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Wednesday, March 3, 2021

Stock calls for 3 March 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/03/21

DBS Vickers

Dasin Retail

0.725

0.74

Hold


03/03/21

DMG & Partners

DBS

26.94

30

Buy


03/03/21

DBS Vickers

HRnetGroup

0.585

0.5

Hold


03/03/21

CIMB

ISDN

0.61

0.72

Add

PER12x FY22

03/03/21

UOB Kay Hian

Japfa

0.94

1.17

Buy


03/03/21

DBS Vickers

Medtecs

0.955

1.25

Buy

PER9.5x FY21/22

03/03/21

CIMB

Nanofilm

5.04

5.52

Add


03/03/21

DMG & Partners

OCBC

11.08

12.5

Buy


03/03/21

Lim & Tan

Sunningdale

1.64

1.65

Accept offer

$1.65 cash offer

03/03/21

phillip

UOB

24.99

28.7

Accumulate

PB1.17x

03/03/21

OCBC

Venture

19.14

22.25

Buy


Is China fear-mongering the US economic risk?

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-warns-side-effects-us-093000238.html

No, I don't think China is fear-mongering the US economic risk.

This is because China has been deleveraging (monetary tightening) its own financial risks in January 2021 to reduce the impacts of the US economic risks that will spread to the world.  China also has not been giving out doles such as multiple free cheques to its citizens.


Moreover, we've detected multiple market distortions in the US markets already.


Therefore, we can see that China is really concerned about the US economic risks and is doing exactly the opposite of US actions.  When the US is leveraging and China is deleveraging, the US economic risk will increase because there is an external opposing force that is countering its efficacy.

Tuesday, March 2, 2021

US ISM PMI increased to 60.8 in February 2021.

 




The prices increased further by 3.9 to 86 because of the rising freight costs.  This also impacted the supplier’s deliveries by +3.8 to 72 as a higher number indicated slower deliveries.  It seemed that the rising freight costs were deterring manufacturers from ordering raw materials.


http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2021/01/the-us-inflation-is-coming-part-5.html


However, the producers ramped up their production (63.2, +2.5) further which resulted in inventories reduction (49.7, -1.1) and an increase in employment (54.4, +1.8) to prepare for a rebound in the customers’ inventories (32.5, -0.6) which was too low.  The increase in new order (64.8, +3.7) was due to higher new export and local orders.  This could be seen in the monthly US retail sales figure below.


https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/24/us-retail-sales-to-rise-6point5percent-to-8point2percent-in-2021-national-retail-federation-says.html



All these resulted in the PMI that increased to 60.8 (+2.1) in Feb 2021.  This means that the US economy will still continue to improve unless there is another major lockdown due to the new covid variant.

Unusual - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/08/20

DMG & Partners

Unusual

0.285

0.42

Buy


01/09/20

UOB Kay Hian

Unusual

0.275

0.44

Buy


02/12/20

DMG & Partners

Unusual

0.2

0.38

Buy

DCF

02/14/20

DMG & Partners

Unusual

0.21

0.35

Buy

DCF

02/14/20

UOB Kay Hian

Unusual

0.21

0.32

Buy


04/06/20

DMG & Partners

Unusual

0.126

0.16

Buy

DCF

05/28/20

UOB Kay Hian

Unusual

0.135

0.123

Hold

Buy @ $0.111

06/11/20

DMG & Partners

Unusual

0.133

0.16

Buy

DCF

United Hamspire - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

12/17/20

UOB Kay Hian

United Hamspire

0.58

0.92

Buy

DDM

01/11/21

UOB Kay Hian

United Hamspire

0.645

0.92

Buy


03/02/21

UOB Kay Hian

United Hamspire

0.67

0.95

Buy


Uni-Asia - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/12/20

Amfrasers

Uni-Asia

0.56

0.62

Neutral


08/26/20

Amfrasers

Uni-Asia

0.45

0.54

Neutral


Stock calls for 2 March 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

03/02/21

DBS Vickers

AEM

4.02

5.36

Buy


03/02/21

CIMB

AEM

4.02

4.63

Add

GGM, PB4.4x FY21

03/02/21

Phillip

Capitaland

3.17

3.75

Buy

RNAV (20% discount)

03/02/21

DBS Vickers

Centurion

0.34

0.38

Hold


03/02/21

CIMB

China Aviation Oil

1.12

1.17

Hold

PER10x FY22

03/02/21

DMG & Partners

China Aviation Oil

1.12

1.3

Buy


03/02/21

DBS Vickers

China Aviation Oil

1.12

1.38

Buy


03/02/21

CIMB

City Developments

7.57

8.97

Add


03/02/21

OCBC

City Developments

7.57

9.12

Buy


03/02/21

DMG & Partners

City Developments

7.57

8.7

Buy


03/02/21

DMG & Partners

Food Empire

0.915

1.27

Buy


03/02/21

CIMB

Frencken

1.27

1.4

Add


03/02/21

Kim Eng

Frencken

1.27

1.39

Buy


03/02/21

CIMB

HRnetGroup

0.58

0.7

Add


03/02/21

CIMB

Japfa

0.935

1.18

Add


03/02/21

UOB Kay Hian

Nanofilm

4.86

5.51

Buy


03/02/21

CIMB

Sasseur

0.86

0.909

Add


03/02/21

UOB Kay Hian

United Hamspire

0.67

0.95

Buy


03/02/21

CIMB

Yangzijiang

1.08

1.54

Add

PB0.8x FY21

Public distrust is eroding our society. - Part 2

https://www.asiaone.com/singapore/no-one-was-willing-help-woman-who-helped-collapsed-man-told-passers-being-nosy

Public indifference is an example of public distrust.  Therefore, it is hard to expect some samaritan to come forward to help someone in distress.  This kind of public distrust is getting very common nowadays.

Let's look at the past incidents.