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Tuesday, December 14, 2021

First Resources - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/06/21

DBS Vickers

First Resources

1.38

1.7

Buy


01/11/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.49

1.75

Buy

PER12x FY21

01/14/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.69

1.85

Buy


01/15/21

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.63

1.9

Buy

PER15x FY21

02/02/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.55

1.85

Buy


02/03/21

DBS Vickers

First Resources

1.59

1.83

Buy

DCF

03/01/21

Kim Eng

First Resources

1.45

1.88

Buy

PER17x FY21

03/01/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.45

1.7

Buy


03/01/21

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.45

1.6

Neutral

PER14x FY22

03/15/21

DBS Vickers

First Resources

1.44

1.83

Buy


04/22/21

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.47

1.7

Buy


05/18/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.43

1.65

Buy


05/18/21

CIMB

First Resources

1.43

1.69

Add

PER16x

05/18/21

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.43

1.6

Buy


06/02/21

DBS Vickers

First Resources

1.29

1.83

Buy


07/19/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.33

1.65

Buy


08/02/21

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.36

1.5

Buy


08/16/21

Kim Eng

First Resources

1.4

1.81

Buy

PER14x FY22

08/16/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.4

1.4

High-Risk


10/08/21

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.84

1.7

Neutral

PER12x FY22

11/02/21

DBS Vickers

First Resources

1.74

1.83

Hold

DCF, PER15x FY22

11/10/21

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.63

1.7

Neutral


11/16/21

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.58

1.65

Hold

PER11x FY22

11/16/21

CIMB

First Resources

1.58

1.76

Add


12/08/21

DBS Vickers

First Resources

1.51

1.83

Buy

DCF

Far East Orchard - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/26/21

DBS Vickers

Far East Orchard

1.11

1.7

Buy

Sum of parts

08/05/21

DBS Vickers

Far East Orchard

1.13

1.7

Buy

Sum of parts

11/10/21

DBS Vickers

Far East Orchard

1.12

1.7

Buy

Sum of parts

Far East Hospitality - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

01/11/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.62

0.74

Buy


02/15/21

Kim Eng

Far East Hospitality

0.585

0.7

Buy

DDM

02/16/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.59

0.72

Buy


02/17/21

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.595

0.639

Add


02/17/21

OCBC

Far East Hospitality

0.595

0.66

Buy


03/09/21

OCBC

Far East Hospitality

0.575

0.66

Buy


03/24/21

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.62

0.745

Add

DDM

04/05/21

DBS Vickers

Far East Hospitality

0.64

0.7

Buy


05/03/21

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.63

0.745

Add

DDM

05/04/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.61

0.72

Buy

DDM

05/27/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.575

0.71

Buy

DDM

06/07/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.6

0.71

Buy


07/07/21

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.59

0.745

Add


08/02/21

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.58

0.745

Add

DDM

08/02/21

Kim Eng

Far East Hospitality

0.58

0.7

Buy

DDM

08/03/21

OCBC

Far East Hospitality

0.595

0.64

Buy


08/16/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.585

0.71

Buy


09/08/21

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.615

0.745

Add

DDM

10/04/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.6

0.71

Buy


11/01/21

UOB Kay Hian

Far East Hospitality

0.645

0.71

Buy

DDM

12/03/21

DBS Vickers

Far East Hospitality

0.575

0.78

Buy


12/03/21

CIMB

Far East Hospitality

0.575

0.745

Add

DDM

12/03/21

Lim & Tan

Far East Hospitality

0.575

0.69

Accumulate


Stock calls for 14 December 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

12/14/21

UOB Kay Hian

Koufu

0.67

0.77

Buy

PER17x FY22

The US is at a crossroad now and it may trigger a stock crash. - Part 2

As stated previously in Part 1, the FED was already behind the inflation curve.

Goldman Sachs (GS) has also updated its rate hike projections below.

GS is predicting that the US FED will double its tapering speed from US$15B to US$30B per month and also implement 3 rate hikes in 2022.  Consequently, the fast and furious moves by the FED will trigger high volatilities in the financial market.

Monday, December 13, 2021

The US is at a crossroad now and it may trigger a stock crash.

The US had reported persistently high inflation (+6.8%) recently and it was already behind the inflation curve.

Let's look at the CPI components.

The energy sectors and vehicle sectors are the primary causes for this elevated inflation.


What's gonna happen then?

The US FED will expedite its QE tapering by reducing its asset purchases because interest rate hikes can only be implemented after QE tapering is completed.  Thereafter, the interest rates will rise in the US and cause stock market correction or crash.

The US stock market (S&P) is already in a dicey position now. Why?  Let's take a look at the charts below.


The divergence in the high yield option-adjusted spread (OAS) and S&P 500 in 2020 showed that a crash was in the offing as depicted by the chart.  Let's take a look now.


The same phenomenon is happening between the 30-year treasury yield and S&P.


Is the US stock market in a dicey situation?  Time will tell!

F&N - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

11/08/21

Lim & Tan

F & N

1.45

0

Neutral