SUTD made a bizarre epidemic prediction from its data analysis. - Part 2

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/who-coronavirus-infection-rate-warning-160011546.html

It looks crystal clear that SUTD has proven itself to be a 3rd rated university because the covid-19 outbreak won't end in July 2020 for Singapore.  In fact, there will be more reported cases in July because the government has started COVID testing for students and citizens above 13 years old.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/05/sutd-made-bizarre-epidemic-prediction.html

SUTD had made an incomplete data analysis, a.k.a a flawed analysis, with a singularity mindset instead of using both qualitative and quantitative methodologies.  This singularity analysis will have a big margin of error which is exactly what is happening in SUTD COVID publication.

The UK ex-PM, Teresa May, also made the same mistake by relying on flawed data analysis to call for a Brexit referendum because the flawed data analysis showed that the majority would vote against Brexit.  In the end, the British voted for Brexit.

Here's a simple example of a singularity analysis of data.

If we just look at the data above, we can see that the countries with lower infected cases have reported more deaths than Singapore.  This will give the impression that SG is fudging its COVID statistics if we just study the data and apply only quantitative analysis.  However, if we also apply qualitative analysis on the data, we will be able to justify the low death number because the COVID virus strain in SG is less lethal than the west and Malaysia.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2020/04/what-are-scientific-analyses-for-origin.html

A complete data analysis which involves qualitative and quantitative methodologies will reveal that the COVID outbreak won't end in July 2020 in Singapore because SG has a less lethal but more infectious virus strain.  Furthermore, there is likely to be a 2nd wave of outbreak when the economy reopens because of this infectious strain.