https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/us-rules-chinese-firms-sold-000054062.html
Raw materials from paper, chemical, metal and so forth are going to increase tremendously in prices because of trade wars and supply problems.
Global inflation will become a real threat in 2018.
Wednesday, February 28, 2018
China has created the world's first 5G mobile chip.
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/cndy/2018-02/27/content_35745699.htm
China is at the forefront of mobile technology now with the world's first 5G mobile chip. Huawei has the most advanced and fastest mobile phone now with this chip whilst the USA is still trying to develop its 5G network.
China is at the forefront of mobile technology now with the world's first 5G mobile chip. Huawei has the most advanced and fastest mobile phone now with this chip whilst the USA is still trying to develop its 5G network.
China imposes an anti-dumping measure on Singapore.
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201802/27/WS5a94f7dfa3106e7dcc13e5ee.html
I hope that there won't be more anti-dumping measures imposed on Singapore or else SG's economy will be greatly affected as SG will become less competitive.
Inflation will come fast and furious with so many anti-dumping measures. Simultaneously, interest rates will also increase a few times this year as indicated by Jerome Powell's speech yesterday.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/us-bond-yields-will-continue-to-rise-in.html
I hope that there won't be more anti-dumping measures imposed on Singapore or else SG's economy will be greatly affected as SG will become less competitive.
Inflation will come fast and furious with so many anti-dumping measures. Simultaneously, interest rates will also increase a few times this year as indicated by Jerome Powell's speech yesterday.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/us-bond-yields-will-continue-to-rise-in.html
Tuesday, February 27, 2018
Toilet and tissue paper prices are going to increase soon!
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/taiwan-toilet-paper-price-hike-consumers-shopping-empty-shelves-9993494
International paper prices are rising in the world. This is a worldwide phenomenon as shown on the price charts in USA and International market.
Taiwan is having a toilet roll run now.
International paper prices are rising in the world. This is a worldwide phenomenon as shown on the price charts in USA and International market.
Taiwan is having a toilet roll run now.
Sanli Env - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
11/14/17 | SAC Advisors | Sanli Env | 0.3 | 0.36 | Buy | |
01/11/18 | SAC Advisors | Sanli Env | 0.295 | 0.36 | Buy | PER15.9x FY18 |
Samudera - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/14/16 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.205 | 0.21 | Hold | PER8x FY16 |
02/29/16 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.195 | 0.21 | Hold | PER8x FY16 |
04/29/16 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.21 | 0.21 | Hold | PER8x FY16 |
07/29/16 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.18 | 0.19 | Hold | PER8x FY16 |
09/16/16 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.181 | 0.18 | Hold | PB0.3x FY16 |
10/28/16 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.175 | 0.22 | Buy | PB0.4x |
04/26/17 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.189 | 0.26 | Buy | PB0.4x |
10/13/17 | Amfrasers | Samudera | 0.24 | 0.38 | Buy | PB0.6x FY17 |
Stock calls for 27 February 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/27/18 | Kim Eng | Best World | 1.37 | 2.06 | Buy | |
02/27/18 | phillip | CNMC | 0.26 | 0.3 | Accumulate | DCF |
02/27/18 | CIMB | CSE Global | 0.37 | 0.39 | Hold | PER12x CY19 |
02/27/18 | Kim Eng | First Resources | 1.76 | 2.2 | Buy | PER17x FY18 |
02/27/18 | DMG & Partners | First Resources | 1.76 | 1.75 | Neutral | PER12x FY18 |
02/27/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Hock Lian Seng | 0.51 | 0.65 | Buy | |
02/27/18 | Credit Suisse | HRnetGroup | 0.805 | 1.06 | Outperform | |
02/27/18 | DBS Vickers | HRnetGroup | 0.805 | 0.97 | Buy | PER15x FY18, Ex-cash |
02/27/18 | Phillip | Raffles Medical | 1.1 | 1.32 | Accumulate | DCF |
02/27/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Raffles Medical | 1.1 | 1.32 | Buy | DCF |
02/27/18 | OCBC | Raffles Medical | 1.1 | 1.26 | Buy | Sum of parts |
02/27/18 | Kim Eng | Raffles Medical | 1.1 | 1.13 | Hold | DCF |
02/27/18 | DMG & Partners | Raffles Medical | 1.1 | 1.02 | Neutral | DCF |
02/27/18 | CIMB | Sarine | 1.18 | 1.53 | Add | PER17.2x CY19 |
02/27/18 | DBS Vickers | Sembcorp Industries | 3.2 | 4.4 | Buy | Sum of parts (10% discount), PB1.1x |
02/27/18 | Amfrasers | Sembcorp Marine | 2.18 | 2.06 | Hold | |
02/27/18 | DMG & Partners | ST Engineering | 3.44 | 4.04 | Buy | PER23x & PB5.5x & EV/Ebitda16x & DCF |
Goldilocks is accusing Noble Group of inflating its derivative contracts.
http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/goldilocks-calls-nobles-profit-warning-figures-extremely-shocking
Goldilocks is regretting its Noble Group investment now because it is accusing Noble Group of inflating the derivatives contracts and forcing the existing shareholders to accept the debt restructuring plan.
Whatever it is, Noble Group is heading towards bankruptcy without any debt restructuring.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/noble-group-is-virutally-bankrupt-after.html
Goldilocks is regretting its Noble Group investment now because it is accusing Noble Group of inflating the derivatives contracts and forcing the existing shareholders to accept the debt restructuring plan.
Whatever it is, Noble Group is heading towards bankruptcy without any debt restructuring.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/noble-group-is-virutally-bankrupt-after.html
Monday, February 26, 2018
Sabana Reit - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/05/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Sabana Reit | 0.71 | 0.92 | Buy | |
01/26/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Sabana Reit | 0.7 | 0.89 | Buy | |
03/30/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Sabana Reit | 0.635 | 0.89 | Buy | |
04/13/16 | Kim Eng | Sabana Reit | 0.645 | 0.89 | Not Rated | |
04/19/16 | UOB Kay Hian | Sabana Reit | 0.66 | 0.84 | Buy | DDM |
01/23/17 | phillip | Sabana Reit | 0.375 | 0.51 | Trading Buy | PB0.9x, Ex-rights 42 for 100 @ $0.258 |
03/06/17 | phillip | Sabana Reit | 0.43 | 0.54 | Trading Buy | PB0.9x |
05/11/17 | phillip | Sabana Reit | 0.455 | 0.54 | Trading Buy | PB0.9X |
08/08/17 | phillip | Sabana Reit | 0.49 | 0.57 | Trading Buy | PB1x |
Roxy-Pacific - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Code | Company | Last | Target | Call | Percent | Valuation |
01/27/16 | NRA | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.49 | 0.56 | Not Rated | 14.29 | PB0.7x |
02/29/16 | NRA | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.49 | 0.575 | Not Rated | 17.35 | RNAV (30% discount) |
03/14/16 | OCBC | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.49 | 0.52 | Hold | 6.12 | |
08/01/16 | OCBC | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.46 | 0.52 | Hold | 13.04 | |
09/20/16 | NRA | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.45 | 0.54 | Not Rated | 20.00 | RNAV (40% discount) |
11/01/16 | OCBC | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.42 | 0.52 | Hold | 23.81 | |
08/01/17 | OCBC | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.525 | 0.52 | Hold | -0.95 | |
11/22/17 | OCBC | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.52 | 0.52 | Hold | 0.00 | |
12/07/17 | OCBC | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.54 | 0.6 | Buy | 11.11 | |
12/12/17 | DBS Vickers | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.53 | 0.69 | Buy | 30.19 | RNAV (30% discount) |
02/15/18 | OCBC | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.56 | 0.66 | Buy | 17.86 | |
02/19/18 | DBS Vickers | E8Z | Roxy-Pacific | 0.56 | 0.69 | Buy | 23.21 | RNAV (30% discount) |
Stock calls for 26 February 2018
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/26/18 | DMG & Partners | Amara | 0.55 | 0.88 | Buy | PB0.65x |
02/26/18 | DMG & Partners | APAC Realty | 1.1 | 1.35 | Buy | DCF |
02/26/18 | DBS Vickers | APAC Realty | 1.1 | 1.25 | Buy | DCF & PER15x FY18 |
02/26/18 | Lim & Tan | CSE Global | 0.345 | 0 | Buy | |
02/26/18 | Amfrasers | Frencken | 0.67 | 0.72 | Hold | PER12x FY18 |
02/26/18 | Kim Eng | Genting | 1.3 | 1.46 | Buy | EV/Ebitda 12x FY18 |
02/26/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Genting | 1.3 | 1.3 | Hold | EV/Ebitda10.4x FY18, Buy @ $1.15 |
02/26/18 | DBS Vickers | Genting | 1.3 | 1.49 | Buy | DCF |
02/26/18 | DMG & Partners | Genting | 1.3 | 1.34 | Neutral | DCF |
02/26/18 | OCBC | Genting | 1.3 | 1.45 | Buy | FCFE |
02/26/18 | CIMB | Genting | 1.3 | 1.49 | Add | EV/Ebitda12x FY19 |
02/26/18 | OCBC | OUE | 1.93 | 2.28 | Buy | |
02/26/18 | CIMB | Riverstone | 1.04 | 1.28 | Add | PER18.6x FY19 |
02/26/18 | DBS Vickers | Riverstone | 1.04 | 1.27 | Buy | PER16x FY19 |
02/26/18 | Kim Eng | Riverstone | 1.04 | 1.22 | Buy | PER18x FY18 |
02/26/18 | OCBC | Sembcorp Industries | 3.24 | 3.84 | Buy | |
02/26/18 | phillip | Sembcorp Industries | 3.24 | 3.86 | Accumulate | Sum of parts |
02/26/18 | UOB Kay Hian | Sembcorp Industries | 3.24 | 3.28 | Hold | Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.90 |
02/26/18 | CIMB | Sembcorp Industries | 3.24 | 4.13 | Add | Sum of parts, PER8x FY18, PB0.63x FY18 |
02/26/18 | phillip | Sembcorp Marine | 2.23 | 1.91 | Reduce | PER43.4x FY18 |
02/26/18 | phillip | Sheng Siong | 0.93 | 1.13 | Buy | PER23x FY18 |
02/26/18 | DMG & Partners | Sheng Siong | 0.93 | 0.98 | Neutral | DCF & PER |
02/26/18 | OCBC | Sheng Siong | 0.93 | 1.06 | Buy | |
02/26/18 | CIMB | Sheng Siong | 0.93 | 1.08 | Add | PER22.3x CY19 |
02/26/18 | CIMB | ST Engineering | 3.39 | 3.8 | Add | DCF, PER & Div yield |
02/26/18 | UOB Kay Hian | ST Engineering | 3.39 | 3.6 | Hold | DCF, Buy @ $3.20 |
02/26/18 | DBS Vickers | ST Engineering | 3.39 | 3.9 | Buy | |
02/26/18 | Lim & Tan | ST Engineering | 3.39 | 0 | Buy | |
02/26/18 | DBS Vickers | Wilmar | 3.13 | 3.65 | Buy | DCF |
02/26/18 | DMG & Partners | Wilmar | 3.13 | 3.45 | Buy | Sum of parts |
Do you support a rules-based system in the world?
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/china-demands-u-stops-unilateral-sanctions-over-north-150441118--sector.html
Many countries which support rules-based order or system in this world are keeping quiet when a big and mighty country like the USA is not following the rules-based order.
We must stop any country from imposing unilateral sanctions against another country without UN mandate. What's the purpose of having an international entity like UN when a big and mighty country can just flout the international rules?
UN didn't stop the USA from invading Iraq with fabricated intelligence in the past.
UN is not stopping the USA from imposing excessive and illegal sanctions against NK now.
China is right to protest against the US for the unilateral sanctions. We need to support a rules-based system and protest against any unilateral and illegal sanctions too.
Many countries which support rules-based order or system in this world are keeping quiet when a big and mighty country like the USA is not following the rules-based order.
We must stop any country from imposing unilateral sanctions against another country without UN mandate. What's the purpose of having an international entity like UN when a big and mighty country can just flout the international rules?
UN didn't stop the USA from invading Iraq with fabricated intelligence in the past.
UN is not stopping the USA from imposing excessive and illegal sanctions against NK now.
China is right to protest against the US for the unilateral sanctions. We need to support a rules-based system and protest against any unilateral and illegal sanctions too.
Kota Baru snatch theft in Malaysia.
When there is a huge public distrust, a person will always second-guess another person's kind gesture. This results in public apathy and people are unwilling to step forward to help.
An excellent example to depict the public distrust would be the Singapore driver's kind gesture.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/it-doesnt-pay-to-be-samaritan-in.html
2 kind drivers offered to a drive to students during raining days but police were called in to investigate the incidents. Who would want to do good deed or offer kind gesture when the police will come knocking at the door?
Saturday, February 24, 2018
Baltic dry index - 1185
Today, Friday, February 23 2018, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 18 points, reaching 1185 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=====================
Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.
US rig count - 978
HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by three this week to 978.
That exceeds the 754 rigs that were active this time a year ago.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 799 rigs drilled for oil this week and 179 for gas.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Texas increased by three rigs, New Mexico gained two and Colorado, Louisiana, North Dakota, Ohio and Wyoming each gained one.
Oklahoma decreased by two rigs and Kansas, Pennsylvania and West Virginia each lost one.
Alaska, Arkansas, California and Utah were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.
=======================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.
US bond yields will continue to rise in 2018. Why? - Part 2
http://wallstreetexaminer.com/2018/02/treasury-seven-year-sale-caps-258-billion-week-higher-yields-git-r-done/
https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-bonds/treasuries-prices-pare-gains-after-soft-seven-year-auction-idUSL2N1QC1QF
USD 7-year treasury demand was weaker than expected and resulted in a soft sale. With QE taperings in Europe & USA, there are lesser cheap monies in the world to be used or bond purchases. Thus, it is not surprising for the US bonds to have weak sales.
Conversely, the central bankers from China, Japan and Saudi seemed to have lost faith in the USA long-term economic growth due to the increasing investment risks as Trump's policies focused on cutting taxes, militarization and infrastructure spending which didn't groove with economic sense. In a nutshell, the USA is cutting tax revenues but increasing expenditures with no money in the coffer. Therefore, the USA has to raise about USD$1T annually from 2018 to 2028 by issuing a lot of bonds to meet the fiscal deficits.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/us-bond-yields-will-continue-to-rise-in.html
https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-bonds/treasuries-prices-pare-gains-after-soft-seven-year-auction-idUSL2N1QC1QF
USD 7-year treasury demand was weaker than expected and resulted in a soft sale. With QE taperings in Europe & USA, there are lesser cheap monies in the world to be used or bond purchases. Thus, it is not surprising for the US bonds to have weak sales.
Conversely, the central bankers from China, Japan and Saudi seemed to have lost faith in the USA long-term economic growth due to the increasing investment risks as Trump's policies focused on cutting taxes, militarization and infrastructure spending which didn't groove with economic sense. In a nutshell, the USA is cutting tax revenues but increasing expenditures with no money in the coffer. Therefore, the USA has to raise about USD$1T annually from 2018 to 2028 by issuing a lot of bonds to meet the fiscal deficits.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/us-bond-yields-will-continue-to-rise-in.html
Friday, February 23, 2018
India has to pay a high price to be an USA ally to contain China.
https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-u-tells-india-cut-tariffs-trade-friction-061636397--finance.html
India has to pay a high price to be part of the USA allies to contain China.
Is the Indian economy strong enough to withstand the tariff cuts? Obviously not! India is in need of money to develop its economy and is in a serious fiscal deficit.
https://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/india-fiscal-deficit-breaches-target-borrowing-government-securities-economy-fy18/story/266906.html
India has to pay a high price to be part of the USA allies to contain China.
Is the Indian economy strong enough to withstand the tariff cuts? Obviously not! India is in need of money to develop its economy and is in a serious fiscal deficit.
https://www.businesstoday.in/current/economy-politics/india-fiscal-deficit-breaches-target-borrowing-government-securities-economy-fy18/story/266906.html
Another USA anti-dumping measure. Rubberband is being targeted now.
https://www.commerce.gov/news/press-releases/2018/02/us-department-commerce-initiates-antidumping-duty-and-countervailing-1
OMG! Can you believe it? Rubberband is being targeted by the USA now.
The USA inflation is going to shoot up fast and furious now as the government implements more anti-dumping measures.
OMG! Can you believe it? Rubberband is being targeted by the USA now.
The USA inflation is going to shoot up fast and furious now as the government implements more anti-dumping measures.
China is Vietnam's largest export market now!
http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/a/201802/23/WS5a8fb353a3106e7dcc13da07.html
Vietnam has managed to export more goods to China after settling the South China Sea issue.
The Vietnamese leaders have great foresight.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/vietnam-and-china-have-resolved-south.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/01/vietnam-forsakes-usa-and-deflects-to.html
Vietnam has managed to export more goods to China after settling the South China Sea issue.
The Vietnamese leaders have great foresight.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/vietnam-and-china-have-resolved-south.html
http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/01/vietnam-forsakes-usa-and-deflects-to.html
Rotary Engineering - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/26/16 | Lim & Tan | Rotary Engineering | 0.31 | 0 | Hold | |
05/09/16 | Lim & Tan | Rotary Engineering | 0.38 | 0 | Hold | |
09/16/16 | Lim & Tan | Rotary Engineering | 0.39 | 0 | Hold | |
11/09/16 | Lim & Tan | Rotary Engineering | 0.39 | 0 | Hold | |
10/02/17 | Lim & Tan | Rotary Engineering | 0.41 | 0.46 | Accept Offer | Offer price $0.46 |
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