https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/3011955/donald-trump-says-us-isnt-ready-china-trade-deal-and-they
Trump has just indicated that the US is not ready to make a deal with China and the US tariffs on China goods will increase substantially.
The US economy must suffer quite a lot first before the US will renegotiate with China again. It will take some time for the bad US economic numbers to surface. We just need to be patient.
Tuesday, May 28, 2019
Monday, May 27, 2019
Japfa - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/29/19 | CIMB | Japfa | 0.82 | 0.9 | Add | Sum of parts |
01/30/19 | Kim Eng | Japfa | 0.81 | 0.99 | Buy | |
03/01/19 | CIMB | Japfa | 0.765 | 0.9 | Add | Sum of parts |
03/05/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Japfa | 0.705 | 0.98 | Buy | Sum of parts, PER10.7x FY19 |
03/05/19 | DBS Vickers | Japfa | 0.705 | 0.8 | Buy | Sum of parts (15% discount), PER11.4x FY19 |
03/14/19 | CIMB | Japfa | 0.715 | 0.63 | Reduce | Sum of parts |
03/21/19 | Kim Eng | Japfa | 0.65 | 1.05 | Buy | Sum of parts |
04/02/19 | Kim Eng | Japfa | 0.665 | 1.05 | Buy | |
05/03/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Japfa | 0.605 | 0.73 | Buy | Sum of parts |
05/03/19 | DBS Vickers | Japfa | 0.605 | 0.61 | Hold | Sum of parts (10% discount), PER14x FY19 |
05/27/19 | Kim Eng | Japfa | 0.575 | 0.93 | Buy | Sum of parts |
Japan Foods - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/12/19 | Amfrasers | Japan Foods | 0.415 | 0.57 | Hold | DCF |
03/08/19 | DMG & Partners | Japan Foods | 0.43 | 0.45 | Neutral | |
04/05/19 | DMG & Partners | Japan Foods | 0.435 | 0.45 | Neutral | |
05/22/19 | Amfrasers | Japan Foods | 0.44 | 0.55 | Neutral | DCF |
05/23/19 | DMG & Partners | Japan Foods | 0.44 | 0.4 | Hold |
Jadason - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/02/19 | CIMB | Jadason | 0.02 | 0.066 | Add | |
05/13/19 | CIMB | Jadason | 0.038 | 0.059 | Add | PB1x CY19 |
Stock calls for 27 May 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/27/19 | DBS Vickers | Capitaland | 3.28 | 4 | Buy | RNAV (25% discount) |
05/27/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Capitamall Trust | 2.44 | 2.65 | Buy | DDM |
05/27/19 | OCBC | Golden Agri | 0.265 | 0.27 | Hold | |
05/27/19 | Kim Eng | Japfa | 0.575 | 0.93 | Buy | Sum of parts |
05/27/19 | CIMB | Penguin | 0.445 | 0.72 | Add | PB1x FY19 |
05/27/19 | DMG & Partners | Valuetronics | 0.61 | 0.67 | Neutral | DCF |
Saturday, May 25, 2019
Apple is resorting to selling customers' data to make up for revenue losses in China. Hahaha!
https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/technology/apple-accused-of-selling-itunes-customers-listening-data
Database selling is a lucrative business because the same set of data can be sold many times. Apple is caught selling its customers' data and many American firms are doing the same thing. Is Apple trying to make up for the revenue losses in China? Hahaha!
Database selling is a lucrative business because the same set of data can be sold many times. Apple is caught selling its customers' data and many American firms are doing the same thing. Is Apple trying to make up for the revenue losses in China? Hahaha!
Baltic dry index - 1068
Today, Friday, May 24 2019, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 2 points, reaching 1068 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.
Friday, May 24, 2019
Google has just killed its own future!
Why?
Google acted as a US state agent by terminating its Android services with Huawei. This has raised an alarming signal to other nations that they cannot depend on "free" services from Google because it will pursue US political interests. Therefore, China, India and the EU will develop their own mobile and PC platforms in the future to prevent the same occurrence from happening to them. Nobody wants to be held hostage by the US anymore.
These alternative platforms will marginalize Google services in the future and make Google weaker. This is exactly the same significant mistake made by Nokia in the past when Nokia didn't focus on smartphone developments.
Personally, I would like to see Linux ecosystem being developed worldwide so that we won't be held hostage by anybody.
Google acted as a US state agent by terminating its Android services with Huawei. This has raised an alarming signal to other nations that they cannot depend on "free" services from Google because it will pursue US political interests. Therefore, China, India and the EU will develop their own mobile and PC platforms in the future to prevent the same occurrence from happening to them. Nobody wants to be held hostage by the US anymore.
These alternative platforms will marginalize Google services in the future and make Google weaker. This is exactly the same significant mistake made by Nokia in the past when Nokia didn't focus on smartphone developments.
Personally, I would like to see Linux ecosystem being developed worldwide so that we won't be held hostage by anybody.
ISOTeam - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/18/19 | DMG & Partners | ISOTeam | 0.22 | 0.23 | Neutral | DCF |
05/15/19 | DMG & Partners | ISOTeam | 0.22 | 0.29 | Buy | DCF |
ISDN - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/23/19 | CIMB | ISDN | 0.215 | 0.32 | Add | PER10x CY20 |
Indofood Agri - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
03/01/19 | DBS Vickers | Indofood Agri | 0.2 | 0.19 | Hold | DCF |
04/12/19 | DBS Vickers | Indofood Agri | 0.28 | 0.19 | Accept offer | offer price $0.28 |
05/02/19 | DBS Vickers | Indofood Agri | 0.28 | 0.19 | Accept offer | offer price $0.28 |
Stock calls for 24 May 2019
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
05/24/19 | UOB Kay Hian | Bumitama | 0.69 | 0.81 | Hold | |
05/24/19 | DMG & Partners | F & N | 1.73 | 3.53 | Not Rated | Sum of parts |
05/24/19 | Phillip | Frasers Centrepoint Trust | 2.44 | 2.36 | Neutral | |
05/24/19 | phillip | Golden Energy | 0.198 | 0.24 | Accumulate | PER10x |
Omg! The US risk-free rate is at 2.31% now.
The 10-year treasury yield is at 2.31% and is below the Ioer (2.35%). The US banks with excess cash won't invest in the 10y treasury now because the Ioer return is better.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/will-us-fed-reduce-its-interest-rates.html
The US economic situation is getting dicey now.
https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/will-us-fed-reduce-its-interest-rates.html
The US economic situation is getting dicey now.
Will the US Fed reduce its interest rates because of the trade war?
Let's check out the 4 interest rates (IR) in May vs April.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/whats-happening-to-usd-now-why-is-it.html
Iorr: 2.35% (May) vs 2.4% (April)
Effr: 2.38% (May) vs 2.44% (April)
Ioer: 2.35% (May) vs 2.4% (April)
On RRP: 2.25% (April) vs 2.25% (May)
Effr: 2.38%
Ioer: 2.35%
The spread between Effr & Ioer is shrinking which denotes that the monetary tightening condition is starting to ease. The Iorr, Effr and Ioer have decreased in May, and the declines in IR show that the US Fed is willing to consider interest rate cuts if the economic situation deteriorates further.
http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/whats-happening-to-usd-now-why-is-it.html
Iorr: 2.35% (May) vs 2.4% (April)
Effr: 2.38% (May) vs 2.44% (April)
Ioer: 2.35% (May) vs 2.4% (April)
On RRP: 2.25% (April) vs 2.25% (May)
Effr: 2.38%
Ioer: 2.35%
The spread between Effr & Ioer is shrinking which denotes that the monetary tightening condition is starting to ease. The Iorr, Effr and Ioer have decreased in May, and the declines in IR show that the US Fed is willing to consider interest rate cuts if the economic situation deteriorates further.
Thursday, May 23, 2019
The US is pressurising South Korea again after THAAD.
https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/huawei-south-korea-lg-security-risks-11557438
South Korea is facing intense pressure from the US again after THAAD installation. If SK bans Huawei, it will antagonize China again. SK is in no economic condition to do this again because its exports are declining rapidly due to the US-China trade war.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-21/south-korea-faces-greater-export-pain-as-trade-tensions-escalate
South Korea is facing intense pressure from the US again after THAAD installation. If SK bans Huawei, it will antagonize China again. SK is in no economic condition to do this again because its exports are declining rapidly due to the US-China trade war.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-05-21/south-korea-faces-greater-export-pain-as-trade-tensions-escalate
IHH Healthcare - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/17/19 | Kim Eng | IHH Healthcare | 1.86 | 2.13 | Buy | Sum of parts, Ringgit $6.45 target price |
03/01/19 | Kim Eng | IHH Healthcare | 1.85 | 2.29 | Buy | Sum of parts, Ringgit $6.90 target |
IFS Capital - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
01/15/19 | Amfrasers | IFS Capital | 0.225 | 0.29 | Buy | PB0.7x FY18 |
Ifast Corp - Stock calls
Date | Analyst | Company | Last | Target | Call | Valuation |
02/21/19 | DBS Vickers | Ifast Corp | 1.11 | 1.19 | Hold | DDM |
04/30/19 | DBS Vickers | Ifast Corp | 1.12 | 1.05 | Hold | DDM |
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