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Tuesday, May 28, 2019

No trade deal between US and China in G20 summit in June 2019.

https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3011955/donald-trump-says-us-isnt-ready-china-trade-deal-and-they

Trump has just indicated that the US is not ready to make a deal with China and the US tariffs on China goods will increase substantially.

The US economy must suffer quite a lot first before the US will renegotiate with China again.  It will take some time for the bad US economic numbers to surface.  We just need to be patient.

Monday, May 27, 2019

Japfa - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/29/19 CIMB Japfa 0.82 0.9 Add Sum of parts
01/30/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.81 0.99 Buy
03/01/19 CIMB Japfa 0.765 0.9 Add Sum of parts
03/05/19 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.705 0.98 Buy Sum of parts, PER10.7x FY19
03/05/19 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.705 0.8 Buy Sum of parts (15% discount), PER11.4x FY19
03/14/19 CIMB Japfa 0.715 0.63 Reduce Sum of parts
03/21/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.65 1.05 Buy Sum of parts
04/02/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.665 1.05 Buy
05/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Japfa 0.605 0.73 Buy Sum of parts
05/03/19 DBS Vickers Japfa 0.605 0.61 Hold Sum of parts (10% discount), PER14x FY19
05/27/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.575 0.93 Buy Sum of parts

Japan Foods - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/12/19 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.415 0.57 Hold DCF
03/08/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.43 0.45 Neutral
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.435 0.45 Neutral
05/22/19 Amfrasers Japan Foods 0.44 0.55 Neutral DCF
05/23/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.44 0.4 Hold

Jadason - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 CIMB Jadason 0.02 0.066 Add
05/13/19 CIMB Jadason 0.038 0.059 Add PB1x CY19

Stock calls for 27 May 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/27/19 DBS Vickers Capitaland 3.28 4 Buy RNAV (25% discount)
05/27/19 UOB Kay Hian Capitamall Trust 2.44 2.65 Buy DDM
05/27/19 OCBC Golden Agri 0.265 0.27 Hold
05/27/19 Kim Eng Japfa 0.575 0.93 Buy Sum of parts
05/27/19 CIMB Penguin 0.445 0.72 Add PB1x FY19
05/27/19 DMG & Partners Valuetronics 0.61 0.67 Neutral DCF

Saturday, May 25, 2019

Apple is resorting to selling customers' data to make up for revenue losses in China. Hahaha!

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/technology/apple-accused-of-selling-itunes-customers-listening-data

Database selling is a lucrative business because the same set of data can be sold many times.  Apple is caught selling its customers' data and many American firms are doing the same thing.  Is Apple trying to make up for the revenue losses in China? Hahaha!

Baltic dry index - 1068

Today, Friday, May 24 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 2 points, reaching 1068 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 983


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, May 24, 2019

Google has just killed its own future!

Why?

Google acted as a US state agent by terminating its Android services with Huawei.  This has raised an alarming signal to other nations that they cannot depend on "free" services from Google because it will pursue US political interests.  Therefore, China, India and the EU will develop their own mobile and PC platforms in the future to prevent the same occurrence from happening to them.  Nobody wants to be held hostage by the US anymore.

These alternative platforms will marginalize Google services in the future and make Google weaker.  This is exactly the same significant mistake made by Nokia in the past when Nokia didn't focus on smartphone developments.

Personally, I would like to see Linux ecosystem being developed worldwide so that we won't be held hostage by anybody.

Wow! Li Huan Wu has gotten married in South Africa!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/li-huanwu-grandson-of-lee-kuan-yew-marries-male-partner-in-south-africa-131110327.html

This is Lee Hsien Yang's 2nd son!

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/07/the-lee-family-has-gay-genes.html

ISOTeam - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/18/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.22 0.23 Neutral DCF
05/15/19 DMG & Partners ISOTeam 0.22 0.29 Buy DCF

ISDN - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/23/19 CIMB ISDN 0.215 0.32 Add PER10x CY20

Indofood Agri - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.2 0.19 Hold DCF
04/12/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.28 0.19 Accept offer offer price $0.28
05/02/19 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.28 0.19 Accept offer offer price $0.28

Stock calls for 24 May 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/24/19 UOB Kay Hian Bumitama 0.69 0.81 Hold
05/24/19 DMG & Partners F & N 1.73 3.53 Not Rated Sum of parts
05/24/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.44 2.36 Neutral
05/24/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.198 0.24 Accumulate PER10x

Omg! The US risk-free rate is at 2.31% now.

The 10-year treasury yield is at 2.31% and is below the Ioer (2.35%).  The US banks with excess cash won't invest in the 10y treasury now because the Ioer return is better.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/will-us-fed-reduce-its-interest-rates.html

The US economic situation is getting dicey now.

Will the US Fed reduce its interest rates because of the trade war?

Let's check out the 4 interest rates (IR) in May vs April.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/whats-happening-to-usd-now-why-is-it.html

Iorr: 2.35% (May) vs 2.4% (April)

Effr: 2.38% (May) vs 2.44% (April)


Ioer: 2.35% (May) vs 2.4% (April)


On RRP: 2.25% (April) vs 2.25% (May)


Effr: 2.38%
Ioer: 2.35%

The spread between Effr & Ioer is shrinking which denotes that the monetary tightening condition is starting to ease.  The Iorr, Effr and Ioer have decreased in May, and the declines in IR show that the US Fed is willing to consider interest rate cuts if the economic situation deteriorates further.

Thursday, May 23, 2019

The US is pressurising South Korea again after THAAD.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/huawei-south-korea-lg-security-risks-11557438

South Korea is facing intense pressure from the US again after THAAD installation.  If SK bans Huawei, it will antagonize China again.  SK is in no economic condition to do this again because its exports are declining rapidly due to the US-China trade war.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-21/south-korea-faces-greater-export-pain-as-trade-tensions-escalate

IHH Healthcare - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/17/19 Kim Eng IHH Healthcare 1.86 2.13 Buy Sum of parts, Ringgit $6.45 target price
03/01/19 Kim Eng IHH Healthcare 1.85 2.29 Buy Sum of parts, Ringgit $6.90 target

IFS Capital - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/15/19 Amfrasers IFS Capital 0.225 0.29 Buy PB0.7x FY18

Ifast Corp - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/21/19 DBS Vickers Ifast Corp 1.11 1.19 Hold DDM
04/30/19 DBS Vickers Ifast Corp 1.12 1.05 Hold DDM