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Tuesday, April 17, 2018

Top 5 reasons to buy real estate in Singapore

Top 5 reasons to buy real estate in Singapore
The New Futura project is one of the many residential buildings pinning their fortune on the growing real estate market in Singapore. It is estimated that there are close to a dozen planned projects for 2018 and beyond.
Just last week the URA’s report revealed during the third quarter of 2017, the private residential property index had increased by 0.5%. This is the first we’ve seen on paper since 15 quarters.
Projects like the New Futura condo, are banking on the soon to be booming market which is hot on the heels of a 4-year downturn. Though the question on everyone’s mind is should you invest or wait till it takes off?
Buying it now means that when prices rise, and there is reason for it to, many will make a lot of money. Alternatively, some investors may want to sit through it till the market is in full bloom.
Our suggestion is to buy right now and below are five reasons we suggest this.
Reason no. 1: Common consensus is that the market will boom
After enduring 15 quarters of decline, it makes sense that the market will rebound. There are already signs of a rebound starting in January 2018.
The prices are pretty low at the moment, and so investors would want to take advantage of it. For instance, the New Futura Price has not been updated with the current uptick in prices considered.
Many property experts believe that the decline was artificially induced as part of cooling measures. The measures were injected by the government to stop price speculation and help with a soft landing.
Some of the cooling measures expected to be removed are the Additional Buyer Stamp Duty and Total Debt Servicing Ratio. Once these are removed prices are expected to explode.
Reason no. 2: Projects like New Futura are great for local buyers
In the past bull runs were caused by foreign speculators or investors. Though it is expected that the majority of buyers in the next couple of years will be locals.
The Number of locals who want to live in the space they buy is expected to rise steadily. Once the government imposed hurdles are removed locals are expected to start investing.
Reason no. 3: It is and continues to be an investor-friendly market
Projects like freehold New Futura are highly attractive to local investors. Since real estate is one of the most established Singaporean sectors, it has a whopping 108 companies listed.
The real estate companies combined make for a market capitalization of well over $196 billion. Plus, investors have the ability to pick which of the 43 professionally managed REITs they want to invest in.
Reason no. 4: Real estate is cheaper today
Real estate in Singapore in cheaper today than it was for many years. That’s given the fact that the country has not been struck by increased inflation.
Singaporeans have a lot of buying power and so the property is relatively cheap. It’s a great time to own a second or third property.
The only drawback perhaps is that rental yields are still low. However, with still a few more years till the completion of some projects you can be assured that things will improve significantly by then.
Reason no. 5: Residential buildings are always in demand
If you look at the trend from the past thirty years, it's evident that residential property value has on the whole increased. Plus, this makes it easier to get a return on investment via rental income.
The latest residential buildings are a lot more spacious, iconic and comfortable than they ever were. Making them an excellent investment today but geared towards tomorrow.


Author: Robert Lamp
Position: Ghost writer in New Property Guide, Blogger
Email: robertlamp10@gmail.com


Air strikes against Syria are illegal under UN Charter and international law.

https://pursuit.unimelb.edu.au/articles/does-it-matter-that-strikes-against-syria-violate-international-law

The University of Melbourne states that the air strikes against Syria are illegal.

http://www.xinhuanet.com/english/2018-04/14/c_137110826.htm

The UN Chief is also alarmed by the air strikes against Syria.

Ascendas Hospitality Trust - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/09/17 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.715 0.84 Buy DCF
06/19/17 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.81 0.88 Buy DCF
01/30/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.875 0.91 Buy
02/02/18 Lim & Tan Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.895 0 Hold
02/05/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.885 0.97 Buy DCF
04/17/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.8 0.97 Buy

Ascott Residence Reit (ART) - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/17 OCBC ART 1.14 1.24 Buy
01/04/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.14 1.3 Buy DDM
01/09/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.16 1.32 Buy DCF
01/18/17 DIR ART 1.17 1.24 Outperform DDM
01/24/17 Lim & Tan ART 1.17 0 Buy
01/25/17 CIMB ART 1.185 1.14 Hold DDM
01/25/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.185 1.28 Buy DCF
01/25/17 OCBC ART 1.185 1.22 Hold
01/31/17 Credit Suisse ART 1.185 1.23 Neutral
02/08/17 DIR ART 1.14 1.24 Outperform DDM
03/07/17 Lim & Tan ART 1.17 0 Hold CR = 29 for 100 @ $0.919
03/07/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.17 1.3 Buy
03/08/17 CIMB ART 1.13 1 Reduce DDM
03/08/17 Credit Suisse ART 1.13 1.11 Neutral
03/08/17 DIR ART 1.13 1.12 Hold DDM
03/08/17 OCBC ART 1.13 1.16 Hold Target $1.105 ex-rights 29-for-100 @ $0.919
03/08/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.13 1.2 Hold DDM, Ex rights 29 for 100 $0.919
03/23/17 OCBC ART 1.065 1.105 Hold
04/06/17 OCBC ART 1.1 1.05 Hold
04/11/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.09 1.2 Hold
04/17/17 OCBC ART 1.09 1.105 Hold
04/18/17 DIR ART 1.095 1.12 Hold
04/24/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.09 1.16 Buy DCF, Ex-Rights
04/24/17 DIR ART 1.09 1.08 Hold DDM
04/24/17 OCBC ART 1.09 1.09 Hold
04/24/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.09 1.15 Hold DDM, Buy @ $1 or below
05/25/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.12 1.17 Hold DDM, Buy @ $1
05/31/17 Lim & Tan ART 1.125 0 Buy
06/01/17 CIMB ART 1.125 1.05 Hold DDM
06/01/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.125 1.16 Buy
06/01/17 OCBC ART 1.125 1.095 Hold
07/04/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.16 1.16 Buy
07/04/17 OCBC ART 1.16 1.095 Hold
07/20/17 Lim & Tan ART 1.175 0 Sell
07/21/17 CIMB ART 1.195 1.14 Hold DDM
07/21/17 DIR ART 1.195 1.12 Hold DDM
07/21/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.195 1.18 Hold DDM, Buy @ $1
07/24/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.21 1.28 Buy DCF
08/17/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.18 1.28 Buy DCF
09/29/17 OCBC ART 1.18 1.1 Hold
10/23/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.215 1.18 Hold
10/25/17 OCBC ART 1.22 1.11 Hold
10/25/17 CIMB ART 1.22 1.16 Hold DDM
10/25/17 DBS Vickers ART 1.22 1.28 Buy DCF
12/01/17 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.19 1.23 Hold
01/29/18 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.26 1.23 Hold
01/29/18 OCBC ART 1.26 1.16 Hold
01/29/18 DBS Vickers ART 1.26 1.34 Buy DCF
03/15/18 UOB Kay Hian ART 1.16 1.23 Hold
04/17/18 DBS Vickers ART 1.14 1.34 Buy

Stock calls for 17 April 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/17/18 DBS Vickers ART 1.14 1.34 Buy
04/17/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.8 0.97 Buy
04/17/18 DBS Vickers CDL Hospitality 1.72 2 Buy
04/17/18 CIMB CSE Global 0.42 0.44 Hold
04/17/18 UOB Kay Hian Ezion 0.197 0.18 Hold PB1x FY19, Buy @ $0.151
04/17/18 DBS Vickers Far East Hospitality 0.68 0.76 Buy
04/17/18 Kim Eng IHH Healthcare 2.05 2.36 Buy Sum of parts, Ringgit $7 target price
04/17/18 UOB Kay Hian IHH Healthcare 2.05 2.31 Buy Ringgit $6.86
04/17/18 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.46 1.47 Neutral DDM
04/17/18 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.46 1.47 Add DDM
04/17/18 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.46 1.5 Hold
04/17/18 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 1.46 1.6 Buy
04/17/18 UOB Kay Hian M1 1.79 1.6 Sell DCF
04/17/18 DMG & Partners M1 1.79 1.95 Neutral DCF
04/17/18 OCBC M1 1.79 1.7 Hold
04/17/18 CIMB M1 1.79 1.85 Hold
04/17/18 Amfrasers Manulife US Reit 0.925 1.01 Buy
04/17/18 DBS Vickers OUE Hospitality 0.815 0.93 Buy
04/17/18 OCBC Soilbuild Reit 0.66 0.7 Buy

Singapore NODX fell 2.7% in March 2018

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-exports-post-surprise-fall-electronics-decline-continues-045133625--business.html

Year on year changes (YOY):
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

US-China trade war is still on-going!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/u-strike-chinas-zte-another-blow-qualcomm-081535681--finance.html

No US companies will be allowed to deal with China's ZTE for 7 years.

China slaps U.S. sorghum imports with a temporary deposit in an antidumping probe.

80,000 retail stores will close down by 2025.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ubs-80000-retail-stores-close-2025-144135475.html

Do you still want to invest in retail mall reits?

We highlighted this problem in our earlier post below.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/many-us-retailers-are-closing-down-due.html

Russia is beefing up its military strength in Syria now.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/russia-sends-warships-laden-tanks-towards-syria-putin-threatens-chaos-another-attack-launched-103537454.html

Thanks to Trump, Putin has the excuse to beef up its military strength in Syria now.

UK PM May is facing criticism in the parliament for the air strikes in Syria because she didn't get the parliament approval for the air strikes.

I don't know what legality PM May was talking about when she didn't call for the motion to be passed.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/04/uk-pm-may-was-lying-outright.html

Monday, April 16, 2018

APTV - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/21/17 Phillip APTV 0.49 0.64 Buy DCF, EV/Ebitda10.7x
05/16/17 Phillip APTV 0.55 0.64 Buy DCF, EV/Ebitda10.7x
05/17/17 Amfrasers APTV 0.55 0.65 Buy DDM
08/15/17 Phillip APTV 0.58 0.64 Buy
08/16/17 Amfrasers APTV 0.58 0.6 Buy DDM
11/14/17 Phillip APTV 0.605 0.64 Accumulate
02/28/18 Phillip APTV 0.575 0.62 Accumulate

APAC Realty - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
09/25/17 Lim & Tan APAC Realty 0.66 0 Subscribe IPO
11/09/17 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.89 1.03 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
11/13/17 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.905 1.12 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
11/30/17 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.885 1.2 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
12/06/17 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 0.865 1.12 Buy PER15x FY18
01/12/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 0.94 1.2 Buy
02/19/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.02 1.12 Buy
02/20/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 1.06 1.2 Buy
02/26/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 1.1 1.35 Buy DCF
02/26/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.1 1.25 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
03/20/18 DBS Vickers APAC Realty 1.19 1.42 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18
04/10/18 DMG & Partners APAC Realty 1.17 1.35 Buy

Amara - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/12/17 DMG & Partners Amara 0.54 0.88 Buy PB0.65x
05/17/17 DMG & Partners Amara 0.56 0.88 Buy PB0.65x
10/09/17 DMG & Partners Amara 0.53 0.88 Buy
11/15/17 DMG & Partners Amara 0.54 0.88 Buy PB0.65x
02/26/18 DMG & Partners Amara 0.55 0.88 Buy PB0.65x

Stock calls for 16 April 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/16/18 Kim Eng A-Reit 2.69 3.05 Buy
04/16/18 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.69 2.9 Buy
04/16/18 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.38 1.5 Buy
04/16/18 Kim Eng Cache Logistics 0.83 0.95 Buy
04/16/18 phillip Dairy Farm 8.27 9.83 Buy
04/16/18 DMG & Partners Dairy Farm 8.27 9.16 Buy
04/16/18 Credit Suisse DBS 28.42 35.5 Buy
04/16/18 Soochow EC World Reit 0.735 0.88 Buy
04/16/18 phillip F & N 2.12 2.83 Buy
04/16/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.33 0.43 Buy
04/16/18 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.33 0.38 Buy DCF
04/16/18 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.34 0.43 Buy DCF, PER22.8x FY18
04/16/18 DMG & Partners Manulife US Reit 0.82 1 Buy DDM
04/16/18 DBS Vickers Manulife US Reit 0.82 1 Buy
04/16/18 Kim Eng Mapletree Industrial 2.03 2.2 Buy
04/16/18 Kim Eng Mapletree Logistics 1.27 1.25 Hold
04/16/18 Credit Suisse OCBC 13.08 15.75 Buy
04/16/18 phillip Old Chang Kee 0.775 0.98 Buy
04/16/18 phillip Sheng Siong 1 1.13 Accumulate
04/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Singtel 3.37 4.35 Buy
04/16/18 DMG & Partners ST Engineering 3.67 4.04 Buy
04/16/18 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.8 1.05 Buy
04/16/18 Kim Eng Viva Industrial 0.88 1.05 Buy

Sunday, April 15, 2018

The western countries are embarking on smearing campaign again.

If we use our common logic, we will know that there is no valid reason for President Assad to use chemical weapons to attack its people because Assad is winning the war in Syria with Russian's help.  Furthermore, the USA was planning to pull out of Syria as it was losing the Syria war against Putin.

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/03/29/politics/trump-withdraw-syria-pentagon/index.html

I believe President Assad can wait for the USA to pull out first before taking over the whole Syria.  There is really no reason for Assad to embark on a chemical warfare.  Thus, this is another smearing plot by the USA to give it a legitimate reason to attack Syria with UK & France.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/10/the-troublemaker-usa-lost-war-in-syria.html

We are seeing the same Iraqi situation in Syria now.  The culprits behind this are US, UK & France.

UK PM May was lying outright!

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/western-missile-attack-syria-legal-british-pm-may-085455147.html

If it was totally legal and right to launch the missile attack against Syria, the UN would have given the mandate to attack Syria.  It is precisely that everything was based on suspicion and without concrete proof that the UN didn't give the mandate to attack Syria.

Saturday, April 14, 2018

US, UK & France attacked Syria with missiles!

https://www.bloombergquint.com/markets/2018/04/14/the-world-reacts-to-strikes-against-syria

The situation in Syria has deteriorated because the western countries took unilateral actions against Syria.

This is definitely an act of aggression because this is done without UN mandate.

Baltic dry index - 1014

Today, Friday, April 13 2018, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 21 points, reaching 1014, points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

==================

Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean.

US rig count - 1008

HOUSTON — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by five this week to 1,008.
At this time a year ago there were 847 active rigs.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 815 rigs drilled for oil this week and 192 for gas. One was listed as miscellaneous.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Texas added three rigs, Oklahoma gained two while Colorado, Louisiana and Ohio each added one.
Kansas, New Mexico and West Virginia each lost one rig.
Alaska, Arkansas, California, North Dakota, Pennsylvania, Utah and Wyoming were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.
=================
Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Friday, April 13, 2018

Singapore is developing a surveillance skynet system.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-test-facial-recognition-lampposts-stoking-privacy-fears-073935109--finance.html

A surveillance skynet system will become a part of our lives in the future where our movements will be tracked and monitored by the government.

AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
05/26/17 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.415 1.6 Buy DDM
06/22/17 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.44 1.6 Buy
07/03/17 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.48 1.6 Buy
10/27/17 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.435 1.6 Buy
02/01/18 Lim & Tan AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.37 0 Hold
02/02/18 Kim Eng AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.37 1.5 Buy
03/19/18 DBS Vickers AIMS AMP Cap Ind Reit 1.38 1.57 Not Rated

AEM - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/09/17 CIMB AEM 1.555 2.69 Add GGM, PB2.95x, PER8x FY18
04/26/17 CIMB AEM 2.22 3.39 Add PER10x FY18, Ex-CB
05/19/17 CIMB AEM 2.45 3.39 Add
05/23/17 DBS Vickers AEM 2.61 3.35 Not Rated PER10x FY18
07/05/17 CIMB AEM 2.2 3.39 Add PER10x FY18
08/04/17 CIMB AEM 2.8 3.39 Add
08/10/17 CIMB AEM 2.77 3.43 Add PER10x FY18
10/17/17 CIMB AEM 2.87 4.55 Add PER10x FY18
11/06/17 CIMB AEM 3.39 4.55 Add PER10x FY19
12/20/17 CIMB AEM 3.21 4.55 Add
01/10/18 CIMB AEM 3.31 4.55 Add
01/24/18 CIMB AEM 4.16 5.97 Add PER10x CY19
02/02/18 CIMB AEM 4.97 6.62 Add PER10x CY19
03/02/18 CIMB AEM 6.3 8.19 Add PER10x CY19
04/03/18 CIMB AEM 6.78 8.19 Add PER10x FY19

Stock calls for 13 April 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/13/18 phillip Cache Logistics 0.84 0.91 Accumulate DDM
04/13/18 DBS Vickers CapitaCommercial 1.83 2.1 Buy
04/13/18 Deutsche City Developments 12.57 16 Buy
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.24 2.48 Buy
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Commercial Trust 1.46 1.71 Buy
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Hospitality Trust 0.75 0.89 Buy
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Logistics 1.07 1.24 Buy
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Frasers Property 1.96 2.35 Buy
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Golden Agri 0.34 0.39 Not Rated
04/13/18 DBS Vickers Indofood Agri 0.325 0.36 Hold
04/13/18 CIMB Lippo-Malls Indo 0.365 0.33 Reduce DDM
04/13/18 OCBC Lippo-Malls Indo 0.365 0.31 Sell
04/13/18 Lim & Tan Manulife US Reit 0.925 1 Hold
04/13/18 UOB Kay Hian SATS 5.18 5.8 Buy PER25.3x FY19
04/13/18 Deutsche UOL 8.64 10 Buy