread to the US.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/japan-and-russia-alleged-that-covid-19_13.html

Wednesday, March 25, 2020

UMS - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
02/26/19DBS VickersUMS0.710.55Fully ValuedPER8x FY19
02/28/19CIMBUMS0.740.62ReducePB1.37x CY19
05/14/19DBS VickersUMS0.6150.55Fully ValuedPER8x FY19
05/16/19DBS VickersUMS0.640.45Fully ValuedPER8x FY19/20
05/21/19CIMBUMS0.620.55Reduce
08/16/19DBS VickersUMS0.5850.49Fully ValuedPER9x FY20
08/16/19CIMBUMS0.5850.55HoldPB1.24x FY19
10/24/19DBS VickersUMS0.7050.87BuyPER12x FY20
10/25/19CIMBUMS0.740.67HoldPB1.4x FY20
11/13/19DBS VickersUMS0.811BuyPER13x FY20
11/29/19DBS VickersUMS0.891.08BuyPER14x FY20
12/05/19Kim EngUMS0.951.13BuyPB2.2x FY20
01/03/20Kim EngUMS1.081.13BuyPB2.2x FY20
01/24/20DBS VickersUMS0.981.16BuyPER14.9x FY20
02/04/20CIMBUMS0.9250.96HoldGGM, PB1.93x FY20
02/11/20Kim EngUMS0.941.13Buy
02/26/20CIMBUMS0.9651.08AddGGM, PB2.16x FY20
02/26/20DBS VickersUMS0.9651.12BuyPER15x FY20
03/10/20Kim EngUMS0.811.13Buy

UG Healthcare - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/11/19DMG & PartnersUG Healthcare0.2050.32BuyPER10x FY20
05/07/19DMG & PartnersUG Healthcare0.180.32BuyPER10x FY20
08/28/19DMG & PartnersUG Healthcare0.180.3BuyPER11x FY20
02/18/20Lim & TanUG Healthcare0.250Buy on weakness
02/21/20DMG & PartnersUG Healthcare0.2350.33BuyPER9.2x FY21

Top Glove - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/11/19Kim EngTop Glove1.51.53HoldRinggit target $4.60, PER24x CY20
04/17/19UOB Kay HianTop Glove1.481.34HoldRinggit target $4.10, Buy @ $3.70
06/27/19Kim EngTop Glove1.621.59HoldRinggit target $4.85
03/20/20Kim EngTop Glove1.92.08BuyRinggit target $6.32, PER30x CY21
03/20/20UOB Kay HianTop Glove1.91.99HoldRinggit target $6.05, Buy @ $5.50
03/20/20CIMBTop Glove1.92.24AddRinggit target $6.80

Stock calls for 25 March 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
03/25/20UOB Kay HianBRC Asia1.091.65Buy
03/25/20DBS VickersDairy Farm3.964.7Buy
03/25/20UBSEagle Hospitality Trust0.1370.75Buy
03/25/20DBS VickersJumbo0.1980.18Hold
03/25/20DMG & PartnersManulife US Reit0.70.88BuyDDM
03/25/20DBS VickersMM2 Asia0.1240.107Fully Valued
03/25/20CIMBRaffles Medical0.7450.98AddSum of parts

Tuesday, March 24, 2020

How will China recover from its economic fallout caused by the virus outbreak? - Part 2

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/china-s-it-ministry-calls-for-faster-5g-network-rollout---government-document-12571290

We've nailed it again!

We had correctly predicted that China would expedite its 5G deployment (Look at my comment in my previous post below.)

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/03/how-will-china-recover-from-its.html

Tianjin Zhongxin - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
04/01/19UOB Kay HianTianjin Zhongxin0.9151.7BuyPER13.6x FY19
05/02/19UOB Kay HianTianjin Zhongxin0.9851.7Buy
06/14/19UOB Kay HianTianjin Zhongxin0.8851.7Buy
08/15/19UOB Kay HianTianjin Zhongxin0.7951.4Buy