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Monday, September 2, 2024

ST Engineering - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/09/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.65

4.05

Buy

Sum of parts

05/16/23

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.62

4

Buy

DCF

05/16/23

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.62

4

Add


05/16/23

Kim Eng

ST Engineering

3.62

4.1

Buy


05/16/23

Citi Research

ST Engineering

3.62

3.35

Sell

PER22x FY23

05/18/23

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.68

3.92

Accumulate


06/09/23

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.65

3.92

Accumulate


06/12/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.66

4.05

Buy

Sum of parts

06/26/23

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.61

3.89

Accumulate


07/20/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.66

4.05

Buy


08/03/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.69

4.25

Buy

Sum of parts

08/11/23

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.74

4.04

Accumulate


08/14/23

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.78

4.2

Buy

DCF

08/14/23

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.78

4.2

Buy


08/14/23

Citi Research

ST Engineering

3.78

3.76

Hold

PER20x FY23

08/14/23

Kim Eng

ST Engineering

3.78

4.2

Buy


08/14/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.78

4.5

Buy


08/14/23

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.78

4.27

Add


09/18/23

OCBC

ST Engineering

3.93

4.45

Buy


09/25/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.83

4.5

Buy


09/26/23

Phillip

ST Engineering

3.86

4.5

Buy

DCF

10/10/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.81

4.45

Buy


10/20/23

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.79

4.43

Accumulate

Consensus target $4.30

11/10/23

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.82

4.2

Buy


11/14/23

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.76

4.2

Buy

DCF

11/14/23

Phillip

ST Engineering

3.76

4.5

Buy

DCF

11/14/23

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.76

0

Accumulate


11/14/23

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.76

4.5

Buy


11/14/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.76

4.45

Buy


11/14/23

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.76

4.27

Add


11/30/23

Kim Eng

ST Engineering

3.72

4.2

Buy


12/13/23

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.78

4.5

Buy


12/13/23

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.78

0

Accumulate


12/15/23

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.81

4.45

Buy


01/02/24

Phillip

ST Engineering

3.89

4.5

Buy


02/13/24

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.77

4.5

Buy

PER21.5x FY24/25

02/13/24

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.77

4.36

Add


02/19/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.91

4.45

Buy


02/21/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.92

4.5

Buy

Sum of parts

02/21/24

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.92

4.36

Add


03/01/24

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

3.98

4.5

Buy

DCF

03/04/24

Phillip

ST Engineering

3.97

4.5

Accumulate


03/04/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.97

4.5

Buy

Sum of parts

03/04/24

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.97

0

Accumulate


03/06/24

OCBC

ST Engineering

3.92

4.6

Buy


03/12/24

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.97

4.8

Buy

PER21x FY24

03/26/24

CIMB

ST Engineering

3.99

4.36

Add


04/02/24

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

4.02

4.8

Buy


04/08/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.99

4.5

Buy

Sum of parts

05/06/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

3.94

4.5

Buy

Sum of parts

05/13/24

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

3.98

4.8

Buy


05/13/24

Citi Research

ST Engineering

3.98

4.62

Buy


05/14/24

Phillip

ST Engineering

4.03

4.9

Buy

DCF

05/14/24

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

4.03

4.5

Buy

DCF

05/14/24

CIMB

ST Engineering

4.03

4.36

Add


05/14/24

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

4.03

0

Accumulate


06/18/24

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

3.98

0

Accumulate


06/19/24

Kim Eng

ST Engineering

4.03

4.3

Buy


06/24/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.04

4.5

Buy

Sum of parts

06/25/24

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

4.1

4.8

Buy


06/26/24

Lim & Tan

ST Engineering

4.14

4.53

Accumulate


06/26/24

Kim Eng

ST Engineering

4.14

4.6

Buy

Sum of parts

06/27/24

JPM

ST Engineering

4.19

4.6

Buy


07/08/24

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

4.26

4.8

Buy


07/16/24

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

4.38

4.95

Buy

DCF

07/22/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.45

5

Buy

Sum of parts

07/22/24

CIMB

ST Engineering

4.45

5

Add


08/14/24

OCBC

ST Engineering

4.28

4.83

Buy


08/15/24

DBS Vickers

ST Engineering

4.47

5

Buy


08/15/24

UOB Kay Hian

ST Engineering

4.47

4.95

Buy

DCF

08/15/24

Citi Research

ST Engineering

4.47

5.12

Buy

PER20x FY25

08/19/24

Phillip

ST Engineering

4.56

5

Accumulate

DCF

08/20/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.58

5

Buy

Sum of parts

09/02/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.45

5

Buy

Sum of parts

Stock calls for 2 September 2024

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

09/02/24

CIMB

A-Reit

2.88

3.06

Add

DDM

09/02/24

DBS Vickers

CDL Hospitality

0.935

1.2

Buy


09/02/24

CIMB

Frasers Logistics

1.09

1.27

Aad

DDM

09/02/24

SAC Capital

Isoteam

0.065

0.084

Buy


09/02/24

DBS Vickers

Sembcorp Industries

4.93

7.35

Buy

PER14x FY24

09/02/24

Lim & Tan

Sembcorp Industries

4.93

6.75

Accumulate


09/02/24

Kim Eng

SIA

6.28

6.55

Hold


09/02/24

Phillip

Singtel

3.13

3.44

Accumulate

Sum of parts

09/02/24

DMG & Partners

ST Engineering

4.45

5

Buy

Sum of parts

Is the US fudging its GDP growth? Let's look at the prima facie evidence.

In the past, China was accused of fudging its economic growth when its GDP was growing at a burgeoning rate whilst its electricity power consumption was falling.  This was an uncanny phenomenon because China was a manufacturing hub and producing goods for the global suppliers.

Now, the US seems to be following the China's path.  The US GDP growth grew from 1.9% in 2022 to 2.5% in 2023 while its electricity power consumption had fallen by 2%.  This was also an uncanny phenomenon because EVs had been popularised and IEA had stated that the power consumption drop was due to the slower economic growth.  However, the US had pronounced a higher economic growth for 2023 instead.  Can we still trust the US economic statistics for 2024?

US GDP for 2022 & 2023 (1.9% vs 2.5%)

Sunday, September 1, 2024

Latest US PCE statistics.

Core PCE (YOY): 2.6%
Core PCE (MOM): 0.2%
PCE (MOM): 0.2%
We can see from the chart below that the US PCE inflation is starting an upward monthly trend.  In other words, this means there is not much room for the US inflation to decline any further.  As such, there is a high chance that the US Fed will only cut its rates by 0.25% in September 2024 so as not to provide an oomph for any inflation spike.

Baltic dry index - 1814

Related stock: Seatrium, Cosco & Pan Ocean

US rig count (weekly) - 583

Related stock: Seatrium & Cosco.

Friday, August 30, 2024

Spindex - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

02/07/24

Lim & Tan

Spindex

0.81

0

Hold


Soilbuild Construction - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/07/24

SAC Capital

Soilbuild Construction

0.033

0.04

Buy