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Monday, June 25, 2018

Lippo-Malls Indo - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/17/17 CIMB Lippo-Malls Indo 0.385 0.39 Hold DDM
02/17/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.385 0.43 Buy DDM
04/04/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.395 0.43 Buy
06/01/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.415 0.435 Buy
06/22/17 CIMB Lippo-Malls Indo 0.43 0.41 Hold DDM
06/28/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.44 0.475 Buy DDM
08/07/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.455 0.45 Hold DDM
08/08/17 CIMB Lippo-Malls Indo 0.455 0.43 Hold DDM
08/30/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.43 0.455 Buy
11/06/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.44 0.46 Buy DDM
12/13/17 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.415 0.46 Buy
02/15/18 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.4 0.405 Hold
04/13/18 CIMB Lippo-Malls Indo 0.365 0.33 Reduce DDM
04/13/18 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.365 0.31 Sell
05/07/18 CIMB Lippo-Malls Indo 0.32 0.33 Reduce DDM

Stock calls for 25 June 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/25/18 Amfrasers DISA 0.008 0.02 Buy DCF, PER23.9x FY21
06/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Ezion 0.09 0.12 Hold
06/25/18 CIMB Jumbo 0.5 0.62 Add PER23x CY19
06/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.76 3.6 Hold
06/25/18 Lim & Tan Sembcorp Industries 2.76 0 Accumulate
06/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Marine 1.96 2.05 Hold
06/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Yangzijiang 0.96 1.3 Buy

Here we go again! Mahathir is skinning Singapore further.

Mahathir has been very anti-Singapore after becoming PM again.  He is trying to review our water pact now.

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/mahathir-revives-singapore-water-dispute-takes-swipe-trump?utm_source=Singapore+Market+Report&utm_campaign=c37bfa0f29-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2018_06_24_09_20&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_46b7beec93-c37bfa0f29-90900869

Let's do a checklist on his anti-Singapore antes.

Dr M has decided to build a maritime base on the middle rocks which is only 44km away from SG.  This will affect SG's security.

Dr M has decided to terminate the KL-SG HSR.  This will affect SG's connection to the BRI.

Dr M has decided to review the CPTTP.  This will affect SG's free trade.

Dr M has decided to use the land acquisition to delay the JB-SG MRT.  This will affect the traffic flow between JB & SG.

Dr M has decided to review the water pact now.  This will affect SG's survival.

See!  Everything he does will harm SG.

Sunday, June 24, 2018

Mahathir may delay the JB-SG MRT after the KL-SG HSR termination.

https://www.aseanbreakingnews.com/2018/06/jb-spore-rail-link-johor-needs-to-acquire-more-land/

Oh great! Malaysia has come up with a reason to delay the JB-SG MRT.  Land acquisition usually takes time and Malaysia is using this excuse to delay the JB-SG MRT construction.

Look like Mahathir has upped his ante against SG.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/mahathir-is-trying-to-skin-singapore.html

Saturday, June 23, 2018

Baltic dry index - 1341

Today, Friday, June 22 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 6 points, reaching 1341 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count - 1052

HOUSTON — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. decreased by seven this week to 1,052.
At this time a year ago there were 941 active rigs.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 862 rigs drilled for oil this week and 188 for gas. Two were listed as miscellaneous.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Alaska gained two rigs and Wyoming added one.
Louisiana lost four rigs and Oklahoma decreased by two. Colorado, North Dakota, Pennsylvania and Texas each lost one.
Arkansas, California, New Mexico, Ohio, Utah and West Virginia were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.
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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, June 22, 2018

Lian Beng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/23/17 NRA Lian Beng 0.705 1.08 Not Rated RNAV (11.6% discount)
12/06/17 DBS Vickers Lian Beng 0.715 0.85 Not Rated RNAV (50% discount)
04/24/18 DBS Vickers Lian Beng 0.625 0.85 Not Rated Sum of parts

KSH - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/10/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.54 0.69 Buy PB0.93x
02/13/17 OCBC KSH 0.54 0.61 Buy
03/08/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.54 0.69 Buy
04/11/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.775 1.18 Buy RNAV (50% discount)
04/12/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.78 0 Buy
05/30/17 OCBC KSH 0.935 0.86 Hold
05/31/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.915 1.12 Buy Sum of parts
08/14/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.73 0 Hold
09/27/17 OCBC KSH 0.74 0.69 Hold
10/06/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.785 0 Buy
11/06/17 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.89 0.87 Hold Sum of parts
11/13/17 Lim & Tan KSH 0.86 0 Hold
11/15/17 OCBC KSH 0.865 0.79 Hold
02/12/18 Lim & Tan KSH 0.705 0 Hold
02/13/18 OCBC KSH 0.695 0.79 Hold
02/22/18 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.76 1.08 Buy Sum of parts
06/01/18 Lim & Tan KSH 0.645 0 Hold
06/04/18 OCBC KSH 0.635 0.98 Buy
06/07/18 UOB Kay Hian KSH 0.65 1.04 Buy Sum of parts

Stock calls for 22 June 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Breadtalk 1 0.93 Neutral
06/22/18 UOB Kay Hian CapitaCommercial 1.64 2.11 Buy DDM
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 8.83 9.66 Buy
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Food Empire 0.65 1.07 Buy
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.5 0.63 Buy
06/22/18 Kim Eng Japfa 0.625 0.86 Buy Sum of parts, PER14x FY18
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.345 0.43 Buy
06/22/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.25 9 Buy PER24x FY19
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1 1.18 Buy
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.77 1.06 Buy
06/22/18 Kim Eng Top Glove 3.81 4.4 Buy

Thursday, June 21, 2018

Lee Hsien Yang has left CAAS!

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/edmund-cheng-to-replace-lee-hsien-yang-as-caas-chairman-10455184

I believe the deceased LKY wouldn't expect that his elder son LHL would go after his younger son LHY and his grandson.  He also wouldn't expect that his Lee family would break up like this.

Kimly - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/10/17 Lim & Tan Kimly 0.25 0 Subscribe IPO
03/13/17 Amfrasers Kimly 0.25 0 Do not subscribe No competitive advantage
05/17/17 UOB Kay Hian Kimly 0.44 0.48 Hold DCF
08/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Kimly 0.375 0.46 Buy DCF
12/07/17 UOB Kay Hian Kimly 0.355 0.45 Buy DCF, PER22.8x FY18
04/16/18 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.34 0.43 Buy DCF, PER22.8x FY18
05/09/18 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.345 0.43 Buy DCF, PER22.8x FY18

Kim Heng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/03/17 OCBC Kim Heng 0.075 0.089 Hold PB0.8x FY17

Stock calls for 21 June 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Bumitama 0.65 0.8 Buy
06/21/18 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.55 1.6 Hold
06/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.33 0.26 Sell
06/21/18 OCBC Mapletree Logistics 1.22 1.34 Buy
06/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.12 3.9 Buy

US pulls out of UN human rights council to have a free rein in immigration treatment.

https://www.bbc.com/news/44537372

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/06/18/us/texas-deputy-child-sex-assault-charge-trnd/index.html

The US government separates parents and kids and leave the kids to fend for themselves.  The kids are subjected to abuses and not given proper blankets.

If the US is still in the UN human rights council, it will have to abide by the human rights council rules.  What a perfect timing to pull out of the council!

Wednesday, June 20, 2018

Keppel T&T - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.715 2.53 Buy
01/26/17 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.765 1.7 Hold Sum of parts (20% discount)
01/26/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.765 2.51 Buy Sum of parts
03/21/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.75 2.51 Buy
04/07/17 Lim & Tan Keppel T&T 1.765 0 Buy
04/19/17 CIMB Keppel T&T 1.755 1.73 Hold Sum of parts (20% discount)
04/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.755 2.51 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.745 2.51 Buy Sum of parts
09/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.5 1.9 Buy Sum of parts
10/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.49 1.9 Buy Sum of parts
01/25/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.7 1.9 Buy Sum of parts
04/18/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel T&T 1.57 1.75 Buy PER30.1x FY19

Keppel Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/09/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.05 1.23 Buy DCF
01/09/17 Morgan Stanley Keppel Reit 1.05 0.9 Underweight
01/11/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.055 1.21 Buy
01/25/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.045 1.03 Hold DDM
01/25/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.045 0.97 Neutral
01/25/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.045 0.95 Underperform DDM
01/25/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.045 0.99 Neutral DDM
01/25/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.045 1.18 Buy
01/25/17 Religare Keppel Reit 1.045 1.02 Hold
01/25/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.045 1.21 Buy DDM
02/07/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.19 0.92 Underperform DDM
02/09/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.02 1 Neutral
02/17/17 JP Morgan Keppel Reit 1.015 1.15 Overweight
02/28/17 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.025 1 Hold
03/07/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.02 1.21 Buy
03/10/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.01 0.99 Neutral
03/17/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.015 1.23 Buy
04/07/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.055 0.99 Neutral DDM
04/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.055 1.21 Buy
04/18/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.055 0.92 Underperform DDM
04/18/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.055 1.18 Buy Yield 5.25%
04/20/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.07 1.09 Hold DDM
04/21/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.05 0.94 Underperform DDM
05/18/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.065 1.23 Buy
05/18/17 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.065 1.1 Hold
05/25/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.095 1.3 Buy
06/12/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.14 1.23 Buy
06/22/17 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.145 1.1 Hold
06/22/17 OCBC Keppel Reit 1.145 1.23 Buy
07/03/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.145 0.98 Underperform DDM
07/11/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.15 1.18 Buy
07/12/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.16 0.99 Neutral
07/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.17 1.3 Buy DDM
07/19/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.17 1.05 Neutral DDM
07/19/17 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.17 0.97 Underperform
07/19/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.17 1.16 Hold DDM
07/19/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.17 1.18 Hold
07/19/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.17 1.23 Buy DCF
08/01/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.16 1.23 Buy
09/21/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.175 1.05 Neutral
09/25/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.165 1.18 Hold
10/19/17 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.195 1.05 Neutral
10/19/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.195 1.28 Buy DCF
10/19/17 DIR Keppel Reit 1.195 0.98 Underperform DDM
10/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.195 1.3 Buy DDM
10/19/17 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.195 1.2 Hold DDM
11/03/17 Morgan Stanley Keppel Reit 1.175 0.95 Underweight Target Yield 6.5%
11/28/17 Macquarie Keppel Reit 1.25 1.3 Outperform
12/01/17 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.26 1.43 Buy
12/18/17 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.25 1.39 Buy
12/18/17 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.25 1.19 Hold Target yield 5.25%, Up from $1.16
01/04/18 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.27 1.25 Hold
01/05/18 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.27 1.05 Neutral
01/24/18 Kim Eng Keppel Reit 1.32 1.19 Hold
01/24/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.32 1.43 Buy DDM
01/24/18 Credit Suisse Keppel Reit 1.32 0.97 Underperform
01/24/18 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.32 1.34 Hold DDM
01/24/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.32 1.41 Buy DCF
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.32 1.06 Sell DDM
02/14/18 Deutsche Keppel Reit 1.18 1.3 Buy
03/19/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.21 1.41 Buy
04/19/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.2 1.43 Buy DDM
04/19/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.2 1.41 Buy
04/19/18 Lim & Tan Keppel Reit 1.2 0 Hold
05/17/18 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.18 1.06 Sell

Stock calls for 20 June 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
06/20/18 Kim Eng Bukit Sembawang 6.04 8.55 Buy
06/20/18 Kim Eng Capitaland 3.31 4.1 Buy
06/20/18 CIMB China Aviation Oil 1.52 2.03 Add PER12.5x CY19
06/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Citic Envirotech 0.56 1.06 Buy DCF, PER11.6x FY19
06/20/18 DMG & Partners Delfi 1.32 1.47 Buy DCF
06/20/18 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.36 3.3 Buy
06/20/18 DBS Vickers Parkway Life 2.58 3.15 Buy
06/20/18 Citi Research Sasseur 0.76 0.92 Buy
06/20/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.52 0.65 Buy DCF, PERf21x FY19
06/20/18 OCBC Singtel 3.18 4.1 Buy PER18.3x FY19
06/20/18 Lim & Tan Top Glove 3.88 0 Hold
06/20/18 Kim Eng UOL 7.5 10.85 Buy

Singapore casinos will face stiffer competitions in Asia now.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/japan-dreams-of-jackpot-with-legal-casinos-10450528

Asia countries are getting on with the gambling industry and are opening new casinos in their own countries.  This will definitely impact Singapore casinos because we're all going after the same pool of gamblers.

Bloomberg doesn't dare to calculate the cost of economic tariffs for USA.

https://www.bloombergquint.com/global-economics/2018/06/20/trump-s-tariffs-could-deliver-a-sizable-hit-to-china-s-economy

The bloomberg article doesn't mention anything about the US damages from the US-China trade war.  This is a one-sided article which seeks to extol the US economic clout.  In actual fact, the US suffers the same economic damages as China.  However, shaving a 0.5% from 6.8% (China) is different from shaving a 0.5% from 3% economic growth (US).

This is the reason for not reporting this differential in the bloomberg article.

Noble shares spike because of Goldilocks.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/noble-group-says-shareholders-receive-20-percent-equity-004521027--sector.html

Goldilocks agreed to the new restructuring and withdrew its lawsuit against Noble.  This is a great news for Noble.