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Monday, July 27, 2020

Stock calls for 27 July 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/27/20PhillipA-Reit3.483.63AccumlateDDM
07/27/20Kim EngAEM3.514.04BuyPB4.8x FY20/21
07/27/20DMG & PartnersBumitama0.4950.6BuyPER13x FY21
07/27/20PhillipCapitaCommercial1.721.909AccumlateDDM
07/27/20UOB Kay HianElite ComReit0.6950.88BuyDDM
07/27/20DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.391.45NeutralPER14x FY21
07/27/20PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.392.69AccumlateDDM
07/27/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.392.9BuyDDM
07/27/20DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.392.16NeutralDDM
07/27/20CIMBFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.392.78Add
07/27/20Kim EngFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.392.45Hold
07/27/20Lim & TanKeppel Corp5.710Buy on weakness
07/27/20UOB Kay HianMapletree Commercial1.882.35Buy
07/27/20Kim EngMapletree Industrial3.163.3Buy
07/27/20Lim & TanOUE Commercial0.3950Buy on weakness
07/27/20OCBCSuntec Reit1.391.57Buy

Another constellation is aligning and a big financial crisis is brewing this time. - Part 6

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/07/25/us/hanna-storm-texas.html

The US typhoon season has started and will last till November 2020.  We did this to ourselves because we created global warming which changed the climate.  Serious floodings have occurred in China, Japan, India, Nepal. South Korea and Russia.  I expect the US to suffer the same fate too.  All these will cause high food inflation as farms are being destroyed.


We did warn you that the financial crisis constellation is aligning below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/07/another-constellation-is-aligning-and_75.html

With a stronger US typhoon season this year and the COVID outbreak, the financial tsunami will become inevitable due to the double whammy.  It is a matter of when and not if now.

Sit tight and brace yourself this time!  Remember that we warned you much earlier than others.

Saturday, July 25, 2020

Baltic dry index - 1317

Today, Friday, July 24 2020, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 71 points, reaching 1317 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 946


Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, July 24, 2020

Frencken - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/13/19DBS VickersFrencken0.660.8Buy
08/13/19CIMBFrencken0.660.9Add
08/13/19DMG & PartnersFrencken0.660.82BuyDCF
08/13/19DBS VickersFrencken0.660.8BuyPER8.5x
08/22/19CIMBFrencken0.730.95Add
08/22/19AmfrasersFrencken0.730.81NeutralPER10x FY20
09/11/19AmfrasersFrencken0.6750.81outperformPER10x FY20
10/08/19DMG & PartnersFrencken0.6750.82Buy
11/07/19CIMBFrencken0.720.94AddPER10x FY20
11/07/19AmfrasersFrencken0.720.93outperformPER10x FY20
11/07/19DBS VickersFrencken0.720.95BuyPER9x FY20
11/11/19DMG & PartnersFrencken0.760.82BuyDCF
11/18/19AmfrasersFrencken0.920.93NeutralPER10x FY20
11/29/19DBS VickersFrencken0.9051.06BuyPER10x FY20
12/02/19AmfrasersFrencken0.890.93outperformPER10x FY20
12/10/19DMG & PartnersFrencken0.940.92NeutralDCF
01/24/20DBS VickersFrencken0.911.06BuyPER10x FY20
02/28/20DBS VickersFrencken0.8651.06BuyPER10x FY20
02/28/20AmfrasersFrencken0.8651.01outperform
03/02/20CIMBFrencken0.831.06Add
03/09/20DMG & PartnersFrencken0.831.05BuyDCF
03/10/20AmfrasersFrencken0.751.01outperformPER10x FY20
04/02/20DBS VickersFrencken0.5650.74Buy
04/15/20DMG & PartnersFrencken0.710.9BuyDCF
05/15/20DBS VickersFrencken0.820.92BuyPER10.4x FY20
06/02/20AmfrasersFrencken0.811.01outperformPER10x FY20
06/22/20UOB Kay HianFrencken0.861.15Buy
07/01/20DBS VickersFrencken0.881.02BuyPER10.4x FY21
07/03/20DMG & PartnersFrencken0.910.9Buy
07/13/20Kim EngFrencken0.9151.2BuyRoe-g/Coe-g, PB1.6x FY20

Frasers Property - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
11/18/19DBS VickersFrasers Property1.822.05BuyRNAV (40% discount)
05/14/20DBS VickersFrasers Property1.191.7BuyRNAV (50% discount)
05/14/20CIMBFrasers Property1.191.7AddRNAV (45% discount)

Frasers Logistics - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/04/19OCBCFrasers Logistics1.231.2Hold
07/04/19Lim & TanFrasers Logistics1.230Hold
07/04/19CIMBFrasers Logistics1.231.25Hold
08/21/19CIMBFrasers Logistics1.21.27Add
08/21/19OCBCFrasers Logistics1.21.22Hold
11/06/19Lim & TanFrasers Logistics1.250Hold
11/07/19OCBCFrasers Logistics1.261.28Hold
11/07/19DBS VickersFrasers Logistics1.261.4BuyDCF
11/07/19CIMBFrasers Logistics1.261.31Add
12/03/19CIMBFrasers Logistics1.241.31Add
02/10/20OCBCFrasers Logistics1.271.37Hold
02/10/20CIMBFrasers Logistics1.271.32Add
05/04/20CIMBFrasers Logistics1.061.3Add
06/02/20DBS VickersFrasers Logistics1.151.4Buy
07/03/20DBS VickersFrasers Logistics1.211.4Buy
07/14/20CIMBFrasers Logistics1.231.43AddDDM

Stock calls for 24 July 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/24/20CIMBA-Reit3.433.12Hold
07/24/20JefferiesA-Reit3.433.8Buy
07/24/20DBS VickersA-Reit3.434BuyDCF
07/24/20Kim EngA-Reit3.433.7BuyDDM
07/24/20OCBCA-Reit3.433.92Buy
07/24/20UOB Kay HianA-Reit3.433.65Buy
07/24/20AmfrasersAEM3.684.24Outperform
07/24/20DBS VickersAIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit1.231.4BuyDCF
07/24/20CIMBCapitaCommercial1.761.98AddDDM
07/24/20UOB Kay HianCapitaCommercial1.761.66HoldBuy @ $1.50
07/24/20PhillipCapitamall Trust2.032.33BuyDDM
07/24/20Kim EngCapitamall Trust2.032.35Buy
07/24/20CIMBElite ComReit0.6950.761AddDDM
07/24/20DBS VickersIfast Corp1.742.35BuyDDM
07/24/20DMG & PartnersKeppel Pacific0.7150.8BuyDDM

The latest US unemployment data is a fudge. - Part 3

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/covid-19-us-jobless-claims-rise-to-1-42-million-amid-surge-12958166

We had stated in June 2020 that the US unemployment figure was fudged by the US government and this jobless claim had proven us right.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/06/the-latest-us-unemployment-data-is.html

What’s my take on the possible US-China military confrontation?

Trump has increased the US-China tension recently by expelling China consulate in Houston after the US military exercise in South China Sea. Consequently, China will retaliate by expelling one US consulate in China too.

As for the US-China military confrontation, I think it is unlikely to happen after observing the recent US military exercise. Why? This was because the US military exercise excluded the military scenario of China using its DF missiles against the US. This should be a compulsory military scenario because the DF missiles can destroy a US carrier and also the military base in Guam.


I anticipate that China will be using DF21D and DF17 to destroy the US aircraft carriers and destroyers to make the US stay away from South China Sea while DF26 will be used to destroy the military base in Guam. The latest US military exercise excluded all these scenarios because the US was still conducting the military exercise in South China Sea. The US military exercise only proved to be a farce without any real intention to have a military confrontation with China. Trump is truly a showman!

The latest Pentagon simulations also showed that the US would lose the war in South China Sea.




If the US insists on going to a war with China, this war will end once China sinks a US aircraft carrier because this will make the other aircraft carrier stay away from South China Sea. In a nutshell, China will try to end this war by sinking a US aircraft carrier rather than to destroy the military base in Guam so that the war won’t escalate further since both countries have nuclear weapons.

Thursday, July 23, 2020

Frasers Hospitality Trust - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/12/19DBS VickersFrasers Hospitality Trust0.720.77HoldDCF
10/09/19DBS VickersFrasers Hospitality Trust0.7150.77Hold
10/31/19DBS VickersFrasers Hospitality Trust0.7350.78HoldDCF
11/01/19Kim EngFrasers Hospitality Trust0.7350.8BuyDDM
01/28/20DBS VickersFrasers Hospitality Trust0.7150.78HoldDCF
02/17/20Kim EngFrasers Hospitality Trust0.690.8Buy
04/21/20DBS VickersFrasers Hospitality Trust0.50.65Buy
05/12/20DBS VickersFrasers Hospitality Trust0.4750.65BuyPB0.9x
07/17/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Hospitality Trust0.470.58BuyDDM

Frasers Commercial Trust - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/04/19DMG & PartnersFrasers Commercial Trust1.681.65Neutral
07/12/19DBS VickersFrasers Commercial Trust1.651.7HoldDCF
07/22/19OCBCFrasers Commercial Trust1.641.7Hold
10/04/19DBS VickersFrasers Commercial Trust1.61.7HoldDCF
10/23/19DMG & PartnersFrasers Commercial Trust1.641.65NeutralDDM
10/24/19OCBCFrasers Commercial Trust1.651.76Hold
10/24/19CIMBFrasers Commercial Trust1.651.71AddDDM
12/03/19DMG & PartnersFrasers Commercial Trust1.711.68Take ProfitPB1.05x
12/03/19CIMBFrasers Commercial Trust1.711.71Add

Frasers Centrepoint Trust - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/04/19DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.642.25Neutral
07/12/19DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.642.95Buy
07/16/19UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.622.72Buy
07/22/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.652.36Neutral
07/24/19UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.652.66HoldDDM, Buy @ $2.42
07/24/19Kim EngFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.652.8BuyDDM
07/24/19OCBCFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.652.69Hold
07/24/19CIMBFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.652.79AddDDM
07/24/19Lim & TanFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.650Hold
07/26/19AmfrasersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.632.51Neutral
07/29/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.682.77AccumulateDDM
08/22/19CIMBFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.682.79Add
08/26/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.682.77Accumulate
08/30/19CIMBFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.742.9AddDDM
08/30/19DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.742.55NeutralDDM
09/19/19Kim EngFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.72.8Buy
09/24/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.712.77Accumulate
10/02/19DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.72.95Buy
10/18/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.772.77Accumulate
10/24/19DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.722.55NeutralDDM
10/24/19OCBCFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.722.75Hold
10/24/19UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.723.05Buy
10/24/19Lim & TanFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.720Hold
10/25/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.753.11AccumulateDDM
11/18/19CitibankFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.723Buy
11/25/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.763.11Accumulate
11/25/19CIMBFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.762.89Add
12/10/19DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.742.55Neutral
12/16/19PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.673.11Buy
12/19/19DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.72.95Buy
01/23/20Kim EngFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.82.85HoldDDM
01/23/20Lim & TanFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.80Hold
01/23/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.83.05Buy
01/24/20DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.862.95Buy
01/29/20PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.863.11AccumulateDDM
02/03/20OCBCFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.882.93Hold
02/04/20DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.842.95Buy
03/09/20DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.973.35Buy
03/13/20PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.733.11Accumulate
03/16/20OCBCFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.563.07Buy
03/31/20CIMBFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.183.1Add
04/02/20DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.12.05Hold
04/14/20OCBCFrasers Centrepoint Trust1.932.23Buy
04/23/20DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.12.55Neutral
04/24/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.062HoldBuy @ $1.82
04/27/20PhillipFrasers Centrepoint Trust1.982.24Accumulate
04/27/20DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust1.982.07NeutralDDM
04/27/20Kim EngFrasers Centrepoint Trust1.982.3BuyDDM
05/11/20AmfrasersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.082.39outperform
05/27/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.252.85Buy
06/01/20DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.432.65BuyPB1.2x
06/08/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.582.85Buy
06/23/20DMG & PartnersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.392.07Neutral
07/01/20CIMBFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.312.49AddDDM
07/02/20DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.322.95BuySum of parts, PB1.45x
07/02/20UOB Kay HianFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.322.85Buy
07/03/20DBS VickersFrasers Centrepoint Trust2.342.95Buy

Stock calls for 23 July 2020

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/23/20Lim & TanCapitaCommercial1.760Hold
07/23/20DMG & PartnersCapitamall Trust2.022.03NeutralDDM
07/23/20UOB Kay HianCapitamall Trust2.022.55Buy
07/23/20OCBCCapitamall Trust2.022.29Buy
07/23/20Kim EngGenting0.770.8HoldDCF
07/23/20DBS VickersKeppel Infrastructure0.5350.57BuyDDM
07/23/20Lim & TanKeppel Infrastructure0.5350Hold
07/23/20UOB Kay HianMapletree Industrial2.973.1Buy

Wednesday, July 22, 2020

Food Empire - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
08/13/19DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.5250.73BuyPER13x FY19
11/12/19DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.540.73Buy
11/21/19DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.60.83BuyPER12x FY20
12/11/19DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.60.73Buy
01/17/20DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.7050.83BuyPER12x FY20
02/05/20UOB Kay HianFood Empire0.660.89Buy
02/26/20DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.7350.88BuyPER12x FY20
02/26/20UOB Kay HianFood Empire0.7350.92BuyPER12.6x FY20
05/14/20DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.5050.75BuyPER12x FY20
05/15/20UOB Kay HianFood Empire0.490.63BuyPER12.6x FY20
05/27/20Lim & TanFood Empire0.5150.63AccumlatePER12.3x FY20
06/09/20DMG & PartnersFood Empire0.550.75BuyPER12x FY20

First Sponsor - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/26/19DBS VickersFirst Sponsor1.311.62BuyRNAV (35% discount)

First Resources - Stock calls

DateAnalystCompanyLastTargetCallValuation
07/02/19Kim EngFirst Resources1.61.93Buy
07/16/19DBS VickersFirst Resources1.551.82BuyDCF
08/06/19UOB Kay HianFirst Resources1.531.6HoldBuy @ $1.45
08/15/19Kim EngFirst Resources1.571.8BuyPER17x FY20
08/15/19DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.571.45NeutralPER14x FY20
08/15/19CIMBFirst Resources1.571.76Add
08/21/19UOB Kay HianFirst Resources1.51.6HoldBuy @ $1.45
08/21/19DBS VickersFirst Resources1.51.8BuyDCF
09/30/19DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.61.9BuyPER18x FY20
11/07/19UOB Kay HianFirst Resources1.731.9BuyPER15x FY20
11/12/19DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.731.95BuyPER18x FY20
11/13/19Kim EngFirst Resources1.781.86HoldPER18x FY20
11/13/19UOB Kay HianFirst Resources1.781.85Buy
11/13/19DBS VickersFirst Resources1.781.95BuyDCF
12/10/19DBS VickersFirst Resources1.832.1BuyDCF
01/20/20DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.772.3BuyPER18x FY20
02/06/20UOB Kay HianFirst Resources1.782.1Buy
02/26/20DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.662BuyPER17x FY20
02/28/20DBS VickersFirst Resources1.631.99BuyDCF
02/28/20Kim EngFirst Resources1.631.85BuyPER18x FY20
03/24/20DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.041.2BuySum of parts, PER12x FY20
04/13/20DBS VickersFirst Resources1.271.99Buy
05/26/20CIMBFirst Resources1.281.8Buy
05/26/20Kim EngFirst Resources1.281.85BuyPER18x FY20
05/26/20DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.281.25NeutralPER14x FY20
05/26/20UOB Kay HianFirst Resources1.281.65Buy
05/26/20DBS VickersFirst Resources1.281.7BuyDCF
06/26/20DMG & PartnersFirst Resources1.331.35NeutralPER14x FY21