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Monday, August 26, 2019

KSH - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/15/19 OCBC KSH 0.52 0.81 Buy
04/17/19 OCBC KSH 0.535 0.81 Buy
05/31/19 Lim & Tan KSH 0.45 0 Buy
06/03/19 OCBC KSH 0.45 0 Cease coverage

Koufu - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/27/19 DBS Vickers Koufu 0.63 0.8 Buy PER17x FY19
03/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.67 0.95 Buy PER18.1x FY19
03/08/19 Lim & Tan Koufu 0.67 0.85 Buy PER18x FY19
04/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.805 0.95 Buy
05/07/19 DBS Vickers Koufu 0.77 0.8 Hold PER17x FY19
05/09/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.75 0.95 Buy
06/13/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.675 0.95 Buy
06/28/19 DBS Vickers Koufu 0.675 0.85 Buy PER17x FY19
07/03/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.72 0.95 Buy
08/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Koufu 0.71 0.95 Buy
08/08/19 DBS Vickers Koufu 0.71 0.88 Buy PER17x FY20

Kimly - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/07/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.24 0.27 Neutral
02/14/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.245 0.24 Neutral DCF
04/05/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.24 0.24 Neutral
05/09/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.245 0.23 Neutral DCF
06/06/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.23 0.23 Neutral
08/13/19 DMG & Partners Kimly 0.235 0.23 Neutral DCF

Stock calls for 26 August 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/26/19 phillip Cache Logistics 0.725 0.75 Neutral
08/26/19 Phillip CapitaCommercial 2.07 2.18 Neutral
08/26/19 Phillip Capitamall Trust 2.64 2.68 Neutral
08/26/19 Phillip CapitaRetail China 1.54 1.66 Accumulate
08/26/19 Phillip Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.68 2.77 Accumulate
08/26/19 Amfrasers IFS Capital 0.22 0.3 Outperform PB0.6x FY20
08/26/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 5.88 7.61 Buy Sum of parts
08/26/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.74 1.71 Neutral
08/26/19 Phillip Mapletree Industrial 2.28 2.03 Neutral
08/26/19 OCBC Shangri-La Asia 8.3 13.9 Buy
08/26/19 CIMB Silverlake 0.51 0.53 Hold
08/26/19 DBS Vickers Silverlake 0.51 0.6 Buy PER21x FY20

Saturday, August 24, 2019

Huge risk-free arbitrage opportunity exists between the onshore and offshore RMB.

Blue line: CNH (offshore)
Black line: CNY (onshore)

Smart investors can buy RMB in HK and sell in China because they can exchange for more RMB in HK.  This is a risk-free investment opportunity. Cheers!

Funds are leaving Hong Kong gradually because HK has no future anymore.

https://luxorr.media/worried-hong-kong-residents-are-moving-money-out-as-protests-escalate/

Capital flight is occurring gradually because many people have lost faith in HK's future since China no longer prioritizes HK as its long lost child.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/omg-china-has-displaced-hong-kong-with.html

Baltic dry index - 2168

Today, Friday, August 23 2019, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 50 points, reaching 2168 points.
Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.
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Related stock: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan ocean.

US rig count - 916

Related stock: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine & Cosco.

Trump has imposed more tariffs on China goods.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/trump-slaps-retaliatory-tariffs-on-chinese-goods-210533036.html

Trump has imposed more tariffs on China goods but it won't make any difference to China because China has gotten used to the tariffs.

China will definitely retaliate further against Trump and make Americans suffer the worst Christmas under Trump.

We can see that China has the patience to perform tactical moves on the US, unlike Trump who is so impulsive.  China always waits and shocks the US markets at the right time to slaughter Trump's cronies in the financial market.


Friday, August 23, 2019

Hot news! China has retaliated with its own tariffs on US $75B goods.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/stock-market-news-august-23-2019-121537620.html

The new tariffs will take place on 1 Sept and 15 Dec 2019.

The investors who bought stocks this week will suffer next week.

We have been warning our readers many times that China won't back down.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/trump-is-in-trouble-because-china-is-no.html

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/china-warns-us-if-it-implements.html

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/china-has-suspended-us-agricultural.html

Keppel Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/22/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.18 1.31 Buy DCF
01/22/19 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.18 1.34 Add DDM
01/22/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.18 1.06 Neutral DDM
01/28/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.18 1.35 Buy
03/07/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.28 1.35 Buy DDM
03/18/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.23 1.06 Neutral
04/01/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.29 1.35 Buy DDM
04/18/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.24 1.12 Neutral DDM
04/18/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.24 1.38 Buy DCF
04/18/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Reit 1.24 0 Hold
04/24/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.21 1.37 Buy DDM
04/24/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.21 1.4 Buy DCF
04/25/19 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.23 1.34 Add DDM
05/30/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.21 1.37 Buy
07/04/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.28 1.12 Neutral
07/16/19 CIMB Keppel Reit 1.26 1.41 Add DDM
07/16/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Reit 1.26 1.2 Neutral DDM
07/16/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Reit 1.26 1.37 Buy
07/16/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.26 1.45 Buy DCF
07/16/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Reit 1.26 0 Hold
08/06/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Reit 1.2 1.45 Buy

Keppel KBS - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/02/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.61 0.78 Buy DCF
01/28/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.68 0.8 Buy DCF
04/03/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.705 0.8 Buy
06/06/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.74 0.8 Buy
06/17/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.75 0.9 Buy DCF
07/12/19 DMG & Partners Keppel KBS 0.79 0.88 Buy DDM
07/18/19 DBS Vickers Keppel KBS 0.82 0.9 Buy

Keppel Infrastructure - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/23/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.515 0.58 Buy DDM
03/15/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Infrastructure 0.485 0 Hold
04/16/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.48 0.58 Buy DDM
07/16/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Infrastructure 0.505 0.58 Buy DDM

Stock calls for 23 August 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/23/19 DMG & Partners DBS 24.59 28.3 Neutral
08/23/19 phillip Golden Energy 0.188 0.19 Neutral PER10x
08/23/19 DBS Vickers Manulife US Reit 0.895 1.1 Buy DCF
08/23/19 DMG & Partners Sheng Siong 1.16 1.32 Buy

Thursday, August 22, 2019

Keppel DC Reit - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.36 1.45 Accumulate
01/23/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.52 Accumulate DDM
01/23/19 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.51 Add DDM
01/23/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.6 Buy
01/23/19 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.6 Buy DCF
02/15/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.45 1.52 Accumulate
03/12/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.44 1.6 Buy
04/08/19 Amfrasers Keppel DC Reit 1.47 1.62 Buy DDM
04/09/19 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.48 1.54 Add DDM
04/16/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.49 1.64 Buy
04/16/19 Lim & Tan Keppel DC Reit 1.49 0 Hold
04/18/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.49 1.59 Accumulate DDM, PB1.37x FY19
05/02/19 Amfrasers Keppel DC Reit 1.51 1.62 Buy
06/19/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.64 1.59 Accumulate
07/10/19 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.67 1.54 Add
07/17/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.71 1.93 Buy
07/17/19 DBS Vickers Keppel DC Reit 1.71 1.9 Buy DCF
07/18/19 Phillip Keppel DC Reit 1.73 1.71 Hold DDM
07/18/19 CIMB Keppel DC Reit 1.73 1.67 Hold DDM
07/23/19 Amfrasers Keppel DC Reit 1.75 1.71 Neutral
07/26/19 OCBC Keppel DC Reit 1.71 1.93 Hold

Keppel Corp - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
01/04/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 5.81 7.25 Buy Sum of parts
01/10/19 DIR Keppel Corp 6.18 7.15 Buy Cut from $7.86, Sum of parts
01/23/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.17 8.28 Add
01/25/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.13 7.55 Buy
01/25/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.13 8.41 Add Sum of parts
01/28/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.2 0 Hold
01/29/19 Amfrasers Keppel Corp 6.14 7.5 Hold
01/29/19 Macquarie Keppel Corp 6.14 8.2 Outperform Sum of parts
02/21/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.32 8.41 Add Sum of parts
03/12/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.1 0 Hold
03/26/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.17 8.41 Add
04/15/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.62 8.41 Add Sum of parts
04/22/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.74 7.83 Buy
04/22/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.74 0 Hold
05/08/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.72 8.41 Add Sum of parts
06/10/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Corp 6.05 7.33 Buy Sum of parts, Cut from $7.92
06/21/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 6.57 9 Buy
06/28/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.67 8.41 Add Sum of parts
07/03/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 6.77 9.2 Buy
07/03/19 OCBC Keppel Corp 6.77 7.83 Buy
07/19/19 DMG & Partners Keppel Corp 6.59 7.3 Buy Sum of parts
07/19/19 CIMB Keppel Corp 6.59 8.41 Add Sum of parts
07/19/19 UOB Kay Hian Keppel Corp 6.59 7.61 Buy Sum of parts
07/19/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 6.59 0 Hold
07/22/19 Amfrasers Keppel Corp 6.57 7.43 Neutral Sum of parts
07/22/19 DBS Vickers Keppel Corp 6.57 8.5 Buy Sum of parts
08/22/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 5.9 0 Buy

Jumbo - Stock calls

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
02/15/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.415 0.44 Hold PER23x FY19
02/15/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.415 0.52 Add PER21x FY20
02/18/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.415 0.41 Hold Buy @ $0.37
03/14/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.405 0.41 Hold PER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.37
03/29/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.395 0.5 Buy PER23x FY19/20
05/16/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.405 0.51 Buy PER23x FY19
05/16/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.405 0.41 Hold PER20x FY19, Buy @ $0.32
05/16/19 CIMB Jumbo 0.405 0.52 Add PER21x FY20
06/21/19 DMG & Partners Jumbo 0.38 0.47 Buy DCF, PER23x FY19
08/07/19 DBS Vickers Jumbo 0.38 0.47 Buy PER23x FY20
08/08/19 DMG & Partners Jumbo 0.375 0.47 Buy DCF
08/08/19 UOB Kay Hian Jumbo 0.375 0.37 Hold

Stock calls for 22 August 2019

Date Analyst Company Last Target Call Valuation
08/22/19 DIR Capitaland 3.5 4.1 Buy RNAV (20% discount)
08/22/19 CIMB Frasers Centrepoint Trust 2.68 2.79 Add
08/22/19 CIMB Frencken 0.73 0.95 Add
08/22/19 Amfrasers Frencken 0.73 0.81 Neutral PER10x FY20
08/22/19 DMG & Partners Japan Foods 0.435 0.4 Neutral Sum of parts
08/22/19 Lim & Tan Keppel Corp 5.9 0 Buy
08/22/19 CIMB Mapletree Commercial 2.08 2.24 Add
08/22/19 Phillip Thai Beverage 0.925 0.83 Neutral Sum of parts
08/22/19 CIMB Wilmar 3.81 4.58 Add
08/22/19 Kim Eng Wilmar 3.81 3.89 Hold

Hong Kong workers are forced to take unpaid leaves now.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/hong-kong-hotel-workers-paying-020839342.html

We stated that Hongkongers would be the ones paying a huge price in our previous post.  It is already happening now in the HK hotel industry because workers are being forced to take unpaid leaves due to poor businesses.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/why-did-us-and-taiwan-engineer-hong.html

This economic slowdown will spread to other sectors because China has decided to transfer its "love" for the long lost child (HK) to Shenzhen.

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/omg-china-has-displaced-hong-kong-with.html


Germany flopped in its negative yield bond sales.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/germany-sees-anemic-demand-30-100930717.html

The 30y Germany bonds were severely undersubscribed and this denoted that the investors were rejecting the negative yield bonds.  We did state that the current world was not built for a negative yield environment.  The world is in a conundrum now.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/08/a-new-world-unchartered-territory.html

When the governments cannot raise funds for economic developments in a negative yield environment, they'll have to raise interest rates to attract investors to buy their bonds but the economic situation doesn't allow interest rates to be raised.

When the strongest economy, Germany, cannot raise enough funds, the other weaker European economies cannot raise funds too.  Therefore, the EU is badly in need of cheap funding and will need TLTRO urgently in September.

http://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2019/03/what-is-targeted-longer-term.html