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Wednesday, October 17, 2018

Singapore NODX grew 8.3% in September 2018.

https://www.straitstimes.com/business/economy/singapore-non-oil-export-growth-picks-up-with-83-rise-in-september-electronic?xtor=CS11-86

Year on year changes (YOY):

September 2018: 8.3%
August 2018: 5%
July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)
June 2018: 1.1%
May 2018: 15.5%
April 2018: 11.8%
March 2018: -2.7%
February 2018: -5.9%
January 2018: 13%
December 2017: 3.1%
November 2017: 9.1%
October 2017: 20.9%
September 2017: -1.1%
August 2017: 16.7%
July 2017: 8.5%
June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/09/singapore-nodx-grew-5-in-august-2018.html

OMG! Anti-US movement has started in China!

I've just received this video.

The boycott of US goods has started in China and is spreading to many provinces.

The US-China trade war has escalated.  There are many analysts who think that Trump and Xi will meet in November G20 to de-escalate the trade war.  However, we must also be prepared for the unexpected outcome that the 2 leaders won't meet at all because Trump wants to force Xi to submit to him and Xi doesn't want to lose face.  China is preparing to fight this trade war because Xi has lost faith in Trump because Trump has portrayed himself as non-trustworthy.

This is really bad news for the world as the global economy will suffer.

Tuesday, October 16, 2018

Hyflux - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/07/17 Credit Suisse Hyflux 0.57 0.5 Neutral
05/08/17 Credit Suisse Hyflux 0.56 0.58 Neutral

Hutchison Port - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/05/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.435 0.46 Buy DDM
02/03/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.425 0.46 Buy
02/13/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.44 0.45 Hold Buy @ $0.41 or below
02/14/17 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.415 0.42 Hold DCF
04/25/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.41 0.42 Hold
04/26/17 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.395 0.42 Hold DCF
06/19/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.445 0.42 Hold Buy below $0.40
07/20/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.48 0.42 Sell
07/21/17 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.445 0.42 Hold DCF
10/31/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.435 0.42 Hold
10/31/17 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.435 0.39 Hold DCF
11/22/17 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.42 0.42 Hold Buy @ $0.39
02/06/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.375 0.43 Buy
02/06/18 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.375 0.39 Hold DCF, Buy @ $0.35
04/16/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.33 0.43 Buy
04/16/18 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.33 0.38 Buy DCF
06/01/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.275 0.43 Buy
06/05/18 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.28 0.38 Buy
06/07/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.305 0.375 Buy
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Hutchison Port 0.28 0.34 Not Rated
07/17/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.28 0.37 Buy
07/24/18 OCBC Hutchison Port 0.275 0.36 Buy
07/25/18 DBS Vickers Hutchison Port 0.27 0.28 Hold DCF

HRnet Group - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
07/20/17 Credit Suisse HRnetGroup 0.855 1.1 Outperform DCF, PER21.9x FY17
08/17/17 Credit Suisse HRnetGroup 0.75 1.04 Outperform
11/02/17 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.865 1.14 Buy DCF, PER16x FY18 Ex-Cash
01/03/18 DBS Vickers HRnetGroup 0.79 0.96 Buy DCF & PER15x FY18 (ex-cash)
01/09/18 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.82 1.14 Buy DCF
02/15/18 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.81 1.14 Buy DCF
02/27/18 Credit Suisse HRnetGroup 0.805 1.06 Outperform
02/27/18 DBS Vickers HRnetGroup 0.805 0.97 Buy PER15x FY18, Ex-cash
05/11/18 DBS Vickers HRnetGroup 0.83 0.98 Buy DCF & PER15x (ex-cash)
05/11/18 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.83 1.14 Buy DCF
06/11/18 DBS Vickers HRnetGroup 0.84 0.98 Buy
06/27/18 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.865 1.18 Buy DCF
08/13/18 DMG & Partners HRnetGroup 0.9 1.18 Buy DCF
08/14/18 DBS Vickers HRnetGroup 0.885 1.01 Buy PER15x FY19, ex-cash
09/26/18 CIMB HRnetGroup 0.87 1.1 Add PER18x CY20

Stock calls for 16 October 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/16/18 DMG & Partners A-Reit 2.5 2.9 Buy DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Cache Logistics 0.71 0.84 Buy DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners CapitaCommercial 1.69 1.8 Neutral DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Capitamall Trust 2.09 2.14 Neutral DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners CDL Hospitality 1.53 1.8 Buy DDM
10/16/18 Amfrasers Comfortdelgro 2.12 2.72 Buy PER19x FY18
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.23 2.24 Neutral DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Frasers Commercial Trust 1.4 1.5 Neutral DDM
10/16/18 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.14 1.35 Buy DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.14 1.07 Neutral DDM
10/16/18 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.14 1.41 Buy
10/16/18 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.14 1.34 Add DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Manulife US Reit 0.78 0.92 Buy DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners OUE Hospitality 0.69 0.8 Buy DDM
10/16/18 Macquarie SIA 9.2 11.7 Outperform EV/Ebitda7x FY19, Cut from $12.50
10/16/18 OCBC SPH 2.62 2.55 Hold
10/16/18 UOB Kay Hian SPH 2.62 2.75 Hold Buy @ $2.50
10/16/18 CIMB SPH 2.62 2.74 Hold Sum of parts
10/16/18 Lim & Tan SPH 2.62 0 Hold
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Starhill 0.67 0.8 Buy DDM
10/16/18 DMG & Partners Suntec Reit 1.78 1.9 Neutral DDM

Another 2 companies will delist from SGX this year.

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/wheelock-properties-to-be-delisted-on-oct-18

https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/vard-to-delist-on-nov-2-requests-trading-halt

Sigh! SGX is finding it hard to retain listed companies because of its low liquidity.  Low liquidity usually will cause low valuation and this is a major problem for SGX.

Monday, October 15, 2018

New railway service between Iran and China was launched in September 2018.

https://www.railfreight.com/beltandroad/2018/09/05/new-railway-service-iran-china-launched-connecting-inner-mongolia-bam/

This railway service between Iran & China will definitely take more cargoes off the strait of Malacca and Singapore.  Look like the railway business between Iran and China has briskened to prompt the 2 countries to launch another new railway service.

https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/understanding-belt-and-road-initiative

Sigh! Malaysia and Singapore will suffer in the future because of the declining cargo volumes in the future.

Hotung - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/20/17 DMG & Partners Hotung 1.515 1.9 Buy PB0.6x, Yield 7%
04/17/17 DMG & Partners Hotung 1.75 2 Buy PB0.6x FY17
06/07/17 UOB Kay Hian Hotung 1.87 3.38 Buy
06/12/17 Lim & Tan Hotung 1.92 3.02 Buy
07/05/17 UOB Kay Hian Hotung 1.865 3.38 Buy PB0.94x
08/17/17 UOB Kay Hian Hotung 2.1 2.93 Buy

Hotel Properties - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/28/17 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.76 4.83 Buy
08/16/17 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.87 4.83 Buy
02/28/18 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.78 4.74 Buy RNAV
03/09/18 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.77 4.74 Buy
06/18/18 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.73 4.74 Buy
10/15/18 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.68 4.74 Buy

Hongkong Land - Stock calls

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Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
03/03/17 CIMB Hongkong Land 7.02 7.8 Add RNAV (40% discount)
03/03/17 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.02 7.8 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
03/03/17 Lim & Tan Hongkong Land 7.02 0 Buy
03/06/17 Credit Suisse Hongkong Land 6.84 7.2 Neutral
03/06/17 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 6.84 7.9 Buy
04/04/17 CIMB Hongkong Land 7.72 8.5 Add RNAV (35% discount)
05/04/17 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.75 8.51 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
06/13/17 Lim & Tan Hongkong Land 7.76 0 Buy
08/03/17 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.54 8.93 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
08/04/17 CIMB Hongkong Land 7.59 9.1 Add RNAV (35% discount)
08/07/17 DIR Hongkong Land 7.8 9.3 Buy RNAV (30% discount), Up from $8.70
11/10/17 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.32 8.93 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
12/20/17 CIMB Hongkong Land 7.16 9.1 Add
03/09/18 CIMB Hongkong Land 6.76 9.1 Add RNAV (35% discount)
03/09/18 Lim & Tan Hongkong Land 6.76 0 Buy
03/12/18 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.02 8.53 Buy RNAV (35% discount)
03/13/18 CIMB Hongkong Land 7 9.5 Add RNAV (30% discount)
05/11/18 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.26 8.53 Buy
07/03/18 UOB Kay Hian Hongkong Land 7.13 8.55 Not Rated
07/24/18 DBS Vickers Hongkong Land 7.2 8.57 Buy
07/27/18 CIMB Hongkong Land 7.15 9.5 Add RNAV (30% discount)

Stock calls for 15 October 2018


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
10/15/18 DMG & Partners DBS 24.42 30.3 Buy
10/15/18 Kim Eng Hi-P 0.915 0.84 Hold
10/15/18 OCBC Hotel Properties 3.68 4.74 Buy
10/15/18 UOB Kay Hian OCBC 10.75 14.05 Buy GGM, PB1.37x FY19
10/15/18 DBS Vickers Yangzijiang 1.27 1.82 Buy

AI robots will displace humans!

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/don-apos-t-believe-world-113924974.html

This is sadly true and there is nothing we can do about it as long as economic growth is based on productivity.

All economies in this world focus on productivity for economic growth which is a singularity economic concept.  From the industrial revolution to AI development now, we can see that everything is about productivity which is about doing something faster and cheaper.  It is depressing to see that happening because we end up destroying our own economies with just being productive and ignoring other economic developments.

MIT also came up with the conclusion.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2017/05/artificial-intelligence-will-destroy.html

We also gave a precursory on the new society in 2016.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2016/12/the-new-economy-and-radical-social.html

Robotic soldiers are coming soon!

This robotic machine can have wide military applications.


The US used banned bombs in Syria!

https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2018/10/13/576883/USled-warplanes-drop-white-phosphorus-bombs-in-eastern-Syria-Report

The white phosphorus bombs are banned by the UN but the US still uses them.

It is really disgusting to listen to the US talks about human rights when the US uses banned bombs in a war.

Shame on you, USA!

Saturday, October 13, 2018

Baltic dry index - 1579

Today, Friday , October 12 2018, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 64 points, reaching 1579 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean

US rig count - 1063

Baker Hughes reports U.S. rig count up 11 to 1,063 rigs Baker Hughes reports that the U.S. rig count is up 11 rigs from last week to 1,063, with oil rigs up 8 to 869, gas rigs up 4 to 193, and miscellaneous rigs down 1 to 1. U.S. Rig Count is up 135 rigs from last year's count of 928, with oil rigs up 126, gas rigs up 8, and miscellaneous rigs up 1. The U.S. Offshore Rig Count is unchanged at 23 rigs and up 3 rigs year-over-year. The Canada Rig Count is up 13 rigs from last week to 195, with oil rigs up 8 to 127 and gas rigs up 5 to 68. The Canada Rig Count is down 17 rigs from last year's count of 212, with oil rigs up 15 and gas rigs down 32.

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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco

Friday, October 12, 2018

Hong Leong Finance - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
04/05/17 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.7 3.2 Buy GGM, PB0.8x FY17
08/10/17 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.63 3.2 Buy GGM, PB0.8x FY17
11/13/17 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.72 3.2 Buy GGM, PB0.8x FY17
01/05/18 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.77 3.2 Buy
02/28/18 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.68 3.2 Buy GGM, PB0.8x FY17
05/03/18 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.8 3.2 Buy GGM
08/14/18 DBS Vickers Hong Leong Finance 2.7 3.2 Buy GGM, PB0l7x FY19

Hock Lian Seng - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/16/17 UOB Kay Hian Hock Lian Seng 0.515 0.69 Buy PER7.6x FY17, Ex-Cash
03/02/17 phillip Hock Lian Seng 0.585 0.57 Neutral Sum of parts
03/02/17 UOB Kay Hian Hock Lian Seng 0.585 0.69 Buy
05/11/17 phillip Hock Lian Seng 0.475 0.57 Accumulate Sum of parts
05/11/17 UOB Kay Hian Hock Lian Seng 0.475 0.585 Buy PER7.6x FY17, Ex-Cash
12/06/17 DBS Vickers Hock Lian Seng 0.455 0.58 Not Rated PER11x FY18
02/20/18 UOB Kay Hian Hock Lian Seng 0.495 0.63 Buy
02/27/18 UOB Kay Hian Hock Lian Seng 0.51 0.65 Buy

Ho Bee - Stock calls


Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/11/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.06 2.13 Hold
02/06/17 phillip Ho Bee 2.29 2 Accumulate
02/09/17 Lim & Tan Ho Bee 2.3 0 Buy
02/28/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.3 2.47 Hold
03/02/17 phillip Ho Bee 2.26 2.64 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
03/08/17 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.32 2.82 Buy
03/13/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.35 2.47 Hold
03/13/17 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.35 3.02 Buy
03/16/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.3 2.6 Hold
04/26/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.31 2.6 Hold RNAV (36% discount)
04/27/17 phillip Ho Bee 2.37 2.64 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
05/29/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.36 3 Buy RNAV (29% discount)
06/16/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.37 3 Buy
07/11/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.35 3 Buy
08/14/17 phillip Ho Bee 2.32 2.98 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
08/22/17 CIMB Ho Bee 2.35 3.39 Add RNAV (35% discount)
08/28/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.39 3 Buy
09/18/17 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.32 3.02 Buy
09/25/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.36 3 Buy
11/10/17 phillip Ho Bee 2.57 2.98 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
11/17/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.53 3 Buy
12/01/17 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.48 3.02 Buy
12/18/17 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.41 3 Buy
03/01/18 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.48 3.15 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
03/02/18 phillip Ho Bee 2.51 2.98 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
04/11/18 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.54 3.15 Buy
04/27/18 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.54 3.3 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
04/27/18 Lim & Tan Ho Bee 2.54 0 Buy
04/30/18 phillip Ho Bee 2.56 2.98 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
06/05/18 UOB Kay Hian Ho Bee 2.49 3.02 Buy
06/18/18 Lim & Tan Ho Bee 2.37 0 Buy
06/20/18 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.36 3.3 Buy RNAV (30% discount)
07/09/18 phillip Ho Bee 2.3 2.98 Accumulate
07/09/18 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.3 3.05 Buy
08/14/18 phillip Ho Bee 2.52 2.98 Accumulate RNAV (30% discount)
08/16/18 CIMB Ho Bee 2.57 2.9 Add
08/24/18 CIMB Ho Bee 2.65 3 Add RNAV (40% discount)
09/06/18 Kim Eng Ho Bee 2.59 3.05 Buy
09/18/18 CIMB Ho Bee 2.49 3 Add
10/02/18 CIMB Ho Bee 2.59 3 Add