New Launch - One Sophia For Sale!

New Launch - One Sophia For Sale!
Please click the advertisement for more information.

Search This Blog

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Koufu - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/27/19 DBS Vickers Koufu 0.63 0.8 Buy PER17x FY19
03/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.67 0.95 Buy PER18.1x FY19
03/08/19 Lim & Tan Koufu 0.67 0.85 Buy PER18x FY19
04/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.805 0.95 Buy
05/07/19 DBS Vickers Koufu 0.77 0.8 Hold PER17x FY19
05/09/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.75 0.95 Buy

Kimly - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.24 0.27 Neutral
02/14/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.245 0.24 Neutral DCF
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.24 0.24 Neutral
05/09/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.245 0.23 Neutral DCF

Keppel Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/22/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.18 1.31 Buy DCF
01/22/19 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.18 1.34 Add DDM
01/22/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.18 1.06 Neutral DDM
01/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.18 1.35 Buy
03/07/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.28 1.35 Buy DDM
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.23 1.06 Neutral
04/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.29 1.35 Buy DDM
04/18/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.24 1.12 Neutral DDM
04/18/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.24 1.38 Buy DCF
04/18/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Reit 1.24 0 Hold
04/24/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.21 1.37 Buy DDM
04/24/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.21 1.4 Buy DCF
04/25/19 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.23 1.34 Add DDM
05/30/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.21 1.37 Buy

Stock calls for 30 May 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/30/19 UOB Kay Hian CapitaCommercial 1.95 2.16 Buy
05/30/19 phillip Clearbridge 0.149 0.28 Buy DCF
05/30/19 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 7.83 8.25 Neutral DCF
05/30/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.21 1.37 Buy
05/30/19 OCBC Sembcorp Marine 1.45 1.6 Hold PB1.45x
05/30/19 OCBC Suntec Reit 1.82 1.99 Hold Buy @ $1.81

The US broke promise on South China Sea.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/president-xi-jinping-broke-promise-on-south-china-sea-us-general-11578314

It was the US who broke the promise on the South China Sea.  We reported this in our previous post below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/11/a-1947-map-showed-that-south-china-sea.html

Furthermore, it was the US Navy that accompanied China to reclaim the South China Sea islands after WW2.  China has the documentation and pictures to prove this reclamation in the South China Sea.  Who wouldn't take pictures of this historical event back then?

A pro-China Malaysia is a threat to Singapore economically. Why?

https://www.asiaone.com/malaysia/mahathir-says-malaysia-will-use-huawei-much-possible

A pro-China Malaysia is a threat to SG because it will render SG a less strategic partner to China.

Currently, China trusts Malaysia more than SG despite having some hiccups with Malaysia.  The ECRL, BKK-KL HSR and Melaka Gateway projects display the strategic alliance and trust between China and Malaysia.  Furthermore, Malaysia has bought China military armaments while SG has not because the US doesn't allow it.

Although SG is a Chinese majority country and Chinese-speaking nation, China trusts a Malay-speaking Malaysia more than SG now.  Speaking the same language used to be an advantage but China had become smarter.  China only believes in what you do, not what you say anymore.  This puts SG in a much lower priority than Malaysia since actions speak louder than words.  Thus, a pro-China Malaysia will start to erode SG economically over time.

How did the US fudge the US-China trade data?

The US claimed that it exported US$120B goods to China in 2018 but excluded the US$37.5B HK exports.  HK is part of China but the US doesn't include the HK trade data in the US-China trade data.  Furthermore, the US also didn't include the exported US services to China (US$72B including HK) because it wanted to exaggerate the US-China trade deficit.

For your information, I culled and calculated the aforesaid figures from the US census bureau website.

Thus, in total, the US exported US$229.5B worth of goods and services to China in 2018 which was almost double the trade figure that was stated by the US.

The US also will exclude military sales from the trade data and this exclusion will benefit the US since it is a large military weapons exporter.  The US-SG goods trade deficit in 2018 was US$5.9B but the US-SG services trade surplus was US$12.4B.  Therefore, the US had a trade surplus of US$6.5B (nett figure) with SG in 2018.  However, this US trade surplus of US$6.5B was an understatement because SG bought a lot of US military weapons which were excluded from the trade data.

https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/southeast-asia-pacific/singapore

The ungrateful US keeps talking about the US-SG goods trade deficit and puts SG on its currency watchlist without any valid reason.  Who is the real victim here when SG has a total trade deficit of US$6.5B with the US (excludes military sales)?

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/the-us-is-targeting-singapore-malaysia.html


Rare earth processing is not so easy.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-set-control-rare-earth-011355016.html

Rare earth processing is an esoteric industry because it is highly toxic and will pollute the environment.  Furthermore, there are very few talented people who possess such knowledge.

It is estimated that there are about 100 PHD holders in this specialized field in China.  However, there is no such talent outside of China.  This is the reason that China is able to dominate this field with its rare earth processing knowledge.  Thus, the US must be stealing information and knowledge from China if it is able to develop any advanced processing capability.

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

MAS's response to US watchlist report will not get SG off the list.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/mas-responds-to-us-report-says-it-does-not-engage-in-currency-manipulation-070614263.html

It is a common knowledge in the world that SG uses currency and not interest rates policy to manage its economy.  Therefore, it is pointless to respond to the US watchlist report because the US won't listen due to its unilateralism culture.  SG is partly to blame for grooming the unilateralism mindset in the US because we've been supporting and pursuing US political interests.  The day of reckoning is here and we've only ourselves to blame.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/05/the-us-is-targeting-singapore-malaysia.html

Keppel KBS - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.61 0.78 Buy DCF
01/28/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.68 0.8 Buy DCF
04/03/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.705 0.8 Buy

Keppel Infrastructure - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/23/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.515 0.58 Buy DDM
03/15/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Infrastructure 0.485 0 Hold
04/16/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.48 0.58 Buy DDM

Keppel DC Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.36 1.45 Accumulate
01/23/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.52 Accumulate DDM
01/23/19 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.51 Add DDM
01/23/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.6 Buy
01/23/19 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.6 Buy DCF
02/15/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.45 1.52 Accumulate
03/12/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.6 Buy
04/08/19 Amfrasers Keppel DC Reit 1.47 1.62 Buy DDM
04/09/19 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.48 1.54 Add DDM
04/16/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.49 1.64 Buy
04/16/19 Lim & Tan Keppel DC Reit 1.49 0 Hold
04/18/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.49 1.59 Accumulate DDM, PB1.37x FY19
05/02/19 Amfrasers Keppel DC Reit 1.51 1.62 Buy

Stock calls for 29 May 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/29/19 phillip Geo Energy 0.148 0.15 Neutral PER10x
05/29/19 Kim Eng Manulife US Reit 0.86 1 Buy DDM

The US is targeting Singapore, Malaysia and Vietnam for the trade war now.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-malaysia-vietnam-added-u-030842267.html

Vietnam will definitely be slaughtered by the US in the future because of its burgeoning trade surpluses with the US.  The trade surplus will keep increasing because many foreign companies are using Vietnam as a manufacturing base.

Singapore is the most aggrieved party because SG uses its currency as a monetary tool since the small population and international trading render the interest rate policy as ineffective in managing its economy.  SG will suffer greatly if the US sanctions us because we cannot use interest rate policy to manage our economy.

Malaysia is being punished because it is getting pro-China and is an Islamic country.  The western superpower doesn't like Muslims at all.

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Malaysia was glad that the US didn't sign the TPP agreement.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/malaysia-send-3-000-tonnes-plastic-waste-back-074356147.html

If Malaysia were part of the original TPP, it couldn't send back or sue the US and Japan for dumping waste in its homeland.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2017/05/fearmongering-by-western-media.html

Malaysia would need to compensate the US and Japan for their losses under the original TPP.

What a relief for Malaysia!

Federal express (FedEx) is also a US state agent!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-huawei-reviewing-fedex-relationship-says-packages-diverted-185215043--finance.html

FedEx is also a US state agent and is working discreetly with the US government to channel China posts and packages to the US.

The lame excuse of rerouting error is really ridiculous because it is an expensive error to make to reroute to the US.

Keppel Corp - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 5.81 7.25 Buy Sum of parts
01/10/19 DIR Keppel Corp 6.18 7.15 Buy Cut from $7.86, Sum of parts
01/23/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.17 8.28 Add
01/25/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.13 7.55 Buy
01/25/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.13 8.41 Add Sum of parts
01/28/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.2 0 Hold
01/29/19 Amfrasers Keppel Corp 6.14 7.5 Hold
01/29/19 Macquarie Keppel Corp 6.14 8.2 Outperform Sum of parts
02/21/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.32 8.41 Add Sum of parts
03/12/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.1 0 Hold
03/26/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.17 8.41 Add
04/15/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.62 8.41 Add Sum of parts
04/22/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.74 7.83 Buy
04/22/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.74 0 Hold
05/08/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.72 8.41 Add Sum of parts

Jumbo - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/15/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.415 0.44 Hold PER23x FY19
02/15/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.415 0.52 Add PER21x FY20
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.415 0.41 Hold Buy @ $0.37
03/14/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.405 0.41 Hold PER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.37
03/29/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.395 0.5 Buy PER23x FY19/20
05/16/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.405 0.51 Buy PER23x FY19
05/16/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.405 0.41 Hold PER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.37
05/16/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.405 0.52 Add PER21x FY20

Jardine C&C - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 DBS Vickers Jardine C&C 35.28 43.1 Buy
05/02/19 DBS Vickers Jardine C&C 35.52 39.1 Buy Sum of parts (16% discount)

Stock calls for 28 May 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/28/19 CIMB Comfortdelgro 2.45 2.82 Add
05/28/19 CIMB CSE Global 0.475 0.6 Add
05/28/19 CIMB Golden Agri 0.26 0.23 Reduce Sum of parts (10% discount)
05/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Golden Agri 0.26 0.21 Sell
05/28/19 CIMB Mapletree Commercial 1.93 2.03 Add
05/28/19 CIMB Suntec Reit 1.82 2.06 Add
05/28/19 OCBC Thai Beverage 0.805 0.86 Hold