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Wednesday, May 18, 2022

Stock calls for 18 May 2022

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

05/18/22

CIMB

City Developments

8.16

8.97

Add

RNAV

05/18/22

Lim & Tan

CSE Global

0.47

0.53

Hold


05/18/22

CIMB

First Resources

2.1

2.1

Hold


05/18/22

UOB Kay Hian

First Resources

2.1

2.3

Hold


05/18/22

DBS Vickers

Frencken

1.33

2.09

Buy


05/18/22

Kim Eng

Genting

0.78

0.83

Hold


05/18/22

OCBC

Golden Agri

0.28

0.3

Hold


05/18/22

UOB Kay Hian

Lendlease Reit

0.775

1.01

Buy

DDM

05/18/22

UOB Kay Hian

Netlink

0.98

1.05

Hold

DCF, EV/Ebitda16x FY23

05/18/22

Lim & Tan

Netlink

0.98

1.02

Hold


05/18/22

OCBC

Singapore Post

0.71

0.85

Buy


05/18/22

CIMB

UOL

7.13

8

Add

RNAV

Will the US be heading for a soft or hard landing? - Part 6

The most recent New York Empire State Manufacturing index had indicated a sharp deceleration (-11.6) in the US economy.  This index is a prelude to how the ISM PMI will perform next.

Morgan Stanley (MS) had also indicated a very bearish prognosis for the US economy after Goldman Sachs.  The 15% drop in the stocks was derived from a mixture of factors which included the gordon growth model, PMI and equity risk premium.  I've looked at the complex model and its basis of assumptions, and I can tell you guys that the MS prognosis (15% drop) is very reasonable.
Moreover, the former FED, Ben Bernanke, had also issued his warning of economic malaise in the US because the current US FED made a mistake by not hiking rates earlier and this made the US way behind the inflation curve.

Singapore Nodx grew 6.4% year-on-year in April 2022.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/business/singapore-exports-nodx-slower-pace-april-2689106

Year on year changes (YOY):

April 2022: 6.4%

March 2022: 7.7%

February 2022: 9.5%

January 2022: 17.6%

December 2021: 18.4%

November 2021: 24.2%

October 2021: 17.9%

September 2021: 12.3%

August 2021: 2.7%

July 2021: 12.7%

June 2021: 15.9%

May 2021: 8.8%

April 2021: 6%

March 2021: 12.1%

February 2021: 4.2%

January 2021: 12.8%

December 2020: 6.8%

November 2020: -4.9%

October 2020: -3.1%

September 2020: 5.9%

August 2020: 7.7%

July 2020: 6%

June 2020: 16.1% (Revised to 13.9%)

May 2020: -4.6%

April 2020: 9.7%

March 2020: 17.6%

February 2020: 3% (Revised to 3.1%)

January 2020: - 3.3%

December 2019: 2.4%

November 2019: - 5.9%

October 2019: - 12.3%

September 2019: -8.1%

August 2019: - 8.9%

July 2019: -11.2%

June 2019: -17.3%

May 2019: -15.9%

April 2019: -10%

March 2019: -11.7%

February 2019: 4.9%

January 2019: -10.1%

December 2018: -8.5%

November 2018: -2.6%

October 2018: 8.3%

September 2018: 8.3%

August 2018: 5%

July 2018: 11.8% (Corrected)

June 2018: 1.1%

May 2018: 15.5%

April 2018: 11.8%

March 2018: -2.7%

February 2018: -5.9%

January 2018: 13%

December 2017: 3.1%

November 2017: 9.1%

October 2017: 20.9%

September 2017: -1.1%

August 2017: 16.7%

July 2017: 8.5%

June 2017: 8.2%

May 2017: -1.2%

Apr 2017: -0.7%

Mar 2017: 16.5%

Feb 2017: 21.1%

United Hampshire - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

10/06/21

Lim & Tan

United Hampshire

0.665

0.87

Buy

DDM

10/08/21

HSBC

United Hampshire

0.68

0.85

Buy


01/12/22

UOB Kay Hian

United Hampshire

0.66

0.95

Buy

DDM

03/25/22

UOB Kay Hian

United Hampshire

0.62

0.97

Buy

DDM

United Global - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

08/18/21

SAC Capital

United Global

0.4

0.445

Hold


Uni-Asia - Stock calls

Date

Analyst

Company

Last

Target

Call

Valuation

06/25/21

Amfrasers

Uni-Asia

0.85

0.91

Outperform

Sum of parts

07/07/21

Amfrasers

Uni-Asia

0.93

1.42

Outperform

Sum of parts

08/17/21

Amfrasers

Uni-Asia

1.09

1.56

Buy

Sum of parts, PB0.73x FY21

10/29/21

UOB Kay Hian

Uni-Asia

1.4

2.34

Buy

PER8x FY21

11/16/21

UOB Kay Hian

Uni-Asia

1.32

2.34

Buy

PER8x FY21

11/22/21

Amfrasers

Uni-Asia

1.32

1.56

Buy

Sum of parts

12/06/21

UOB Kay Hian

Uni-Asia

1.3

2.34

Buy

PER8x FY21

01/03/22

UOB Kay Hian

Uni-Asia

1.23

2.34

Buy

PER8x FY22

03/04/22

Amfrasers

Uni-Asia

1.13

1.66

Outperform

Sum of parts

03/21/22

UOB Kay Hian

Uni-Asia

1.13

2.48

Buy

PER6x FY22