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Thursday, August 2, 2018

Stock calls for 2 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/02/18 DBS Vickers CapitaCommercial 1.74 2.12 Buy
08/02/18 UOB Kay Hian China Aviation Oil 1.53 2.05 Buy PER13.5x FY18
08/02/18 CIMB China Aviation Oil 1.53 2.03 Add PER12.5x FY19
08/02/18 DMG & Partners China Aviation Oil 1.53 1.8 Buy
08/02/18 Macquarie DBS 26.94 29.5 Neutral
08/02/18 DMG & Partners DBS 26.94 30.3 Buy ROE
08/02/18 Lim & Tan DBS 26.94 0 Buy
08/02/18 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.62 1.6 Hold PER13x FY18, Buy @ $1.40
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.42 1.65 Buy
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Hi-P 1.27 1.21 Hold PER11.2x FY18/19
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.19 1.41 Buy
08/02/18 DBS Vickers OUE Commercial 0.695 0.73 Hold
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.4 Fully Valued RNAV (55% discount)
08/02/18 phillip Sheng Siong 1.09 1.13 Accumulate PER23x FY18
08/02/18 OCBC Sheng Siong 1.09 1.25 Buy
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Suntec Reit 1.87 2.3 Buy
08/02/18 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.15 3.51 Buy Sum of parts
08/02/18 CIMB Y Venture 0.5 0.62 Add PER30x FY19
08/02/18 DBS Vickers Y Venture 0.5 0.77 Buy EV/Ebitda20x FY19

Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Singapore O&G - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/13/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 1.185 1.5 Buy
02/17/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 1.305 1.6 Buy DCF & PER30x FY17
02/17/17 UOB Kay Hian Singapore O&G 1.305 1.48 Buy PER30.7x
02/20/17 phillip Singapore O&G 1.255 1.57 Buy PER36.5x FY17
03/17/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 1.25 1.6 Buy
04/10/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 1.345 1.6 Buy
04/17/17 UOB Kay Hian Singapore O&G 1.36 1.53 Buy PER31.8x FY17
05/16/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 0.67 0.8 Buy DCF & PER30x
05/16/17 phillip Singapore O&G 0.67 0.79 Accumulate PER36.5x FY17, Split 1 into 2
06/16/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 0.66 0.8 Buy
06/19/17 UOB Kay Hian Singapore O&G 0.65 0.74 Buy
08/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Singapore O&G 0.49 0.59 Buy PER26.5x FY18
08/11/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 0.49 0.41 Fully Valued PER20x FY17/18
08/14/17 phillip Singapore O&G 0.475 0.65 Buy PER29x
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Singapore O&G 0.465 0.59 Buy PER26.5x FY18
10/05/17 phillip Singapore O&G 0.475 0.65 Buy PER29x
10/16/17 UOB Kay Hian Singapore O&G 0.52 0.62 Buy PER27.9x FY18
11/09/17 DBS Vickers Singapore O&G 0.535 0.52 Hold PER25x FY18
11/09/17 UOB Kay Hian Singapore O&G 0.535 0.59 Buy PER27.1x FY18
11/09/17 phillip Singapore O&G 0.535 0.62 Accumulate PER29x
02/20/18 phillip Singapore O&G 0.385 0.42 Accumulate PER23.2x
05/15/18 phillip Singapore O&G 0.38 0.42 Accumulate PB1.82x FY18, PER23.2x

Singapore Myanmar - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 OCBC Singapore Myanmar 0.58 0.97 Buy PER16x FY19
02/09/17 OCBC Singapore Myanmar 0.605 0.97 Buy
04/07/17 OCBC Singapore Myanmar 0.525 0.97 Buy PER16x FY19
05/31/17 OCBC Singapore Myanmar 0.525 0.97 Buy PER16x FY19
07/03/17 OCBC Singapore Myanmar 0.555 0.97 Buy
11/16/17 OCBC Singapore Myanmar 0.45 0.665 Buy PER16x FY19

Stock calls for 1 August 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/01/18 CIMB AEM 0.995 0.69 Reduce PER10x FY19
08/01/18 OCBC Cache Logistics 0.775 0.81 Buy
08/01/18 phillip Cache Logistics 0.775 0.82 Neutral DDM
08/01/18 Kim Eng Cache Logistics 0.775 0.95 Buy DDM
08/01/18 CIMB Cache Logistics 0.775 0.78 Hold DDM
08/01/18 DBS Vickers Cache Logistics 0.775 0.88 Hold
08/01/18 phillip DBS 26.75 32.7 Accumulate
08/01/18 CIMB Far East Hospitality 0.69 0.79 Add DDM
08/01/18 OCBC Far East Hospitality 0.69 0.69 Hold
08/01/18 Lim & Tan Far East Hospitality 0.69 0 Hold
08/01/18 DBS Vickers Far East Hospitality 0.69 0.74 Buy DCF
08/01/18 Kim Eng Japfa 0.745 0.86 Buy Sum of parts
08/01/18 CIMB Mapletree North Asia 1.15 1.3 Add DDM
08/01/18 DBS Vickers Mapletree North Asia 1.15 1.45 Buy
08/01/18 phillip OCBC 11.57 14.9 Accumulate
08/01/18 OCBC Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.44 Hold
08/01/18 DBS Vickers Roxy-Pacific 0.44 0.4 Hold RNAV (55% discount)
08/01/18 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1.07 1.27 Buy DCF & PER
08/01/18 CIMB SIA Engineering 2.98 3.31 Add DCF
08/01/18 phillip UOB 27.02 31.7 Accumulate

Trump upped his ante after the US senate backstabbed him.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-propose-25-percent-tariff-200-billion-chinese-011646568--business.html

Trump is alienating himself regionally and locally.  He is fast losing support in the USA.

Singapore Medical - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.44 0.63 Buy DCF, PER27x FY17
01/23/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.465 0.59 Buy PER27x FY17
02/17/17 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.56 0.59 Buy
03/01/17 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.585 0.65 Buy DCF, PER27x FY18
03/01/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.585 0.67 Buy PER27x FY18
04/05/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.565 0.67 Buy PER27x FY18
04/21/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.55 0.78 Buy PER27x FY18
04/24/17 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.615 0.79 Buy DCF, PER28x FY18
06/05/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.605 0.78 Buy PER27x FY18
08/16/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.615 0.78 Buy PER27x FY18
08/16/17 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.615 0.79 Buy DCF, PER27x FY18
10/19/17 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.625 0.79 Buy DCF, PER26.5x FY18
10/20/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.615 0.78 Buy PER27x FY18
11/13/17 DBS Vickers Singapore Medical 0.6 0.75 Buy PER25x FY18/19, PEG0.3x
11/30/17 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.57 0.78 Buy
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.605 0.79 Buy
01/26/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.63 0.83 Buy PER26.8x FY18, PEG0.3x
02/06/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.58 0.79 Buy DCF, PER27x FY18
03/01/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.56 0.83 Buy PER26.8x FY18
03/02/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Medical 0.56 0.73 Buy
03/02/18 Kim Eng Singapore Medical 0.56 0.7 Buy PER27x FY18
03/02/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.56 0.68 Buy DCF, PER26x FY18
03/19/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.51 0.74 Buy PER25.8x FY18
05/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.505 0.74 Buy PER26.8x FY18
05/16/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.505 0.68 Buy DCF
05/16/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Medical 0.505 0.73 Buy PER25x FY19
06/06/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Medical 0.495 0.74 Buy
06/27/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.46 0.68 Buy
07/31/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.425 0.56 Buy DCF, PER21.5x

Sing Investments - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/24/17 phillip Sing Investments 1.475 1.67 Accumulate GGM, PB0.8x
08/04/17 phillip Sing Investments 1.51 1.67 Accumulate PB0.8x
10/26/17 phillip Sing Investments 1.58 1.725 Accumulate GGM, PB0.8x FY18

Sing Holdings - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/30/17 Amfrasers Sing Holdings 0.39 0.54 Buy RNAV (30% discount), PB0.83x FY16
04/05/18 Amfrasers Sing Holdings 0.42 0.68 Buy RNAV (30% discount), PB1x FY17

Stock calls for 31 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/31/18 UOB Kay Hian A-Reit 2.76 3.01 Buy DDM
07/31/18 DBS Vickers CapitaRetail China 1.57 1.7 Buy DCF
07/31/18 OCBC Frasers Logistics 1.05 1.21 Buy
07/31/18 CIMB M1 1.64 1.5 Hold DCF
07/31/18 OCBC Mapletree North Asia 1.15 1.42 Buy
07/31/18 OCBC OUE Hospitality 0.805 0.79 Hold
07/31/18 phillip SGX 7.41 8.93 Buy DCF
07/31/18 UOB Kay Hian Sheng Siong 1.07 1.09 Hold PER22.5x FY18, Buy @ $0.98
07/31/18 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 1.07 1.26 Buy PER25x FY19
07/31/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA 10.1 11.1 Hold PB0.8x, Buy @ $9.80
07/31/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.425 0.56 Buy DCF, PER21.5x
07/31/18 CIMB Starhill 0.685 0.69 Hold DDM

Monday, July 30, 2018

Sinarmas Land - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/03/17 phillip Sinarmas Land 0.465 0.73 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
05/17/17 phillip Sinarmas Land 0.455 0.73 Buy RNAV (35% discount)

Silverlake - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/16/17 CIMB Silverlake 0.58 0.65 Add DCF
02/16/17 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.58 0.7 Buy DCF
05/17/17 CIMB Silverlake 0.53 0.65 Add DCF
05/17/17 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.53 0.65 Buy DCF
06/02/17 CIMB Silverlake 0.535 0.65 Add DCF
04/25/18 CIMB Silverlake 0.53 0.58 Add DCF
05/16/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.55 0.65 Buy DCF, PER21x FY19
05/16/18 CIMB Silverlake 0.55 0.56 Add DCF
05/24/18 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.545 0.65 Not Rated PER22x FY19
06/20/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.52 0.65 Buy DCF, PERf21x FY19
07/27/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.515 0.65 Buy DCF, PER23x FY19

Stock calls for 30 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/30/18 Phillip A-Reit 2.73 2.96 Accumulate DDM, PB1.39x FY19
07/30/18 CIMB A-Reit 2.73 2.89 Add DDM
07/30/18 OCBC CapitaRetail China 1.57 1.55 Hold
07/30/18 OCBC CDL Hospitality 1.65 1.42 Sell
07/30/18 UOB Kay Hian CDL Hospitality 1.65 1.86 Buy
07/30/18 CIMB CDL Hospitality 1.65 1.78 Add DDM
07/30/18 DBS Vickers CDL Hospitality 1.65 1.95 Buy DCF
07/30/18 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 9.15 9.6 Neutral DCF
07/30/18 CIMB Dairy Farm 9.15 9.55 Hold PER23.5x CY19
07/30/18 OCBC Far East Hospitality 0.68 0.675 Hold
07/30/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.7 0.8 Buy DCF
07/30/18 UOB Kay Hian Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.7 0.82 Buy DDM
07/30/18 DBS Vickers Ifast Corp 1.09 1.26 Buy DDM
07/30/18 UOB Kay Hian M1 1.6 1.55 Sell DCF
07/30/18 DMG & Partners M1 1.6 1.68 Neutral DCF
07/30/18 OCBC M1 1.6 1.65 Hold
07/30/18 CIMB OUE Hospitality 0.825 0.89 Add DDM
07/30/18 DBS Vickers OUE Hospitality 0.825 0.9 Buy DCF
07/30/18 OCBC SGX 7.58 8.32 Buy PER23x FY19
07/30/18 CIMB SGX 7.58 8.02 Add PER24x FY20
07/30/18 Lim & Tan SGX 7.58 0 Buy
07/30/18 CIMB SIA 10.22 11.75 Add PB1.05x CY18
07/30/18 DBS Vickers SIA 10.22 12.4 Buy PB1.1x FY19
07/30/18 Kim Eng Starhill 0.685 0.65 Hold DDM
07/30/18 OCBC Starhill 0.685 0.65 Hold

Anak Krakatau eruption in July 2018.


https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1883_eruption_of_Krakatoa

Krakatoa erupted in 1883 and killed more than 36,000 people.  Its remnant, Anak Krakatau, is very active recently.

Saturday, July 28, 2018

China has won the US-China trade war officially!

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/us-senate-quietly-votes-to-cut-tariffs-on-hundreds-of-chinese-goods-10569456

The US Senate has voted to lower tariffs against China.

We've stated from the beginning that China would win in the US-China trade war and we've been proven right.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-usa-is-getting-antsy-because-it-is.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/04/who-will-win-in-trade-war-us-or-china.html

Facebook is on a long-term downward trajectory now!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/facebook-sued-stock-plunge-204421143--finance.html

Facebook is facing another major class action suit after the data analytics scandal.

Facebook is facing some significant slowdown in many areas such as user growth, earnings growth and margin growth.  The slowdowns are not some aberration and will continue for the next few years.

The party time for FB is over now!

Baltic dry index - 1676

Today, Friday, July 27 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 32 points, reaching 1676 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
=================
Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count - 1048

HOUSTON — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by two this week to 1,048.
At this time a year ago there were 958 active rigs.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 861 rigs drilled for oil this week and 186 for gas. One was listed as miscellaneous.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Pennsylvania gained two rigs. Alaska, Kansas, New Mexico, North Dakota, Texas and West Virginia each increased by one.
Louisiana lost four rigs. Ohio and Oklahoma each decreased by one.
Arkansas, California, Colorado, Utah and Wyoming were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May 2016 at 404.

=========================

Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, July 27, 2018

SIIC - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 DMG & Partners SIIC 0.59 1.13 Buy DCF
01/17/17 DBS Vickers SIIC 0.565 0.68 Buy PER25x FY17
02/17/17 DMG & Partners SIIC 0.58 0.96 Buy DCF, PER20x FY17
04/26/17 DMG & Partners SIIC 0.53 0.96 Buy
08/14/17 DMG & Partners SIIC 0.465 0.82 Buy DCF
08/15/17 DBS Vickers SIIC 0.46 0.53 Hold PER22x
10/11/17 DBS Vickers SIIC 0.52 0.53 Hold PER22x FY17
11/10/17 DMG & Partners SIIC 0.515 0.54 Neutral DCF
12/27/17 DBS Vickers SIIC 0.515 0.53 Hold

SIA Engineering - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/03/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.37 3.3 Sell
02/06/17 CIMB SIA Engineering 3.52 3.77 Hold DCF
02/06/17 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.52 3.58 Hold Sum of parts
02/06/17 Kim Eng SIA Engineering 3.52 3.7 Hold PER20x FY18
02/06/17 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.52 3.58 Hold DCF
02/06/17 phillip SIA Engineering 3.52 3.38 Neutral DCF
02/06/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.52 3.3 Sell DCF
03/02/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.67 3.3 Sell
04/05/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.7 3.3 Sell
04/06/17 Lim & Tan SIA Engineering 3.7 0 Hold PER24x FY17/18
05/16/17 CIMB SIA Engineering 3.98 3.98 Hold DCF
05/16/17 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.98 3.84 Hold Sum of parts
05/16/17 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.98 3.75 Hold DDM
05/16/17 phillip SIA Engineering 3.98 3.7 Neutral DCF, PER23.4x FY18
05/16/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.98 3.5 Sell DCF, PER26x FY18
06/06/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.94 3.5 Sell
06/07/17 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.97 3.75 Hold
06/22/17 Lim & Tan SIA Engineering 4.16 0 Hold
06/28/17 CIMB SIA Engineering 4.17 3.86 Reduce DCF
07/03/17 OCBC SIA Engineering 4.08 3.75 Hold
07/10/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 4.06 3.6 Sell DCF, PER23x FY18
07/26/17 phillip SIA Engineering 3.87 3.7 Reduce DCF, PER24.9x FY18
07/26/17 CIMB SIA Engineering 3.87 3.86 Reduce DCF
07/26/17 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.87 3.7 Hold
07/26/17 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.87 3.84 Hold Sum of parts
08/02/17 DIR SIA Engineering 3.54 4.1 Outperform DCF
08/17/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.49 3.6 Sell DCF, PER23.7x FY18
10/12/17 Crucial Perspective SIA Engineering 3.18 4.5 Outperform
11/07/17 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.3 3.5 Hold DCF, Buy @ $3.10-3.15
11/07/17 phillip SIA Engineering 3.3 3.35 Neutral DCF, PER24.6x FY18
11/07/17 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.3 3.35 Hold
11/07/17 Kim Eng SIA Engineering 3.3 3.5 Hold PER21x FY19
11/07/17 CIMB SIA Engineering 3.3 3.7 Reduce
12/18/17 DIR SIA Engineering 3.11 3.56 Outperform
01/30/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.26 4 Buy DCF, PER24.9x FY18
02/05/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.33 4 Buy DCF
02/05/18 phillip SIA Engineering 3.33 3.51 Accumulate DCF
02/05/18 Kim Eng SIA Engineering 3.33 3.5 Hold PER21x FY19
02/05/18 CIMB SIA Engineering 3.33 3.13 Reduce DCF
02/05/18 Lim & Tan SIA Engineering 3.33 0 Hold
02/05/18 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.33 3.7 Buy DCF
02/05/18 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.33 3.86 Buy
03/09/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.25 4 Buy
05/11/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.31 4 Buy DCF, PER20.8x FY18
05/16/18 Lim & Tan SIA Engineering 3.33 0 Hold
05/17/18 phillip SIA Engineering 3.31 3.57 Accumulate DCF
05/17/18 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.31 3.92 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.31 3.8 Buy PER19.6x ex-cash
05/17/18 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.31 3.7 Buy
06/11/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.17 3.8 Buy
07/20/18 phillip SIA Engineering 3.19 3.56 Accumulate DCF, PER22x FY19
07/20/18 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.19 3.92 Buy Sum of parts
07/23/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.2 3.4 Hold DCF, PER21.8x FY19, Buy @ $3-3.1

Stock calls for 27 July 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/27/18 OCBC A-Reit 2.72 2.71 Hold
07/27/18 DBS Vickers Citic Envirotech 0.59 0.95 Buy PER20x FY19
07/27/18 DBS Vickers Dairy Farm 9.23 9.35 Hold Sum of parts
07/27/18 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.24 2.15 Neutral DDM, PB1.11x FY18
07/27/18 CIMB Hongkong Land 7.15 9.5 Add RNAV (30% discount)
07/27/18 Kim Eng Mapletree Commercial 1.64 1.5 Hold DDM
07/27/18 CIMB Mapletree Commercial 1.64 1.75 Add DDM
07/27/18 DBS Vickers Mapletree Commercial 1.64 1.8 Buy
07/27/18 CIMB Parkway Life 2.75 3.05 Hold DDM
07/27/18 DBS Vickers Parkway Life 2.75 3.15 Buy DCF
07/27/18 Lim & Tan SIA 10.8 0 Hold
07/27/18 OCBC SIA 10.8 11.01 Hold
07/27/18 DMG & Partners Silverlake 0.515 0.65 Buy DCF, PER23x FY19