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Thursday, October 31, 2024

US core PCE inflation is not in a decline anymore.

The monthly core PCE is 0.3% and the yearly core PCE is 2.7%.

The monthly core PCE inflation seems to be rearing its head again.

Just as we've projected before, there was not much room left for inflation to fall any further.

Hot news! US treasury secretary wants to exterminate stablecoins!

 
What about other cryptos?

We've stated our views before (See below).

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2024/10/cryptos-such-as-bitcoin-btc-are-coming.html

The US Q3 2024 GDP has underperformed its Q2 GDP.

US Q3 GDP: 2.8% 

Let's break down the Q3 GDP to see what are the changes compared to Q2.

GDP = G + I + C + NE

Q2 GDP (Final estimate) = 0.52 + 1.47 + 1.9 + (-0.9) = 2.99 (3)

Q3 GDP (First estimate) = 0.85 + 0.07 + 2.46 + (-0.56) = 2.82 (2.8)

We can see that the government spending (0.85), consumption (2.46) and net export (-0.56) have improved from Q2 GDP but the investment (0.07) has a significant drop that wipes out all the improvements.  This denotes that the investment climate in the US is deteriorating massively.

However, we have our doubts about the veracity of the US GDP, particularly the consumption and net export.  The US GDP subcomponent (net export) doesn't sync with the deteriorating BDI (see below).

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2024/10/baltic-dry-index-1410.html

We had stated previously that the US couldn't hide its slowing economy soon.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2024/10/the-us-cant-hide-its-slowing-economy.html

Wednesday, October 30, 2024

NikkoAM-STC Asia Reit - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

04/25/24

phillip

NikkoAM-STC Asia Reit

0.766

0.82

Accumulate


09/27/24

phillip

NikkoAM-STC Asia Reit

0.855

0.845

Accumulate


Netlink - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/19/23

DBS Vickers

Netlink

0.895

0.98

Buy


05/22/23

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.9

1.05

Buy

DCF

05/22/23

phillip

Netlink

0.9

0.87

Neutral

DCF

05/22/23

CIMB

Netlink

0.9

0.95

Add

DDM

05/22/23

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.9

0.98

Hold


05/23/23

OCBC

Netlink

0.9

0.98

Buy


05/23/23

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.9

0.97

Buy


06/07/23

Citi Research

Netlink

0.865

0.99

Buy


06/22/23

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.86

0.98

Hold


08/18/23

DBS Vickers

Netlink

0.86

0.98

Buy


08/18/23

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.86

0.98

Accumulate


08/21/23

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.86

1.05

Buy

DCF

08/22/23

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.86

0.97

Buy


08/22/23

CIMB

Netlink

0.86

0.95

Add


08/23/23

phillip

Netlink

0.85

0.87

Neutral

DCF

11/07/23

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.84

1.01

Buy

DCF

11/07/23

DBS Vickers

Netlink

0.84

0.98

Buy


11/07/23

Citi Research

Netlink

0.84

0.99

Buy


11/07/23

CIMB

Netlink

0.84

0.95

Add

DDM

11/07/23

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.84

0.97

Buy


11/08/23

phillip

Netlink

0.84

0.87

Neutral

DCF

11/28/23

Citi Research

Netlink

0.815

1.06

Buy


01/04/24

Citi Research

Netlink

0.85

1.06

Buy


02/07/24

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.85

0.98

Hold


02/08/24

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.845

1.01

Buy

DCF

05/17/24

phillip

Netlink

0.865

1.01

Accumulate


05/17/24

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.865

1.01

Accumulate


05/20/24

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.865

0.98

Buy

DCF

05/20/24

DBS Vickers

Netlink

0.865

0.98

Buy


05/20/24

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.865

0.97

Buy


05/23/24

phillip

Netlink

0.865

0.87

Neutral

DCF

06/27/24

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.825

0.96

Accumulate


07/09/24

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.83

0.96

Accumulate


08/06/24

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.835

0.98

Buy

DCF

08/07/24

CIMB

Netlink

0.84

0.95

Add


08/07/24

Kim Eng

Netlink

0.84

0.97

Buy


08/07/24

DBS Vickers

Netlink

0.84

0.98

Buy