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Tuesday, August 4, 2020

Hutchison Port (HPH) - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/25/19OCBCHutchison Port0.2250.22Hold
07/26/19DBS VickersHutchison Port0.2250.23HoldDCF
09/06/19OCBCHutchison Port0.220.17Hold
10/30/19OCBCHutchison Port0.1580.155Hold
02/11/20DBS VickersHutchison Port0.1610.17Hold
06/02/20DBS VickersHutchison Port0.1120.12HoldDCF

HRnet Group - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/14/19DMG & PartnersHRnetGroup0.660.94BuyDCF
10/15/19DMG & PartnersHRnetGroup0.580.94Buy
11/11/19CIMBHRnetGroup0.640.83Add
11/11/19DMG & PartnersHRnetGroup0.640.81BuyDCF
02/28/20CIMBHRnetGroup0.580.58Hold
02/28/20DBS VickersHRnetGroup0.580.63HoldPER10x FY20, Ex-cash
03/02/20DMG & PartnersHRnetGroup0.560.61NeutralPER12x FY20
06/25/20CIMBHRnetGroup0.50.58Hold

Hotel Properties - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/15/19OCBCHotel Properties3.694.74Buy

Stock calls for 4 August 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/04/20CIMBAEM3.664.63AddGGM
08/04/20OCBCARA Logistics0.6650.64Hold
08/04/20OCBCCapitaRetail China1.211.35Buy
08/04/20OCBCCDL Hospitality0.9450.92Hold
08/04/20MacquarieDBS19.4524.25outperformPB
08/04/20OCBCFar East Hospitality0.490.51Hold
08/04/20OCBCFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.362.44Hold
08/04/20Kim EngManulife US Reit0.7751.15BuyDDM
08/04/20DMG & PartnersManulife US Reit0.7750.9BuyDDM
08/04/20UOB Kay HianManulife US Reit0.7750.85Buy
08/04/20Lim & TanManulife US Reit0.7750Buy at weakness
08/04/20CIMBManulife US Reit0.7751.05AddDDM
08/04/20MacquarieOCBC8.5210.65OutperformPB
08/04/20OCBCOUE Commercial0.370.39Hold
08/04/20Lim & TanPanUnited0.290.31HoldPB1x FY20
08/04/20OCBCSheng Siong1.691.85Hold
08/04/20OCBCSIA3.313.5Hold
08/04/20DBS VickersSingtel2.453.04BuySum of parts
08/04/20MacquarieUOB19.0721NeutralPB

Australia is really the white trash of the East.

https://ca.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-australia-spar-twitter-over-081512855.html

Australia wants China to adhere to the 2016 PCA ruling but it doesn't recognize PCA ruling at all.  Just look at the 2016 PCA ruling between East Timor and Australia.  Australia only adheres to ICJ ruling but not PCA ruling because PCA is not under the UN and is only a self-proclaimed international court.



Monday, August 3, 2020

The ugly side of Facebook - A thug in disguise!


FB Zuckerberg was grilled by a congresswoman last week and the video showed the thuggish behaviour of FB such as threatening, cloning, spying, etc.

US ISM PMI had shown great improvement in July.

 

The July PMI (54.2, +1.6) had continued to improve because of pandemic relief packages implemented worldwide including the US ($600 per week). This had resulted in the new order including the new export and local orders rising altogether and pushed up the prices to 53.2 (+1.9). Thus, the producers ramped up their production (62.1, +4.8) to meet the rising new orders while the customers’ inventories were reduced by fulfilling the rising orders.

All in all, the improvement in the July PMI showed that the worldwide pandemic relief packages were helping to boost some consumer spendings. However, the real test will be whether the consumer spendings will be sustainable without the pandemic relief packages and also the re-surging COVID outbreak situation.

If the US can continue the pandemic relief money and contain the deteriorating outbreak, the US GDP will rebound in Q3.

Hongkong Land - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/02/19DBS VickersHongkong Land6.097.93Buy
08/05/19DBS VickersHongkong Land6.027.7BuyRNAV (40% discount)
08/06/19CIMBHongkong Land5.747.4Add
08/06/19CitibankHongkong Land5.745.85Sell
12/12/19DBS VickersHongkong Land5.476.64BuyRNAV (45% discount)
12/12/19CIMBHongkong Land5.476.9Add
03/06/20DBS VickersHongkong Land5.055.81BuyRNAV (50% discount)
03/10/20CIMBHongkong Land4.556.05Add
05/05/20DBS VickersHongkong Land4.135.22BuyRNAV (55% discount)
07/30/20Lim & TanHongkong Land3.720Buy
07/30/20DBS VickersHongkong Land3.724.94BuyRNAV (55% discount)
08/03/20DBS VickersHongkong Land3.794.8BuyRNAV (55% discount)
08/03/20CIMBHongkong Land3.795.1Add

Hong Leong Asia - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
01/28/20Lim & TanHong Leong Asia0.6250Buy on weakness

Hock Lian Seng - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/02/19Lim & TanHock Lian Seng0.330Buy on weakness

Stock calls for 3 August 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/03/20DBS VickersFar East Hospitality0.490.6Buy
08/03/20CIMBFirst Reit0.5550.957AddDDM
08/03/20Kim EngHi-P1.281.23Hold
08/03/20DBS VickersHi-P1.281.34HoldPER13x FY21
08/03/20UOB Kay HianHi-P1.281.11Sell
08/03/20DBS VickersHongkong Land3.794.8BuyRNAV (55% discount)
08/03/20CIMBHongkong Land3.795.1Add
08/03/20UOB Kay HianJapfa0.660.98BuySum of parts
08/03/20DBS VickersJapfa0.660.82BuySum of parts
08/03/20CIMBJapfa0.660.96Add
08/03/20CIMBJardine Matheson40.9248.61Add
08/03/20UOB Kay HianKeppel Corp5.47.1BuySum of parts
08/03/20DMG & PartnersKeppel Corp5.47.3BuySum of parts
08/03/20DBS VickersKeppel Corp5.46.4Buysum of parts, PB1x
08/03/20CIMBKeppel Corp5.46.46AddSum of parts
08/03/20OCBCKeppel Corp5.46.4Buy
08/03/20Lim & TanKSH0.3450Neutral
08/03/20phillipSGX8.179.45BuyPER21.4x
08/03/20CIMBSGX8.179Add
08/03/20DMG & PartnersSGX8.179.2BuyPER24x FY21
08/03/20DBS VickersSGX8.178.4HoldDDM, PER21x FY21
08/03/20OCBCSGX8.178.3Hold
08/03/20phillipSheng Siong1.71.65NeutralPER25x FY21
08/03/20DMG & PartnersSheng Siong1.71.87BuyDCF
08/03/20UOB Kay HianSIA3.423.64Hold
08/03/20DMG & PartnersStarhill0.4650.6BuyDDM

Sunday, August 2, 2020

It is foolish of the US to accuse China of IP theft because WIPO will reveal the truth.

IP Screenshots below are taken from WIPO.

US IP Filings Data

China IP Filings Data

The total filings by China had already overtaken the US a few years ago but the US (with fewer IPs) was still accusing China (with more IPs) of IP thefts.

This is akin to a top scorer Asian student in a western class of being accused of cheating by his caucasian classmates.  This is also the reason that the US has to work with Huawei to set 5G standards.


There is no way a country can digest all the stolen research data and information in such a short time if it doesn't know much about it and file IPs for such R&D.  If a country can do such a brilliant act in such a short time, it doesn't have to steal at all because it has the capabilities already.

The US cannot provide any proof that China has stolen the US IPs or else the US can apply to void China IP.s  The US thinks that repeating a lie over a thousand times will make other people believe it to be the truth but a lie is still a lie no matter how many times you lie about it.  We all know that the US cannot find weapons of mass destruction in Iraq until now because the US fabricated the lie.

Let's all be smart.  We need to verify and authenticate what the US is saying because the US has lost all credibilities.

Saturday, August 1, 2020

Baltic dry index - 1348

Today, Thursday, July 30 2020, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 31 points, reaching 1348 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean

US rig count - 942


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco

The US treasury department is awashed with US$1.8T.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/money-markets-seek-treasury-answer-100000877.html

The US treasury has US$1.8T in cash.

We had stated previously that the US treasury department was flushed with USD.


Thursday, July 30, 2020

Red alert: The US economy is going to contract sharply in Q2. - Part 2

https://www.cnbc.com/2020/07/30/us-gdp-q2-2020-first-reading.html

The US Q2 GDP collapsed by 32.9% and the Q1 GDP was revised down to -5%.  We're right again!

We had stated on numerous postings that the US Q2 GDP would be worse than Q1 by analyzing US consumer spendings and PMIs.  Therefore, the big drop in US Q2 GDP is an expected outcome if you've been following our earlier postings.



Ho Bee - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
11/19/19Lim & TanHo Bee2.340Buy

HMI - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/08/19UOB Kay HianHMI0.6600.73Accept offeroffer at $0.73
07/08/19Kim EngHMI0.6600.66HoldDCF, accept offer at $0.73
07/08/19CIMBHMI0.6600.68Addoffer at $0.73
07/09/19phillipHMI0.7200.73Accept offeroffer at $0.73
08/20/19Lim & TanHMI0.7200.73Accept offeroffer at $0.73
08/21/19Kim EngHMI0.7200.73Holdoffer at $0.73

Hi-P - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/19/19DBS VickersHi-P1.431.41HoldPER12x FY19
08/05/19DBS VickersHi-P1.341.32HoldPER12x FY20
10/10/19Kim EngHi-P1.191.21HoldPB1.5x FY19
11/01/19DBS VickersHi-P1.441.39HoldPER13x FY20
11/01/19Kim EngHi-P1.441.34SellPB1.5x FY20
02/14/20DBS VickersHi-P1.31.37HoldPER14x FY20
02/18/20Kim EngHi-P1.311SellPB1.2x FY20
03/30/20Kim EngHi-P0.830.78HoldRoe-g/Coe-g, PB1x FY20
04/02/20DBS VickersHi-P0.8350.85Hold
04/20/20Kim EngHi-P0.970.78Neutral

Stock calls for 30 July 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/30/20OCBCART0.8951.03Buy
07/30/20DBS VickersCapitaland2.764.5Buy
07/30/20UOB Kay HianCDL Hospitality0.971HoldDDM, Buy @ $0.9
07/30/20DBS VickersCDL Hospitality0.971.3Buy
07/30/20Kim EngCDL Hospitality0.970.95Hold
07/30/20DBS VickersCity Developments8.2813Buy
07/30/20DMG & PartnersDairy Farm4.154.47NeutralDCF
07/30/20DBS VickersDairy Farm4.154.86BuySum of parts
07/30/20MacquarieDBS20.425.5outperformPB
07/30/20OCBCDBS20.420Hold
07/30/20UOB Kay HianDBS20.423.12Buy
07/30/20DBS VickersFrasers Property1.181.7Buy
07/30/20Lim & TanHongkong Land3.720Buy
07/30/20MacquarieOCBC8.911OutperformPB
07/30/20UOB Kay HianOCBC8.911.22Buy
07/30/20CIMBParkway Life3.443.43Hold
07/30/20DBS VickersSheng Siong1.731.91BuyPER25x FY21
07/30/20DBS VickersSIA3.533.75HoldPB0.8x FY21/22
07/30/20CIMBSIA3.533.55HoldPB0.84x FY22
07/30/20OCBCStarhill0.470.53Buy
07/30/20MacquarieUOB20.0221NeutralPB
07/30/20OCBCUOB20.0221.5Hold
07/30/20DBS VickersUOL6.79.5Buy