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Monday, April 26, 2021

Netlink - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/08/20

DBS Vickers

Netlink

1

1.02

Hold

DCF

05/11/20

phillip

Netlink

0.985

1.03

Accumulate

DCF

05/11/20

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.985

1.08

Buy


06/26/20

Morgan Stanley

Netlink

0.975

1

Overweight


07/13/20

OCBC

Netlink

0.98

1.1

Buy


07/28/20

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.965

1.08

Buy

DDM

08/07/20

DBS Vickers

Netlink

0.97

1.02

Hold

DCF

08/07/20

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.97

1.07

Buy

DDM

08/07/20

OCBC

Netlink

0.97

1.1

Buy


08/11/20

phillip

Netlink

0.965

1.03

Accumulate

DCF

08/11/20

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.965

1.08

Buy

DCF

08/13/20

CIMB

Netlink

0.965

1.1

Add


10/05/20

phillip

Netlink

0.97

1.03

Accumulate


10/13/20

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.98

1.08

Buy


11/09/20

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.975

1.08

Buy

DCF

11/09/20

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.975

0

Hold


11/10/20

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.98

1.11

Buy

DDM

11/10/20

DBS Vickers

Netlink

0.98

1.02

Hold

DCF

11/10/20

OCBC

Netlink

0.98

1.1

Buy


11/11/20

phillip

Netlink

0.975

1.03

Accumulate

DCF

11/11/20

CIMB

Netlink

0.975

1.1

Add


12/01/20

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.965

1.11

Buy


12/11/20

CIMB

Netlink

0.96

1.1

Add

DDM

01/26/21

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.96

1.08

Buy

DCF

02/26/21

CIMB

Netlink

0.94

1.1

Add

DDM

02/26/21

OCBC

Netlink

0.94

1.1

Buy


02/26/21

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.94

1.11

Buy


Stock calls for 26 April 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

04/26/21

Kim Eng

A-Reit

3.11

3.65

Buy

DDM

04/26/21

CIMB

ARA Logistics

0.75

0.814

Add

DDM

04/26/21

Kim Eng

Aztech

1.41

1.86

Buy

PER18x FY21

04/26/21

CIMB

Elite ComReit

0.665

0.79

Add

DDM

04/26/21

Phillip

Fortress Minerals

0.445

0.64

Buy

PER11x FY22

04/26/21

Kim Eng

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2.45

2.9

Buy

DDM

04/26/21

UOB Kay Hian

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2.45

3.06

Buy


04/26/21

Lim & Tan

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2.45

0

Accumulate


04/26/21

UOB Kay Hian

Ifast Corp

6.52

7.96

Buy


04/26/21

CIMB

Ifast Corp

6.52

8

Add


04/26/21

Jefferies

Ifast Corp

6.52

7.8

Buy


04/26/21

Phillip

Keppel Corp

5.45

6.12

Buy

Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1x FY21

04/26/21

UOB Kay Hian

Parkway Life

4.16

4.38

Buy

DDM

04/26/21

Kim Eng

Suntec Reit

1.55

1.25

Sell

DDM

Sunday, April 25, 2021

China offers to help India after the US snubs India.

https://www.cnbctv18.com/healthcare/china-offers-to-help-india-in-fight-against-covid-19-second-wave-9035401.htm

China offers to help India after the US snubs India.  Kudos to China for putting aside the Indian hostilities!


India is part of the Quad Alliance and also Indo-Pacific Alliance that are under the US.  Instead of helping the QA and IPA member (India), the US rejects India's plea for vaccines.

India, please look at Syrian Kurds and learn the lesson.  The US is never a trustworthy country.

The real motive behind the US green technology movement.

Was the US really concerned about the environment or carbon emission?


Well, if the Americans were concerned about the environment or carbon emission, they won’t vote for Trump who refused to believe in climate change and the US also won’t pull out of the Paris climate agreement.  The US also won’t develop its fracking technology and export its shale oil to China and Asia.  Therefore, the US actions had shown that it wasn’t concerned about carbon emission at all.


What is the real purpose or motive behind the US green technology movement then?


https://www.ucsusa.org/resources/each-countrys-share-co2-emissions



China is the largest co2 emissions country now because it is the world manufacturing hub that produces for world consumptions.  Therefore, the US has political propaganda to use the green technology movement to slow down China's growth and development.  Simultaneously, this movement will also contain Asian growth so that the US will still retain its hegemony.  The west, particularly the US, had benefitted from using the cheapest source of energy (fossil fuel) for its economic developments and the US didn’t want China to prosper and enjoy the same path of success.


The green technology movement is very expensive to carry out because Asia has to revamp its fossil fuel infrastructures and facilities.  Since many Asian countries are developing nations, they do not have the budgets to do the necessary upgrades.  Those countries that can afford to implement the green technologies will experience higher costs of production whilst those countries that cannot afford to do so will be taxed for carbon emissions for their exports and this new emission tax will make their products less competitive.  In a nutshell, the US green technology movement will make Asian goods less competitive so that the US can gain a competitive advantage over Asia.


China has decided to accept the green technology movement because it is trying to be a responsible country.  Thus, I foresee that China will be conducting a major economic restructuring in the future by phasing out many non-essential or non-strategic manufacturing industries and these manufacturers will need trelocate to other developing Asian countries.  Consequently, China will also be moving into advanced technology developments, higher-value services, and developing its financial market to replace the phase-out industries.


In conclusion, the US green technology movement is not as noble and innocent as it looks because it is used to masquerade the true intention of containing China.

Vaccinated man got infected after caring for his mother in SG.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/covid-19-vaccinated-man-mother-quarantine-singapore-apr-24-moh-14685250

It is expected that one would get infected after vaccination when one was exposed to the covid virus on a daily basis because the US vaccine trials used the general public who were not exposed to the virus on a daily basis and also excluded many asymptomatic patients in their assessments.

I believed the Sinovac vaccine was more effective because its trial included a high-risk group and included asymptomatic patients.


If we continue to believe in the US trials and ignore the lax standards used in the US, we will see our infection rate rises with our vaccination rate despite the high efficacy rate in the US vaccines.

Saturday, April 24, 2021

Conflicting results presented by the UK on Pfizer vaccine.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/one-dose-astrazeneca-pfizers-vaccine-230100727.html

The UK has just released a study that touts Pfizer's efficacy on a single dose.

However, earlier real-world results in Israel presented a different story.



Same vaccine but different results in 2 countries!  This is so confusing!

Global rate hikes are coming! - Part 5

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/inflation-forces-bank-canada-hand-195858016.html

Canadian inflation has doubled this year from last year and it is not due to the low base effect.

Therefore, Canada will be the first western country to conduct QE tapering and hike its interest rates.

Russia has hiked its rate the 2nd time this year.

Friday, April 23, 2021

Margin debt has a great impact on the stock market.

Let's take a look at margin debt and we can see its impact on the stock market.


The margin debt has a high correlation with the stock market and it is at a historic high.  When the margin debt starts falling, it will trigger a recession and also a market crash of more than 20%.

Nanofilm - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

11/26/20

UOB Kay Hian

Nanofilm

3.1

4.07

Buy

PEG

12/10/20

UOB Kay Hian

Nanofilm

3.53

4.52

Buy

PER38.7x FY21

12/14/20

CIMB

Nanofilm

3.9

5.52

Add

PER35.3x FY22

03/02/21

UOB Kay Hian

Nanofilm

4.86

5.51

Buy

PER35x FY22

03/03/21

CIMB

Nanofilm

5.04

5.52

Add


03/18/21

DBS Vickers

Nanofilm

4.65

6.22

Buy

PEG1.13x

04/19/21

CIMB

Nanofilm

5.17

5.52

Add


MM2 Asia - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

06/02/20

DBS Vickers

MM2 Asia

0.175

0.14

Fully Valued

Sum of parts, PER6x FY21

11/16/20

DBS Vickers

MM2 Asia

0.17

0.13

Fully Valued

Sum of parts, PER10x FY22

02/22/21

DBS Vickers

MM2 Asia

0.083

0.089

Hold

Sum of parts