Singapore Stock Exchange - Equity Investments

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Singapore NODX increased only 1.1% in June 2018.

https://www.todayonline.com/singapore/singapores-non-oil-exports-notch-modest-increase-june

Year on year changes (YOY):

June 2018: 1.1%

May 2018: 15.5%

April 2018: 11.8%

March 2018: -2.7%

February 2018: -5.9%

January 2018: 13%

December 2017: 3.1%

November 2017: 9.1%

October 2017: 20.9%

September 2017: -1.1%

August 2017: 16.7%

July 2017: 8.5%

June 2017: 8.2%
May 2017: -1.2%
Apr 2017: -0.7%
Mar 2017: 16.5%
Feb 2017: 21.1%
Jan 2017: 8.6%

https://sg-stock.blogspot.com/2018/06/singapore-nodx-increased-155-in-may-2018.html

Monday, July 16, 2018

Procurri - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/23/17	DBS Vickers	Procurri	0.405	0.4	Hold
05/15/17	DBS Vickers	Procurri	0.28	0.32	Hold	PER9.3x FY17/18
08/16/17	DBS Vickers	Procurri	0.21	0.18	Fully Valued	RNAV (5% discount)
11/16/17	DBS Vickers	Procurri	0.235	0.18	Fully Valued	RNAV (6% discount)

Powermatic - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
03/06/18	CIMB	Powermatic	1.39	2.58	Add	Sum of parts, PER12.8x FY19

Poh Tiong Choon - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
09/21/17	Lim & Tan	Poh Tiong Choon	1.32	1.3	Accept Offer	Offer price $1.30

Stock calls for 16 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/16/18	Phillip	A-Reit	2.71	2.91	Accumulate
07/16/18	Phillip	APTV	0.425	0.52	Buy
07/16/18	phillip	Banyan Tree	0.525	0.73	Accumulate	Sum of parts, PB0.94x FY18
07/16/18	UOB Kay Hian	Bumitama	0.65	0.93	Buy	PER11x FY18
07/16/18	phillip	Dairy Farm	9.29	9.83	Buy
07/16/18	DMG & Partners	DBS	26.25	30.3	Buy	GGM, PB1.47x FY19
07/16/18	CIMB	HMI	0.58	0.8	Add
07/16/18	OCBC	KSH	0.615	0.94	Buy
07/16/18	Phillip	Micro-Mechanics	1.82	2.3	Buy
07/16/18	DMG & Partners	UOB	26.55	33.3	Buy	GGM, PB1.43x FY19
07/16/18	Lim & Tan	Wheelock Properties	1.74	0	Buy

Saturday, July 14, 2018

Singapore's soft political power is declining rapidly in Asia.

As Singapore becomes unfriendly to China, its soft political power is also declining in Asia rapidly.

In 2016, Thailand, a China-friendly country, rejected SG's request to deport the Holland's bank robber. Thereafter, HK also rejected SG's request to arrest and deport Jho Low recently.

https://sg.news.yahoo.com/holland-village-bank-heist-thailand-rejects-020658215.html

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/jho-low-1mdb-singapore-arrest-warrant-request-hong-kong-declined-10520116

Today, Friday, July 13 2018, the Baltic Dry Index climbed by 34 points, reaching 1666 points.

Baltic Dry Index is compiled by the London-based Baltic Exchange and covers prices for transported cargo such as coal, grain and iron ore. The index is based on a daily survey of agents all over the world. Baltic Dry hit a temporary peak on May 20, 2008, when the index hit 11,793. The lowest level ever reached was on Wednesday the 10th of February 2016, when the index dropped to 290 points.

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Related stocks: Sembcorp Marine, Cosco & Pan Ocean

US rig count - 1054

HOUSTON — The number of rigs exploring for oil and natural gas in the U.S. increased by two this week to 1,054. At this time a year ago there were 952 active rigs.Houston oilfield services company Baker Hughes reported Friday that 863 rigs drilled for oil this week and 189 for gas. Two were listed as miscellaneous.Among major oil- and gas-producing states, Texas gained two rigs and Colorado and Louisiana each increased by one.Alaska and California each lost one rig.Arkansas, New Mexico, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Utah, West Virginia and Wyoming were unchanged.The U.S. rig count peaked at 4,530 in 1981. It bottomed out in May 2016 at 404.

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Related stocks: Keppel Corp, Sembcorp Marine, Cosco

Friday, July 13, 2018

Perennial Reit - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/09/17	CIMB	Perennial Reit	0.81	1.08	Add	RNAV (40% discount)
02/09/17	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.81	1.05	Buy	RNAV (50% discount)
05/09/17	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.855	1.05	Buy	RNAV (50% discount)
07/14/17	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.885	1.05	Buy	RNAV (50% discount)
08/01/17	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.88	1.05	Buy	RNAV (50% discount)
11/09/17	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.88	1.05	Buy	RNAV (50% discount)
01/04/18	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.88	1.05	Buy
02/09/18	CIMB	Perennial Reit	0.835	1.12	Add
02/12/18	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.835	1.05	Buy	RNAV (50% discount)
03/13/18	CIMB	Perennial Reit	0.855	1.18	Add	RNAV (40% discount)
03/14/18	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.875	1.05	Buy
04/06/18	DBS Vickers	Perennial Reit	0.855	1.05	Buy
05/10/18	CIMB	Perennial Reit	0.86	1.18	Add	RNAV (40% discount)

PEC - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/21/17	Amfraserss	PEC	0.595	0.73	Buy
03/06/17	DBS Vickers	PEC	0.64	0.73	Not Rated

Stock calls for 13 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/13/18	DMG & Partners	APAC Realty	0.605	0.77	Buy	DCF
07/13/18	Lim & Tan	CapitaCommercial	1.75	0	Buy
07/13/18	DBS Vickers	Sembcorp Marine	1.95	2.9	Buy
07/13/18	DMG & Partners	Sheng Siong	1.08	1.27	Buy	DCF
07/13/18	UOB Kay Hian	Singapore Post	1.3	1.59	Buy
07/13/18	OCBC	SPH	2.76	2.52	Hold
07/13/18	CIMB	SPH	2.76	2.88	Add	Sum of parts
07/13/18	Kim Eng	SPH Reit	1	1	Hold	DDM
07/13/18	UOB Kay Hian	Tianjin Zhongxin	1.12	1.72	Buy

Singapore economic growth has slowed to 1% for Q2 2018.

https://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/singapore-q2-gdp-growth-slows-003925540.html

Singapore economic growth has slowed to 1% for Q2 2018 which means that the world economies are slowing down too as SG is an international trading hub.

Conversely, the on-going US-China trade war will aggravate the worldwide slowdown further. Thus, a worldwide recession is a real possibility in 2019.

Thursday, July 12, 2018

Parkway Life - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/25/17	Lim & Tan	Parkway Life	2.39	0	Accumulate
01/26/17	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.4	2.58	Add	DDM
01/26/17	DBS Vickers	Parkway Life	2.4	2.75	Buy
01/26/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.4	2.5	Hold	DDM
02/14/17	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.45	2.58	Add
03/06/17	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.44	2.58	Add
03/07/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.44	2.5	Hold
04/11/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.53	2.5	Hold
04/26/17	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.6	2.71	Add	DDM
04/26/17	DBS Vickers	Parkway Life	2.6	2.82	Buy
05/25/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.58	2.82	Buy
07/26/17	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.76	2.83	Add	DDM
07/26/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.76	2.82	Buy	DDM
07/26/17	Lim & Tan	Parkway Life	2.76	0	Accumulate on weakness
10/23/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.79	2.82	Buy
11/10/17	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.86	2.93	Hold	DDM
11/10/17	DBS Vickers	Parkway Life	2.86	3.1	Buy
11/10/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.86	3	Buy
12/01/17	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.9	3	Buy
01/29/18	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.97	3.07	Hold	DDM
01/29/18	Lim & Tan	Parkway Life	2.97	0	Hold
01/29/18	DBS Vickers	Parkway Life	2.97	3.15	Buy
05/02/18	CIMB	Parkway Life	2.79	3.07	Hold	DDM
05/02/18	UOB Kay Hian	Parkway Life	2.79	3.32	Buy	DDM
05/04/18	Lim & Tan	Parkway Life	2.78	0	Buy
06/20/18	DBS Vickers	Parkway Life	2.58	3.15	Buy

Pan-United - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
02/14/17	DBS Vickers	Pan-United	0.665	0.63	Hold	Sum of parts
05/15/17	DBS Vickers	Pan-United	0.69	0.63	Hold	Sum of parts
08/14/17	DBS Vickers	Pan-United	0.565	0.51	Fully Valued
11/14/17	DBS Vickers	Pan-United	0.575	0.51	Fully Valued
12/06/17	DBS Vickers	Pan-United	0.545	0.51	Fully Valued	Sum of parts

Pacific Radiance - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Code	Company	Last	Target	Call	Percent	Valuation
02/28/17	Amfrasers	T8V	Pacific Radiance	0.153	0.17	Hold	11.11
03/01/17	DBS Vickers	T8V	Pacific Radiance	0.153	0.16	Hold	4.58	PB0.35x FY17
05/18/17	DBS Vickers	T8V	Pacific Radiance	0.12	0.1	Fully Valued	-16.67	PB0.2x FY17
05/19/17	CIMB	T8V	Pacific Radiance	0.115	0.11	Reduce	-4.35	PB0.22x FY17
08/15/17	CIMB	T8V	Pacific Radiance	0.085	0.073	Reduce	-14.12	PB0.15x
08/15/17	DBS Vickers	T8V	Pacific Radiance	0.085	0.07	Fully Valued	-17.65	PB0.15x FY17
01/12/18	CIMB	T8V	Pacific Radiance	0.108	0.07	Reduce	-35.19

Stock calls for 12 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/12/18	OCBC	DBS	26.01	32.67	Buy	PB1.7x
07/12/18	NRA	Oxley	0.36	0.435	Overweight
07/12/18	DBS Vickers	SPH	2.75	2.58	Hold	Sum of parts
07/12/18	UOB Kay Hian	SPH	2.75	2.58	Hold	Sum of parts, Buy @ $2.40
07/12/18	Lim & Tan	SPH	2.75	0	Hold
07/12/18	DMG & Partners	Thai Beverage	0.725	1.02	Buy	Sum of parts
07/12/18	CIMB	Venture	16.67	17.83	Hold	PER12.3x
07/11/18	UOB Kay Hian	Asian Healthcare	0.24	0.33	Buy	PER19.4x FY19
07/11/18	Kim Eng	Bumitama	0.65	0.98	Buy
07/11/18	Kim Eng	First Resources	1.55	2	Buy
07/11/18	DBS Vickers	Frasers Commercial Trust	1.39	1.65	Buy
07/11/18	OCBC	Golden Agri	0.29	0.3	Hold	PER17x FY19
07/11/18	CIMB	Keppel Corp	6.77	8.81	Add	Sum of parts
07/11/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	2.67	3.49	Add
07/11/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.97	2.52	Add	PB2.2x CY18
07/11/18	CIMB	SPH Reit	1	1.07	Hold	DDM
07/11/18	OCBC	SPH Reit	1	1.02	Hold
07/11/18	Lim & Tan	SPH Reit	1	0	Hold
07/11/18	Kim Eng	Top Glove	3.4	4.36	Hold	Ringgit target $12.90, PER30x FY19
07/11/18	CIMB	Yangzijiang	0.91	1.27	Add	Sum of parts

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

PACC Offshore - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/13/17	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.335	0.41	Buy
02/22/17	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.365	0.42	Buy	PB0.8x
02/22/17	OCBC	PACC Offshore	0.365	0.33	Sell	PB0.7x
04/10/17	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.34	0.42	Buy
04/12/17	OCBC	PACC Offshore	0.35	0.335	Hold	PB0.7x
05/08/17	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.32	0.41	Buy	PB0.8x
05/09/17	OCBC	PACC Offshore	0.325	0.335	Hold	PB0.7x FY17/18
05/31/17	OCBC	PACC Offshore	0.305	0.325	Hold
08/02/17	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.285	0.41	Buy	PB0.8x
11/14/17	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.345	0.41	Buy	PB0.8x
01/23/18	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.43	0.51	Buy	PB1x
02/13/18	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.37	0.51	Buy
02/22/18	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.39	0.48	Buy	PB1.4x
04/04/18	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.35	0.32	Hold	PB1x
05/10/18	DBS Vickers	PACC Offshore	0.345	0.32	Hold	PB1x FY18

Oxley - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/03/17	DMG & Partners	Oxley	0.43	0.85	Buy
10/03/17	UOB Kay Hian	Oxley	0.56	0.67	Buy	RNAV (20% discount)
11/22/17	UOB Kay Hian	Oxley	0.655	0.74	Buy	RNAV (20% discount)
12/01/17	UOB Kay Hian	Oxley	0.6	0.74	Buy
03/14/18	UOB Kay Hian	Oxley	0.56	0.74	Buy
04/04/18	Soochow SSD	Oxley	0.495	0.63	Buy	RNAV (20% discount)
04/24/18	DBS Vickers	Oxley	0.485	0.68	Not Rated	RNAV (35% discount)
06/04/18	Kim Eng	Oxley	0.46	0.56	Buy	RNAV (20% discount)
07/09/18	Kim Eng	Oxley	0.345	0.34	Hold

Stock calls for 11 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/11/18	UOB Kay Hian	Asian Healthcare	0.24	0.33	Buy	PER19.4x FY19
07/11/18	Kim Eng	Bumitama	0.65	0.98	Buy
07/11/18	Kim Eng	First Resources	1.55	2	Buy
07/11/18	DBS Vickers	Frasers Commercial Trust	1.39	1.65	Buy
07/11/18	OCBC	Golden Agri	0.29	0.3	Hold	PER17x FY19
07/11/18	CIMB	Keppel Corp	6.77	8.81	Add	Sum of parts
07/11/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Industries	2.67	3.49	Add
07/11/18	CIMB	Sembcorp Marine	1.97	2.52	Add	PB2.2x CY18
07/11/18	CIMB	SPH Reit	1	1.07	Hold	DDM
07/11/18	OCBC	SPH Reit	1	1.02	Hold
07/11/18	Lim & Tan	SPH Reit	1	0	Hold
07/11/18	Kim Eng	Top Glove	3.4	4.36	Hold	Ringgit target $12.90, PER30x FY19
07/11/18	CIMB	Yangzijiang	0.91	1.27	Add	Sum of parts

The US-China trade war is escalating!

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/u-poised-publish-200-billion-205132750.html

The USA has imposed another 200b tariff on China.

Let's see how China will retaliate since it has imported less than 200b worth of USA goods.

Tuesday, July 10, 2018

OUE Hospitality - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/04/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.685	0.73	Buy
01/09/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.68	0.72	Buy	DCF
01/26/17	CIMB	OUE Hospitality	0.685	0.71	Add	DDM
01/26/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.685	0.7	Neutral	DDM
01/26/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.685	0.75	Buy
01/27/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.685	0.75	Buy	DCF
01/31/17	Credit Suisse	OUE Hospitality	0.69	0.78	Neutral
02/08/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.675	0.75	Buy
02/28/17	Deutsche	OUE Hospitality	0.69	0.65	Hold
03/10/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.675	0.7	Neutral
03/16/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.68	0.75	Buy
04/03/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.69	0.76	Buy	DDM
04/17/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.71	0.75	Buy
05/05/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.715	0.76	Buy	DCF
05/05/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.715	0.76	Buy	DDM
05/05/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.715	0.75	Buy
05/15/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.705	0.78	Buy	DDM
06/09/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.72	0.75	Buy
06/22/17	Deutsche	OUE Hospitality	0.725	0.65	Hold
07/04/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.755	0.75	Buy
07/12/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.76	0.78	Buy
08/02/17	CIMB	OUE Hospitality	0.76	0.82	Add	DDM
08/02/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.76	0.83	Buy	DDM
08/02/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.76	0.82	Buy
08/02/17	Lim & Tan	OUE Hospitality	0.76	0	Hold
08/03/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.77	0.8	Buy	DCF
09/21/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.79	0.83	Buy
09/21/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.79	0.82	Buy
11/02/17	CIMB	OUE Hospitality	0.81	0.84	Add	DDM
11/02/17	Credit Suisse	OUE Hospitality	0.81	0.78	Neutral
11/02/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.81	0.82	Hold
11/02/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.81	0.85	Buy	DCF
11/03/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.815	0.88	Buy	DDM
12/01/17	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.815	0.82	Hold
12/06/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.825	0.85	Buy
12/19/17	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.835	0.88	Buy
01/03/18	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.855	0.91	Buy	DDM
01/04/18	Deutsche	OUE Hospitality	0.87	0.65	Sell
01/04/18	CIMB	OUE Hospitality	0.87	0.89	Add	DDM
01/05/18	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.875	0.83	Hold
01/31/18	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.885	0.93	Buy	DCF
01/31/18	Lim & Tan	OUE Hospitality	0.885	0	Hold
02/20/18	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.845	0.95	Buy
04/04/18	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.795	0.95	Buy
04/10/18	CIMB	OUE Hospitality	0.825	0.92	Add
04/17/18	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.815	0.93	Buy
05/03/18	CIMB	OUE Hospitality	0.82	0.92	Add	DDM
05/03/18	DMG & Partners	OUE Hospitality	0.82	0.95	Buy	DDM
05/03/18	OCBC	OUE Hospitality	0.82	0.84	Hold	Buy @ $0.78 or lower
07/06/18	DBS Vickers	OUE Hospitality	0.765	0.93	Buy

OUE Commercial - Stock calls

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
01/09/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Commercial	0.695	0.74	Hold	DCF
01/27/17	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.7	0.65	Hold
03/10/17	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.685	0.65	Hold
05/08/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Commercial	0.7	0.67	Hold	DCF
05/08/17	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.7	0.65	Hold
05/08/17	CIMB	OUE Commercial	0.7	0.71	Hold
08/03/17	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.73	0.68	Hold	DDM
08/04/17	CIMB	OUE Commercial	0.725	0.68	Hold	DDM
08/04/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Commercial	0.725	0.69	Hold
10/04/17	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.715	0.67	Hold
11/03/17	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.72	0.67	Hold
11/03/17	CIMB	OUE Commercial	0.72	0.68	Hold	DDM
11/10/17	DBS Vickers	OUE Commercial	0.71	0.73	Hold	DCF
12/05/17	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.71	0.67	Hold
01/09/18	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.75	0.67	Hold
02/01/18	CIMB	OUE Commercial	0.75	0.75	Hold	DDM
02/01/18	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.75	0.69	Hold
02/05/18	DBS Vickers	OUE Commercial	0.755	0.73	Hold	DCF
03/19/18	DBS Vickers	OUE Commercial	0.715	0.73	Hold
03/23/18	CIMB	OUE Commercial	0.72	0.75	Hold	DDM
05/11/18	OCBC	OUE Commercial	0.72	0.68	Hold

Stock calls for 10 July 2018

Date	Analyst	Company	Last	Target	Call	Valuation
07/10/18	phillip	Comfortdelgro	2.32	2.69	Accumulate
07/10/18	OCBC	Far East Hospitality	0.62	0.735	Buy

China is targeting US fiber optics now.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/china-raises-tariff-rates-u-085246199.html

China is upping its ante against the USA.

Although China has fewer products to target than the USA, it is still able to pull some heavy punches to cause Trump to relent.