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Thursday, March 10, 2011

SGX - Things don't look so good.

The average trading volume for Singapore market is dropping significantly as shown in my most recent market analyses posting and SGX stock will not outperform the market.

Wheelock Properties - Amfraser doesn't like this developer.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/23/11 Amfraser Wheelock Properties 1.86 2.08 Hold RNAV

02/22/11 CIMB Wheelock Properties 1.84 2.37 Outperform RNAV (10% discount)
02/25/11 CIMB Wheelock Properties 1.89 2.41 Outperform RNAV (10% discount)

12/20/10 DBS Vickers Wheelock Properties 1.96 2.32 Buy
02/22/11 DBS Vickers Wheelock Properties 1.84 2.27 Buy RNAV

11/16/10 OCBC Wheelock Properties 2 2.32 Buy

Wee Hur - This stock is still a buy by phillip after ex-bonus.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

12/09/10 phillip Wee Hur 0.475 0.62 Buy PER5.5x, Ex-bonus $0.31
02/28/11 phillip Wee Hur 0.29 0.35 Buy PER5.5x

Wednesday, March 9, 2011

Viking Offshore & Marine - Buy call from OCBC.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

01/07/11 OCBC Viking Offshore & Marine 0.2 0.32 Buy Sum of parts
02/16/11 OCBC Viking Offshore & Marine 0.21 0.32 Under Review
02/17/11 OCBC Viking Offshore & Marine 0.21 0.32 Buy Sum of parts
03/04/11 OCBC Viking Offshore & Marine 0.195 0.32 Buy

Venture - Buy calls from analysts.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

01/04/11 CIMB Venture 9.3 11.98 Outperform
01/28/11 CIMB Venture 9.69 11.98 Outperform
02/24/11 CIMB Venture 9.23 12 Outperform PER14x

02/24/11 DBS Vickers Venture 9.23 11.4 Buy PER15x

01/07/11 Kim Eng Venture 9.48 11.8 Buy PER15x
02/18/11 Kim Eng Venture 9.45 11.8 Buy PER15x

02/24/11 Lim & Tan Venture 9.23 0 Buy Div Yield 6%

02/24/11 OCBC Venture 9.23 12.1 Buy PER15x

Valuetronics - Buy call from OCBC.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

12/07/10 OCBC Valuetronics 0.235 0.44 Buy PER8x
01/27/11 OCBC Valuetronics 0.245 0.47 Buy

Tuesday, March 8, 2011

UOL - Buy calls from all analysts.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/23/11 CIMB UOL 4.28 5.55 Outperform RNAV (15% discount)

12/16/10 DBS Vickers UOL 4.68 5.17 Buy
12/20/10 DBS Vickers UOL 4.72 5.23 Buy
02/23/11 DBS Vickers UOL 4.28 5.31 Buy RNAV (10% discount)

01/19/11 Lim & Tan UOL 5.07 0 Hold
02/23/11 Lim & Tan UOL 4.28 0 Buy

12/08/10 OCBC UOL 4.64 5.42 Buy RNAV (10% discount)
01/14/11 OCBC UOL 5.04 5.42 Buy
01/19/11 OCBC UOL 5.07 5.61 Buy RNAV (15% discount)
02/07/11 OCBC UOL 4.99 5.61 Buy RNAV (15% discount)
02/23/11 OCBC UOL 4.28 5.24 Buy RNAV (20% discount)

UOB - CIMB doesn't like this bank.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/10/11 CIMB UOB 19.24 20.83 Underperform PB1.55x & GGM
02/28/11 CIMB UOB 18.28 20.38 Underperform PB1.5x & GGM
03/03/11 CIMB UOB 18.36 20.38 Underperform PB1.5x & GGM

01/28/11 DBS Vickers UOB 19.86 21.5 Buy
02/28/11 DBS Vickers UOB 18.28 21.7 Buy
03/03/11 DBS Vickers UOB 18.4 21.7 Buy PB1.8x & GGM

01/04/11 DMG & Partners UOB 18.2 22 Buy PB1.5x
01/05/11 DMG & Partners UOB 17.8 22 Buy
02/01/11 DMG & Partners UOB 19.84 22 Buy
02/28/11 DMG & Partners UOB 18.24 22 Buy PB1.65x
03/02/11 DMG & Partners UOB 18.4 22 Buy PB1.65x

02/28/11 Kim Eng UOB 18.24 21.5 Buy PB1.65x & GGM

02/28/11 OCBC UOB 18.28 19.7 Buy

02/28/11 phillip UOB 18.28 20.12 Hold

01/21/11 RBS UOB 19.34 23 Buy

United Envirotech - Buy calls from analysts.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/10/11 DMG & Partners United Envirotech 0.45 0.61 Buy PER10.8x

02/01/11 OCBC United Envirotech 0.455 0.69 Buy DCF, Under Review
02/02/11 OCBC United Envirotech 0.435 0.65 Buy DCF

Monday, March 7, 2011

United Engineers - Target price was being downgraded by CIMB.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/16/11 CIMB United Engineers 2.44 3.27 Outperform RNAV (10% discount)
03/02/11 CIMB United Engineers 2.43 3.21 Outperform RNAV (15% discount)

UIC - Fully valued.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method
 
12/20/10 DBS Vickers UIC 2.4 2.21 Hold
02/21/11 DBS Vickers UIC 2.78 2.38 Fully Valued RNAV (5% discount)

Tiong Seng - Target price was downgraded by DBS Vickers but retained buy call.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

12/01/10 DBS Vickers Tiong Seng 0.25 0.36 Buy Sum of parts (30% discount)
02/24/11 DBS Vickers Tiong Seng 0.24 0.31 Buy Sum of parts (35% discount)

Sunday, March 6, 2011

Tiger Airways - Look like Tiger really cannot fly.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation

01/12/11 CIMB Tiger Airways 1.8 1.59 Underperform PER8x
01/28/11 CIMB Tiger Airways 1.78 1.59 Underperform
01/31/11 CIMB Tiger Airways 1.77 1.59 Underperform PER8x
02/11/11 CIMB Tiger Airways 1.66 1.64 Underperform PER8x
02/17/11 CIMB Tiger Airways 1.58 1.64 Underperform PER8x
02/25/11 CIMB Tiger Airways 1.35 1.64 Underperform PER8x

02/16/11 Citigroup Tiger Airways 1.65 2.15 Buy

02/11/11 Credit Suisse Tiger Airways 1.72 1.9 Underperform
02/18/11 Credit Suisse Tiger Airways 1.59 1.9 Underperform
03/02/11 Credit Suisse Tiger Airways 1.39 1.65 Neutral

02/01/11 DBS Vickers Tiger Airways 1.74 1.9 Hold PER15x

12/10/10 DMG & Partners Tiger Airways 1.85 2 Neutral PER16.5x
01/11/11 DMG & Partners Tiger Airways 1.8 2.24 Buy PER12x
02/01/11 DMG & Partners Tiger Airways 1.77 2.24 Buy PER12x
02/18/11 DMG & Partners Tiger Airways 1.59 2.24 Buy
02/25/11 DMG & Partners Tiger Airways 1.35 2.24 Buy
03/01/11 DMG & Partners Tiger Airways 1.36 1.65 Buy PER12x
03/03/11 DMG & Partners Tiger Airways 1.39 1.65 Buy PER12x

01/21/11 Macquarie Tiger Airways 1.79 1.5 Underperform

12/09/10 phillip Tiger Airways 1.86 1.65 Sell
01/12/11 phillip Tiger Airways 1.8 1.65 Sell DCF & PER
02/01/11 phillip Tiger Airways 1.74 1.64 Hold PER12x & DCF

12/03/10 StanChart Tiger Airways 1.84 2.5 Buy EV/Ebitda 15x

02/17/11 UOB Kay Hian Tiger Airways 1.58 1.54 sell Under Review
02/18/11 UOB Kay Hian Tiger Airways 1.59 1.59 Hold EV/Ebitda 8x

Think Environment - Buy or Sell?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

12/17/10 DMG & Partners Think Environment 0.66 0.135 Sell PATMI 14x

12/29/10 SIAS Think Environment 0.72 0.9 Increase

Tee International - Buy call from NetResearch.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

01/05/11 NRA Tee International 0.25 0.38 Buy Sum of parts
01/10/11 NRA Tee International 0.31 0.38 Buy Sum of parts

Market Analyses for US market (Dow Jones Industrial Average Index), Japan market (Nikkei 225 Index), Hong Kong market (Hang Seng Index) & Singapore market (Straits Times Index)

The charts dated 04/03/11 above showed the the 100-day moving average for trading volume (Blue line) and market index (Pink line) for US, HK, JP & SG. From the charts, we can see the movements of fund flows of each market and predict the trajectory of the index in the market as fund inflow or outflow will definitely affect the market.  Generally speaking, the decline in the blue line is not good for the index.

Saturday, March 5, 2011

Tat Hong - Crane operator falls out of favour?

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/15/11 CIMB Tat Hong 0.915 1.02 Neutral PER10x

02/16/11 Credit Suisse Tat Hong 0.875 0.85 Underperform

12/01/10 DBS Vickers Tat Hong 0.94 1.08 Hold PER12x
02/15/11 DBS Vickers Tat Hong 0.915 0.83 Fully Valued PER12x

01/18/11 OCBC Tat Hong 0.95 0.99 Hold
01/19/11 OCBC Tat Hong 0.945 0.99 Hold
02/15/11 OCBC Tat Hong 0.915 0.85 Hold

TAC (Baht) - Neutral call by CIMB.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

02/08/11 CIMB TAC 41 46 Neutral DCF

Swiber - Downgraded by analysts.

Date/Research House/Stock/Last Done/Target Price/Call/Valuation Method

03/02/11 CIMB Swiber 0.805 1.01 Outperform PER12x
03/04/11 CIMB Swiber 0.81 1.01 Outperform

01/03/11 DBS Vickers Swiber 1 1.28 Buy
03/03/11 DBS Vickers Swiber 0.79 0.83 Hold PER10x

03/02/11 DMG & Partners Swiber 0.805 1.25 Under Review PER10x
03/03/11 DMG & Partners Swiber 0.79 0.85 Neutral PER10x

12/02/10 OCBC Swiber 0.985 1.33 Buy
03/02/11 OCBC Swiber 0.805 1.33 Under Review
03/03/11 OCBC Swiber 0.79 0.94 Buy PER11x
03/04/11 OCBC Swiber 0.81 0.94 Buy

Friday, March 4, 2011

Baltic Dry Index (BDI) - 1281

Quote:

The Baltic Exchange's main sea freight index, which tracks rates to ship dry commodities, rose for a fourth session on Wednesday as modest cargo activity boosted sentiment. The index rose 1.51 per cent, or 19 points, to 1,281 points.

End Quote.