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Thursday, May 16, 2024

Stock calls for 16 May 2024

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/16/24

phillip

Comfortdelgro

1.41

1.63

Buy

DCF

05/16/24

DMG & Partners

Comfortdelgro

1.41

1.65

Buy

DCF

05/16/24

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

1.42

1.65

Buy

PER8x FY24

05/16/24

DMG & Partners

First Resources

1.42

1.45

Neutral

PER11x FY24

05/16/24

Kim Eng

First Resources

1.42

1.45

Hold


05/16/24

CIMB

Food Empire

1.13

1.73

Add


05/16/24

Amfrasers

Food Empire

1.13

1.35

outperform

Sum of parts

05/16/24

CIMB

Frencken

1.4

1.7

Add


05/16/24

DMG & Partners

Golden Agri

0.265

0.26

Neutral

Sum of parts

05/16/24

CIMB

Hyphens Pharma

0.29

0.35

Add

DCF

05/16/24

DBS Vickers

Prime US Reit

0.111

0.07

Fully valued

PB0.11x

05/16/24

UOB Kay Hian

Riverstone

0.93

1.12

Buy

PER20x FY25

05/16/24

DBS Vickers

Seatrium

1.59

3

Buy

PB1.5x FY24, Share consol 20-into-1

05/16/24

DBS Vickers

SIA

6.81

6.1

Hold


05/16/24

Lim & Tan

SIA

6.81

0

Accumulate


05/16/24

Phillip

Silverlake

0.295

0.33

Accumulate

PER21x FY24

05/16/24

Kim Eng

Singtel

2.43

3.1

Buy


05/16/24

Phillip

Starhub

1.25

1.29

Accumulate

EV/Ebitda6.5x FY24

05/16/24

Phillip

Thai Beverage

0.5

0.63

Buy

PER16x FY24

05/16/24

DBS Vickers

Thai Beverage

0.5

0.69

Buy

Sum of parts, PER16x

05/16/24

DMG & Partners

Thai Beverage

0.5

0.71

Buy

Sum of parts

US inflation is unlikely to go below 3.5% in 2024 if it continues on its current monthly rate.

US inflation (yoy): 3.4% and US inflation (mom): 0.3%
Since the yearly inflation is affected by the prior year, it is more accurate to analyse the monthly rates.  The US monthly inflation has been sauntering between 0.3-0.4% persistently without any sign of easing.  If this continues throughout 2024, the US inflation won't go below 3.5% in 2024.
If we strip out the volatile factors (food, energy and shelter), we can see from the chart below that the sticky inflation has increased from 2023 and exceeded 3% in 2024.  Thus, we can have more certainty that the US Fed will hold its rates for now.

Wednesday, May 15, 2024

Hotel Properties (HPL) - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

06/13/23

DBS Vickers

Hotel Properties

3.91

4.35

Buy

RNAV (25% disc)

08/29/23

DBS Vickers

Hotel Properties

3.9

4.35

Buy

RNAV (25% disc)

HongKong Land - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/19/23

Lim & Tan

Hongkong Land

4.38

5.11

Accumulate


06/30/23

DBS Vickers

Hongkong Land

3.97

5.33

Buy

RNAV (55% discount)

07/26/23

CIMB

Hongkong Land

3.6

4

Hold

RNAV (60% disc)

08/01/23

DBS Vickers

Hongkong Land

3.67

4.56

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

10/19/23

DBS Vickers

Hongkong Land

3.45

4.56

Buy


01/08/24

Morgan Stanley

Hongkong Land

3.44

3.8

Equal-weight

Cut from $5.90

03/08/24

Lim & Tan

Hongkong Land

3.15

3.76

Accumulate


03/11/24

DBS Vickers

Hongkong Land

3.24

3.98

Buy

RNAV (65% disc)

03/11/24

CIMB

Hongkong Land

3.24

3.6

Hold

RNAV

Hong Leong Asia - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

09/12/23

CIMB

Hong Leong Asia

0.605

1

Add


01/16/24

CIMB

Hong Leong Asia

0.61

1

Add

Sum of parts

03/19/24

CIMB

Hong Leong Asia

0.605

1

Add

Sum of parts

04/19/24

CIMB

Hong Leong Asia

0.6

1

Add

Sum of parts