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Thursday, December 13, 2018

Canada got played out by the US.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/exclusive--china-makes-first-big-us-soybean-purchase-since-trump-xi-truce-11026362

China has started to order US Soybeans again!

US-China trade tension has de-escalated after the Huawei CFO saga but China-Canada diplomatic relationship and trades have worsened.

Canada has never learnt from the historical bad records of the USA.  The US will betray and abandon anyone or any country after achieving its own interest.  This is how the Americans are like.

What did Canada gain from this? Nothing but troubles!

China has succeeded in reducing Singapore bunker sales.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/china-s-zhoushan-to-go-after-singapore-marine-hub-s-top-billing-11026980

https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/shipping/121318-singapores-nov-bunker-fuel-sales-fall-9-on-year-to-391-mil-mt

China has been trying hard to reduce Singapore bunker sales and it has finally succeeded.

Singapore November bunker sales dropped 9% year on year.

China has detained another Canadian!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/missing-canadians-raise-stakes-china-061754223.html

China is borrowing from the US's book (National Security).

National security is becoming a common theme right now in a lot of countries.  The US can impose punitive tariffs and sanctions based on national security.  The US also can get another country (Canada) to arrest a transit passenger because of national security issues.

I don't see why China cannot arrest 2 Canadians based on national security too.

Great job, China! At least you've learnt the American way in international politics.

Tiong Seng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/06/17 DBS Vickers Tiong Seng 0.39 0.45 Not Rated PER6.6x FY18 & PB0.6x

Tianjin Zhongxin - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/05/17 CIMB Tianjin Zhongxin 0.975 1.3 Add DCF FY17
08/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.05 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.13 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.055 1.66 Buy PER15.5x FY18
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.03 1.5 Buy PER14.6x FY18
01/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.945 1.52 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.92 1.66 Buy PER14.1x FY18
04/30/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.01 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
05/21/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.2 1.72 Buy PER14.1x FY18
06/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.21 1.72 Buy
07/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 1.12 1.72 Buy
09/14/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.915 1.59 Buy
10/31/18 UOB Kay Hian Tianjin Zhongxin 0.895 1.59 Buy PER14.1x FY18

Thai Beverage - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.855 1.07 Add Sum of parts, PER19.6x CY17
01/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.845 1.01 Buy
01/10/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.845 1.06 Overweight
02/02/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.87 1.01 Buy
02/15/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.88 1.07 Add Sum of parts
02/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.01 Buy
03/06/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.935 1.01 Buy
03/23/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.925 1.07 Add Sum of parts
03/31/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.935 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
03/31/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.935 1.1 Overweight
04/10/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
04/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/08/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
05/12/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
05/12/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.915 1.01 Buy
05/15/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.885 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
05/15/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
05/15/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.885 1 Overweight
06/13/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.88 1.01 Buy
06/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.885 1.09 Buy
06/16/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.895 1.09 Buy
06/29/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.89 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
07/03/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.9 1.1 Buy Sum of parts, PER26x FY17
07/07/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 1.07 Add Sum of parts
07/10/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.91 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
07/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
07/25/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
08/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.96 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
08/08/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.96 1.1 Overweight
08/10/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.07 Add Sum of parts
08/10/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.955 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
08/10/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.955 1.01 Buy
08/11/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
08/14/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.93 1.05 Accumulate Sum of parts
08/14/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.93 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.925 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
09/18/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.92 1.01 Buy
09/18/17 Credit Suisse Thai Beverage 0.92 1.04 Outperform
09/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.915 1.07 Buy
09/20/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.91 1.1 Buy Sum of parts
10/04/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.9 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
10/13/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.945 1.07 Buy
10/16/17 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.94 1.12 Buy Sum of parts
11/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.98 1.09 Buy Sum of parts
11/24/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.94 1.07 Buy
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add Sum of parts, PER24.8x FY18
11/27/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.97 1.18 Buy Sum of parts, PER24.2x FY18
11/27/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.97 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.97 1.15 Add
12/04/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.96 1.18 Buy
12/06/17 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.955 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.955 1.18 Buy Sum of parts
12/13/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.955 1.15 Add Sum of parts
12/19/17 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.97 1.07 Buy Sum of parts
12/20/17 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.95 1 Hold Sum of parts, PER22.6x CY18
12/20/17 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.95 0.84 Underweight
01/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.915 1.11 Buy Sum of parts
01/11/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.93 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 Nomura Thai Beverage 0.92 1.13 Buy
01/23/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.92 1.07 Buy
01/23/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.92 1 Hold
02/01/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.92 1.06 Buy Sum of parts
02/15/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.91 0.99 Hold Sum of parts, Buy @ $0.84
02/15/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.91 0.98 Hold Sum of parts, PER21.8x CY18
02/19/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.85 1.02 Buy Sum of parts
02/22/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.835 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
03/05/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.825 0.95 Buy
03/19/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.815 1.05 Buy
03/26/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.805 1.02 Buy
04/16/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.8 1.05 Buy
05/10/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.83 1.06 Buy Sum of parts
05/16/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.8 1.02 Buy
05/17/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.795 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
05/17/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.795 0.98 Add Sum of parts
05/17/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.795 0.95 Buy
06/11/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.77 0.98 Add
06/22/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.77 1.06 Buy
06/22/18 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.77 0.73 Underweight
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.7 0.99 Buy
07/12/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.725 1.02 Buy Sum of parts
07/25/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.74 0.94 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.7 0.94 Buy Sum of parts
08/15/18 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.7 0.64 Underweight
08/16/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Add Sum of parts
08/16/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.68 0.88 Buy Sum of parts
08/16/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.68 0.89 Buy
08/20/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.645 0.62 Reduce Sum of parts
09/04/18 Goldman Sachs Thai Beverage 0.645 0.74 Buy Cut from $0.94
09/04/18 JP Morgan Thai Beverage 0.645 0.64 Underweight
09/14/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.62 0.88 Add
09/18/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.65 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
09/20/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.65 0.94 Buy
09/21/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.67 0.88 Buy
10/02/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.665 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
10/04/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.71 0.84 Buy Sum of parts
10/26/18 Exotix Capital Thai Beverage 0.63 0.9 Buy
11/02/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.635 0.84 Buy
11/05/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.655 0.94 Buy
11/13/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.65 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.67 0.88 Add Sum of parts
11/27/18 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.67 0.87 Buy Sum of parts
11/27/18 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.67 0.85 Buy
11/28/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.63 0.57 Reduce Sum of parts
11/28/18 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.63 0.8 Buy Sum of parts
11/28/18 DMG & Partners Thai Beverage 0.63 0.75 Buy Sum of parts
11/28/18 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.63 0.73 Add Sum of parts, PER17x
12/05/18 Amfrasers Thai Beverage 0.625 0.75 Buy Sum of parts

Stock calls for 13 December 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/13/18 OCBC First Reit 1.04 1.05 Buy
12/13/18 UOB Kay Hian Sembcorp Industries 2.61 3.41 Buy

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Telechoice - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/10/17 NRA Telechoice 0.27 0.34 Overweight PER15.56x FY17
08/15/17 NRA Telechoice 0.25 0.34 Overweight PER16.5x FY20

Tee Land - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/20/17 NRA Tee Land 0.195 0.29 Overweight
03/09/18 NRA Tee Land 0.21 0.28 Overweight Sum of parts

Talkmed - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/23/17 CIMB Talkmed 1.385 1.82 Add DCF
02/28/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 1.43 2.07 Buy DCF, PER32x FY17
03/06/17 CIMB Talkmed 1.49 1.83 Add
04/26/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 1.775 2.07 Buy DCF, PER30x FY18
04/27/17 CIMB Talkmed 1.73 1.83 Hold DCF
06/29/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.645 0.73 Buy Ex-bonus 1 for 1
10/02/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.585 0.69 Buy
11/08/17 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.705 0.72 Neutral PER29x FY18
01/08/18 CIMB Talkmed 0.69 0.68 Hold DCF
02/21/18 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.675 0.72 Neutral DCF
04/27/18 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.69 0.7 Neutral DCF, PER29x FY18
11/09/18 DMG & Partners Talkmed 0.62 0.64 Neutral

Stock calls for 12 December 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/12/18 Kim Eng Japfa 0.735 0.99 Buy Sum of parts
12/12/18 UOB Kay Hian Sunningdale 1.37 1.5 Hold PER10.6x FY19, Buy @ $1.25
12/12/18 Lim & Tan Sunningdale 1.37 0 Buy

A public listed company has dumped blockchain investment.

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/accrelist-calls-off-1m-deal-to-acquire-stake-in-blockchain-firm

This is a wise move for Accrelist because blockchain is an overhyped technology.

The more you know and learn about public blockchain, the more you will avoid it.

Crypto prices have fallen further after we have posted our crypto & ICO analyses.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-financial-analysis-on-initial-coin.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/09/the-private-blockchain-will-cannibalize.html

No need to squabble over the new flight path at Seletar.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/johor-singapore-airspace-conflict-why-020011262.html

We just need to refer this to ICAO for the safety assessment.  If ICAO says it's safe, it is safe and Malaysia cannot refute the safety concerns over the new flight path at Seletar.

That's it! No need to debate anymore. If anybody wants to debate, please debate at the ICAO hearing. I believe ICAO will stand by Singapore's assessment.  Why? This is because Malaysia doesn't even know where its MH370 is now.

Canada has backed off a bit after its former diplomat is detained in China.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/chinas-huawei-executive-bail-hearing-001907585.html

Canada has granted bail to Huawei CFO after China detains its former Canadian diplomat Michael Kovrig.

Hahaha!

Canada, why do you want to get involved in this stupid ante put up by the US?  This will hurt your trades and also your reputation.

Noble is going bankrupt soon!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/noble-group-appoint-provisional-liquidator-101735089.html

Noble's fate is sealed after SGX blocked the new noble from relisting.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/12/omg-noble-cannot-relist-on-sgx.html

The so-called PLAN B is detrimental to existing shareholders because the PLAN B SHARES cannot be traded publicly.  Holding a share that cannot be cashed out is definitely not good.

The PLAN B is unlikely to be accepted by the existing shareholders and bankruptcy is the only way to go for Noble.

Tuesday, December 11, 2018

TA Corp - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/02/18 NRA TA Corp 0.24 0.35 Overweight RNAV (33% discount)
10/03/18 Tayrona Financial TA Corp 0.24 0.35 Overweight

Synagie - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/27/18 UOB Kay Hian Synagie 0.27 0.45 Buy Price-to-Sales 4.2x FY19
09/06/18 CIMB Synagie 0.215 0.34 Add Price-to-Sales 2.2x CY19

SUTL - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/02/17 UOB Kay Hian SUTL 0.665 0 Buy
03/09/17 Amfrasers SUTL 0.77 1.09 Buy DCF, EV/Ebitda8.8x
05/12/17 Amfrasers SUTL 0.9 1.09 Buy
08/25/17 Amfrasers SUTL 0.735 1.04 Buy
10/11/17 Amfrasers SUTL 0.69 1.04 Buy

Stock calls for 11 December 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
12/11/18 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.56 2.9 Buy
12/11/18 DMG & Partners Cache Logistics 0.7 0.84 Buy
12/11/18 DMG & Partners CapitaCommercial 1.76 1.8 Neutral
12/11/18 DMG & Partners Capitamall Trust 2.24 2.14 Neutral
12/11/18 DMG & Partners CDL Hospitality 1.52 1.8 Buy
12/11/18 DBS Vickers City Developments 8.42 9.5 Hold
12/11/18 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.17 2.19 Neutral
12/11/18 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.39 1.43 Neutral
12/11/18 DMG & Partners Manulife US Reit 0.755 0.92 Buy
12/11/18 DBS Vickers Starhill 0.67 0.75 Buy DCF
12/11/18 DMG & Partners Starhill 0.67 0.8 Buy
12/11/18 DMG & Partners Suntec Reit 1.78 1.9 Neutral
12/11/18 DBS Vickers UOL 6.15 7.15 Hold RNAV (40% discount)

Apple Iphones are banned in China now!

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/12/10/tech/china-iphone-ban/index.html

China is brilliant to pit a US firm against another US firm (Qualcomm vs Apple).

This will give China a legitimate excuse to ban Apple iPhones after the arrest of Huawei CFO.  Apple is an iconic US firm and China has no qualm to punish any iconic US firm.

It is also easy for China to attack Microsoft for cybersecurity reason because Microsft has a backdoor access for US NSA.