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Thursday, February 8, 2018

OCBC bank - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/05/16 CIMB OCBC 8.64 10.88 Add
01/08/16 DIR OCBC 8.37 11.7 Buy
01/14/16 Macquarie OCBC 8.24 0 Neutral
01/18/16 Deutsche OCBC 7.95 10 Buy GGM, PB1.2x
01/18/16 DMG & Partners OCBC 7.95 10.7 Buy GGM, PB1.25x FY16
01/18/16 Goldman Sachs OCBC 7.95 9.1 Neutral
01/28/16 JP Morgan OCBC 7.62 9 Overweight
01/28/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 7.62 11.25 Buy
01/29/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 7.63 9.9 Neutral
01/29/16 HSBC OCBC 7.63 10.2 Buy
02/04/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 7.49 9.8 Buy GGM, PB1.21x
02/11/16 UBS OCBC 756 9 Buy PER9x FY16
02/17/16 Bloomberg OCBC 7.77 9.67 Buy Consenus target
02/17/16 Lim & Tan OCBC 7.77 0 Buy
02/18/16 Amfrasers OCBC 7.78 8.41 Buy
02/18/16 CIMB OCBC 7.78 10.01 Add GGM, PB1.16x CY16
02/18/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 7.78 9.9 Neutral
02/18/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 7.78 9.4 Buy GGM, PB1x FY16
02/18/16 DIR OCBC 7.78 9.8 Buy Warranted Equity Valuation Method
02/18/16 Kim Eng OCBC 7.78 7.2 Sell PB0.84x FY16
02/18/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 7.78 9.98 Buy GGM, PB1.19x
02/19/16 phillip OCBC 7.92 7.85 Neutral PB0.95x FY16
02/26/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 7.84 9 Neutral
03/03/16 CIMB OCBC 8.31 10.01 Add
03/04/16 JP Morgan OCBC 8.6 7.7 Neutral
03/07/16 DMG & Partners OCBC 8.79 9.6 Buy
03/24/16 DIR OCBC 9.15 11 Buy
03/24/16 Kim Eng OCBC 9.15 7.2 Sell
03/24/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 9.15 9.98 Buy GGM, PB1.19x FY16
04/07/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 8.72 9.4 Buy
04/07/16 UBS OCBC 8.72 10 Buy
04/07/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.72 10.68 Buy GGM, PB1.26x
04/08/16 Amfrasers OCBC 8.81 8.41 Hold
04/08/16 CIMB OCBC 8.81 10.01 Add PB1.16x CY16
04/08/16 DIR OCBC 8.81 11 Buy Warranted Equity Valuation Method
04/08/16 DMG & Partners OCBC 8.81 9.6 Buy GGM
04/08/16 Kim Eng OCBC 8.81 7.2 Sell PB0.8x FY16
04/08/16 Macquarie OCBC 8.81 9.5 Outperform
04/11/16 phillip OCBC 8.78 7.85 Neutral PB
04/26/16 HSBC OCBC 9.28 10.2 Hold GGM, PB1.2x FY16, PER11x FY16
04/29/16 Bloomberg OCBC 8.9 9.33 Hold
05/03/16 Amfrasers OCBC 8.77 8.41 Hold
05/03/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 8.77 9.4 Hold
05/03/16 Deutsche OCBC 8.77 9.5 Hold
05/03/16 DMG & Partners OCBC 8.77 9.5 Neutral GGM, PB1.1x
05/03/16 Jefferies OCBC 8.77 8 Hold
05/03/16 Kim Eng OCBC 8.77 7.2 Sell PB0.8x FY16
05/03/16 phillip OCBC 8.77 8.07 Neutral PB0.95x FY16
05/03/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.77 10.98 Buy GGM, PB1.27x
05/04/16 CIMB OCBC 8.6 8.8 Hold GGM, PB1.02x CY16
05/04/16 Macquarie OCBC 8.6 9.5 Outperform
05/06/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 8.44 9 Neutral
05/10/16 DIR OCBC 8.43 10.7 Buy Warranted Equity Valuation Method
05/19/16 Goldman Sachs OCBC 8.45 8.7 Neutral
05/19/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.45 10.86 Buy GGM, PB1.26x
06/09/16 DIR OCBC 8.84 10.7 Buy
06/14/16 Deutsche OCBC 8.46 9.5 Hold
06/30/16 Goldman Sachs OCBC 8.49 9.2 Neutral
06/30/16 Kim Eng OCBC 8.49 7.2 Sell
07/11/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 8.74 9.4 Hold
07/11/16 DMG & Partners OCBC 8.74 8.68 Neutral GGM, PB0.98x FY16, PER10.3x FY16
07/19/16 DIR OCBC 9 10.7 Buy
07/27/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.84 10.86 Buy GGM, PB1.26x FY16
07/28/16 Lim & Tan OCBC 8.85 0 Hold
07/29/16 CIMB OCBC 8.8 8.11 Reduce GGM
07/29/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 8.8 9 Neutral
07/29/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 8.8 8.4 Hold
07/29/16 DIR OCBC 8.8 11.3 Buy Warranted Equity Valuation Method
07/29/16 Goldman Sachs OCBC 8.8 9 Neutral
07/29/16 Kim Eng OCBC 8.8 7.49 Sell PB0.8x FY17
07/29/16 Lim & Tan OCBC 8.8 0 Hold
07/29/16 Macquarie OCBC 8.8 9.5 Outperform
07/29/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.8 10.48 Buy GGM, PB1.26x
08/01/16 phillip OCBC 8.6 8.14 Neutral PB0.95x FY16
08/12/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 8.46 9 Neutral
08/12/16 Deutsche OCBC 8.46 9 Hold
08/18/16 Kim Eng OCBC 8.44 7.49 Sell
08/30/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.58 10.3 Buy GGM, PB1.21x
09/09/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 8.87 8.8 Neutral
09/28/16 DIR OCBC 8.59 11.3 Buy
10/03/16 Kim Eng OCBC 8.65 7.49 Sell
10/05/16 DMG & Partners OCBC 8.66 8.68 Neutral
10/11/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.69 10.3 Buy
10/12/16 Goldman Sachs OCBC 8.66 9 Neutral
10/17/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 8.41 8.4 Hold
10/17/16 DIR OCBC 8.41 11.3 Buy
10/19/16 CIMB OCBC 8.49 8.11 Reduce
10/27/16 Lim & Tan OCBC 8.53 0 Hold
10/28/16 CIMB OCBC 8.58 8.18 Reduce GGM, PB0.91x CY17
10/28/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 8.58 8.6 Hold GGM, PB0.9x FY17
10/28/16 DIR OCBC 8.58 11 Buy PB1.27x
10/28/16 DMG & Partners OCBC 8.58 8.81 Neutral
10/28/16 Kim Eng OCBC 8.58 7.4 Sell PB0.8x FY17
10/28/16 phillip OCBC 8.58 8.25 Neutral PB0.95x FY16
10/28/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.58 10.45 Buy GGM, PB1.17x
11/07/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 8.43 8.8 Neutral
11/14/16 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.58 10.45 Buy GGM, PB1.17x F717
11/25/16 Credit Suisse OCBC 8.78 10.15 Outperform
11/28/16 DIR OCBC 8.89 11 Buy
12/05/16 Kim Eng OCBC 9.15 7.4 Sell PB0.8x FY17
12/06/16 CIMB OCBC 9.2 8.18 Reduce GGM, PB0.91x CY17
12/07/16 DBS Vickers OCBC 9.27 10.3 Buy GGM, PB1.1x FY17
12/07/16 Deutsche OCBC 9.27 9 Hold
01/03/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 8.92 8.81 Neutral
01/03/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 8.92 10.45 Buy
01/04/17 Kim Eng OCBC 8.98 7.4 Sell
01/06/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 9.18 10.65 Buy GGM, PB1.2x FY17
01/11/17 DIR OCBC 9.35 11 Buy
02/02/17 Lim & Tan OCBC 9.48 0 Hold
02/03/17 CIMB OCBC 9.45 8.18 Reduce
02/06/17 Macquarie OCBC 9.42 10 Outperform
02/08/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 9.66 10.65 Buy
02/14/17 Lim & Tan OCBC 9.75 0 Take profit/Sell Buy @ $8.49
02/15/17 CIMB OCBC 9.43 8.83 Reduce GGM, PB0.98x CY17
02/15/17 Credit Suisse OCBC 9.43 10.5 Outperform
02/15/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 9.43 10.3 Hold GGM, PB1.1x FY17
02/15/17 DIR OCBC 9.43 11 Buy GGM, PB1.23x
02/15/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 9.43 8.9 Neutral GGM, PB1x FY17
02/15/17 Kim Eng OCBC 9.43 8.05 Sell PB0.9x FY17
02/15/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 9.43 10.75 Buy GGM, PB1.19x FY17
02/16/17 phillip OCBC 9.45 8.48 Reduce PB0.95x FY17
03/02/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 9.53 10.75 Buy GGM, PB1.19x FY17
03/03/17 CIMB OCBC 9.51 8.83 Reduce
03/03/17 Jefferies OCBC 9.51 8 Underperform
03/06/17 Macquarie OCBC 9.49 10 Outperform
03/21/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 9.63 8.9 Neutral GGM, PB1x FY17
03/21/17 Kim Eng OCBC 9.63 8.05 Sell
04/03/17 Kim Eng OCBC 9.72 8.05 Sell
04/12/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 9.59 10.75 Buy GGM, PB1.19x FY17
04/18/17 DIR OCBC 9.59 11 Buy
04/25/17 CIMB OCBC 9.64 8.83 Reduce
04/25/17 Sanford C Bernstein OCBC 9.64 10.95 Outperform
05/09/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 10.3 8.9 Neutral
05/09/17 Lim & Tan OCBC 10.3 0 Hold
05/11/17 CIMB OCBC 10.46 9.94 Hold GGM, PB1.1x CY17
05/11/17 Credit Suisse OCBC 10.46 11.1 Outperform
05/11/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 10.46 10.3 Hold GGM, PB1.1x FY17
05/11/17 DIR OCBC 10.46 11 Hold GGM, PB1.22x FY17
05/11/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 10.46 10.22 Neutral
05/11/17 Kim Eng OCBC 10.46 9.85 Hold PB1.1x FY17
05/11/17 Macquarie OCBC 10.46 10 Outperform PB1.19x
05/11/17 phillip OCBC 10.46 8.48 Reduce PB0.95x FY17
05/11/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.46 11.7 Buy GGM, PB1.3x FY17
05/23/17 Jefferies OCBC 10.3 10.5 Hold
06/08/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.58 11.7 Buy
06/14/17 Kim Eng OCBC 10.74 9.85 Hold PB1.1x FY18
06/28/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 10.73 10.15 Neutral
06/28/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.73 11.7 Buy GGM, PB1.3x FY17
07/03/17 Kim Eng OCBC 10.79 9.85 Hold
07/04/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.72 13 Buy GGM, PB1.36x FY18
07/12/17 Credit Suisse OCBC 10.79 10.9 Neutral
07/27/17 Lim & Tan OCBC 11.25 0 Hold
07/28/17 Macquarie OCBC 11.49 10.4 Neutral GGM, PB1.27x FY18
07/28/17 phillip OCBC 11.49 10.81 Neutral GGM, PB1.2x
07/28/17 DIR OCBC 11.49 11.5 Hold GGM, PB1.24x
07/28/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.49 13.38 Buy GGM, PB1.39x FY18
07/28/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 11.49 10.96 Neutral GGM, PB1.16x FY17
07/28/17 CIMB OCBC 11.49 11.98 Hold GGM, PB1.3x CY17
07/28/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.49 12.8 Buy GGM, PB1.3x FY18
08/07/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.21 13.38 Buy
08/18/17 Macquarie OCBC 11.14 10.4 Neutral
08/22/17 Kim Eng OCBC 11.02 11.05 Hold GGM, PB1.1x FY18
08/23/17 Macquarie OCBC 11.07 12.2 Outperform
08/23/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.07 12.8 Buy
08/23/17 Deutsche OCBC 11.07 11.5 Hold
09/12/17 DMG & Partners OCBC 10.92 10.96 Neutral PB1.1x FY18
09/18/17 phillip OCBC 10.95 10.81 Neutral
09/18/17 Kim Eng OCBC 10.95 11.05 Hold
09/20/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 11 12.8 Buy GGM, PB1.3x FY18
09/20/17 Credit Suisse OCBC 11 10.9 Neutral
09/20/17 Macquarie OCBC 11 12.2 Outperform
10/06/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.25 13.38 Buy GGM, PB1.39x FY18
10/09/17 DIR OCBC 11.37 11.5 Hold
10/09/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.37 12.8 Buy GGM, PB1.3x FY18
10/09/17 Credit Suisse OCBC 11.37 11.6 Neutral
10/20/17 phillip OCBC 11.44 11.95 Accumulate
10/23/17 Macquarie OCBC 11.49 12.2 Outperform
10/25/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.46 12.8 Buy
10/27/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.57 13.56 Buy GGM, PB1.44x FY18
10/27/17 phillip OCBC 11.57 13.48 Buy GGM, PB1.44x FY18
10/27/17 CIMB OCBC 11.57 12.6 Add GGM, PB1.29x FY18
10/27/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 11.57 13.5 Buy GGM, PB1.3x Fy18
10/27/17 Lim & Tan OCBC 11.57 0 Buy
10/27/17 Credit Suisse OCBC 11.57 11.7 Neutral
11/01/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 11.9 13.56 Buy GGM, PB1.44x FY18
11/01/17 Deutsche OCBC 11.9 12.3 Hold
11/20/17 Credit Suisse OCBC 11.65 12.6 Neutral
11/20/17 CIMB OCBC 11.65 12.6 Add
11/23/17 DBS Vickers OCBC 12.01 13.5 Buy GGM, PB1.3x FY18
12/01/17 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 12.45 13.56 Buy GGM, PB1.44x FY18
12/08/17 phillip OCBC 12.12 13.48 Buy
12/20/17 CIMB OCBC 12.25 12.6 Add
01/02/18 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 12.39 13.56 Buy GGM, PB1.44x FY18
01/05/18 DBS Vickers OCBC 12.95 14 Buy GGM, PB1.4x FY18
01/05/18 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 12.95 14.88 Buy GGM, PB1.58x FY18
01/09/18 Deutsche OCBC 12.99 13.6 Hold
01/10/18 phillip OCBC 12.91 13.48 Buy
02/05/18 Macquarie OCBC 12.81 14 Outperform

Noble - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/05/16 DBS Vickers Noble 0.395 0.42 Hold PB1x
01/07/16 Credit Suisse Noble 0.38 0.4 Neutral
01/07/16 OCBC Noble 0.38 0.44 Hold
01/07/16 UOB Kay Hian Noble 0.38 0.65 Hold
01/29/16 Religare Noble 0.27 0.37 Buy
02/23/16 Lim & Tan Noble 0.37 0 Neutral
02/25/16 Iceberg Research Noble 0.34 0.1 Sell Fraud alert
02/26/16 Credit Suisse Noble 0.335 0.3 Neutral PB0.4x
02/26/16 OCBC Noble 0.335 0.39 Hold
02/29/16 DBS Vickers Noble 0.355 0.32 Hold PER5.3x & PB1x
03/01/16 Lim & Tan Noble 0.345 0 Neutral
03/04/16 OCBC Noble 0.38 0.39 Hold
04/08/16 Credit Suisse Noble 0.415 0.3 Neutral
05/13/16 DBS Vickers Noble 0.36 0.32 Hold
05/13/16 OCBC Noble 0.36 0.34 Hold PER7.5x FY16, Buy @ $0.30 or lower
05/18/16 Lim & Tan Noble 0.33 0 Neutral
06/06/16 Lim & Tan Noble 0.26 0 Neutral
08/12/16 Credit Suisse Noble 0.155 0.15 Neutral Ex-Rights 1-for-1 at $0.11
08/12/16 Lim & Tan Noble 0.155 0 Neutral
08/15/16 DBS Vickers Noble 0.148 0.175 Hold PER7.7x FY17 & PB1x
09/20/16 Lim & Tan Noble 0.139 0 Avoid
10/10/16 DBS Vickers Noble 0.192 0.19 Hold PER7.7x FY17 & PB1x
11/11/16 Credit Suisse Noble 0.205 0.21 Neutral
11/14/16 DBS Vickers Noble 0.195 0.2 Hold PER7.7x FY17 & PB1x
02/14/17 Credit Suisse Noble 0.197 0.21 Neutral
02/28/17 DBS Vickers Noble 0.23 0.23 Hold PB1x
05/12/17 Credit Suisse Noble 0.87 0.8 Neutral
05/12/17 DBS Vickers Noble 0.87 0.94 Hold Stock consol 10-into-1
05/12/17 Macquarie Noble 0.87 0.7 Underperform Cut from $1.40
08/03/17 Iceberg Research Noble 0.395 0 Sell Bankruptcy alert
08/17/17 Lim & Tan Noble 0.435 0 Sell/Avoid Bankruptcy alert
11/21/17 Lim & Tan Noble 0.193 0 Avoid

Stock calls for 8 February 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/08/18 NRA Addvalue 0.042 0.079 Not Rated
02/08/18 Macquarie DBS 25.36 27.5 Outperform
02/08/18 Lim & Tan DBS 25.36 0 Buy
02/08/18 DMG & Partners DBS 25.36 25 Neutral PB1.3x FY18
02/08/18 UOB Kay Hian First Resources 1.84 1.95 Hold PER16x FY18x, Buy @ $1.75
02/08/18 DBS Vickers MM2 Asia 0.495 0.75 Buy
02/08/18 DMG & Partners Singtel 3.44 4.1 Buy
02/08/18 DBS Vickers Singtel 3.44 4.3 Buy
02/08/18 Lim & Tan Singtel 3.44 0 Buy on weakness
02/08/18 Macquarie UOB 26.4 27.5 Neutral
02/08/18 CIMB Venture 22.29 29.13 Add

Travel alert to Maldives.

https://www.theedgesingapore.com/singaporeans-urged-avoid-non-essential-travel-maldives-mfa

There is a coup going on in Maldives now.  Avoid travelling to Maldives!

Mathematicians say that bitcoin is a scam now!

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-07/bitcoin-may-evolve-into-what-everyone-fears-mathematicians-say

More and more people are saying that bitcoin is a scam.

If you still don't listen, you deserve to be burnt in bitcoin investment.

Chinese bike-sharing firm has gone bankrupt - Part 2

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-bike-sharing-firm-no-1-bicycle-shutters-020150045--finance.html

Another casualty in China!

This is not surprising as we've been stating that bike sharing is a flawed business concept.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/chinese-bike-sharing-firm-has-gone.html

Wednesday, February 7, 2018

Netlink - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/20/17 DIR Netlink 0.81 0.97 Buy DCF
08/01/17 Deutsche Netlink 0.815 0.95 Buy DCF
08/29/17 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.81 0.95 Buy DCF
08/29/17 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.81 0.93 Buy DCF
09/25/17 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.825 0.93 Buy
09/28/17 DIR Netlink 0.825 0.97 Buy DCF
11/10/17 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.825 0.95 Buy DCF
11/13/17 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.825 0.93 Buy DCF
01/12/18 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 835 0.93 Buy
01/26/18 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.83 0.95 Buy DCF
02/07/18 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.82 0.93 Buy DCF
02/07/18 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.82 0.97 Buy DCF

Nera Telecom - Stock calls


Date Analyst Code Company Last Target Call Percent Valuation
02/25/16 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.6 0 Hold -100.00
02/29/16 DMG & Partners N01 Nera Telecom 0.57 0.55 Neutral -3.51 DCF, PER14.3x FY16
05/05/16 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.625 0 Hold -100.00
05/10/16 DMG & Partners N01 Nera Telecom 0.635 0.55 Neutral -13.39 DCF
05/23/16 DMG & Partners N01 Nera Telecom 0.7 0.8 Trading Buy 14.29 DCF, PER12.6x ex-cash
05/23/16 UOB Kay Hian N01 Nera Telecom 0.7 0.835 Buy 19.29 Sum of parts
06/15/16 UOB Kay Hian N01 Nera Telecom 0.685 0.835 Buy 21.90
07/14/16 UOB Kay Hian N01 Nera Telecom 0.68 0.835 Buy 22.79
08/03/16 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.705 0 Hold -100.00
08/04/16 DMG & Partners N01 Nera Telecom 0.68 0.8 Trading Buy 17.65 DCF
08/04/16 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.68 0 Trading Buy -100.00
08/04/16 UOB Kay Hian N01 Nera Telecom 0.68 0.835 Buy 22.79 Sum of parts
09/27/16 UOB Kay Hian N01 Nera Telecom 0.735 0.835 Buy 13.61 Sum of parts
10/26/16 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.73 0 Buy on weakness -100.00
10/27/16 DMG & Partners N01 Nera Telecom 0.735 0.8 Trading Buy 8.84
10/27/16 UOB Kay Hian N01 Nera Telecom 0.735 0.835 Buy 13.61 Sum of parts
11/09/16 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.775 0 Take profit -100.00
11/10/16 UOB Kay Hian N01 Nera Telecom 0.685 0.58 Sell -15.33 PER14.6x FY17
02/22/17 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.435 0 Sell -100.00
05/05/17 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.39 0 Hold -100.00
08/07/17 Lim & Tan N01 Nera Telecom 0.39 0 Hold -100.00

Stock calls for 7 February 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/07/18 CIMB China Sunsine 1.13 1.5 Add
02/07/18 OCBC City Developments 12.76 15.3 Buy
02/07/18 CIMB Genting 1.27 1.45 Add
02/07/18 CIMB Keppel Corp 8.19 10 Add
02/07/18 DBS Vickers Manulife US Reit 0.91 1 Buy DCF
02/07/18 CIMB MM2 Asia 0.49 0.76 Add
02/07/18 UOB Kay Hian Netlink 0.82 0.93 Buy DCF
02/07/18 DBS Vickers Netlink 0.82 0.97 Buy DCF
02/07/18 CIMB Sembcorp Marine 2.71 2.49 Neutral Buy @ $2
02/07/18 CIMB SGX 7.88 8.5 Add PER24x FY19
02/07/18 DMG & Partners SGX 7.88 9 Buy PER24x FY19
02/07/18 OCBC SGX 7.88 8.16 Hold
02/07/18 Kim Eng SGX 7.88 8.82 Buy PER23x FY19
02/07/18 DBS Vickers SGX 7.88 8.9 Buy DDM, PER21x FY19
02/07/18 OCBC Singtel 3.42 4.19 Buy
02/07/18 OCBC ST Engineering 3.23 4 Buy
02/07/18 CIMB ST Engineering 3.23 3.85 Add
02/07/18 CIMB Sunningdale 1.86 2.79 Add
02/07/18 OCBC UOB 26.62 30.1 Buy
02/07/18 OCBC UOL 8.71 9.7 Buy
02/07/18 CIMB UOL 8.71 9.62 Add
02/07/18 CIMB Venture 22.48 24.74 Add
02/07/18 OCBC Yoma 0.48 0.55 Buy

Goldman Sachs gives the harshest rating on cryptocurrency.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-07/get-ready-for-most-cryptocurrencies-to-hit-zero-goldman-says

When a cryptocurrency has no genuine use except for a speculative purpose, it will come to a naught in a time to come.

When more governments and merchants are banning and forsaking crypto trading and crypto paying system but the crypto prices are still moving higher, we know that the crypto exists only for a speculative purpose and it will be decimated in the future.

The 1st delistment, CWG, in 2018.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/cwg-international-proceed-delisting-public-043456311.html

CWG will be the first delistment from SGX in 2018.  SGX is undergoing a structural change currently, from a securities exchange to a derivatives exchange because companies prefer to list in overseas stock exchanges due to higher liquidity and valuation.

When SGX top management doesn't understand the capital market, we will lose more companies to overseas stock exchanges.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/02/it-seems-that-sgx-is-kicked-out-of.html


Bitcoin rebounds because of ignorant millennium investors

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-slides-below-6-000-half-value-lost-082627524--sector.html

The millennium investors who are ignorant and foolish will buy bitcoins now as they've been deceived by bitcoin proponents.  The millennium investors are buying bitcoins without any careful consideration for the outcome of G20 summit in March 2018.  If the G20 summit comes out with harsh regulations for Crypto, bitcoin will continue on its downward trajectory.

The 1st derivative product, XIV, imploded because of the recent market rout.

https://www.cnbc.com/2018/02/06/the-obscure-volatility-security-thats-become-the-focus-of-this-sell-off-is-halted-after-an-80-percent-plunge.html

XIV, the opposite of VIX, is the first derivative product to collapse after the recent market rout.  Many big investors and fund managers will lose big money because they cannot unwind the XIV contracts and will have to settle for any sum offered by Credit Suisse.

Tuesday, February 6, 2018

Neo Group - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/29/16 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.605 0.82 Buy DCF
02/10/16 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.61 0.82 Buy DCF
03/28/16 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.675 0.82 Buy
01/03/17 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.62 0.8 Buy
02/10/17 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.575 0.61 Neutral DCF
03/29/17 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.585 0.61 Neutral DCF
05/26/17 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.57 0.62 Neutral
08/10/17 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.68 0.64 Neutral PER21x FY18
11/14/17 DMG & Partners Neo Group 0.66 0.64 Neutral PER21x FY18

Nam Lee - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
09/16/16 Phillip Nam Lee 0.37 0.69 Buy DDM & PER12.1x
11/30/16 Phillip Nam Lee 0.39 0.6 Buy DDM & PER9.8x FY17
02/06/17 Phillip Nam Lee 0.37 0.52 Buy DCF
05/17/17 Phillip Nam Lee 0.355 0.52 Buy DCF, PER12.4x FY17
08/16/17 Phillip Nam Lee 0.37 0.51 Buy DCF, PER11.5x FY17
11/29/17 Phillip Nam Lee 0.395 0.56 Buy DCF, PER11.1x FY18, PB0.96x FY18

Stock calls for 6 February 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/06/18 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.375 0.39 Hold Buy @ $0.35
02/06/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.375 0.43 Buy
02/06/18 UOB Kay Hian Manulife US Reit 0.92 1.12 Buy DDM
02/06/18 Lim & Tan Manulife US Reit 0.92 1 Hold
02/06/18 CIMB Sarine 1.05 1.56 Add PER17.2x CY19
02/06/18 DMG & Partners Singapore Medical 0.58 0.79 Buy DCF, PER27x FY18

Stock markets are falling like crazy because of rising treasury yield.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.my/2017/12/the-us-risk-free-rate-is-stagnant-for.html

https://sg-stock.blogspot.my/2017/10/us-treasury-yields-had-been-rising-for.html

If you guys had read our previous postings, you would have expected this huge stock market fall as the US 10-year bond yield was almost approaching 3%.

We've stated that the stock market would react negatively when the US 10-year bond yield was approaching 3%.

We've also stated that the US interest rate would continue to rise and investors were in denial previously.

Bitcoin falls to $6000 now.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/bitcoin-drops-more-14-below-185000041.html

We've been warning that Bitcoin has not reached bottom yet in our previous posting.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.my/2018/02/bitcoin-dropped-below-8000-but-bottom.html

Many investors are suffering huge losses in Bitcoin and are likely to get out of the crypto market now because they've come to realize that Bitcoin is nothing valuable.

Monday, February 5, 2018

China credit rating firm, Dagong, is right about USA afterall.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/treasury-may-borrow-nearly-1t-070500158.html

The USA has to issue almost USD$1T of bonds to finance its spending in 2018 and Trump's tax policies will add USD$2T of debt.

It will be a matter of time that people will lose their confidence in USA repayment ability.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/there-are-valid-points-in-dagong-credit.html

China is going all out to eradicate crypto trading!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/china-looks-stamp-cryptocurrency-trading-091930615.html

Bitcoin will continue to fall further!

https://www.coindesk.com/bitcoin-drops-8k-crypto-market-recovery-falters/

The USA is adamant to destroy Venezuela.

https://www.usnews.com/news/world/articles/2018-02-05/china-rebuffs-us-criticism-of-relations-with-oil-rich-venezuela

China has to defend Venezuela to protect its own investments and also for the humanitarian reason.

The people are already suffering greatly from the hyperinflation in the country.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/09/venezuela-president-is-urging-its.html

Nam Cheong - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/16 UOB Kay Hian Nam Cheong 0.135 0.12 Sell
01/15/16 UOB Kay Hian Nam Cheong 0.113 0.09 Sell
02/15/16 DBS Vickers Nam Cheong 0.094 0.07 Fully Valued PB0.4x FY16
02/26/16 Amfrasers Nam Cheong 0.097 0.07 Sell PB0.3x FY16
03/07/16 UOB Kay Hian Nam Cheong 0.103 0.085 Sell
03/31/16 DBS Vickers Nam Cheong 0.11 0.07 Fully Valued
05/16/16 Amfrasers Nam Cheong 0.076 0.11 Buy PB0.5x FY16
05/16/16 DBS Vickers Nam Cheong 0.076 0.07 Fully Valued
05/20/16 UOB Kay Hian Nam Cheong 0.084 0.065 Sell
06/09/16 UOB Kay Hian Nam Cheong 0.092 0.07 Sell
08/12/16 DBS Vickers Nam Cheong 0.06 0.04 Fully Valued
08/17/16 Amfrasers Nam Cheong 0.047 0.05 Hold PB0.4x FY16
11/11/16 Amfrasers Nam Cheong 0.067 0.07 Hold PB0.5x FY17
11/11/16 DBS Vickers Nam Cheong 0.067 0.04 Fully Valued PB0.2x
12/02/16 UOB Kay Hian Nam Cheong 0.068 0.055 Sell
03/01/17 DBS Vickers Nam Cheong 0.055 0.04 Fully Valued PB0.2x
07/20/17 Lim & Tan Nam Cheong 0.021 0 Avoid

Moya Asia - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
09/04/17 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.118 0.17 Buy DCF, PER13.8x FY18
11/14/17 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.101 0.17 Buy DCF
01/24/18 DMG & Partners Moya Asia 0.098 0.17 Buy

Stock calls for 5 February 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/05/18 DBS Vickers Ascendas Hospitality Trust 0.885 0.97 Buy DCF
02/05/18 Kim Eng Guocoland 2.22 2.95 Buy RNAV (20% discount)
02/05/18 Macquarie OCBC 12.81 14 Outperform
02/05/18 DBS Vickers OUE Commercial 0.755 0.73 Hold DCF
02/05/18 OCBC Sembcorp Industries 3.57 3.95 Buy Sum of parts
02/05/18 UOB Kay Hian SIA Engineering 3.33 4 Buy DCF
02/05/18 phillip SIA Engineering 3.33 3.51 Accumulate DCF
02/05/18 Kim Eng SIA Engineering 3.33 3.5 Hold PER21x FY19
02/05/18 CIMB SIA Engineering 3.33 3.13 Reduce DCF
02/05/18 Lim & Tan SIA Engineering 3.33 0 Hold
02/05/18 OCBC SIA Engineering 3.33 3.7 Buy DCF
02/05/18 DBS Vickers SIA Engineering 3.33 3.86 Buy
02/05/18 CIMB Singapore Post 1.38 1.58 Add DCF
02/05/18 UOB Kay Hian Singapore Post 1.38 1.62 Buy Sum of parts
02/05/18 Kim Eng Singapore Post 1.38 1.5 Buy DCF
02/05/18 DBS Vickers Singapore Post 1.38 1.61 Buy DCF

Tension is rising at China-India border again.

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-42834609

https://in.news.yahoo.com/keep-building-infrastructure-doklam-india-not-china-084204623.html

It is without any doubt that Doklam is China's territory but India and the western media want to portray otherwise.

https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/doklam-has-always-been-under-chinas-jurisdiction-minister/articleshow/59742071.cms

Both sides are building up military powers near the borders and there is a high probability that skirmishes will happen again in the future especially when Indian drones like to intrude upon China's airspace.

Trade war has started between China & USA.

https://uk.reuters.com/article/us-china-us-sorghum/china-launches-dumping-probe-into-u-s-sorghum-imports-amid-rising-trade-tension-idUSKBN1FO06C

China has retaliated by imposing a dumping probe into the importation of Sorghum from the USA.

This is a brilliant move by the Chinese as farmers are Trump's supporters.  When Trump's supporters get hit badly, Trump's support will wilt.


Sunday, February 4, 2018

Philippines wants to displace Singapore in ASEAN.

http://globalnation.inquirer.net/163587/duterte-china-sea-pirates-terrorism-southeast-asia-combat-security-defense

The Philippines is getting ambitious about gaining more political influences in ASEAN and is not contented with just being an ASEAN facilitator.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/11/china-has-replaced-singapore-with.html

The Philippines is trying to enlist China to help secure the marine security in ASEAN and may grant a military base to China to fulfill this agenda.  This is akin to Singapore granting the USA a military naval base in Singapore.

The Philippines is getting proactive in pushing its agenda to increase its importance and influences in ASEAN by collaborating with China. It knows that by leveraging on China's support and backing, its economic and political prowess will improve by leaps and bounds in ASEAN.  The Philippines economy is growing at more than twice of Singapore's in recent times and it wants to displace Singapore to become an important ASEAN member.

http://business.inquirer.net/243868/breaking-business-world-bank-asean-economy-fastest-growth-2018-global-economic-prospects-gdp


Singapore government doesn't know how to increase economic growth in other ways except to boost the population.

http://www.todayonline.com/singapore/big-read-foreigner-issue-are-we-ready-rethink

Higher spatial population distribution will lead to an increase in social tension but social tension is difficult to measure.  Therefore, we can only monitor the symptoms of social tension from the mildest to the most severe civil disorders to detect the ever-rising social tension.  Look like our government has not learnt from the past lessons and our sociologists are not being cognizant of our society.

Singapore increased its population the most in the last decade and our society encountered all forms of social tension within the last decade.  The following civil disorders from the mildest to the most severe are: Vitriol, Conflict, Protest, Strike & Riot.

Let's look at the 5 civil disorders which happened before in SG:

Civil disorder 2014
Vitriol - Anton Casey
http://news.asiaone.com/news/singapore/anton-casey-loses-job-friends

Civil disorder 2015
Conflict – Jason Blair Unger
http://news.asiaone.com/news/singapore/cyclist-mischief-charge

Civil disorder 2014
Protest – Anti-Philippines protest
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/singapore-protest-against-filipinos-rekindles-anti-foreign-anger-175914561.html

Civil disorder 2012
Strike – SMRT Chinese bus drivers
https://sg.news.yahoo.com/-over-100-chinese-bus-drivers-in-s-pore-go-on-strike-105924025.html

Civil disorder 2013
Riot – Little India’s riot
http://www.straitstimes.com/singapore/little-india-riot-one-year-later-the-night-that-changed-singapore

From the aforementioned examples, we could see that SG encountered all the civil disorders (mildest to the most severe) in a short span of time from 2012 to 2015 because of the ever-increasing population which led to higher spatial distribution.  History will repeat itself when we don't take history seriously and I can't find SG encountering all the civil disorders in other decades when there is no sudden influx of foreigners.

Saturday, February 3, 2018

You cannot use credit cards to buy bitcoin soon.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-02/bofa-to-decline-all-cryptocurrency-transactions-on-credit-cards

Another setback for bitcoin! Credit cards cannot be used to buy bitcoins soon!

Genting casino business will be greatly affected by Hainan casino.

https://www.reuters.com/article/china-hainan-gambling/china-considering-allowing-gambling-in-hainan-bloomberg-idUSL4N1PS3ER

The Chinese don't need to travel far to gamble anymore when the Hainan casino is opened.  The Chinese make up a large portion of gamblers in Asia and their travel preferences will affect any casino's business.

However, if the China government restricts local citizens from gambling in their own country, then Genting business won't be affected much.  Let's see how this will pan out.

Bitcoin dropped below 8000 but the bottom was still not in sight yet.

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/no-letup-for-bitcoin-as-cryptocurrency-drops-further-below-9000-2018-02-02?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo

We've warned previously that bitcoin prices have not reached bottom yet.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2018/01/cryptocurrencies-have-crashed-but-have.html

Many investors are starting to face up to the reality that bitcoin is a big scam now.  Recent investors have lost a lot of money in bitcoin and will start to lose confidence in bitcoin if the prices do not recover in the next few months.  However, the upcoming G20 summit will put crypto regulations on the agenda and this will depress bitcoin prices further.

The huge fall in the stock market on Friday (yesterday) also put pressure on bitcoin investors because bitcoin market cannot get new buyers or investors.

Baltic dry index - 1095

Today, Friday, February 02 2018, the Baltic Dry Index decreased by 19 points, reaching 1095 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean

US rig count - 946

HOUSTON (AP) — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. fell by one this week to 946.
That exceeds the 729 rigs that were active this time a year ago.
Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 765 rigs drilled for oil this week and 181 for gas.
Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Colorado increased by two and North Dakotaand Ohio each gained one.
Wyoming lost three rigs and Louisiana and Texas each decreased by one.
AlaskaArkansasCaliforniaNew MexicoOklahomaPennsylvaniaUtah and West Virginia were unchanged.
The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May of 2016 at 404.
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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco

Genetic testing must NEVER be allowed for insurer!

http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/brunch/the-future-of-insurance?xtor=EREC-16-1%5BBT_Newsletter_1%5D-%5B20180203%5D-%5BThe+future+of+insurance%5D&xts=538380

We must never allow genetic testing for the insurer because the basis for the insurance business should be based on chance rather than selection between good genes and bad genes.

Let me put forth a simple analogy.  An accident happens by chance but bad genes with health problems happen with certainty.  We must not let genetic testing become a standard practice in the insurance industry because people with bad genes will be penalized and this practice will only improve the profitability of the insurance companies.  In the future, all insurance payouts will only be for accident-related incidents because of selections based on genetic testing.


Friday, February 2, 2018

It seems that SGX is kicked out of the Aramco IPO race.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/in-aramco-ipo--china-talks-crucial-for-choice-of-listing-venue--sources-9917622

Saudi didn't talk to Singapore at all except China, Japan & SK.

We stated previously that SGX won't stand a chance.  However, the CEO was being too unrealistic and optimistic about his goal and he showed his naivety in his analysis.

When a CEO doesn't understand the capital market, SGX will deteriorate under his helm.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.sg/2017/10/is-sgx-being-too-optimistic-or-naive-in.html