Clearbridge - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/01/19	phillip	Clearbridge	0.142	0.28	Buy	DCF
05/30/19	phillip	Clearbridge	0.149	0.28	Buy	DCF

City Developments - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/04/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	7.94	0	Buy
01/17/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.85	10.65	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
02/11/19	Jefferies	City Developments	9.16	12	Buy
02/22/19	phillip	City Developments	9.54	11.82	Accumulate	RNAV (30% discount)
02/22/19	OCBC	City Developments	9.54	10.68	Buy
02/22/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	9.54	9.2	Neutral	RNAV (40% discount)
02/22/19	DBS Vickers	City Developments	9.54	9.5	Hold	RNAV (40% discount)
02/22/19	CIMB	City Developments	9.54	10.66	Add
03/21/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	9.02	0	Buy
03/26/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.87	10.66	Add
04/04/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	9.31	9.2	Neutral
04/17/19	OCBC	City Developments	9.32	10.68	Buy
05/03/19	Jefferies	City Developments	9	12	Buy	PB0.84x
05/16/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	8.54	9.2	Neutral	RNAV (40% discount)
05/16/19	OCBC	City Developments	8.54	10.68	Buy
05/16/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.54	10.66	Add
05/17/19	phillip	City Developments	8.63	11.82	Buy	RNAV (30% discount)
06/10/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	8.47	9.2	Neutral
06/10/19	DBS Vickers	City Developments	8.47	9.5	Hold
06/10/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	8.47	0	Buy
06/11/19	OCBC	City Developments	8.97	10.68	Buy
06/11/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.97	10.66	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
06/11/19	Jefferies	City Developments	8.97	12	Buy
07/15/19	OCBC	City Developments	9.47	10.68	Buy

Stock calls for 24 July 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/24/19	UOB Kay Hian	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.65	Hold	DDM, Buy @ $2.42
07/24/19	OCBC	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.51	Hold
07/24/19	Kim Eng	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.6	Hold	DDM
07/24/19	DMG & Partners	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.38	Neutral	DDM
07/24/19	CIMB	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.6	Hold	DDM
07/24/19	OCBC	ESR-Reit	0.535	0.58	Buy
07/24/19	CIMB	ESR-Reit	0.535	0.61	Add	DDM
07/24/19	UOB Kay Hian	Frasers Centrepoint Trust	2.65	2.66	Hold	DDM, Buy @ $2.42
07/24/19	Kim Eng	Frasers Centrepoint Trust	2.65	2.8	Buy	DDM
07/24/19	OCBC	Frasers Centrepoint Trust	2.65	2.69	Hold
07/24/19	CIMB	Frasers Centrepoint Trust	2.65	2.79	Add
07/24/19	Lim & Tan	Frasers Centrepoint Trust	2.65	0	Hold
07/24/19	OCBC	Mapletree Industrial	2.3	2.06	Hold
07/24/19	CIMB	Mapletree Industrial	2.3	2.37	Hold
07/24/19	Kim Eng	Mapletree Logistics	1.61	1.55	Hold

SEMI: Global semiconductor sales are expected to decline 12-13% in 2019.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/exclusive-bearing-brunt-trade-war-072136810.html

Singapore semiconductor industry is downsizing and will be laying off 10-20% employees.

We've been warning about the global semiconductor slowdown in 2018.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/07/the-semiconductor-is-facing-collapse.html

China retail sales vs US retail sales.

Please note that the above-mentioned retail sales figure excludes HK.

US GDP in 2018 was US$20.5T and China GDP in 2018 was US$13.6T.

The retail-GDP ratios were 26% for the US and 37.6% for China respectively in 2018.  What do these ratios mean?  It means that China has more leverage than the US because China can boost its local consumption to stimulate its economy and achieve better economic results than the US does.  In other words, China is a consuming nation and will outgrow the US soon.

Chip Eng Seng - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/17/19	DBS Vickers	Chip Eng Seng	0.705	0.75	Hold

China Sunsine - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/04/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.2	1.68	Buy
03/04/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.26	1.55	Buy	FCFE
05/03/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.17	1.43	Buy	FCFE

China Everbright - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/21/19	DBS Vickers	China Everbright	0.345	0.475	Buy	PER15x FY19
02/21/19	DBS Vickers	China Everbright	0.35	0.49	Buy
02/25/19	phillip	China Everbright	0.355	0.48	Buy	PER8.9x FY19
05/21/19	phillip	China Everbright	0.385	0.5	Buy	PER9x

Stock calls for 23 July 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/23/19	Lim & Tan	Capitamall Trust	2.6	0	Hold
07/23/19	Amfrasers	Keppel DC Reit	1.75	1.71	Neutral
07/23/19	OCBC	Mapletree Logistics	1.61	1.4	Hold
07/23/19	DBS Vickers	OCBC	11.64	11.5	Hold
07/23/19	DMG & Partners	Singtel	3.52	3.4	Buy	Sum of parts
07/23/19	DBS Vickers	UOB	26.8	29.2	Buy

Stay away from Hong Kong! - Part 2.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/two-three-men-arrested-over-132451500.html

HK bombers got arrested!  Kudos to the HK police!  If not, many innocent people would suffer including tourists.

Do not visit HK now!

China Aviation Oil - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/01/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.5	Neutral
03/01/19	DBS Vickers	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.85	Buy	PER12x FY19
03/01/19	UOB Kay Hian	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.25	Hold	PER8.4x FY19, Buy @ $1.1
03/05/19	phillip	China Aviation Oil	1.3	1.67	Buy	PER11.5x FY19
03/27/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.27	1.6	Buy	DCF, PER10x, PB1.2x, Ev/Ebitda6.5x
04/02/19	CIMB	China Aviation Oil	1.38	1.7	Add	PER11x FY20
04/26/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.43	1.6	Buy
04/29/19	UOB Kay Hian	China Aviation Oil	1.39	1.25	Hold	PER8.4x FY19, Buy @ $1.1
05/02/19	phillip	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.67	Buy	PER11.5x FY20
05/03/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.36	1.6	Buy	Sum of parts, PER5.8x FY19, ex-cash
06/11/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.31	1.6	Buy
07/10/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.3	1.6	Buy

Centurion - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/04/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.405	0.41	Neutral	DCF
03/06/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.425	0.41	Neutral	DCF
05/15/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.405	0.41	Neutral	DCF

CEI - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/13/19	CIMB	CEI	0.945	0.97	Hold	PER10x FY20

Stock calls for 22 July 2019

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/22/19	Phillip	A-Reit	3.03	2.88	Neutral
07/22/19	phillip	Cache Logistics	0.785	0.75	Neutral
07/22/19	Phillip	CapitaCommercial	2.15	2.18	Neutral	DDM
07/22/19	Phillip	Capitamall Trust	2.64	2.21	Neutral
07/22/19	Phillip	CapitaRetail China	1.59	1.66	Accumulate
07/22/19	DMG & Partners	Comfortdelgro	2.8	2.65	Neutral	DCF
07/22/19	phillip	Dasin Retail	0.875	0.94	Accumulate
07/22/19	phillip	EC World Reit	0.755	0.87	Buy
07/22/19	UOB Kay Hian	Far East Hospitality	0.685	0.82	Buy	DDM
07/22/19	Phillip	Frasers Centrepoint Trust	2.65	2.36	Neutral
07/22/19	Amfrasers	Keppel Corp	6.57	7.43	Neutral	Sum of parts
07/22/19	DBS Vickers	Keppel Corp	6.57	8.5	Buy	Sum of parts
07/22/19	Phillip	Mapletree Industrial	2.31	2.03	Neutral
07/22/19	OCBC	SATS	5	5.28	Hold	FCFF
07/22/19	phillip	SATS	5	5.47	Accumulate
07/22/19	Lim & Tan	SATS	5	0	Hold
07/22/19	CIMB	UOB	26.94	29.58	Add
07/22/19	Kim Eng	Venture	15.54	19.74	Buy	Roe-g/Coe-g

Stay away from Hong Kong!

https://www.scmp.com/news/hong-kong/law-and-crime/article/3019524/least-10-injured-baton-wielding-mob-suspected-triad

Rioters are hitting people indiscriminately in HK.

Do not visit HK for the time being for your own safety.

Singapore based Flextronics is kicked out of Huawei's supply chain.

https://news.cgtn.com/news/2019-07-18/Huawei-kicks-its-top-phone-assembler-out-of-the-supply-chain-Ir4fTFS79S/index.html

Huawei has kicked Flextronics out of its supply chain. Although Flextronics is a Singapore based company, it is actually an American firm.  Huawei is a major customer of Flextronics and losing such a big customer will impact heavily on its earnings.

Flextronics may also be added to China's unreliable entity list and will be shut out of China's market.

Trump's racist remarks are winning him votes!

Trump is a racist, insolent and perverted curmudgeon but he is winning votes for being a white supremacist.  By keeping the anguish of his white nationalists high, he is likely to be re-elected because the majority of the white people have such core values and mindsets.

"Send her back" has become a catchphrase of his white nationalists.  In fact, this racist and xenophobic propaganda has raised his support within his own party according to a recent poll.

https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-us-canada-49034885/ilhan-omar-send-her-back-chants-at-trump-rally

If Trump is re-elected with this racist election campaign, it really reflects the mindsets and core values of the Americans.  Therefore, we must take cognizance of this reality and be careful about how we deal with the Americans in the future.

China released spy satellite images of US airforce near Iran.

https://mil.news.sina.com.cn/china/2019-07-16/doc-ihytcerm4066453.shtml

China is helping Iran by monitoring the US airforce buildup near Iran with its own spy satellites.

China even interpreted the images for Iran and predicted the whereabouts of F35 and F22.

This will help Iran to better deploy its air defence missiles systems.  We also must not forget Russia which will help Iran too.

Baltic dry index - 2170

Today, Friday, July 19 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 40 points, reaching 2170 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

========================

Related stock: SembCorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 954

Related stock: Keppel Corp, SembCorp Marine & Cosco.