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Friday, July 26, 2024

Hong Fok - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/04/23

UOB Kay Hian

Hong Fok

1.01

1.9

Buy


Ho Bee - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/17/23

Lim & Tan

Ho Bee

2.01

3.8

Accumulate


Guocoland - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/04/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.52

2.3

Buy


08/30/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.5

2.3

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

09/07/23

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.53

2.3

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

01/31/24

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.47

2.3

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

05/13/24

DBS Vickers

GuocoLand

1.52

2.3

Buy

RNAV (60% disc)

Stock calls for 26 July 2024

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

07/26/24

Lim & Tan

ART

0.9

1.21

Accumulate


07/26/24

Lim & Tan

First Reit

0.255

0

Accumulate


07/26/24

Phillip

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2.18

2.38

Accumulate

DDM

07/26/24

DMG & Partners

Frasers Centrepoint Trust

2.18

2.35

Neutral

DDM

07/26/24

DBS Vickers

Ifast Corp

7.11

9.57

Buy

DCF

07/26/24

Citi Research

Keppel DC Reit

1.89

1.91

Buy


07/26/24

OCBC

Mapletree Logistics

1.28

1.65

Buy


07/26/24

Citi Research

Mapletree Logistics

1.28

1.58

Buy

DDM & RNAV

07/26/24

CIMB

Mapletree Logistics

1.28

1.63

Add


07/26/24

phillip

OUE Commercial

0.275

0.33

Buy

DDM

07/26/24

Kiatnakin

Thai Beverage

0.5

0.81

Buy


07/26/24

JPM

Thai Beverage

0.5

0.64

Overweight


07/26/24

HSBC

Thai Beverage

0.5

0.59

Buy


Thursday, July 25, 2024

US Q2 GDP, Core PCE and durable goods economic statistics!

The US Q2 2024 GDP increased by 2.8%. Let's break it down to see what had changed from Q1.

GDP  = Government spending + Investment + Consumption + Net Export

Q1 GDP (3rd estimate) = 0.31 + 0.77 + 0.98 + (-0.65) = 1.41 (1.4)

Q2 GDP (1st estimate) = 0.53 + 1.46 + 1.57  + (-0.72) = 2.84 (2.8)

We can see that Q2 GDP has improved compared to Q1 GDP with 3 components (G, I & C) increasing and 1 component (NE) decreasing.

The Q2 Core PCE had also decreased to 2.9% which meant that US inflation was declining which was favourable for a rate cut in 2024.

However, the durable goods order excluding defence declined by 7% in June 2024 which meant that consumers were cutting back on big ticket items such as cars, houses, home appliances, etc.  If this decline continues, the Q3 GDP is likely to be lower than Q2.

Great Eastern - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

06/14/24

EY

Great Eastern

26.17

25.6

Accept Offer

Offer @ $25.60