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Monday, April 19, 2021

Stock calls for 19 April 2021

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

04/19/21

UOB Kay Hian

Dairy Farm

4.22

5.19

Buy

PER22x FY22

04/19/21

UOB Kay Hian

Innotek

0.9

1.2

Buy

PER12x FY22

04/19/21

CIMB

Nanofilm

5.17

5.52

Add


04/19/21

HSBC

Sembcorp Industries

1.94

2.61

Buy

Up from $1.68, PB1.3x FY21

04/19/21

Credit Suisse

Sembcorp Industries

1.94

2.4

Outperform

sum of parts, PB1.2x FY21

04/19/21

DMG & Partners

SGX

10.35

11.6

Buy


04/19/21

Lim & Tan

SIIC

0.21

0

Accumulate on weakness


Sunday, April 18, 2021

Hot news: China will be launching its own CPU infrastructure soon!

https://news.cgtn.com/news/2021-04-17/Chinese-company-unveils-self-developed-CPU-architecture--ZvSw4KIJq0/index.html

The current CPU infrastructure is based on Intel X86 architecture and China has developed and tested its own ISA which will supersede X86 after 20 years of hard work.

China's ISA will become the mainstream CPU standard in China soon before it will be exported to other countries.  Intel will lose its dominant position in the future because consumers will have choices in the future.  Consumers won't care about the CPU standard as long as it is fast and cheap.

I also don't care about the processor I use, be it Intel, AMD or Loongson, as long as it is fast and cheap.

Congrats to China!

The US backed off from the black sea after Russian announced closure.

The US dared not have a direct faceoff with Russia in the black sea after Russia announced to seal off the black sea for 6 months.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/us-cancels-black-sea-deployment-of-two-warships--turkey-14624570

No wonder the US and EU didn't do much to help Myanmar because they didn't want to confront Russia directly.

Since the US dares not to confront Russia directly, China and Russia need to team up to deal with the US and its cronies.

Saturday, April 17, 2021

Baltic dry index - 2385


Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count (weekly) - 439


 Related stock: Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

The US FED is draining short-term cash discreetly from the financial market.

The US FED is draining short-term cash discreetly.  Here's the proof in the reverse repo market!

There was not a single transaction in the repo transaction because participants didn't need the cash but all the reverse repo transactions were fulfilled which indicated the participants were parking the cash with the FED.

Repo (A collateralized short-term loan for participants): No transaction at all!






Reverse Repo (A collateralized short-term loan for the FED): All fulfilled!






We had also analyzed the M1-M2 money supply previously to reach a conclusion that the US had excessive liquidity in its financial system.

China retail sales versus USA retail sales. - Part 2

US m-o-m retail sales:


China m-o-m retail sales:


US y-o-y retail sales:


China y-o-y retail sales:


We can see that US retail sales are more erratic than China's because US consumers rely on government doles (free stimulus cheques) while China consumers are spending their own monies.

When the doles stop, the US consumer spendings will drop too.

Friday, April 16, 2021

Keppel Reit - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/04/20

DMG & Partners

Keppel Reit

1.06

1.07

Neutral

DDM

06/08/20

DBS Vickers

Keppel Reit

1.16

1.35

Buy

DCF

06/08/20

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Reit

1.16

1.3

Buy


06/23/20

DMG & Partners

Keppel Reit

1.13

1.07

Neutral


07/02/20

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Reit

1.11

1.3

Buy


07/09/20

DBS Vickers

Keppel Reit

1.1

1.35

Buy


07/21/20

DMG & Partners

Keppel Reit

1.09

1.1

Neutral

DDM

07/21/20

Lim & Tan

Keppel Reit

1.09

0

Buy


07/21/20

CIMB

Keppel Reit

1.09

1.2

Add


09/02/20

DBS Vickers

Keppel Reit

1.05

1.35

Buy

DCF, PB1x

09/02/20

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Reit

1.05

1.3

Buy


09/14/20

Lim & Tan

Keppel Reit

1.07

1.18

Buy


09/15/20

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Reit

1.08

1.4

Buy

DDM

09/18/20

CIMB

Keppel Reit

1.12

1.25

Add

DDM

10/02/20

DBS Vickers

Keppel Reit

1.08

1.4

Buy

DCF, PB1.04x

10/02/20

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Reit

1.08

1.4

Buy


10/20/20

CIMB

Keppel Reit

1.06

1.25

Add

DDM

10/21/20

DMG & Partners

Keppel Reit

1.05

1.14

Neutral


12/10/20

DBS Vickers

Keppel Reit

1.05

1.4

Buy


12/10/20

JP Morgan

Keppel Reit

1.05

1

Underweight


12/17/20

Kim Eng

Keppel Reit

1.08

0.9

Sell


12/24/20

Lim & Tan

Keppel Reit

1.1

0

Accumulate


01/26/21

Kim Eng

Keppel Reit

1.18

0.9

Sell

DDM

01/26/21

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Reit

1.18

1.45

Buy


01/26/21

Lim & Tan

Keppel Reit

1.18

0

Hold


01/26/21

CIMB

Keppel Reit

1.18

1.29

Add

DDM

01/26/21

DMG & Partners

Keppel Reit

1.18

1.2

Neutral


03/08/21

JP Morgan

Keppel Reit

1.17

1.05

Underweight


03/25/21

UOB Kay Hian

Keppel Reit

1.2

1.49

Buy

DDM