CNMC - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/01/19	phillip	CNMC	0.225	0.31	Buy	DCF
03/12/19	Tayrona	CNMC	0.21	0.31	Overweight
05/22/19	phillip	CNMC	0.2	0.31	Buy	DCF
08/19/19	phillip	CNMC	0.3	0.33	Accumulate	DCF

Clearbridge - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
04/01/19	phillip	Clearbridge	0.142	0.28	Buy	DCF
05/30/19	phillip	Clearbridge	0.149	0.28	Buy	DCF
09/06/19	phillip	Clearbridge	0.142	0.26	Buy	DCF

Stock calls for 20 January 2020

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/20/20	DMG & Partners	Bumitama	0.741	0.95	Buy	PER16x FY20
01/20/20	DMG & Partners	First Resources	1.77	2.3	Buy	PER18x FY20
01/20/20	DMG & Partners	Golden Agri	0.235	0.27	Buy	Sum of parts
01/20/20	UOB Kay Hian	Japfa	0.64	0.8	Buy
01/20/20	UOB Kay Hian	Keppel Corp	6.84	7.61	Buy
01/20/20	OCBC	Mapletree North Asia	1.24	1.37	Buy
01/20/20	Lim & Tan	Mapletree North Asia	1.24	0	Hold
01/20/20	UOB Kay Hian	Yangzijiang	1.16	1.46	Buy

Baltic dry index - 754

Today, Friday, January 17 2020, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 14 points, reaching 754 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

=======================

Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 796

Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

City Developments - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/04/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	7.94	0	Buy
01/17/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.85	10.65	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
02/11/19	Jefferies	City Developments	9.16	12	Buy
02/22/19	phillip	City Developments	9.54	11.82	Accumulate	RNAV (30% discount)
02/22/19	OCBC	City Developments	9.54	10.68	Buy
02/22/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	9.54	9.2	Neutral	RNAV (40% discount)
02/22/19	DBS Vickers	City Developments	9.54	9.5	Hold	RNAV (40% discount)
02/22/19	CIMB	City Developments	9.54	10.66	Add
03/21/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	9.02	0	Buy
03/26/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.87	10.66	Add
04/04/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	9.31	9.2	Neutral
04/17/19	OCBC	City Developments	9.32	10.68	Buy
05/03/19	Jefferies	City Developments	9	12	Buy	PB0.84x
05/16/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	8.54	9.2	Neutral	RNAV (40% discount)
05/16/19	OCBC	City Developments	8.54	10.68	Buy
05/16/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.54	10.66	Add
05/17/19	phillip	City Developments	8.63	11.82	Buy	RNAV (30% discount)
06/10/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	8.47	9.2	Neutral
06/10/19	DBS Vickers	City Developments	8.47	9.5	Hold
06/10/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	8.47	0	Buy
06/11/19	OCBC	City Developments	8.97	10.68	Buy
06/11/19	CIMB	City Developments	8.97	10.66	Add	RNAV (35% discount)
06/11/19	Jefferies	City Developments	8.97	12	Buy
07/15/19	OCBC	City Developments	9.47	10.68	Buy
08/13/19	OCBC	City Developments	9.04	10.68	Buy
08/13/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	9.04	9.2	Neutral	RNAV (40% discount)
08/13/19	DBS Vickers	City Developments	9.04	11	Buy	RNAV (30% discount)
08/19/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	9.16	0	Buy
09/12/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	9.9	9.2	Neutral
10/01/19	DBS Vickers	City Developments	9.82	11	Buy
10/18/19	Credit Suisse	City Developments	10.39	11.6	Outperform
10/23/19	UOB Kay Hian	City Developments	10.67	12	Buy
11/13/19	UOB Kay Hian	City Developments	10.67	12	Buy
11/14/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	10.47	10.5	Neutral	RNAV (40% discount)
11/25/19	DBS Vickers	City Developments	10.78	11	Hold
12/11/19	Lim & Tan	City Developments	10.54	0	Buy
12/16/19	DMG & Partners	City Developments	10.7	10.5	Neutral
12/17/19	CIMB	City Developments	10.8	12.09	Add
01/02/20	DBS Vickers	City Developments	10.95	13	Buy	RNAV (18% discount), PB1.08x FY2020

Citic Envirotech - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/25/19	DBS Vickers	Citic Envirotech	0.305	0.34	Hold
11/07/19	Lim & Tan	Citic Envirotech	0.37	0.55	Accept Offer	offer price @ $0.55

Chip Eng Seng - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/17/19	DBS Vickers	Chip Eng Seng	0.705	0.75	Hold

Stock calls for 17 January 2020

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/17/20	DMG & Partners	Food Empire	0.705	0.83	Buy	PER12x FY20

Singapore's Nodx expanded by 2.4% in December 2019.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-december-exports-snap-nine-021633088.html

Year on year changes (YOY):

December 2019: 2.4%

November 2019: - 5.9%

October 2019: - 12.3%

September 2019: -8.1%

August 2019: - 8.9%

July 2019: -11.2%

June 2019: -17.3%

May 2019: -15.9%

April 2019: -10%

March 2019: -11.7%

February 2019: 4.9%

January 2019: -10.1%

December 2018: -8.5%

November 2018: -2.6%

October 2018: 8.3%

September 2018: 8.3%

August 2018: 5%

July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)

June 2018: 1.1%

May 2018: 15.5%

April 2018: 11.8%

March 2018: -2.7%

February 2018: -5.9%

January 2018: 13%

December 2017: 3.1%

November 2017: 9.1%

October 2017: 20.9%

September 2017: -1.1%

August 2017: 16.7%

July 2017: 8.5%

June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/12/singapore-nodx-fell-59-in-november-2019.html

China Sunsine - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/04/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.2	1.68	Buy
03/04/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.26	1.55	Buy	FCFE
05/03/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.17	1.43	Buy	FCFE
08/08/19	phillip	China Sunsine	1.08	1.43	Buy	FCFE
10/04/19	CIMB	China Sunsine	1.1	1.1	Hold
10/10/19	Amfrasers	China Sunsine	1.12	1.4	Outperform	DCF
11/12/19	Amfrasers	China Sunsine	1.03	1.2	Outperform	DCF
12/02/19	Amfrasers	China Sunsine	1.03	1.2	Outperform	DCF

China Everbright - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/21/19	DBS Vickers	China Everbright	0.345	0.475	Buy	PER15x FY19
02/21/19	DBS Vickers	China Everbright	0.35	0.49	Buy
02/25/19	phillip	China Everbright	0.355	0.48	Buy	PER8.9x FY19
05/21/19	phillip	China Everbright	0.385	0.5	Buy	PER9x
08/16/19	phillip	China Everbright	0.315	0.5	Buy	PER9x

China Aviation Oil - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/01/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.5	Neutral
03/01/19	DBS Vickers	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.85	Buy	PER12x FY19
03/01/19	UOB Kay Hian	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.25	Hold	PER8.4x FY19, Buy @ $1.1
03/05/19	phillip	China Aviation Oil	1.3	1.67	Buy	PER11.5x FY19
03/27/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.27	1.6	Buy	DCF, PER10x, PB1.2x, Ev/Ebitda6.5x
04/02/19	CIMB	China Aviation Oil	1.38	1.7	Add	PER11x FY20
04/26/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.43	1.6	Buy
04/29/19	UOB Kay Hian	China Aviation Oil	1.39	1.25	Hold	PER8.4x FY19, Buy @ $1.1
05/02/19	phillip	China Aviation Oil	1.37	1.67	Buy	PER11.5x FY20
05/03/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.36	1.6	Buy	Sum of parts, PER5.8x FY19, ex-cash
06/11/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.31	1.6	Buy
07/10/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.3	1.6	Buy
08/08/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.23	1.6	Buy
08/13/19	phillip	China Aviation Oil	1.18	1.52	Buy	PER10.5x FY20
08/13/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.18	1.5	Buy	Sum of parts
08/13/19	DBS Vickers	China Aviation Oil	1.18	1.85	Buy
09/02/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.15	1.5	Buy	Sum of parts
11/04/19	DMG & Partners	China Aviation Oil	1.23	1.55	Buy	Sum of parts

Stock calls for 16 January 2020

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/16/20	UOB Kay Hian	Boustead	0.78	0.92	Buy	Sum of parts
01/16/20	UOB Kay Hian	Boustead Projects	0.925	1.18	Buy	RNAV (40% discount)

The phase 1 US-China trade deal can be rescinded anytime. Why?

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/chinas-liu-says-u-achieve-140439672.html

It is extremely difficult to execute the phase 1 trade deal because the targets set are simply unrealistic.  There is no way for China to buy a total of US$200B worth of goods and services when the US doesn't want to sell high technology goods and services to China.  Furthermore, China has to cut back its purchases from developing economies substantially so that China can buy from the US.  This will result in those badly affected developing economies to lodge formal complaints to WTO for US preferential treatment.

Therefore, I am not optimistic about the execution of the phase 1 trade deal.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/04/many-countries-are-fearful-of-upcoming.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/12/the-15-dec-tariffs-between-us-china-are.html

The US is demanding Taiwan to import US beef and pork after Taiwan election.

The US is demanding Taiwan to import ractopamine laced beef and pork after helping President Tsai to win the Taiwan election.

https://chinapost.nownews.com/20200113-931049

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/01/taiwan-president-tsai-won-2020-election.html

Hahaha! Taiwanese people have to pay with their health now.  Is this worth doing?

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2016/11/what-do-you-get-for-being-staunch-usa.html

Centurion - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/04/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.405	0.41	Neutral	DCF
03/06/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.425	0.41	Neutral	DCF
05/15/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.405	0.41	Neutral	DCF
08/15/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.41	0.43	Neutral	DCF
10/07/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.4	0.43	Neutral	DCF
10/25/19	DBS Vickers	Centurion	0.41	0.52	Buy	DCF
11/14/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.42	0.43	Neutral	DCF
11/14/19	DBS Vickers	Centurion	0.42	0.52	Buy	DCF
12/17/19	DMG & Partners	Centurion	0.435	0.47	Neutral	DCF
01/08/20	CIMB	Centurion	0.44	0.61	Add	DCF

CEI - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/13/19	CIMB	CEI	0.945	0.97	Hold	PER10x FY20
08/13/19	CIMB	CEI	0.985	0.9	Hold	PER10x FY20

CDL Hospitality - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/02/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.46	1.8	Buy	DDM
01/02/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.46	1.63	Add
01/17/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.56	1.75	Buy
01/22/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.56	1.83	Buy
01/31/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.64	Add	DDM
01/31/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.8	Buy	DDM
01/31/19	OCBC	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.56	Hold
01/31/19	DBS Vickers	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.85	Buy	DCF
02/11/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.62	1.8	Add
02/28/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.6	1.8	Buy
03/13/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.8	Buy
03/26/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.64	1.8	Add
04/04/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.65	1.85	Buy
04/09/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.67	1.8	Buy
05/02/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.6	1.77	Buy	DDM
05/02/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.6	1.8	Buy	DDM
05/02/19	OCBC	CDL Hospitality	1.6	1.54	Hold
05/02/19	DBS Vickers	CDL Hospitality	1.6	1.85	Buy
05/02/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.6	1.99	Buy
05/03/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.61	1.85	Add	DDM
06/06/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.61	1.77	Buy
06/11/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.62	2.06	Buy	DDM
06/25/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.62	1.8	Buy
07/04/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.66	1.77	Buy
07/15/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.65	2.06	Buy
07/31/19	OCBC	CDL Hospitality	1.66	1.56	Hold
07/31/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.66	1.79	Buy	DDM
07/31/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.66	1.92	Add
07/31/19	DBS Vickers	CDL Hospitality	1.66	1.8	Buy	DCF
08/27/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.58	2.06	Buy
09/11/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.79	Buy
09/19/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.62	1.92	Add
09/19/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.62	1.8	Buy
10/01/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.64	2.06	Buy
10/02/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.79	Buy
10/09/19	DBS Vickers	CDL Hospitality	1.64	1.8	Buy
10/31/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.78	Buy	DDM
10/31/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.8	Buy	DDM
10/31/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.63	2.05	Buy
11/04/19	CIMB	CDL Hospitality	1.64	1.83	Add
11/04/19	OCBC	CDL Hospitality	1.64	1.69	Hold
11/12/19	UOB Kay Hian	CDL Hospitality	1.58	2.05	Buy	DDM
11/21/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.59	1.8	Buy
11/22/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.59	1.78	Buy	DDM
11/25/19	DBS Vickers	CDL Hospitality	1.58	1.8	Buy
11/26/19	Kim Eng	CDL Hospitality	1.6	1.8	Buy
12/10/19	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.78	Buy
01/08/20	DMG & Partners	CDL Hospitality	1.63	1.78	Buy
01/14/20	DBS Vickers	CDL Hospitality	1.64	1.8	Buy

Stock calls for 15 January 2020

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/15/20	Amfrasers	AEM	2.16	2.57	Buy	PER14x FY20
01/15/20	Kim Eng	AEM	2.16	2.58	Buy
01/15/20	DBS Vickers	Fu Yu	0.25	0.35	Buy	PER16x FY20
01/15/20	DMG & Partners	Fu Yu	0.25	0.29	Buy	DCF
01/15/20	UOB Kay Hian	Singtel	3.25	3.32	Hold	DCF, Buy @ $3
01/15/20	DBS Vickers	Singtel	3.25	3.8	Buy	Sum of parts
01/15/20	Lim & Tan	SPH	2.14	0	Hold
01/15/20	OCBC	SPH	2.14	2.28	Hold
01/15/20	CIMB	Venture	16.61	16.88	Hold