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Friday, October 4, 2019

APAC Realty - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/12/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.5 0.72 Buy
02/12/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.5 0.56 Hold
03/01/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.57 0.72 Buy DCF
03/01/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.57 0.7 Buy PER12x
04/04/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.615 0.72 Buy RNAV
05/07/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.555 0.72 Buy
05/14/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.545 0.67 Buy DCF
05/16/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.525 0.58 Hold PER10x
06/03/19 Phillip APAC Realty 0.5 0.65 Buy DCF
06/06/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.5 0.67 Buy
06/07/19 CIMB APAC Realty 0.51 0.67 Add
07/15/19 Phillip APAC Realty 0.545 0.65 Buy DCF
08/06/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.525 0.65 Buy DCF
08/06/19 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.525 0.48 Hold PER10x FY20
08/08/19 Phillip APAC Realty 0.515 0.58 Buy DCF
08/13/19 CIMB APAC Realty 0.51 0.6 Add PER10x FY20
09/12/19 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.495 0.65 Buy

Amara - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/05/19 DMG & Partners Amara 0.46 0.88 Buy RNAV (35% discount)

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/25/19 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.42 1.5 Buy DDM
04/25/19 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.42 1.5 Buy DCF
05/16/19 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.4 1.5 Buy DCF
07/19/19 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.46 1.5 Buy DCF
07/25/19 Lim & Tan AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.47 0 Hold
07/26/19 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.47 1.6 Buy DDM

Stock calls for 4 October 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/04/19 Lim & Tan A-Reit 3.08 0 Hold
10/04/19 DBS Vickers CapitaCommercial 2.04 2.3 Buy
10/04/19 CIMB China Sunsine 1.1 1.1 Hold
10/04/19 phillip DBS 24.57 27.6 Accumulate
10/04/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.6 1.7 Hold
10/04/19 phillip OCBC 10.71 12.32 Accumulate
10/04/19 DBS Vickers OUE Commercial 0.54 0.59 Buy
10/04/19 DBS Vickers Suntec Reit 1.9 2.15 Buy
10/04/19 phillip UOB 25.33 28.6 Accumulate

Thursday, October 3, 2019

AEM - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/30/19 Kim Eng AEM 0.905 1.21 Buy PB2.9x FY19/20, EV/Ebitda5.2x FY20
02/26/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.05 1.24 Buy PB2.8x FY19/20
02/26/19 CIMB AEM 1.05 1.11 Hold PER10x FY20
04/26/19 CIMB AEM 1.16 1.21 Hold PER10x FY20
05/09/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.05 1.4 Buy PB3.1x FY19/20
06/11/19 Kim Eng AEM 0.945 1.4 Buy PB3.1x FY19/20
07/18/19 CIMB AEM 1.04 1.23 Add PER10x FY20
07/29/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.22 1.4 Buy PB3x FY19/20
08/14/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.09 1.4 Buy Roe-g/Coe-g
09/16/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.19 1.5 Buy Roe-g/Coe-g
10/03/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.12 1.5 Buy Roe-g/Coe-g

Accordia Golf Trust - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/15/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.55 0.61 Hold
02/19/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.565 0.61 Buy
04/04/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.59 0.72 Buy
05/31/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.585 0.7 Buy
08/16/19 Amfrasers Accordia Golf Trust 0.535 0.67 Outperform DDM

Ascendas Reit (A-Reit) - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.57 2.9 Buy
01/04/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.57 2.78 Accumulate
01/17/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.74 2.95 Buy DDM
01/22/19 UOB Kay Hian A-Reit 2.71 3.01 Buy
01/31/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.72 2.88 Accumulate DDM, PB1.34x FY19
01/31/19 CIMB A-Reit 2.72 2.83 Add DDM
01/31/19 OCBC A-Reit 2.72 2.64 Hold
01/31/19 DBS Vickers A-Reit 2.72 2.95 Buy
02/15/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.75 2.88 Accumulate
02/28/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.81 2.95 Buy
03/07/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.83 2.9 Neutral DDM
03/07/19 CIMB A-Reit 2.83 2.83 Add
04/04/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.93 3.1 Buy
04/30/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 3.01 3.2 Buy DDM
04/30/19 OCBC A-Reit 3.01 2.74 Hold
04/30/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 3.01 2.9 Neutral DDM
05/02/19 Phillip A-Reit 3 2.88 Neutral DDM
05/02/19 CIMB A-Reit 3 2.87 Hold DDM
05/02/19 DBS Vickers A-Reit 3 3.2 Buy DCF
06/19/19 Phillip A-Reit 2.98 2.88 Neutral
06/25/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 3.01 3.2 Buy
06/27/19 DBS Vickers A-Reit 3.05 3.21 Buy
07/03/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 3.13 3.3 Buy DDM
07/04/19 DMG & Partners A-Reit 3.15 2.9 Neutral
07/22/19 Phillip A-Reit 3.03 2.88 Neutral
07/30/19 DBS Vickers A-Reit 3.05 3.4 Buy DCF
07/30/19 OCBC A-Reit 3.05 2.98 Hold
07/31/19 UOB Kay Hian A-Reit 3.03 3.01 Hold Buy @ $2.78
08/02/19 Phillip A-Reit 3.04 3.31 Accumulate DDM
09/11/19 UOB Kay Hian A-Reit 3.14 3.25 Hold DDM, Buy @ $2.98
09/19/19 Kim Eng A-Reit 3.11 3.3 Buy
09/24/19 Phillip A-Reit 3.12 3.31 Accumulate

Stock calls for 3 October 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/03/19 Kim Eng AEM 1.12 1.5 Buy Roe-g/Coe-g
10/03/19 CIMB Thai Beverage 0.88 1 Add Sum of parts
10/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Thai Beverage 0.88 0.87 Hold

Wednesday, October 2, 2019

800Super - Stock calls

Date Analyst Code Company Last Target Call Percent Valuation
02/13/19 Phillip 5TG 800Super 0.685 0 Cease Coverage -100.00 DCF
06/10/19 Novus 5TG 800Super 0.89 0.9 Accept offer 1.12 offer $0.90

Yongnam - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.183 0.4 Add PB0.8x FY19
01/07/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.183 0.41 Add PB0.8x FY19
03/01/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.173 0.33 Add PB0.7x FY19
04/05/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.186 0.33 Add PB0.7x FY19
05/17/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.169 0.33 Add PB0.7x FY19
08/15/19 CIMB Yongnam 0.171 0.28 Add

Yoma - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/12/19 DBS Vickers Yoma 0.345 0.4 Buy
04/11/19 DMG & Partners Yoma 0.32 0.57 Add Sum of parts (20% discount)
06/03/19 DBS Vickers Yoma 0.33 0.4 Buy RNAV (60% discount)

Stock calls for 2 October 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/02/19 Amfrasers ARA Hospitality 0.87 0.96 Outperform DDM
10/02/19 DMG & Partners CDL Hospitality 1.63 1.79 Buy
10/02/19 Kim Eng Comfortdelgro 2.41 2.76 Buy DCF
10/02/19 DMG & Partners CSE Global 0.46 0.69 Buy
10/02/19 Amfrasers Eagle Hospitality Trust 0.68 0.84 outperform DDM
10/02/19 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.7 2.95 Buy
10/02/19 DMG & Partners Fu Yu 0.22 0.24 Buy
10/02/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.26 1.45 Buy
10/02/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.26 1.23 Neutral DDM
10/02/19 DMG & Partners Manulife US Reit 0.895 1 Buy
10/02/19 DMG & Partners Oxley 0.32 0.43 Buy
10/02/19 phillip SGX 8.5 8.6 Accumulate PER22x
10/02/19 OCBC SGX 8.5 7.6 Hold
10/02/19 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1.13 1.32 Buy
10/02/19 DMG & Partners ST Engineering 3.85 4.7 Buy
10/02/19 DMG & Partners Suntec Reit 1.91 2.08 Buy
10/02/19 DMG & Partners UOB 25.9 29.5 Buy

ISM PMI declined to 47.8 in September 2019.

Many economists and analysts were wrong in their ISM PMI forecasts for September.  They predicted ISM PMI to rebound strongly in September and they were proven wrong.  Not only the ISM PMI didn't improve, but it also deteriorated further.

How did this happen? Well, many people studied economics but didn't understand economics.  Thus, they misinterpreted the economic data and reached the wrong conclusion.  This is exactly the reason why I support the use of AI for economics and finance to reduce human misinterpretations and improve prediction accuracy.

https://www.investing.com/analysis/ism-manufacturing-pmi-to-rebound-in-september-200469451


As usual, let's look at the ISM PMI in detail.


The ISM PMI flow chart:
The ISM PMI had deteriorated further from 49.1 to 47.8 and this was the 6th consecutive month of decline.  The prices increased to 49.7 because of the US-China tariffs as producers imported more raw materials from overseas instead of using more local raw materials.

The production reduction caused the supplier's deliveries, employment and inventories to decrease because the producers only manufactured to fulfill existing orders (backlog of order) and local orders due to frontloading by consumers before the impending new tariffs.

Needless to say, the upcoming US GDP and employment numbers will be extremely bad.


Tuesday, October 1, 2019

This HK rioter got shot in the chest by the police because he attacked the police.

This HK rioter deserved to be shot because he attacked the police.  The police officer had a right to protect his own life too when he was faced with a life-threatening situation.  The police should have taken a tough stance like this much earlier because we could see that other rioters ran off immediately after the man collapsed on the ground.

The HK police gave him first-aid treatment immediately after shooting him.  Well done!

Yanlord - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/01/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.39 1.75 Buy PER5x
04/12/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.47 1.75 Buy PER5x FY19
05/16/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.44 1.68 Buy PER5x FY19/20
05/17/19 DBS Vickers Yanlord 1.44 1.47 Hold PER6x FY19/20
07/15/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.32 1.68 Buy
08/14/19 OCBC Yanlord 1.13 1.68 Buy PER5x FY19/20

Yangzijiang - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/04/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.42 1.82 Buy
03/01/19 CIMB Yangzijiang 1.43 1.61 Add Sum of parts
03/04/19 OCBC Yangzijiang 1.44 1.44 Hold
03/04/19 UOB Kay Hian Yangzijiang 1.44 1.39 Hold PB0.9x FY19, Buy @ $1.25
03/04/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.44 1.82 buy Sum of parts, PB1.1x
05/02/19 CIMB Yangzijiang 1.57 1.61 Hold Sum of parts
05/02/19 OCBC Yangzijiang 1.57 1.45 Hold Sum of parts
05/02/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.57 1.82 Buy Sum of parts
06/11/19 OCBC Yangzijiang 1.4 1.45 Hold
07/18/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.5 1.82 Buy
08/07/19 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.37 1.82 Buy Sum of parts
08/13/19 CIMB Yangzijiang 1.04 1.61 Hold Sum of parts
09/10/19 UOB Kay Hian Yangzijiang 0.98 1.46 Buy PB0.84x

Y Venture - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/28/19 DBS Vickers Y Venture 0.13 0.11 Cease Coverage EV/Ebitda14x FY19
01/28/19 CIMB Y Venture 0.13 0.1 Reduce PB1.7x FY20
03/08/19 Phillip Y Venture 0.078 0.16 Buy PER30x
03/25/19 CIMB Y Venture 0.06 0.15 Add
04/17/19 Phillip Y Venture 0.156 0.16 Cease Coverage

Stock calls for 1 October 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian BRC Asia 1.34 1.75 Buy
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian CDL Hospitality 1.64 2.06 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers City Developments 9.82 11 Buy
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian DBS 25 31.3 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers Genting 0.88 1.2 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.375 0.47 Buy
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 5.93 7.61 Buy
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.72 0.95 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers Koufu 0.72 0.88 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers Sheng Siong 1.11 1.32 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers ST Engineering 3.84 4.64 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers Thai Beverage 0.885 0.91 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers UOB 25.66 29.2 Buy
10/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Venture 15.31 17.7 Buy
10/01/19 DBS Vickers Venture 15.31 18.6 Buy

Monday, September 30, 2019

Wing Tai - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/14/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.03 2.41 Buy
04/17/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.06 2.41 Buy
05/14/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.01 2.41 Buy
06/27/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.05 2.41 Buy
07/15/19 OCBC Wing Tai 2.07 2.41 Buy

Wilmar - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.16 3.58 Buy
01/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.13 3.9 Buy
02/20/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.37 3.42 Hold
02/20/19 UBS Wilmar 3.37 3.8 Buy
02/22/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.39 3.58 Buy
02/22/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.39 3.96 Add Sum of parts
02/22/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.39 3.9 Buy
02/25/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.26 3.63 Buy Sum of parts
02/25/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.26 3.6 Buy DCF, PER15.4x FY19
03/12/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.2 3.96 Add Sum of parts
03/12/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.2 3.6 Buy
03/13/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.24 3.63 Buy
03/20/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.3 3.9 Buy
04/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.48 3.9 Buy
04/09/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.49 3.44 Hold PB0.9x
04/09/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.49 3.96 Add
05/02/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.64 3.9 Buy
05/13/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.51 3.8 Buy Sum of parts
05/13/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.51 3.86 Buy DCF, PER15.6x FY19
05/16/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.5 3.94 Buy Sum of parts
05/16/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.5 3.66 Hold PB0.95x
05/16/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.5 3.96 Add Sum of parts
06/06/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.3 3.94 Buy
06/13/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.41 3.9 Buy PER12.8x FY20
07/03/19 Kim Eng Wilmar 3.73 4.21 Buy DCF & PER17.5x FY20
07/09/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.79 3.9 Buy
07/09/19 UBS Wilmar 3.79 4.5 Buy
07/15/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.76 4.5 Buy Sum of parts
07/16/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.83 5.54 Add Normal target price is $3.96
07/16/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.83 4.3 Buy Sum of parts, PER16.2x FY20
07/17/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.83 4.26 Buy Sum of parts
07/26/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 4.06 4.5 Buy Sum of parts
08/14/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 4.05 4.5 Buy Sum of parts
08/14/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 4.05 4.5 Buy
08/15/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.86 4.4 Buy
08/16/19 OCBC Wilmar 3.78 4.26 Buy
08/16/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.78 4.25 Buy Sum of parts, PER16.3x FY20
08/22/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.81 4.58 Add
08/22/19 Kim Eng Wilmar 3.81 3.89 Hold
09/04/19 Kim Eng Wilmar 3.8 3.89 Hold DCF
09/11/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.8 4.5 Buy Sum of parts
09/13/19 DBS Vickers Wilmar 3.86 4.25 Buy Sum of parts, PER16.3x FY20
09/24/19 UOB Kay Hian Wilmar 3.72 4.4 Buy
09/30/19 DMG & Partners Wilmar 3.72 4.75 Buy Sum of parts